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Infratil Market Update

Investor Presentation7 April 2020IFTUtilities

Infratil
Market Update

8 April 2020

Disclaimer
Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by Infratil Limited (NZ company number 597366, NZX:IFT; ASX:IFT)

(Company).

To the maximum extent permitted by law, the Company, its affiliates and each of their respective

affiliates, related bodies corporate, directors, officers, partners, employees and agents will not be liable

(whether in tort (including negligence) or otherwise) to you or any other person in relation to this

presentation.

Information

This presentation contains summary information about the Company and its activities which is current as

at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general nature and does not

purport to be complete nor does it contain all the information which a prospective investor may require

in evaluating a possible investment in the Company or that would be required in a product disclosure

statement under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013 or the Australian Corporations Act 2001 (Cth).

This presentation should be read in conjunction with the Company’s Interim Report for the 6 months to

30 September 2019, market releases and other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements,

which are available at www.nzx.com, www.asx.com.au or infratil.com/for-investors/.

Not financial product advice

This presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial, legal, tax, investment or other

advice or a recommendation to acquire the Company’s securities, and has been prepared without taking

into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of prospective investors.

2

Disclaimer
Future Performance

This presentation may contain certain “forward-looking statements” about the Company and the environment in

which the Company operates, such as indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, financial position and

performance. Forward-looking information is inherently uncertain and subject to contingencies outside of the

Company’s control, and the Company gives no representation, warranty or assurance that actual outcomes or

performance will not materially differ from the forward-looking statements.

Non-GAAP Financial Information

This presentation contains certain financial information and measures that are “non-GAAP financial information”

under the FMA Guidance Note on disclosing non-GAAP financial information, "non‐IFRS financial information"

under Regulatory Guide 230: ‘Disclosing non‐IFRS financial information’ published by the Australian Securities

and Investments Commission (ASIC) and are not recognised under New Zealand equivalents to International

Financial Reporting Standards (NZ IFRS), Australian Accounting Standards (AAS) or International Financial

Reporting Standards (IFRS). The non-IFRS/GAAP financial information and financial measures include Underlying

EBITDAF and EBITDA. The non-IFRS/GAAP financial information and financial measures do not have a

standardised meaning prescribed by the NZ IFRS, AAS or IFRS, should not be viewed in isolation and should not

be construed as an alternative to other financial measures determined in accordance with NZ IFRS, AAS or IFRS,

and therefore, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other entities. Although Infratil

believes the non-IFRS/GAAP financial information and financial measures provide useful information to users in

measuring the financial performance and condition of Infratil, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on

any non-IFRS/GAAP financial information or financial measures included in this presentation.

Further information on how Infratil calculates Underlying EBITDAF can be found at Appendix I of Infratil’s Interim

Results Presentation for the period to 30 September 2019.

No part of this presentation may be reproduced or provided to any person or used for any other purpose.

3

Renewable
energy and data

infrastructure

assets should

drive relative

outperformance

Diversified

portfolio with

good access to

capital and

discretionary

levers

Overview

•Diversified portfolio with overweight position in renewable energy generation and data infrastructure is well

positioned to outperform during a sustainedslowdown in economic activity.

•All portfolio entities are preparing for extended restrictions and actively managing cashflows and

discretionary operating expenses and capital expenditure:

‐CDC Data Centres, Tilt Renewables and Longroad Energy are on track to continue strong growth.

‐Trustpower and Vodafone NZ have a strong defensive core with exposure to retail customer bases that will

be affected by an economic downturn.

‐Retirement assets such as RetireAustralia are particularly exposed to the effects of an ongoing pandemic.

‐Wellington Airport is expecting limited revenue for FY2021 financial year and adjusting cost base

accordingly.

•Strong capital position and flexibility across thegroup with ability to deferdiscretionary capitalinvestment or

re-prioritise cashflows if required:

‐Capital return of approximately A$169 million(Infratil’s share) from Tilt Renewables scheduled to be

received in the first half of FY2021.

‐Liquidity at theInfratilparent company levelavailabletosupportassets with more direct exposure

totheconsequences of COVID-19.

•Significant capital investment already undertaken in CDC Data Centres, Tilt Renewables and Longroad Energy

is on track to be income generating in FY2021.

•Reported FY2020 EBITDAF will be slightly below the guidance range,driven by the structure and accounting

treatment of Longroad Energy project sales.

Infratil Market Update –April 20204

Portfolio
resilience and

composition

Investment over

the last 24

months has

focused on high

conviction

platforms with

defensive

characteristics

and ongoing

demand growth

5

Tilt Renewables​

•336MW (A$560 million) Dundonnell wind farm under construction​

•133MW (NZ$277 million) Waipipi wind farm under construction

Longroad Energy​

•594MW of utility scale solar under construction in (Texas​ & Minnesota)

•551MW of utility scale wind under construction (California & Texas)

Galileo Green Energy

•Newly established development vehicle based inEurope

•Pace of development will reflect COVID-19 realities

CDC Data Centres

•105MW of installed Data Centre Capacity with a further ​25MW under construction

•Roadmap to over 230MW of Data Centre capacity

Vodafone

•$3.4 billion acquisition of Vodafone NZ​

•Launch of 5G network in December 2019 and business transformation program

underway

•Infratil is well positioned in scalable high growth sectors with good jurisdictional diversification.

•Investment over the last 24 months has been focused on Infratil’s Renewable Energy and Data &

Connectivity platforms:

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Portfolio
resilience and

composition

Infratil’s

portfolio is well

positioned to

weather the

COVID-19 crisis

and cushioned

from extended

economic

downturns

6

16%

17%

25%

17%

13%

6%

3%

3%

Investments

TrustpowerTilt Renewables

CDCVodafone

Wellington AirportRetireAustralia

LongroadOther

36%

42%

13%

6%

3%

Sector

Renewable EnergyConnectivity & Data

AirportsRetirement

Other

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Access to
liquidity and

credit

Duration

extended over

last 6 months

through new

retail bond

issues and

renewed bank

facilities

7

Access to liquidity and credit

•The Wholly Owned Group’s liquidity position is strong with a number of bank re-financings executed in the

last 3 months. The net impact of these changes is that total Wholly Owned Group bank facilities have

increased by $75 million to $748 million.

•As at 31 March 2020 Wholly Owned Group drawn bank debt is $480 million with $268 million of undrawn

bank facilities.

•Tilt Renewables has today announced a capital return of approximately A$260 million (Infratil’s share A$169

million) by way of aCourt approved scheme of arrangement which is expected to be completed in the first

half of FY2021.

•Infratil’s next bank maturity is $53 million in July 2020 and given recent facility extensions,Infratil

isassessing whether arefinancing is required.

•Infratil’s next two bond maturities are:

•$93.9 million of IFT220 bonds which mature in June 2021.

•$93.7 million of IFT190 bonds which mature in June 2022.

Maturities to 31 March ($Millions)TotalFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25-31>FY31

Bonds1,303.8 -93.9 193.7 122.1 662.2 231.9

Wholly-owned bank facilities748.0 85.0 115.0 350.0 148.0 50.0 -

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Assessing and
responding to

the impact of

COVID-19

Strong platforms

that can sustain

growth in

challenging

economic

conditions

8

CDC Data Centres

•Minimal forecast volume or profitability impact

with core rental revenues underpinned by long

term lease agreements with high creditworthy

counterparties (government and enterprise).

•Potential slowdown in medium term sales as

Government and Commercial clients are

impacted by a broader economic slowdown and

budget constraints, offset by favourable short-

term outlook with these customers likely to

recalibrate and increase deployments.

•Current capital projects remain on track

(principally Eastern Creek 3), with

developmentprojects not currently significantly

impacted by COVID-19 work restrictions.

•Significant refinancing completed in November

2019 with no maturities until November 2022.

Tilt Renewables

•Production from operating assetsis largely covered

by long term offtakeagreements with strong well

capitalisedcounterparties, producing predictable

cashflowsthat are resilient to short term

marketfluctuations.

•Following the completion of the capital return

announced today, Tilt will retain a significant cash

positionand has a strongbalance sheet to support

its medium term development pipeline.

•Tilt has been working closely with its project

partners, Vestas for the Dundonnell Wind Farm in

Victoria, Australia and Siemens Gamesa for the

WaipipiWind Farm in Taranaki, New Zealand, to

proactively manage the impacts of COVID-19 across

the international supply chain, construction

activities and movements of key personnel.

•For more information:

https://www.nzx.com/companies/TLT/announcements

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Assessing and
responding to

the impact of

COVID-19

Operations

witha strong

defensive core

but exposure to

retail in an

extended

economic

downturn

9

Trustpower

•National demand for electricity is down about

~15% on pre-COVID-19 levels, with higher Mass

Market demand (Retail) more than offset by

lower Commercial and Industrial demand.

•Data demand is setting new records, but

Trustpower networks are coping well.

•Wholesale electricity prices are softer, but the

impact on Trustpower is not expected to be

material.

•Currently $135 million of bank facility head

room. Upcoming maturities are in July 2020 ($25

million) and October 2020 ($55 million), with

work underway to proactively extend these

lines.

•Trustpower has not yet observed any material

impacts on cash collection and credit, but notes

this risk factor in a prolonged shutdown and

consequent economic downturn.

Vodafone

•Announcement of consumer and business

support programs (disconnection and late fee

policy, unlimited fixed data, mobile data

certainty).

•Significant impact on roaming and service

revenues through extended travel restrictions,

prolonged lockdown, and wind down of retail

activity.

•All uncommitted and discretionary operating

and capital expenditure currently under review

and focus is on FY2021 cash flow and review of

ongoing cost structures.

•Potential for impact on cash collection and

credit issues in a prolonged economic

downturn.

•No long-term debt refinancing required until

July 2022 and significant facility headroom.

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Assessing and
responding to

the impact of

COVID-19

Airport and

retirement assets

more directly

affected by a

prolonged crisis

10

Wellington Airport

•Government measures to control COVID-19 are

having a direct and dramatic impact on the

operations of Wellington Airport. All international

and approximately 95% of domestic services have

been curtailed.

•Operational staff are reduced to the minimum

required for the airport to operate safely. Capital

investment plans have been frozen with only

critical work now expected to occur during FY2021.

•Current expectations are that both international

and domestic traffic will be running at ~66% of

pre-crisis levels by April 2021, rising to ~85% a

year later.The ongoing reduction in traffic and the

curtailment of investment initiatives, will reduce

the operational and development resources

required by the Airport.

•Discussions progressing well with WIAL’s lenders

and shareholders about the funding required to

enable the Airport to maintain operations,

undertake necessary investment, and repay

upcoming financing maturities.

RetireAustralia

•RetireAustralia’s response to COVID-19 is focussed

on resident wellbeing and prevention of cases

within villages.

•Management is closely monitoring and responding

to the evolving situationin line with advice from

the Australian Government.

•While RetireAustralia’s emphasis is on resident

safety, Infratil has also been working with

management to model base-case and downside

scenarios in light of COVID-19, particularly a

slowdown in resales.

•RetireAustralia is reassessing its FY2021

development commitments and discretionary

capex has been suspended.

•Refinancing was completed in Q2 2019, however

RetireAustralia is working with its banking group to

re-purpose existing facilities for working capital

requirements.

•Infratil will continue to assess whether shareholder

support is required.

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Longroad
Energy

Continued

momentum and

execution with

an extensive

development

pipeline

11

Longroad Energy

•Longroad Energy has announced the financial close and start of construction of Little Bear Solar (215MW of

Solar in California).

•Separately, Longroad Energy announced the sale of 50 percent equity interests in both Little Bear Solar and

Prospero I Solar, (379MW of Solar Texas). Closure in the current environment is testament to the quality of the

projects and defensive characteristics of contracted renewables in the current environment.

•Construction of El Campo, Minnesota Wind and Prospero I currently remain on schedule and on budget. All

construction contractors continue to perform in the field consistent with public health guidelines and all have

contracted revenue or Power Purchase Agreements in place for the projects’ power offtake.

•Electricity infrastructure (including equipment manufacturing) currently considered an ‘essential service’ in the

U.S.

•The Impact of COVID-19 on future development activity is unclear. It is reasonable to expect a slowdown and

pipeline development will in part depend the rate of recovery in corporates and utilities signing new Power

Purchase Agreements, as well as liquidity in the bank and tax equity markets.

•Conversely, COVID-19 recovery legislation is being discussed in the US Congress which may include provisions

for the renewable energy industry.

Infratil Market Update –April 2020

Little Bear solar (215MW in California)

Prospero I solar (379MW in Texas),

MN Wind (70MW, Minnesota)

El Campo wind (243MW in Texas)

Longroad's Construction Portfolio

Longroad
Energy

Development

gains and project

outcomes have

exceeded

expectations,

however the

nature of retained

interests

precludes some

development

gains from being

recognised

12Infratil Market Update –April 2020

ProjectCapacityStatus

Project Rio Bravo

Texas Wind

US$300 million

238MW•100% of the equitysold December 2018

•Development gain recognised on completion of

construction in June 2019

El Campo

Texas Wind

US$335 million

243MW•50% of the equity sold June 2019, remaining 50%

consolidated by LEH, thereforeno development gain

recognised for accounting

Prospero I

Texas Solar

US$416 million

379MW•50% of equity sold 1 April 2020, remaining 50%

consolidated by LEH, thereforeno development gain

recognised for accounting

Little Bear

California Solar

US$346 million

215MW•50% of equity sold 31 March 2020

•Remaining 50% consolidated by LEH, therefore no

development gain recognised for accounting

Minnesota Wind

(Wind repowering)

US$ 77 million

70MW•Binding agreement to sell 100% of the equity at Commercial

Operation Date (‘COD’), expected ~ late 2020 calendar year

•Development gain will be recognised for accounting

purposes at COD

Total Net Economic Development gains –FY2020

1

US$74 million to US$107 million

Infratil’s ShareUS$30 million to US$43 million

FY2020 Cash Dividends to InfratilUS$18.5 million

FY2020 Capital returns to InfratilUS$2.8 million

FY2020 Development Summary

1

Excludes the value of Longroad’s retained interest in projects that have been partially sold

FY2020 Underlying EBITDAF Guidance revised to $550 million -$560 million
•Infratil notes the following in relation to this updated FY2020 earnings guidance:

•Infratil’s previous earnings guidance was $575 million to $615 million.

•Infratil had previously forecast a Longroad reported contribution to Underlying EBITDAF of NZ$38.5

million. As a result of the accounting treatment for the 50% partial sales of the El Campo, Prospero I and

Little Bear projects, Infratil’s share of the economic development gains (US$30 million to US$43 million)

will not be recognised for accounting purposes in FY2020. Infratil now expects Longroad’s reported

contribution to Underlying EBITDAF to be NZ$5.0 million.

•On 17 February 2020 Trustpower updated its FY2020 earnings guidance to $185 million to $195 million

(previously $200 million to $215 million). Infratil’s updated guidance also reflects the Trustpower update.

•Vodafone New Zealand’s (VFNZ) forecast full year EBITDA is expected to be towards the lower-end of its

guidance range of $460-$490 million (excluding transaction and one-off costs and non-cash IFRS 15 and

IFRS 16 adjustments). Infratil has included VFNZ in its earnings guidance on the basis of its 49.9% share of

VFNZ, for its 8 months of ownership.

•Infratil expects the contribution from Wellington Airport to be negatively impacted byup to$2 million,

largelyas a result of theCOVID-19impact on passenger numbers forthe month of March2020.

Incentive fees and valuations

•Infratil’sFY2020 Underlying EBITDAF guidance excludes any Incentive fees that may become payable in relation

to thatperiod. The incentive fee accrual remains unchanged ($125 million, payable in three annual instalments

of ~$41.7 million each) since the update provided on 6 January 2020.

•Investments included in the incentive fee calculation are CDC Data Centres, Tilt Renewables, Longroad and

RetireAustralia.The actual FY2020 incentive fee calculation will be based on independent valuations as at 31

March 2020, which are ongoing.

Earnings

Update

Gap to previous

guidance reflects

accounting

treatment of

partial Longroad

sales. Realised

development

gains have

exceeded

previous

expectations

Infratil Market Update –April 202013

Outlook
Fundamental

uncertainty over

the duration and

impact of the

COVID-19 crisis.

Data and

renewable

energy platforms

expected to

drive portfolio

returns

2021 Guidance

•Given fundamental uncertainty over the duration and scale of the COVID-19 outbreak Infratil will not

be providing full year 2021 earnings or dividend guidance at this stage.

•Infratil expects to provide a further update as part of its FY2020 results announcement in May.

Reporting date

•Infratil will release its audited financial statements and Annual Report for the year ended

31 March 2020 on 29 May 2020.

Dividend Outlook

•Final FY2020 dividend will be announced on 29 May 2020.

•The current expectation is for the final dividend to bemoderated from previous guidance (11cps)

given the uncertaintysurrounding the duration and impact of the COVID-19 crisis.

Infratil Market Update –April 202014

15
Outlook

Infratil is well

positioned in

scalable high

growth sectors,

supported by

jurisdictional

diversification

•Strong capital position and

flexibility across thegroup with

ability to deferdiscretionary

capitalinvestment or re-

prioritise cashflows if required.

•Overweight positions in

renewable energy generation

and data infrastructure are well

positioned to outperform

during a sustainedslowdown

in economic activity.

•Infratil is committed to

supporting the actions of

various governments in all

geographies to restrict the

spread of COVID-19.

•The infrastructure sector will be

essential to the pace and

shape of the global economic

recovery. Infratil is well placed

to support and contribute to

the eventual recovery in each

key market.

Infratil Market Update –April 202015

For further information:
www.infratil.com

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.