Fonterra Shareholders' Fund logo

Global Dairy Update October 2021

Operational Update28 October 2021FSFConsumer Staples

• Fonterra's foodservice business hits $3 billion in
annualised revenue.

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Lower volumes in New Zealand and Australia.

US monthly production flat.

• New Zealand exports up, Australia and

US monthly exports continue to grow. EU

monthly exports decline.

• China, Latin America and Middle East and

Africa monthly imports decline. Asia monthly

imports up.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collection in

September was 173 million kgMS, down 3.8%

on the prior season.

• Fonterra Australia milk collection for

September was 10.4 million kgMS, down 4.3%

on last season.

• Women taking the wheel.

Key Dates

3 December 2021

FY22 Q1 Business Update

9 December 2021

Fonterra Co-operative Group

Annual Meeting

13 December 2021

Fonterra Shareholders' Fund

Annual Meeting

OCTOBER 2021

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for the 12 months to

September 2021

Change for the 12 months

to September 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

0.23.74.3

0.20.32.1

1.2

1.3

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Lower volumes in

New Zealand and

Australia. US monthly

production flat

New Zealand milk

p

roduction¹ decreased

4.3% on a litres basis (down

4.0% on a milk solids basis)

in September compared to

September last year

A

colder and wetter

start to spring this

season compared to last

September is impacting

production volumes.

New Zealand milk


production for the 12 months

to September was 1.3%

higher on a litres and milk

solids basis than last year.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported

for September, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production decreased

3.

7% in August compared to

August last year.

Wetter, and cooler than

average conditions as well as

lower herd numbers, farm

sales and labour shortages

are impacting total

Australian milk production.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to August was

0.2% lower than last year.

Fonterra collect

ions in

Australia are reported for

September, see page 5

f

or details.

EU milk production²

increased 1.2% in August

compared to the same

period last year.

Higher production volumes

were driven by Italy,

Ireland and France, and

partially offset by lower

volumes in Germany and

the Netherlands.

EU milk production for the

12 months to August was

up 0.3% compared to the

same period last year, driven

by higher volumes across

several countries including

Ireland, Italy and Poland.

US milk production

w

as relatively flat, with

an increase of 0.2% in

September, compared to the

same period last year.

Production growth has

continued to slow in

September for the second

consecutive month. Lower

milk per cow yield and herd

size contractions are the

result of higher feed costs

and are impacting

production.

Milk production for the

12 months to September was

2.

1% higher compared to the

same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2

Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand exports up,

Australia and US monthly

exports continue to grow.

EU monthly exports decline

Total New Zealand dairy

exports increased by 0.6%,

or 1,190 MT, in September

compared to the same

period last year.

SMP export volumes to

China as well as fluid

milk products and MPC

increased year-on-year but

were partially offset by

lower shipments of WMP to

Sri Lanka.

Exports for the 12 months

to September were up by

4.5%, or 155,560 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was primarily driven by

WMP, fluid milk products

and cheese.

EU dairy exports

decreased 8.5%, or

48,256 MT, in August

compared to the same

period last year.

August exports reflected

lower sales of cheese,

cultured products, ice cream

and infant formula, down a

combined 49,840  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to August were down

1.5%, or 105,939 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

Infant formula, cultured

products, butter and SMP

were the main drivers of

this decline but partially

offset by an increase in fluid

milk products.

US dairy exports

increased 12.9%, or

27,503 MT, in August

compared to the same

period last year.

Strong demand for SMP and

cheese in Mexico as well as

whey to China was observed

and driving this increase.

Exports for the 12 months

to August 2021 were up

8.7%, or 217,058 MT, on the

previous comparable period,

driven by whey, SMP, WPC

and butter, up a combined

199,109  MT.

Australia dairy exports

increased 17.3%, or 11,259  MT,

in August compared to the

same period last year.

Sustained high demand

for fluid milk products and

SMP in China is driving

this increase.

Exports for the 12 months

to August were up 12.0%, or

88,201 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, SMP and

WMP but partially offset by

declines in infant formula.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%%

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for August 2021

compared to August 2020

Change for the 12 months

to September 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

Change for the 12 months

to August 2021

12.917.30.6

12.01.58.7

8.5

4.5

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China, Latin America and

Middle East and Africa

monthly imports decline.

Asia monthly imports

up

L

atin America dairy

import volumes¹ decreased

16.9%, or 31,888 MT, in July

compared to the same

period last year.

The decrease was driven by

lower demand for WMP to

Brazil and SMP in Mexico,

Honduras and Colombia,

down 31,929 MT.

I

mports for the 12 months to

July were up 20.

3%, or

3

80,880 MT, compared to

the same period last year.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 2.2%, or 9,308  MT,

in July compared to the same

period last year.

The increase was driven by

higher demand for whey to

Malaysia and Indonesia and

cultured products to the

Philippines, but offset by

lower demand for lactose

and infant formula.

Imports for the 12 months

to July were down 2.9%, or

143,970 MT, compared to the

same period last year driven

by large volumes of WMP

and SMP, and partially offset

by increases in fluid milk

products and cheese.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 15.2%, or

64,587 MT, in July compared

to the same period last year.

The decrease was driven

predominantly by lower

volumes of WMP to Algeria

and of WMP, SMP and infant

formula to Nigeria.

Imports for the 12 months

to July were up 11.5%, or

487,192 MT, compared to

July last year driven by

increases in cheese and

infant formula and offset by

decreases in WMP and fluid

milk products.

China dairy import

volumes decreased

by 1.9%, or 5,437 MT, in

September compared to

the same period last year

following months of year-on-

year growth.

Declines in infant formula,

fluid milk products and SMP

volumes were observed in

September but largely offset

by record levels of WMP,

sourced primarily from

New Zealand.

Imports for the 12 months to

September were up 24.6%,

or 825,930 MT, driven by

fluid milk products, WMP,

whey and SMP and partially

offset by decreases in

infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for July 2021

compared to July 2020

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2021

1.9

2.216.9

2.911.5

%

Change for the 12 months

to September 2021

24.6

15.2

20.3

%

%

T
o view a table that shows our

detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 30 September

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 September

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 September

Season-to-date

1 June to 30 September

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

Change for September 2021

compared to September 2020

4.34.03.73.8

3.66.61.93.4

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collections for September

were 10.4 million kgMS, a

4.3% decrease on September

last season.

Fonterra collections across

Australia for the three

months to 30 September

reached 22.7 million kgMS, a

3.6% decline on last season.

Fonterra’s total intake for

September 2021 was down

on last season due to the

conscious decision to reduce

third-party intake.

North Island milk

collections in September

were 109.3  million kgMS,

3.7% lower than September

last season.

Season-to-date collections

were 211 million kgMS, 1.9%

behind last season.

September began with cool

but settled weather across

much of the North Island.

A cold front in the middle

of the month brought

repeated bouts of rain and

unseasonably low sunshine

hours, slowing pasture

growth and reducing milk

collection volumes.

South Island m

ilk

collections in September

were 63.7 million kgMS,

4.0% lower than September

l

ast season.

Season-to-date collections

were

92.8 million kgMS,

6.6% behind last season.

Weather varied between

high- and low-pressure

fronts during September.

The west coast received

repeated bouts of wet and

windy weather, with many

areas in Canterbury and

Otago recording gusts over

130 kilometres per hour.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for September

were 173 million kgMS, 3.8%

down on last September.

Season-to-date collections

were 303.9 million kgMS,

3.4% behind last season.

The country experienced

generally unsettled weather

throughout September.

While that is broadly typical

of spring, colder and wetter

than average conditions

for most of the country

impacted milk collections for

the month.

%%%

%

%

%
%

%%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

OCT  MAY

OCT

DEC

MAR

MAY

AUG

OCT

DEC  MAR

AUG






,

,



,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

The NZD appreciated during

October against a backdrop of

improving sentiment in global

markets and broad-based USD

weakness; the NZD was further

supported by the first increase

to the Official Cash Rate in

seven years and expectations

for further interest rate rises in

the coming months.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

19 October 2021:

The next trading event will be held on 2 November 2021. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

2.0

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,091

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

27.2

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 3,803/MT

1.4

WMP

USD 5,111/MT

4.8

BUTTER

USD 6,151/MT

2.8

AMF

USD 4,426/MT

3.0

CHEDDAR

USD 3,398/MT

2.4

SMP

27,174

MT

LATEST AUCTION

148,126

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Fonterra's foodservice

business hits $3 billion

in annualised revenue

Fonterra’s Foodservice

business, Anchor Food

Professionals (AFP), has

reached a milestone to

become a NZ$3 billion

annual revenue business.

CEO Miles Hurrell says

the success is down to the

Co-op’s strong connection

to customers who value

our sustainably produced,

high-quality, nutritious milk

and innovative products.

“It’s really pleasing to see this

milestone be reached despite

the impact of COVID-19

on restaurants and other

out-of-home eating. Our

people have worked hard to

find new ways of working

with customers and new

product applications to suit

the pandemic environment,

and we can see this has been

a success.

“Foodservice is a high value

channel for our farmers’

milk and a key part of our

long-term strategy. This

is why we’re aiming to

increase our milk solids

into Foodservice by

approximately 50% by 2030

and grow our presence

across further markets

including Greater China,

South East Asia and the USA.

“To support our Co-op’s

growth to 2030, we intend

to invest about $1 billion

in moving milk into

higher-value products and

increase our R&D budget

by 50%. These investments

will enable further

product innovation in the

Foodservice channel, among

other things, and help put

us on track to meet our

next Foodservice target of

becoming a $5 billion annual

revenue business,” says

Mr Hurrell.

Fonterra’s Director Global

Foodservice Paul Harvey says

Anchor Food Professionals

chefs work alongside

customers in their kitchens

to match their needs

with our Co-op’s dairy

innovation expertise.

“To offer solutions we need

to know what the problem

is, and in many cases the

issues are in the kitchen, and

that’s where we are spending

much more time with

our customers who want

our help.

“We now have 55 chefs

around the world who

go into kitchens like this

where they also help their

customers design new

innovative products to

address their problems,”

Mr Harvey says.

All new products require

an intimate understanding

of the science behind the

application in order to deliver

the right functionality and

performance for customers’

requirements. Fonterra’s

Research and Development

Centre (FRDC) in Palmerston

North plays a pivotal role

in bringing these products

to life.

“Our FRDC team works

closely with our chefs in our

application centres and with

our in-country sales and

marketing people around

the world, where they refine

some of these innovations

for a customer’s specific

need – often in response to

new food trends.

“A good example of this is

in China where over the

past 12 months the team

has introduced more than

100 new applications for

the beverage and dining

channel and demonstrated

170 new applications for our

bakery customers.

“We believe innovation and

new products are key to

future growth and will help

us build relationships with

up to 40,000 new customers

over the next five years, and

up to 70,000 new customers

in the next 10 years,”

Mr Harvey says.

In Greater China, Fonterra

will continue to build on its

success in the foodservice

channel by expanding deeper

into the larger cities. In

South East Asia, it’s applying

what it’s learnt from its

Greater China business to

customers in the region.

“In South East Asia, dairy is

seen as a premium food and

it also has a strong link to the

growth in the consumption

of Western foods.

“We are making the most of

this growing demand in the

region and in particular, we’re

doubling down on Indonesia

and Malaysia where the

evolution of bakeries will see

us expanding our reach into

more cities.

“We are also developing new

products that work well in

recipes chefs can use in the

growing number of online

bakery stores.

“In other markets like the

USA, where tariff barriers

make it more difficult to

maximise value from our

foodservice channel, we

partner with our IP, like we

have with one of America’s

dairy co-operatives, Land

O’Lakes,” Mr Harvey says.

Fonterra’s Foodservice

business started forming

in 2013 with the Anchor

Food Professionals brand

introduced in 2014.

To view more –

Our Performance

Women taking the
wheel

Diversity is a very important

part of Fonterra and the

Co-op is always on the

look-out for more women

to get behind the wheel.

Fonterra already has 66

female tanker operators

in New Zealand, two in

Australia and 32 women

employees in National

Transport and Logistics,

but there’s always room

to improve.

“We recognise the benefits of

having a diverse workforce.

It’s what our people deserve

– diverse thinking, diverse

ways of working, more

opportunities for creativity

and an environment that

is inclusive of everyone.

Diversity for National

Transport means we’re

well rounded, have higher

prospects for innovation and

a greater diversity of skills,”

says Kate Shirley, Fonterra

HR Business Partner COO.

Debbie Harding

Red Team Manager,

Pahiatua and Longburn

Debbie started as a Tanker

Operator in 1996 before

Kiwi Co-operative Dairy was

amalgamated into Fonterra.

“I drove tankers until 2018

and then became a Lead

Driver, with this job I ran the

shift. Then in 2020, I became

a Team Manager and now I

look after 55 guys and one

female.”

“As far as I know I was the

first female tanker driver

to become permanent, the

first woman permanent

Lead Driver and now the

first permanent Team

Manager in all Transport and

New Zealand-wide.”

“I’d just like to say that I am

very proud of myself at what

I have achieved. I would like

to thank all the guys I have

worked with, who accepted

me as a female working in

a male-dominated world. I

have enjoyed every minute

and still do. I know my boss

is very proud of me, he

encourages me all the time,”

says Debbie.

Paula Crawshaw

Tanker Operator,

Clandeboye

Paula is a Tanker Operator

at Fonterra’s Clandeboye

site. “My husband has been

a tanker driver with Fonterra

for 17 years, so, I always had

an interest in tanker driving,”

says Paula. “I got my class 4

license in 2016 and started a

job in 2020 driving a tanker

(minus trailer) for a cheese

company... a step up to

Fonterra was my next goal.”

Being in a male-dominated

space is nothing new to

Paula, “I spent seven years

as a volunteer firefighter

and I ride motorbikes. I'm

really happy to see Fonterra

making a real effort to

employ more female drivers,

every workplace benefits

from gender diversity”.

Hillary Moffat

Tanker Operator,

Reporoa

Hillary was inspired by

her late father to become

a Tanker Operator and

absolutely loves it.

“My heart and passion

are behind the wheel of a

truck and I know Fonterra

are a great company to

work for,” she says. “Having

that passion and also the

dedication to carry on the

legacy of my father is what

makes me love coming

to work.”

Hillary says her team here

at Fonterra have always

been 100% supportive of

her. “I can’t say I've ever

felt out of place, I've always

felt welcome.

“Fonterra have the Kiwi

attitude when it comes

to its people and their

families. They make you

feel welcome and part of an

extended family.”

For any women wanting

to go for a job as a Tanker

Operator, Hillary’s advice is

“Go for it! There is nothing

stopping you. The training

is amazing and you’re

not alone, there's always

someone to help if you get

stuck, it's awesome.”

Our Co-op

8

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC  NOV  OCT  SEP MAY 

MT  s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV  JAN DEC  JUL OCT 

MT  s














AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to August; New Zealand and US to September.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to August; New Zealand to September.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to July; China to September.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT

FEB

JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV DEC JUN

,

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,



,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

SEPTEMBER

2021

SEPTEMBER


2020

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

173.0179.9(3.8%)303.9314.5(3.5%)

North Island109.3113.5(3.7%)211.0215.1(1.9%)

South Island63.766.4(4.0%)92.899.4(6.6%)

Australia10.410.9(4.3%)22.723.2(3.6%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(19 OCTOBER 2021)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2021)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

27,174148,126

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(19.9%)(25.4%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,0913,979

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

28.7%28.9%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

2.0%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMENA

Africa, Middle East, Europe,

North Asia, Americas.

AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

NZMP

New Zealand Milk Products.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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