Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update18 April 2022MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 31 March 2022

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

NATIONAL INFLOWS AT 8TH PERCENTILE,

1,654GWh BELOW AVERAGE

TAUPO LAKE LEVEL REMAINS

ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS

C&I YIELDS UP 14% VERSUS PCP,

PHYSICAL SALES INCREASE TO REPLACE

NORSKE SKOG CfD VOLUMES

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

LOW

INFLOWS

TAUPO

STORAGE

CONSERVED

STRONG

LIFT IN

C&I YIELDS

>> COMMENTARY

HYDRO GENERATION LOWER DUE TO DRY WEATHER;LAKE TAUPO STORAGE CONSERVED LEADING INTO WINTER MONTHS

Mercury's hydro generation decreasedby 57GWh versus the prior comparable period as inflows into Lake Taupo trended below average at

the 19

th

percentile

1

, 175GWh below average

1

. During the quarter, record low inflows in January were offset by a rain event associated with

Cyclone Dovi in mid-February. The Taupo lake level started and ended the last quarter above average, closing at 58% full, 66GWhabove

average

2

.

Geothermal generation remained steady at 653GWh in FY2022-Q3 (versus 658GWh in FY2021-Q3) and spot price linked wind generation,

from Mercury's Turitea North wind farm, was 99GWh. Generation from PPA-linked wind farms was 226GWh.

DECLINING NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LIFTS SPOT PRICES

Conditions were dry across both the North and South Islands as 8

th

percentile

1

inflows saw national hydro storage end the quarter 309GWh

below average. South Island inflows were particularly affected with record low inflows in both the January and March months. This was

reflected in elevated spotprices in FY2022-Q3 of$176/MWh at Otahuhu and $149/MWh at Benmore, down from $206/MWh and

$203/MWhrespectively in the prior comparable period but still above historical averages.

FUTURES PRICES LIFT DUE TO FUEL CONSTRAINTS; LONGER-DATED FUTURES REFLECT THERMAL FUEL COST PRESSURES

Futures prices responded strongly to dry hydrological conditions with the FY2022 price increasingat Otahuhu and Benmore from

$125/MWh and $103/MWh respectivelyto$167/MWh and $143/MWh across thequarter. Longer-datedfutures also increased with the

Otahuhu FY2023 and FY2024 futures lifting by $47/MWh and $34/MWh respectively to $191/MWh and $163/MWh, reflecting increased

expectations of thermal costs with carbon prices remaining at historically high levels of ~$75/NZU.

COMMERCIAL& INDUSTRIAL PHYSICAL SALES LIFT TO REPLACE VOLUME FROM NORSKE SKOG SETTLEMENT

The Commercial& Industrial segment average yield (including both physical and financial sales) increased by 14% from $94/MWh in

FY2021-Q3 to $107/MWh in FY2022-Q3 due to re-contracting and the early termination of a CfD with Norske Skog Tasman. CfD sales

volumes decreased by 127GWh, from 381GWh in FY2021-Q3 to 254GWh in the current quarter, but were offset by an increase in physical

sales of 118GWh, from 477GWh to 595GWh.

Mercurycontinues to look to maintain market share, however mass market customer numbers declined in the quarter, from 327,000 to

324,000, reflected in Mass Market sales volumes decreasing from 544GWh to 528GWh. Mass market yield increased by 2%, from

$141/MWh in FY2021-Q3 to $144/MWh in the most recent quarter.

IRRIGATIONAND INDUSTIAL SECTORS LEAD DEMAND DOWN

Temperature-adjusted demand decreased by 0.5% (-0.7% on an unadjusted basis) led by decreases in the irrigation (-1.1%) and industrial

(-0.6%) sectors. These were partially offset by increases in the urban (+0.8%), dairy (+0.2%) and rural (+0.1%) sectors.

1

For quarters ended 31 March since 1927

2

For quarters ended 31 March since 2000

324331
288293

3638

4745

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,1231,0213,5423,317

2

5285441,9011,982

3

5954771,6411,335

5248165157

4

1,1751,0683,7073,474

5

6768082,2552,588

2543818161,135

6

4224271,4391,453

303192135

1,8311,5685,5714,889

8539102,7372,885

7

6536581,9212,004

8

99204

9

226709

32335410421,190

Buy CfDs

6

32335410421,190

Spot Settlement of CfDs

NET POSITION

10

7746-5817

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

6

7

Includes Mercury's 65% share of Nga Awa Purua generation

8

Includes generation from Turitea wind farm.

9

Includes generation from Tararua, Mahinerangi and Waipipi wind farms

10

Net Position is Physical and Financial Generation (excluding Wind PPA volumes) less Physical Purchases and Financial Sales

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

112.6592.55

112.6592.55

128.05144.90

116.48142.62

100.02

60.71

121.30152.58

141.96159.50

97.6091.81

126.13144.35

130.63153.42

135.30159.29

95.8289.66

92.6986.90

142.18138.88

109.3496.38

($/MWh)($/MWh)

126.96121.78

Nine months ended

31 March 2022

Nine months ended

31 March 2021

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

99.57

140.84

111.68

Physical126.70121.56

Mass Market143.65

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

31 March 2022

Three months ended

31 March 2021

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

180.02

99.21

168.71

96.86

208.04160.80

Hydro

Spot Customer Purchases

104.10 Other Sell CfDs

174.92215.11

86.56

100.62

220.72

95.83

197.47

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 148 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 March 2022 and 148 GWh for the 3 months ended 31 March 2021 and of 450 GWh

for the 9 months ended 31 March 2022 and 450 GWh for the 9 months ended 31 March 2021

Financial92.81101.91

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

59.28 Wind PPA

161.81194.87

145.05 Wind Spot

188.72217.56

92.81

207.26

101.91

157.98

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 31 MARCH (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

20%

19%

16%

35%

8%

2%

Financial Year Q3 2022

MERCURY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

OTHER

TRUSTPOWER

>> MARKET DATA

17%

19%

21%

32%

7%

4%

Financial Year Q3 2021

13%

87%

Financial Year Q3 2022

MERCURY

OTHER

12%

88%

Financial Year Q3 2021

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2021 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2022 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2021FY2022

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$193.18

$143.18

$130.76

$133.34

$141.63

$125.93

$125.05

$143.93

$128.46

$166.61

$190.71

$162.90

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021AS AT 31 MARCH 2022

$177.01

$125.69

$113.48

$109.88

$118.04

$104.54

$103.41

$121.24

$105.13

$142.57

$163.88

$139.04

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2021AS AT 31 MARCH 2022

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202212.217.820.8-

202112.316.919.514.8

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,185

8,045

8,244

8,329

8,159

8,075

1,237

1,235

1,320

1,291

1,223

1,237

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2019Q3 2020Q3 2021Q3 2022

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20Jan-21

Jul-21

Jan-22

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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