The a2 Milk Company Limited logo

Select Equities Conference Presentation

Investor Presentation27 October 2021ATMConsumer Staples

NZX Code: ATM
ASX Code: A2M


The a2 Milk Company Limited

www.thea2milkcompany.com


28 October 2021

NZX/ASX Market Release

Select Equities Conference Presentation


The a2 Milk Company is today presenting the attached at the Select Equities – 5

th

Annual China Conference.


Authorised for release by:

David Bortolussi

Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer

The a2 Milk Company Limited


For further information, please contact:


Investors / Analysts

David Akers

Group Head of Investor Relations and Sustainability

M +61 412 944 577

david.akers@a2milk.com




Rebecca Culbertson

Senior Analyst Investor Relations

M +61 400 955 295

rebecca.culbertson@a2milk.com

Media

Rick Willis

M +61 411 839 344

rick@networkfour.com.au

Media – New Zealand

Barry Akers

M +64 21 571 234

akers@senescallakers.co.nz

---

28 October 2021
D O I N G B U S I N E S S

I N C H I N A

The a2 Milk Company

2
Disclaimer

This presentation dated 28 October 2021should be read in

conjunction with, and subject to, the explanations and views in

documents previously released to the market by The a2 Milk

Company Limited (the “Company”), including the Company’s

Annual Report for the 12 months ended 30 June 2021 and

accompanying information released to the market on 26 August

2021.

This presentation is provided for general information purposes

only. The information contained in this presentation is not

intended to be relied upon as advice to investors and does not

take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or

needs of any particular investor. Investors should assess their

own individual financial circumstances and consider talking to a

financial adviser or consultant before making any investment

decision.

This presentation is not a prospectus, investment statement or

disclosure document, or an offer of shares for subscription, or

sale, in any jurisdiction.

Certain statements in this presentation constitute forward looking

statements. Such forward looking statements involve known and

unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important

factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company

and which may cause actual results, performance or

achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied

by such statements.

While all reasonable care has been taken in relation to the

preparation of this presentation, none of the Company, its

subsidiaries, or their respective directors, officers, employees,

contractors or agents accepts responsibility for any loss or

damage resulting from the use of or reliance on this presentation

by any person.

Past performance is not indicative of future performance and no

guarantee of future returns is implied or given.

Some of the information in this presentation is based on

unaudited financial data which may be subject to change.

All values are expressed in New Zealand currency unless

otherwise stated.

All intellectual property, proprietary and other rights and interests

in this presentation are owned by the Company.

3
The a2 Milk Company overview

2 0 2 1 I N V E S T O R D A Y

We enrich lives by harnessing the nutritional wonders of nature –through the

naturally occurring a2 Milk

TM

difference

Portfolio of a2 Milk

TM

based products including fresh milk, UHT, ESL, IMF,

milk powder and other nutritional products

Sales primarily in New Zealand, Australia, Greater China and

North America

World class manufacturing facilities and international strategic partners in

China and New Zealand

Over 400 talented team members around the globe

Revenue of NZD$1.2 billion in FY21

4
We have taken action to address the disruption experienced in FY21

2 0 2 1 I N V E S T O R D A Y

Issues disrupting a2MC in FY21Key actions we have taken

•Recognised stock write-downs and deliberately

slowed down sales in 4Q21, together with other

planned initiatives, to reduce inventory levels and

rebalance English label IMF pricing across channels

•Swapped older distributor inventory with more

recent stock to improve on-shelf product freshness

•Increased brand investment with a significant

campaign in 4Q21 to drive consumer demand

•Bolstered leadership teamwith new internal and

external talent

•Reorganised our Asia-Pacific division for enhanced

focus on our key business opportunities

•Refreshed our growth strategyto realise the full

potential of our business

As a result of this disruption, a2MC experienced a

significant decline in its English label IMF sales

through both daigou/reseller and e-commerce channels

Cross-border trade was disrupted by COVID-19,

creating substantial demand/supply volatility, which

caused excess inventory, exacerbating the issue

At the same time, China infant nutrition market growth

reduced significantly from globally high rates to be flat

in value terms and to decline in volume terms, a trend

that became clear following China’s release of 2020 birth

numbers on 11 May 2021 which showed a reduction in

the birth rate

5
•Assessing our route-to-market for English label IMF and capturing the full

potential of our China label IMF distribution in key channels

We have undertaken a holistic review of our growth opportunities

Market

•Continuing the journey to focus on our China market opportunity in particular

Brand

•Reviewing our brand positioning to create continued distinctiveness amongst an

evolving consumer base and new entrants in the category

Channel

Adjacencies

•Outside our core, we are also considering opportunities for adjacent category growth

in China, ANZ and USA as well as assessing opportunities in new emerging markets

Product

•Re-imagining our infant formula product portfolio in English label and China label

to appeal to a broader set of consumers and maximise distribution potential

6
We have adapted our a2MC growth strategy

Purpose

Goals

Strategic

priorities

Enablers

People

Create the safest and most diverse,

inclusive and engaging place for our

people to thrive

Sustainability

Supportour farmers, protect our

planet and cows, rethink packaging

and contribute to our communities

Consumers

Bring the unique benefits of pure

and natural a2 Milk™to as many

consumers as possible

Shareholders

Create long-term, enduring value

for shareholders and a trusted,

transparent relationship

To enrich lives by harnessing the nutritional wonders of nature

Values

Bold PassionPioneering spiritRespectIntegrity

Brand strengthScience & innovationStrategic relationships

Transform our

supply chain

•Expand CL registered

market access

•Utilise MVM capability

•Develop China supply

capability over time

4

Capture full potential

in China IMF

•Gain more control over

CL and EL distribution

and get closer to our

consumer

•Increase investment in

our brand, digital

marketing and E-comm

2

Invest in people and

planet leadership

•Invest in our people to

enable them to thrive

•Take direct action to

lead the industry in

GHG emissions reduction

and farming practices

1

Ramp-up product

innovation

•Expand our CL and EL

IMF product portfolios

•Enter adjacent product

categories in relevant

markets to drive growth

3

Capability development

Accelerate path to

profitability

•Take action to realise

potential in USA

•Expedite insourcing and

3

rd

party volume to

significantly increase

MVM utilisation

5

Humility

Ambition

Rebuild a2MC into an exciting, innovative and sustainable growth company

7
Our strategy is designed to drive growth across multiple horizons

FY22

FY23-24

FY25-26

Stabilise and reset strategy

Full scale roll-out of

growth & other initiatives

Deliver “next wave” growth

from innovation and supply

chain transformation

Enablers

•Restore demand & supply balance

and attractive channel economics

•Stabilise EL IMF decline

•Commence CL in-market growth

initiative pilots

•Focus on new user recruitment and

Stage 4 penetration

•Invest in content generation and

always-on brand comms

•Launch new GB std. CL range and

roll-out distribution initiatives

•Innovate in EL IMF and increase

control of distribution

•Scale innovation in USA

•Innovate in ANZ core & adjacencies

•Implement MVM electrification

•Deliver more sustainable packaging

•Expand CL product portfolio with

additional registrations

•Scale adjacent categories

•Achieve profitability in USA and MVM

businesses

•Grow 2-3 new emerging markets

•Operationalise China supply capability

•Achieve meaningful progress on

Scope 1 & 2 GHG emissions reduction

•Refresh strategic priorities and

execution plan

•Review China brand positioning

•Ramp-up innovation focus

•Invest further in digital marketing and

E-comm capability

•Increase investment in brand

•Implement IT and data roadmap

•Create rolling innovation pipeline

•Leverage next level scientific research

Strategic

priorities

Explore opportunities to accelerate strategy execution through M&A, JV and alliances

8
We are focused on five key non-financial measures of success over time

1

People

Safety TRIFR <10

with continuous

improvement

Engagement >80%

Diversity and

inclusion rated >4

out of 5 by team

Sustainability

GHG emissions

reduction

-Scope 1+2 net zero

by 2030

-Scope 3 net zero

by 2040

100% completion of

Farm Environmental

Plans and Certified

Animal Welfare

Programs

100% reusable,

recyclable or

compostable

packaging with 50%

average recycled

content

Brand health

China unprompted

awareness >25%

Australian fresh milk

loyalty >40%

USA household

penetration >10%

in premium milk

Market share

Top-5 CL IMF player

with share >5%

Leading EL IMF

range with share

>25%

Australian fresh milk

share >15%

USA premium milk

share >5%

Incremental $100m

revenue from existing

and new emerging

markets

Innovation

Access to ≥3 CL

registrations

Expanded EL IMF

portfolio

Incremental $200m in

revenue from dairy

and other nutritionals

to China

>25% of sales from

new products in

Australia and USA

23

4

5

Source: Management estimates

9
Defining a specific timeline to achieve our financial goals is challenging

•The pace and degree of change in the China IMF market over the past 12 months is truly unprecedented –

including from the prolonged COVID-19 impact and the reduction in the number of Chinese newborns

•There are key macro uncertainties impacting the future outlook, including:

‒How the China birth rate will evolve and the impact policy changes may have on this

‒The extent and pace of recovery in cross-border trade post COVID-19

‒How the competitive landscape will evolve in China including the outcome of the new GB registration process

‒The extent and pace of change in consumer product and channel preferences

‒How the China regulatory framework and international relations may evolve and impact trade

•Because of these uncertainties and the range of potential outcomes, it is very difficult to define future state

targets and when they will be achieved –the path is also unlikely to be linear

•However, we remain confident that with our unique brand proposition, coupled with our team’s ability to execute,

we are well placed to rebuild a2MC into an exciting, innovative and sustainable growth company

10
Growth in milk and

adjacent categories

Notwithstanding, we have an ambition to grow sales to over NZD$2 billion

Medium-term indicative sales ambition (≥ 5 years)EBITDA margin dynamics

•Indicative range

‒IMF sales, particularly EL, key driver of upside/downside risk

‒Target margins probably in the “teens” in the medium term

due to expected market conditions, investment and innovation

‒Target margins possibly in the “low-to-mid 20s” in the

medium-to-long term subject to higher than expected market

recovery, EL channel growth and share gains

•Key accretion drivers

‒Operational leverage impact of share growth, cross-border

trade recovery and/or increase in China birth rate

‒Mix impact on delivered margin (EL > CL > ANZ > USA)

‒Mitigation of USA losses and path to profitability

‒Nutritionalsinsourcing margin capture by MVM

‒Pricing, promotional activity, trading terms and FX

•Key dilution pressures

‒Operational de-leverage impact of China IMF market

headwinds and regulatory risks

‒Mix impact on delivered margin (EL > CL > ANZ > USA)

‒Increasing brand reinvestment rate and margin pressure in

China as competition intensifies

‒Innovation, reformulation and FX impact on margin

‒Supply chain transformation period

‒Investment in capability and sustainability

Growth in existing and

2-3 new markets

Growth in other dairy and

nutritional products to

China through innovation

and distribution growth

Regain half of EL revenue

decline from FY20 to FY21

through channel recovery post

COVID-19 and execution of EL

strategy to gain share

Double CL share

from c.2.5% to 5%

Source: Management estimates

Wide range of outcomes

possible with significant

upside and downside risk

11
Key messages

2 0 2 1 I N V E S T O R D A Y

•The market landscape has experienced unprecedented

change over the past 12 months, requiring us to adapt

•As a result, we have adapted our growth strategy to

achieve the full potential of our business

•Importantly, our brand is strong, we have a relatively small

share in China IMF and significant opportunity to capture

•We have reorganised to prioritise our most important

growth levers and have a clear plan to execute

•We have a great leadership team and pioneering culture

to lead the execution

12
Q U E S T I O N S ?

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