New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited logo

Guidance Upgrade, Dividend Suspension and Buyback Programme

Dividend25 May 2023NZLReal Estate

26 May 2023
NZL Upgrades FY24 Earnings Guidance, Suspends Dividend and Announces On-Market Share

Buy-Back.

Highlights

• FY24 Earnings Upgrade: FY24 AFFO is now forecast to be in the range of 5.25 - 5.75cps, an increase from the

5.00 - 5.50cps guidance previously advised to the market.

• Hedging Update: FY24 hedging has increased to 54%, as NZL 100% hedged the debt relating to the recent

forestry acquisition.

• Dividend Suspended: The Board considers that the current NZL share price materially undervalues NZL’s assets

and free cashflow. Accordingly, the Board is suspending NZL’s dividend for the current six-month period. As a

result, no dividend will be paid in respect of the six month period to 30 June 2023. Cash previously earmarked

for dividends will be used to purchase shares on market and to repay the convertible note which was issued to

support the recent forestry acquisition.

• On-market Buyback Programme: NZL is giving notice to commence an on-market share buyback programme.

Part of the cash previously earmarked for dividends will be used to acquire NZL shares on market from time-to-

time under this programme.

FY24 Earnings Upgrade

NZL recently completed the acquisition of two forestry properties for a combined cost of approximately $70.2m. The

forest acquisitions successfully diversified NZL’s rural land holdings and, as set out in the investment presentation

released to market on 1 March 2023, are expected to be earnings accretive to NZL.

In light of the accretive nature of the acquisitions, NZL is upgrading its FY24 AFFO guidance. FY24 is the first full

financial year in which the forests will be owned by NZL. NZL’s FY24 AFFO is now forecast to be in the range of

$8.0m - $8.5m equating to 5.25 - 5.75 cents per share (a +4.8% increase on the 5.0 - 5.5 cps previously forecast).

FY23 AFFO is expected to be between $6.0m - $6.5m in line with forecasts provided in the 1 March 2023 investor

presentation.

Historical AFFO

Guidance ($m)*

New AFFO

Guidance ($m)

Change (%)Historical AFFO

Guidance (cps)**

New AFFO

Guidance (CPS)

Change (%)

FY23$6.0m - $6.5m$6.0m - $6.5m-N/A4.5cps - 5.0cps-

FY24$8.0m - $8.5m$8.0m - $8.5m-5.0cps - 5.5cps5.25cps - 5.75cps+4.8%

* 1 March 2023 Results Announcement

** 1 March 2023 Equity Raise Presentation

Note: hedging has increased for the FY24 year from 40% to 53%.

E: info@nzrlc.co.nz | T: +64 9 218 2177

www.nzrlc.co.nz

The current outlook beyond FY24 is that NZL will compound its free cash flow at an average rate
per share of approximately +7.0% per annum from FY23 levels.

Hedging Update

Following the recent forestry acquisition NZL has increased its hedging for FY23 and FY24 from 40% of its borrowings

to 54%.

This is in line with recent guidance to the market that the Board of NZL would look to hedge 100% of the forestry

acquisition to increase certainty of cashflows.

NZL’s hedging profile for the next three years is detailed in the chart below.

Average Annual Free Cash Flow Compounding

+7.0%

FY23FY24FY25FY26FY27FY28FY29FY30FY31FY32

54%54%

45%

46%46%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

FY23FY24FY25

HedgedUnhedged

E: info@nzrlc.co.nz | T: +64 9 218 2177

www.nzrlc.co.nz

Dividend Suspension & On-Market Share Buy-Back Programme
The NZL Board considers that the current market price of NZL shares materially undervalues both the assets and

the free cashflow profile of the business making shares purchased at this level attractive and accretive on an asset

and free cashflow basis for shareholders.

Accordingly, in the Directors’ opinion, buying back shares is currently more attractive for shareholders than paying

dividends and the Board has resolved to suspend NZL’s dividend policy for the current six-month period. As a

result, no dividend will be paid in respect of the six month period to 30 June 2023. The Board anticipates resuming

dividends for the second half of 2023, subject to prevailing market conditions.

NZL will apply the cash previously earmarked for dividends to:

• acquire NZL shares through an on-market share buyback programme; and

• repayment of the convertible note recently issued to acquire the forestry assets.

The NZL Board will regularly determine the exact capital allocation between repayment of the convertible note and

the buyback programme having regard to prevailing market conditions.

NZL’s long-term goal is to pay regular, predictable dividends. However, in this establishment period and in prevailing

market conditions the Board’s responsibility is to protect and advance shareholder value.

Further details of the buyback programme can be found in the Appendix to this announcement.

For further information please contact:

Richard Milsom - Director, NZRLM

Mobile: 021 274 2476

Email: richard@nzrlm.co.nz


Christopher Swasbrook - Director, NZRLC

Mobile: 021 928 262

Email: chris@nzrlc.co.nz

E: info@nzrlc.co.nz | T: +64 9 218 2177

www.nzrlc.co.nz

Appendix – Buyback Programme
New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited (NZX:NZL) advises of its intention to make selective on-market

purchases of ordinary NZL shares pursuant to NZX Listing Rule 4.14.1(a) on the terms outlined in NZL’s capital

management policy.

Pursuant to NZX Listing Rule 4.14.2, buybacks may take place on and from 1 June 2023. The total number of

shares that may be bought back shall not exceed 5,350,000 shares. Shares will only be acquired if the acquisition

price represents 90% or less of NZL’s prevailing net asset value per share.

The number of shares purchased under the programme from time to time will be notified to the NZX market on

the business day following the date on which those shares are acquired. Shares will be cancelled upon acquisition

and the number of shares on issue in NZL will reduce accordingly.

The buyback programme will not run during any “Blackout Periods” (as described in NZL’s Securities Trading

Policy).

Further details regarding the buyback programme are set out in NZL’s capital management policy available on its

website.

E: info@nzrlc.co.nz | T: +64 9 218 2177

www.nzrlc.co.nz

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • ALF — Allied Farmers Limited: Half Year Results to 31 December 2022
    2023-02-28

    NZL has signed a 20 year lease with New Zealand Forest Leasing Limited for the estate which will commence on completion of the acquisition. New Zealand Forest Leasing Limited has significant experience in the forestry industry. Established in 2010, it owns more t…”