Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update21 January 2021MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 December 2020

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

FY2021 HYDRO GENERATION FORECAST

INCREASED BY 200GWh

PRICES ELEVATED DUE TO

LOW SOUTH ISLAND INFLOWS AND

THERMAL FUEL CONSTRAINTS

CONTRACT SECURING

TIWAI SMELTER OPERATIONS

EXTENDED TO END OF 2024

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

3,900GWh

ELEVATED

PRICES

PERSIST

TIWAI

SMELTER

CONTRACT

EXTENDED

>> COMMENTARY

HYDRO GENERATION FLAT, LAKE TAUPO STORAGE LIFTED PRIOR TO SEASONALLY LOW INFLOW PERIOD

Mercury's hydro generation for the quarter was flat versus theprior comparable period as Mercury lifted hydro storage leading into the

historically dry January quarter. Storage in Lake Taupo increased during the quarter from 254GWh to 456GWh at the end of thequarter,

21GWh above average

1

. Higher than expected inflows also saw Mercury's FY2021 hydro generation forecast increase by 200GWh to

3,900GWh.

Geothermal generation in FY2021-Q2 of 659GWh was 63GWh higher than the prior comparable period which was affected by several

maintenance outages.

SPOT PRICES REMAIN ELEVATED DUE TO LOW SOUTH ISLAND INFLOWS AND THERMAL FUEL CONSTRAINTS

South Island hydrological inflows were below-average for the quarter resulting in decreasing national hydro storage, which endedthe quarter

639GWh below average

1

. This combined with thermal fuel constraints saw prices increase from $102/MWh at Otahuhu and $87/MWh at

Benmore in FY2020-Q2 to $117/MWh and $103/MWh respectively in the most recent quarter.

FUTURES LIFT REFLECTS HYDROLOGY, THERMAL FUEL CONSTRAINTS AND TIWAI SMELTER CONTRACT EXTENSION

Dry hydrology and thermal fuel concerns saw the FY2021 futures priceincrease from $122/MWh at Otahuhu and $111/MWh at Benmore at

the start of the quarterto $136/MWh and $121/MWh respectively. Longer-dated futures also increased with the FY2022 futures price lifting

from $100/MWh to $119/MWh at Otahuhu and from $85/MWh to $101/MWh at Benmore.

Following the quarter, it was announced that the electricity contract behind the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter would be extendedto the end

of 2024, securing smelter operations. This saw a further lift in FY2022 futures prices which were $130/MWh at Otahuhu and $115/MWh at

Benmore as at 20 January 2021.

SALES VOLUMESAND YIELDS LIFT AS MERCURY MAINTAINS FOCUS ON CUSTOMER VALUE

Physical sales volumes increased from 1,002GWh in FY2020-Q2 to 1,039GWh in the most recent quarter. Commercial and Industrial sales

volumes increased by 94GWh to 433GWh but were partially offset by Mass Market sales volumes which decreased by 57GWh to 606GWh.

Mercury's focus on customer value saw sales yields in the Mass Market segment increase by 7.7% from $129/MWh to $139/MWh and in the

Commercial and Industrial segment by 9.1% from $79/MWh to $86/MWh. Customer connections decreased by 6,000 to 336,000 across

the quarter, 20,000 lower compared to the end of FY2020-Q2.

BROAD LIFT IN ADJUSTED DEMAND WITH WEAKER INDUSTRIAL SECTOR LOAD THE EXCEPTION

National demand increased by 0.3% on a temperature-adjusted basis (down -0.4% on an unadjusted basis) with positive contributions from

the urban (+0.3%), rural (+0.1%), dairy (+0.2%), irrigation (+0.5%) and other (+0.2%) sectors. Industrial demand decreased (-1.0%) due to

reduced load at the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter and other major industrial users.

1

For quarters ended 31 December since 1999

336356
297314

3942

4547

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,0391,0022,2962,241

2

6066631,4381,555

3

433339858686

4949109110

4

1,0881,0502,4062,351

5

9358331,7781,703

377313753636

6

5585201,0251,067

31181105379

1,5891,5243,3203,428

9309281,9742,142

7

6595961,3461,286

402391835690

6

402391835690

8

1.021.031.021.03

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions (including positions held to maturity which were previously disclosed in CfD volumes)

6

7

Includes Mercury's 65% share of Nga Awa Purua generation

8

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

Spot Settlement of CfDs

PORTFOLIO LWAP/GWAP

93.97108.33

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

84.3187.01 Buy CfDs

106.8293.46

87.0184.31Financial

119.92109.96

103.50114.49

Hydro

120.19109.48

86.2579.23

97.96110.79

86.70

Other Sell CfDs

110.7299.30

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 December 2020

Three months ended

31 December 2019

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2020 and 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 December 2019 and of

302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2020 and 302 GWh for the 6 months ended 31 December 2019

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

79.86

129.41

86.16

Physical117.21112.65

Mass Market139.36

78.55

85.94

Spot Customer Purchases

79.64

($/MWh)($/MWh)

121.87116.64

Six months ended

31 December 2020

Six months ended

31 December 2019

132.02120.39

86.8580.72

87.0878.71

138.14129.08

94.6088.48

126.39114.41

132.73119.62

86.6881.91

120.20109.06

135.43110.53

118.45103.67

117.09105.74

92.4483.06

92.4483.06

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 DECEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

17%

36%

19%

17%

3%

8%

Financial Year Q2 2021

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

16%

36%

20%

16%

5%

7%

Financial Year Q2 2020

11%

89%

Financial Year Q2 2021

MERCURY

OTHER

13%

87%

Financial Year Q2 2020

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

$110

$120

$130

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2020 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2021 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2020FY2021

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$110.25

$95.68

$99.05

$114.01

$95.65

$92.56

$122.42

$100.14

$93.46

$135.59

$119.06

$103.11

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

FY21FY22FY23

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 30 JUNE 2020AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2020AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020

$97.29

$85.11

$89.53

$104.40

$79.83

$75.74

$111.22

$85.19

$78.14

$120.57

$100.69

$82.16

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

FY21FY22FY23

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2019AS AT 30 JUNE 2020AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2020AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202112.316.9--

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

201712.116.119.314.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,609

8,257

8,541

8,270

8,481

8,506

1,265

1,264

1,263

1,316

1,310

1,248

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q2 2016Q2 2017Q2 2018Q2 2019Q2 2020Q2 2021

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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