Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update September 2021

Operational Update29 September 2021FCGConsumer Staples

• Record shipment year for Fonterra despite supply
chain challenges.

• On 23 September, Fonterra announced its Annual

Results, provided Long-term Strategy and a new Capital

Structure proposal.

For further details,

view our website –

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Milk volumes down in New Zealand and

Australia. EU monthly production shows

decline. US monthly production up.

• New Zealand and EU monthly exports decline.

Australia and US monthly exports continue

to grow.

• China, Middle East and Africa and Latin

America imports increase. Asia monthly

imports decline.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collection in

August was 96.7 million kgMS, down 4.0% on

the prior season.

• Fonterra Australia milk collection for

August was 6.8 million kgMS, down 5.9% on

last season.

• Cleaning water with nature.

Key Dates

9 December 2021

Fonterra Co-operative Group

Annual Meeting

13 December 2021

Fonterra Shareholders' Fund

Annual Meeting

December 2021

FY22 Q1 Business Update

SEPTEMBER 2021

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for the 12 months to

August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

1.13.54.8

0.20.22.4

0.3

2.4

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Milk volumes down in

New Zealand and Australia.

EU monthly production

shows decline. US monthly

production up

New Zealand milk

production¹ decreased

4.8% on a litres basis, (down

4.2% on milk solids basis) in

August compared to August

last year.

Following a good start to the

season, pasture conditions

were impacted as a result of

colder and wetter weather in

August compared to a mild

August last year.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12 months

to August was 2.4% lower

than last year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for August, see

page 5 for details.

Australia milk

production decreased 3.5%

in July compared to July

last year.

Wetter and cooler than

average winter conditions

impacted total milk

production. Tasmania

and Victoria productions

were down 6.5% and

4.5%, respectively.

Dairy Australia is forecasting

milk production growth

of 0% to +2% for the

2021/22 season.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to July was

0.2% higher than last year.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

August, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production²

decreased 0.3% in July

compared to the same

period last year.

Lower production volumes

were observed across key

producing countries such

as France, Netherlands and

Germany and were partially

offset by higher volumes in

Italy and Ireland.

EU milk production for the

12 months to July was up

0.2% compared to the same

period last year, driven by

higher volumes from Ireland,

Italy, Poland and Sweden.

US milk production

increased by 1.1% in August,

compared to the same

period last year.

Production growth slowed

in August compared to

prior months. Lower milk

yield per cow and herd

size contractions were

observed due to higher

feed costs. Sustained heat

in some regions was also

a contributor to the lower

growth rate.

Milk production for the 12

months to August was 2.4%

higher compared to the

same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand and EU

monthly exports decline.

Australia and US monthly

exports continue to grow

Total New Zealand dairy

exports decreased by

12.9%, or 19,133 MT, in August

compared to the same

period last year.

The decrease was driven by

lower shipment volumes

of WMP and cheese to

China in August compared

to August last year. SMP

export volumes to Southeast

Asia continued to grow and

partially offset the decrease.

Exports for the 12 months to

August were up by 4.5%, or

153,458 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This

was primarily driven by

WMP, fluid milk products

and cheese.

EU dairy exports

decreased 2.8%, or

18,710 MT, in June compared

to the same period last year.

June exports saw lower

demand for infant formula

from China, cultured

products, WMP from Oman

and for butter from the US,

down a combined 27,999  MT.

This was partially offset by

strong volumes of fluid milk

products to China.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 0.6%, or

46,911 MT, on the previous

comparable period. Fluid

milk products, whey, ice

cream and cheese were the

main drivers of this growth.

US dairy exports

increased 7.4%, or 16,324  MT,

in July compared to the same

period last year.

Strong demand for cheese

from Mexico and Japan

as well as whey and WPC

from China are driving this

increase. This was partially

offset by lower SMP export

volumes to the Philippines

and Indonesia.

Exports for the 12 months to

July 2021 were up 8.8%, or

216,340 MT, on the previous

comparable period driven by

whey, SMP, WPC and butter,

up a combined 212,851  MT.

Australia dairy exports

increased 50.5% (34%

excluding fluid milk

products), or 28,113 MT, in

July compared to the same

period last year.

Sustained high demand for

fluid milk products is driving

this increase as well as SMP

and cheese to China. Higher

demand for SMP from

Kuwait and for cheese from

Japan were also observed.

Exports for the 12 months

to July were up 13.6%, or

98,252 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, SMP and

WMP but partially offset by

declines in infant formula.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%%

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for June 2021

compared to June 2020

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

Change for the 12 months

to June 2021

7.450.512.9

13.60.68.8

2.8

4.5

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China, Middle East and

Africa and Latin

America


imports increase. Asia

monthly imports

decline

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

8.8%, or 14,433 MT, in June

compared to the same

period last year.

The increase was driven by

stronger volumes of cheese

as well as lactose and whey

to Mexico. This was partially

offset by a decrease of WMP

to Chile and Cuba.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were up 5.0%, or

86,819 MT, compared to the

same period last year.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 2.8%, or

12,237 MT, in June compared

to the same period last year.

The decrease was driven by

lower demand for SMP and

lactose to Philippines and

Indonesia but partially offset

by increased demand for

WMP and cheese.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were down 0.3%,

or 17,084 MT, compared to

the same period last year

driven by large volumes of

WMP, and SMP, and partially

offset by fluid milk products

and lactose.

Middle East and

Africa

dairy import vol

umes¹

increased 18.8%, or

60,595 MT, in June compared

to the same period last year.

The increase was driven

predominantly by higher

imports of fluid milk

products by the United Arab

Emirates and of cheese by

Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

I

mports for the 12 months

to June were up 7.5 %, or

274,701 MT, compared to

June last year driven by

increases in infant formula,

fluid milk products, cheese

and ice cream.

China dairy import

volumes continued

to increase by 27.2 %,

or 77,218 MT, in August

compared to the same

period last year, with

sustained high demand

across most categories.

Import volumes of WMP

continued to show record

levels in August, primarily

from New Zealand. Fluid milk

products import volumes

from Germany also showed

strong year-on-year growth.

This was partially offset by a

continuing decline in infant

formula year-on-year.

Imports for the 12 months to

August were up 27.0 % driven

by fluid milk products, whey,

WMP and SMP and offset by

decreases in infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for June 2021

compared to June 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for June 2021

compared to June 2020

Change for June 2021

compared to June 2020

Change for the 12 months

to June 2021

Change for the 12 months

to June 2021

Change for the 12 months

to June 2021

27.2

2.88.8

0.37.5

%

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

27.0

18.8

5.0

%

%

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 31 August

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 August

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 August

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 August

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

5.98.72.34.0

0.811.70.12.8

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection for August, the

second month of the new

season, was 6.8 million

kgMS, a 5.9% decrease on

August last season.

The decrease was driven by a

lower third-party collections

(down -66%) compared to

August last season. Farm

milk collections increased by

2% year-on-year.

Season-to-date collections

reached 12.2 million kgMS,

0.8% behind last season.

North Island milk

collection in August

was 71.8 million kgMS,

2.3% lower than August

last season.

Season-to-date collection

was 101.7 million kgMS, 0.1%

ahead of last season.

Central North Island regions

saw some heavy rain and

damaging winds early in

the month, and some areas

around Auckland received

heavy rain causing flooding

at the end of the month.

Overall, however, North

Island rainfall was near

normal for August.

South Island milk

collection in August

was 24.9 million kgMS,

8.7% lower than August

last season.

Season-to-date collection

was 29.2 million kgMS, 11.7%

behind last season.

Western areas recorded well

above average rainfall for

August with multiple fronts

from Fiordland to Farewell

Spit. The rest of the South

Island experienced more

typical August weather than

last year, with cold snaps

and periods of heavy rain

impacting milk production.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection for August was

96.7 million kgMS, 4.0%

lower than the same month

last season.

Season-to-date collection

was 130.9 million kgMS, 2.8%

behind last season.

New Zealand experienced

strong westerlies during

August, bringing heavy rain

and cold temperatures,

with snow in some regions.

This was starkly different to

August last season, where

New Zealand recorded its

warmest winter on record.

As a result, both North and

South Island collections

for August were down on

last season.

%%%

%

%

%%%
%%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

SEP  APR SEP DEC FEB APR JUL SEP NOV  FEB JUL





,

, 

,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

The NZD peaked in early

September as the recent

COVID-19 outbreak receded

and RBNZ rhetoric suggested

an OCR increase was likely in

October. However, risk aversion

in global financial markets later

increased and this saw the

NZD decline back to 70 US

cents as the USD strengthened.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

21 September 2021:

The next trading event will be held on 5 October 2021. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

2.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,056

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

23.7

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,857/MT

1.8

BUTTER

USD 3,777/MT

2.3

WMP

USD 5,962/MT

0.1

AMF

USD 3,312/MT

0.6

SMP

USD 4,274/MT

1.2

CHEDDAR

23,692

MT

LATEST AUCTION

93,086

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Record shipment year

for Fonterra despite

supply chain challenges

In a year of supply chain

challenges and strong

demand for dairy, a massive

team effort and the power

of partnership have helped

Fonterra ship more product

than in any other year. The

Co-op shipped a total of

2.59 million metric tonnes,

an increase of more than

4% year-on-year for the year

ending 31 July.

Fonterra COO

Fraser Whineray says that,

Kotahi, a joint partnership

between the Co-operative

and Silver Fern Farms, has

been the key to this year’s

result. “But it’s not just

Fonterra that’s seen benefits

from this. Through the scale

that Kotahi brings with its

strategic partnership with

Maersk, many other Kiwi

companies have been able

to get their product off our

shores. “I hear New Zealand

Wool Services has also had a

good year with their export

volumes of containers up

on the previous 12 months.

I know there have been

some challenges this year

but there are also some

great Kiwi success stories

out there.”

Jason Stewart, Shipping

Manager at New Zealand

Wool Services echoes

this and says there have

been challenges, but

the partnership has paid

dividends. “We have been

in a position to keep our

product moving through

the long-term partnership

we’ve had with Kotahi which

has given New Zealand

Wool Services a level of

competitive advantage

that others in the market

don’t have.”

The supply chain has faced

a raft of challenges this year

including shipping schedule

integrity plunging from a

long-term average of 80%

to below 35% in the year.

“If that wasn’t bad enough,

there were temporary port

closures and restrictions as

well as container shortages”,

says Gordon Carlyle,

Fonterra Director of Global

Supply Chain. Gordon says

the critical event team

played an important part

in applying some creative

thinking to finding solutions

to some big challenges.

“They worked tirelessly to

co-ordinate our response

across about 800 people

– mostly our supply chain

people and 100 in Kotahi

and Coda, our supply

chain partners.”

Reworks or re-planning of

the end-to-end chain was

required due to changes

in vessel arrivals, jumped

by 350% in 2021 from the

year before.

“Being able to achieve this

result whilst knowing that we

have also reduced our supply

chain cost by 20% since 2015

in real terms is extremely

satisfying,” says Gordon. “The

resilience of our supply chain

has been a real differentiator

with customers this year and

we couldn’t have achieved

this without Kotahi.”

Kotahi CEO David Ross

warns it’ll still be hard graft

for some time to come. “We

continue to see operational

bottlenecks from port

congestion, vessel delays and

port omissions which means

we aren’t receiving shipping

capacity and containers

in the time period that

exporters require, making it a

challenge to get products to

export markets.”

“We now are working closely

with our customers and

partners to build stability

into the ocean freight

network, as we prepare for

a challenging new season

ahead,” he says.

Established by Fonterra and

Silver Fern Farms about

10 years ago, Kotahi works

with exporters, importers

and industry partners to

create a sustainable, more

efficient supply chain.

Our Performance

Cleaning water
with nature

Our Maungaturoto site has

been using nature to reduce

its water usage by up to 25%.

In a first of its kind for

Fonterra, evaporator

condensate (water extracted

from milk) is redirected

through a natural wetland

before being further treated

and re-used at the site.

Maungaturoto is one of

six water constrained sites

across the country that are

working to reduce water use

by 30% by 2030.

By recycling up to 700,000

litres of water a day through

the wetland the site has

been able to to reduce its

reliance on Kaipara District

Council supply – giving the

community more security of

water supply.

Water is a precious taonga

(treasure) and it’s important

we look after it for the good

of everyone. Recent drought

and infrastructure failures

impacting water supply

to the site mean it’s more

important than ever that

we do what we can to limit

our impact.

Maungaturoto

Environmental Manager,

Stuart Glen says he could

see the circular way to clean

water from site as the only

way to do it.

“I started with the Co-op a

little over two years ago, and

the idea for cleaning site

water by using the wetland

as a natural bioreactor had

been looked at but faced a

few challenges.”

“It has required thinking

outside of the box and a

multi-faceted approach to

overcome these challenges

including maintaining

the wetland’s ecosystem,

ensuring food safety quality,

and not interrupting the

sites efficiency to operate,”

says Stuart.

Fonterra has worked closely

with Kaipara District Council

on integration with their

water supply and has support

from Northland Regional

Council and Te Uri o Hau

(local iwi) for the initiative.

“The reclaimed

water is

treated using the natural

wetland and our

water

treatment plant before it is

reused throughout the site,

including for drinking water. ”

“We’ve taken a holistic,

circular and nature-based

approach to look at how we

could work in part nership

with nature. By providing the

right amount of nutrients for

the native plants and habitat

to thrive promotes greater

biodiversity within the

wetland,” says Stuart.

This initiative is a model

that could be implemented

at some of our other

manufacturing sites across

New Zealand, and also

around the world.

T

his water saving initiative

is also a finalist in this year’s

Sustainable Business

Awards.

Our Co-op

8

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC  NOV  OCT  SEP  MAY 

MT  s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to July; New Zealand and US to August.

NOTE: Data for EU to June; US and Australia to July; New Zealand to August.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to June; China to August.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV DEC JUN

,

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,



,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

AUGUST

2021

AUGUST


2020

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

96.7100.7(4.0%)130.9134.6(2.8%)

North Island71.873.5(2.3%)101.7101.60.1%

South Island24.927.2(8.7%)29.233.0(11. 7%)

Australia6.87.3(5.9%)12.212.3(0.8%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(21 SEPTEMBER 2021)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2021)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

23,69293,086

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(28.4%)(28.6%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,0563,937

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

30.4%29.4%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

2.0%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMENA

Africa, Middle East, Europe,

North Asia, Americas.

AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

NZMP

New Zealand Milk Products.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update September 2021
    2021-09-29

    • Record shipment year for Fonterra despite supply chain challenges. • On 23 September, Fonterra announced its Annual Results, provided Long-term Strategy and a new Capital Structure proposal. For further details, view our website – 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Milk volume…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update October 2021
    2021-10-28

    • Fonterra's foodservice business hits $3 billion in annualised revenue. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Lower volumes in New Zealand and Australia. US monthly production flat. • New Zealand exports up, Australia and US monthly exports continue to grow. EU monthly exports decl…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update July 2021
    2021-07-29

    •Farmer feedback set to shape revised capital structure proposal. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • S tart of new season in New Zealand. US, EU a nd Australia monthly production up. •A ustralia, New Zealand and US monthly exports continue to grow while EU monthly exports ease. • Increas…”