Contact Energy Limited logo

Capital Markets Day 2023 Presentation

Investor Presentation28 May 2023CENUtilities

1
Capital Markets Day / 2023

29 May 2023

Disclaimer and important information
EBITDAF, free cash flow and operating free cash flow are financial measures that are

“non-GAAP (generally accepted accounting practice) financial information” under

Guidance Note 2017: ‘Disclosing non-GAAP financial information’ published by the

New Zealand Financial Markets Authority, “non-IFRS financial information” under

ASIC Regulatory Guide 230: ‘Disclosing non-IFRS financial information’ and “non-

GAAP financial measures” within the meaning of Regulation G under the U.S.

Exchange Act of 1934.

Such financial information and financial measures (including EBITDAF, free cash flow

and operating free cash flow) do not have standardised meanings prescribed under

New Zealand equivalents to International Financial Reporting Standards (“NZ IFRS”),

Australian Accounting Standards (“AAS”) or International Financial Reporting

Standards (“IFRS”) and therefore, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures

presented by other entities, and should not be construed as an alternative to other

financial measures determined in accordance with NZ IFRS, AAS or IFRS accounting

practice) measures. Information regarding the usefulness, calculation and

reconciliation of these measures is provided in the supporting material.

This presentation does not constitute financial or investment advice. This

presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy,

Contact securities and may not be relied on in connection with any purchase of a

Contact security.

Numbers in the presentation have not all been rounded and might not appear to add.

All references to $ are New Zealand dollar unless stated otherwise.

Alltrademarks, service marks andcompany namesare thepropertyoftheir

respective owners. All company, product and service names used in this presentation

are for identification purposes only. Use of these names, trademarks and brands

does not imply endorsement or that they are or will be customers of Contact and

reflectspublic announcements of intention only.

While all reasonable care has been taken in compiling this presentation,

neither Contact nor any of its directors, employees, shareholders nor any

other person gives any representation as to the accuracy or completeness

of this information or accepts any liability for any errors or omissions.

This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements with

respect to a variety of matters. All such forward-looking statements involve

known and unknown risks, significant uncertainties, assumptions,

contingencies, and other factors, many of which are outside the control of

Contact, which may cause the actual results or performance of Contact to

be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or

implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking

statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Except as

required by law or regulation (including the NZX Listing Rules and the ASX

Listing Rules), Contact undertakes no obligation to update these forward-

looking statements for events or circumstances that occur subsequent to

the date of this presentation or to update or keep current any of the

information contained herein. Any estimates or projections as to events that

may occur in the future (including projections of revenue, expense, net

income and performance) are based upon the best judgement of Contact

from the information available as of the date of this presentation.

Agenda
Presenters

Topic

Welcomeand introduction

Decarboniseour portfolio

External presentation: Climate imperative

Morning tea

Grow demand

Fireside chat: Customer perspective

Grow renewable development

Breakout sessions: Wind and Solar

Lunch

Create outstandingcustomerexperiences

Panel discussion: Enabling our strategy

Major projects execution

Disciplined investment; growing returns

Tauhara and TeHukasite visits

Matt Bolton

Louise Wright, John Clark, Jan Bibby, Chris Abbott, Tighe Wall

Jack Ariel

Dorian Devers

Dorian Devers

Andy Sibley, Nathan Jones (NZ Steel)

Jacqui Nelson

Matthew Cleland, Adam Pegg(Lightsourcebp)

James Flannery, Paul Botha (Roaring40s)

Mike Fuge

Chris Abbott

Phillip Benedetti (Boston Consulting Group)

4
Mike Fuge

CEO

Welcomeand

introduction

5
Jacqui Nelson

Chief Development

Officer

Executive team presenting today

Mike Fuge

Chief Executive

Officer

John Clarke

Chief Generation

Officer

Matt Bolton

Chief Retail Officer

Dorian Devers

Chief Financial

Officer

Chris Abbott

Chief Corporate

Affairs Officer

Jan Bibby

Chief People

Experience Officer

Tighe Wall

Chief Digital Officer

Jack Ariel

Major Projects

Director

Executive not present today: Iain Gauld, Chief Information Officer

6
We are on track to deliver on our promises

With channel yields indicating an increase in normalised EBITDAF

FY23 performance year to date

Our performance, year to date, has reflected soft wholesale

market conditions driven by unprecedented hydro inflows.

•North Island hydro inflows since 1 July 2022 have been the wettest

on record. If daily inflows continue in line with the current trend,

FY23 national inflows will be the highest of any post-market year.

1

These conditions have led to:

•lower wholesale spot prices than anticipated by futures pricing at

the start of the year,

•lower thermal generation, and

•higher price separation between North and South Islands.

This has limited our ability to generate margin from our contracted thermal

fuel position.

Retail channel yields, which are above expectations, suggest an increase in

normalised EBITDAF going forward.

1

Based on post-market data up to 24 May 2023.

2

See slide 40 of the 2023 interim results presentation for assumptions underpinning FY23 normalised and expected earnings.

3

See slide 27 of the 2023 interim results presentation for assumptions underpinning our FY23 estimated EBITDAF. This excludes a $120 million (before tax) onerous contract provision for AGS.

FY23 EBITDAF

Normalised and

expected

2

$550million

FY23 EBITDAF

Estimated given

known factors

3

$530million

7
FY23

highlights to

date

Final investment

decision

Launched a leading

parental leave policy

Growing your

Whānau

Joined the

Dow Jones Sustainability

Asia Pacific Index

(DJSI Asia-Pacific)

94%

1

completion of

Tauhara

Resource consent gained

to continue operations at

Wairakei geothermal field

for the next 35 years

Issued $550m of

green bonds

Launched new plan

for EV owners

Dream Charge

Energy Retailer

of the Year Award

August 2022

Selected to deliver

150MW solar farm

atKōwhaiPark through

a joint venture with

TeHukaIII

1

As at 30 April 2023.

8
We are deep in the execution of our strategy

to lead New Zealand’s decarbonisation

Enablers

Transformative ways of working:

create a flexible and high-performing

environment for New Zealand’s top talent

Outcomes

Growth

Pivot our business to a new growth era that

captures the value unlocked by decarbonisation

Resilience

Deliver sustainable shareholder returns,

aligned with our ESG commitment

Performance

Realise a step-change in performance, materially

growing EBITDAF through strategic investments

Strategic

theme

Objective

Grow

demand

Attract new industrial demand with

globally competitive renewables

Grow renewable

development

Build renewable generation and

flexibility on the back of new demand

Decarbonise

our portfolio

Lead an orderly transition

to renewables

Create outstanding

customer experiences

Create NZ's leading energy and services

brand to meet more of our customers’ needs

Operational excellence:

continuously improving our operations

through innovation and digitisation

ESG: create long-term value through our strong

performance across a broad set of environmental,

social and governance factors

9
Mau

Taniwha

MauriOra

Mau tūmārō

Be persistant

and determined

Mau teronga

Arrive at a place

of clarity

Mauri ora

Allow wellbeing

to flourish

Mau taniwha

Harness the

energy

Pushing

forward

The

circular/koru

form like a still

bay, unfolding

frond.

The hand

holding the tail,

harnessing the

taniwha

The hand to

the mouth –

sustenance/

food for the

soul

What’s driving us and

how we think about

delivery

10
Growing renewables development:

a key component of Contact26

NZ’s Engineeringand constructionmarket was close to capacity and all

indications were that demand would substantially increase for the next decade

Tauharacost and schedule would beimpacted by uncontrolled

externalities. Action needed to mitigate potential delays and costs

After 10 years of no major capital project activity and running as “mean

and lean”, Contact needed to rapidly ramp up required capabilities

With plans to deliver new asset classes (wind, solar, storage),

Contact would need to build new capabilities to supplement geothermal

Contact’sdeep expertise in geothermal

needed to be deployed effectively

How were

we placed

to deliver?

11
We took action: Major Projects, key partnerships

and continued to build on this unique capability

Immediate

action:

Step change

in capability

Growth:

Evolve organisation

and continue to

grow capabilities

Major Projects office

established and Director

appointed April 2021

Clear visionfor Major Projects

including integration with development

and roadmap for execution

Capital

allocation

Aligned organisation

on portfolio growth

and risk appetite

Project

development

Design

optimisation

Contracting and

procurement

Integrated project

execution and

commissioning

Enablers: Organisation,

processes, mindsets and

capabilitybuilding

Established solar JV with

Lightsourcebpand wind development

partnership with Roaring40s

12
Significant investment programme on track

TeHuka3Tauhara

$1.18bn

1

1.9TWh

225MW

GeoFuture

3

1

Includes sunk costs. Excludes capitalised interest.

2

As at 30 April 2023.

3

Subject to Board Final Investment Decision.

4

Expect to commit to this expenditure over the next few months.

Q4 2023

Q4 2024

Expect to invest ~10% total costs pre-FID

4

Spend

2

:

Delivering world class geothermal developments

2H 2026

On stream:

~$100m

1

~$700m

1

13
We now have even greater ambitions

for the delivery of Contact26

Strategic pillar

FY27 ambitions

Decarbonise

our portfolio

Grow demand

Grow renewables

development

Create outstanding

customer experiences

Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions run-rate of ~300ktCO

2

e, putting us well

on track to our 2035 net zero commitment.

Renewable flexibility strategy to reduce reliance on thermal peaking.

Facilitate 100MW of new demand.

Reach 100MW total Demand Flex and start pivoting to Demand Response.

New green chemical channel established contributing incremental EBITDAF.

Grow to 10.3TWh p.aof renewable assets from geothermal new build, solar and wind.

100MW battery operational.

Greater than 685k connections.​

CTS at global benchmark of <$80/ connection.​

Grow EBITDAF contribution from non-energy lines of business by 3x.

Top quartile NZ Business for Sustainability survey

1

and most Trusted Energy brand

2

.

And we have committed to reach net zero (Scope 1&2) by 2035

1

As measured by Kantar Better Futures survey.

2

As measured by Contact’s independently surveyed brand tracker.

14
Chris Abbott

Chief Corporate Affairs Officer

Decarbonise

our portfolio

15
Launch: what we said we’d do

Progress

Confirmed TCC willrun its remaining operating

hours with no further upgrades.

Facilitate an orderly transition to renewables

Decarbonise our portfolio

Decommission TCC.

Lead NZ's’ thermal portfolio structure to ensure it can support security of electricity supply through the

energy transition at the lowest possible cost to consumers.

On trackSome delayMajor delay / concerns

TCC is decommissioned.

Reduced GHG emissions by 45%.

Thermal assets moved to aligned ownership model.

A

B

Launch: ambitions for 2026

On track to <450ktCO

2

e by CY25, beating our

2026 SBTI target of 648ktCO

2

e.

Limited by industry appetite. Contact to manage

its thermal assets through the energy transition,

playing a key role in system security.

16
The case for orderly thermal substitution remains

compelling ensuring security and affordability

Government sets

ambitious targets

Gas availability

constrained

More focus on

supply security

Recent volatility

of carbon price

Government’s first

Emissions Reduction Plan

released. Targeting 50% of

New Zealand energy

consumption sourced from

renewable electricity by 2035.

NZ Battery Project evaluation

continues –includes portfolio

solution. No bipartisan

support for Lake Onslow.

Gas Transition Plan to be

released in mid 2023.

Gas field declinesand

new drilling campaigns

announced.

Volatility in gas

storage capacity.

Resulting in less flexibility.

Marginal cost of gas

electricity production now at

$150/MWh. This is above

long run average wholesale

price expectations.

Blackouts of 9 August2021

triggered Government

investigation.

EA review of security of

supply for winter 2023 will

implementbetter information

disclosure and forecasting.

MDAG options paper proposes

market mechanisms to improve

security of supply in a 100%

renewable electricity system.

Carbon costs up ~$20/NZU

since May 2021.

Peaked at $85in

November2022.

Government moved away

from CCC advice on carbon

price settings.

First ever failure of ETS

(carbon) auction in March 2023.

ETS review announced.

Variation within thermal

asset management plans

2 YEARS

Contact introduced ThermalCo

model for consultation. No

consolidated view was agreed.

Risk management product offered

by largest thermal electricity

producer received little take-up.

Contact to retire TeRapa (2023).

TCC to run its operating hours (no

further major investment).

No other thermal plant closures

announced in the wider market.

17
Contact has a clear path towards

a long-term thermal asset solution

Otahuhu closed in 2015

Market testing of ThermalCosolution concluded

Thermal asset review now complete

TeRapa confirmed closure June 2023

TCC to run out its operating hours with no new investment

Peakersto be retained, medium term, to assist orderly transition

without threatening stable, affordable electricity supply

Peakersfire up quickly to meet urgent, short-lived peak demand

With Otahuhu, TeRapa and expected TCC closures, Contact’s

emissions will have reduced by 70% over 10 years

Demand

Flexibility

in place with C&I.

Rollout to retail

Battery

Energy Storage

System

BESS FID in FY24

Renewable

development

10.3TWh total

renewables

(geothermal, wind,

solar) by end of FY27

Product

innovations &

pricing plans

Good Nights,

Dream Charge+

Changing consumer

behaviour

Orderly retirement

of baseload gas

generation

Horizon

Contact’s

solutions to

enable eventual

peaking plant

retirement

Horizon

18
12 month targets (FY24)Key initiatives

TeRapa closure.

TCC retirement.

NCG reinjection at TeHuka,

TeHuka3, Poihipi.

Carbon offsets via afforestation

on Contact-owned land.

DJSI acceleration programme –

covering human rights, hazardous

waste, embedding ESG in our

supply chain.

Battery solution fit for portfolio.

Net zero roadmaps agreed

(Scope 1 and 2).

Investment plans for

further carbon offsets.

Final Investment Decision

on BESS (battery).

Sustained entry into

the DJSI.

Execution: two years on, what does delivery look like?

Facilitate an orderly transition to renewables

Decarbonise our portfolio

ADVANCED

AMBITIONS (FY27)

Scope 1 and 2 GHG net

emissions run-rate of

~300ktCO2e, putting us

well on track to our 2035

net zero commitment.

Renewable flexibility

strategy to reduce reliance

on thermal peaking.

19
Our pathway to Net Zero for

Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2035

Note: Analysis is based on FY22 actual scope 1 and 2 emissions (indicative of mean year generation). Utilisation of the Peakerswill vary over future years depending on hydro sequences

and new technologies. Expected net impact of the Wairakei replacement, involving plans for carbon capture, is included in the second tranche of “capturing orreinjecting carbon”.

1

Includes expected units from DrylandcarbonOne Limited Partnership and Forest Partners Limited Partnership. Units are shown per annum and are based on current information and may

fluctuate based on climate conditions and/or regulatory updates.

788

299

92

Long term thermal

strategy implemented

Capturing or

reinjecting carbon

-207

FY22 scope 1

& 2 emissions

New emissions (Tauhara

& Te Huka unit 3)

-287

-36

-51

Forestry partners

units received

1

Run rate net

emissions at FY27

-128

Forestry partners

units received

1

-148

Capturing or

reinjecting carbon

-189

Additional initiatives

being assessed

Current emission breakdown

(ktCO

2

e)

Decarbonisation pathway

(ktCO

2

e)

TCC

TeRapa

SBTI FY26 target

648 ktCO

2

e

20
Geothermal CO

2

capture will evolve baseload

renewable generation from low-to no-carbon

Successful CO

2

capture trial at TeHuka

Two units at TeHukatogether

generate around 24MW.

Fully functioning CO

2

(NCG)

reinjection system now

operational on both plants.

Currently capturing and

reinjecting ~10k tCO

2

e of

emissions p.a. and dissolving

into water that is then

reinjected in the reservoir.

Emissions across Contact’s current geothermal portfolio (FY22)

tCO

2

e | gCO

2

/KWh

Poihipi

TeMihi

TeHuka

Ohaaki

Wairakei

13k | 38

55k | 40

10k | 53

85k | 266

19k | 18

(To be replaced)

Tauhara

~80k | ~50

TeHuka3

~13k | ~30

Under construction

After a successful trial at TeHuka,we’re now developing a pathway to apply carbon capture technology

across existing and planned plants

21
Showing clear leadership in responsible

decarbonisationof NZ’s electricity supply

By investing to displace baseload thermal generation at TeRapa and TCC and innovating

to reduce NZ’s reliance on fast start peakersfor system security

FY12

FY22

FY27

5387>95

>168<5

2,213

2

788~300

39

11~2

3

FY18

79

8

1,177

18

Output from renewable generation (%)

Revenue from thermal generation (%)

1

Gas used in generation (PJ)

GHG emissions Scope 1&2 (ktCO

2

e)

1

Pool revenue from thermal generation over Contact’s total reported sales.

2

Estimate based on gas used in generation and geothermal portfolio carbon emissions rates.

3

In a mean hydrology year.

22
Phillip Benedetti

Managing Director and Partner

Boston Consulting Group

External presentation

Climate imperative

23
Morning tea

24
Dorian Devers

CFO

Grow

demand

25
Launch: what we said we’d do

Progress

Supported 50MW new-to-market demand in lower SI.

Completed assessment of hydrogen economics.

NZAS discussions underway.

Develop NZ’s hydrogen and green chemical industry.

Electrify industrial process heat.

On trackSome delayMajor delay / concerns

Identify +300 MW demand in the

South Island to replace NZAS.

100 MW of new industrial demand

supplied by Contact.

Extensive electrification project pipeline.

100 MW+ of flexible demand.

A

B

Electrify space heating.

C

Attract data centres with clean electricity.

D

Facilitate decarbonisation of NZ road transport.

E

Attract new industrial demand with globally competitive renewables

Grow demand

F

Lead the market in demand flexibility.

Launch: ambitions for 2026

New demand for renewable electricity from Genesis realised

through Tauhara-backed PPA. Data centres evolving.

Evolving the electrification pipeline through innovation and

partnership e.g. 30 MW off-peak supply to NZ Steel.

80 MW+ of flexible demand.

26
Demand outlook for electricity improving

Conditions improved

for NZAS to stay

Large scale data

centre developments

underway

Economics for major

electricity users

improved

Decarbonisation

of transport

gaining pace

Aluminium smelting

economics have

rapidly improved.

Rio Tinto has announced

rapid decarbonisation

targets.

Tiwai smelter produces

high quality, low

carbon aluminium.

Bilateral discussions

underway for post 2024

supply arrangements.

Datacentres looking to be built

in NZ with ‘additionality’ rules.

Attractive baseload

characteristics.

Low emission customers.

Hyperscale data centre pipeline

announced e.g. CDC, DCI,

Microsoft, Amazon.

More than 100MW capacity

due to be added by 2024.

Elevation of carbon

and fossil fuel prices

from 2021 levels.

Stronger financial positions

on the back of commodity

price increases.

Increase in GIDI funding to

$650m over four years.

Volatility driving users to

longer term supply

agreements / PPA.

Increasing uptake of EVs

–15% of all registrations

in March 2023

1.

Greater government willingness

to provide direct subsidies

e.g. Clean Car rebate scheme.

Technology advancement

enabling options for heavy

transport.

Domestic opportunity for green

chemicals in a range of hard to

abate sectors, including transport.

Demand flexibility

now a key part of

system transition

Demand response is

introduced wherever possible

when entering into new

supply contracts.

Will contribute to

decarbonisationof NZ whilst

improving the security

of supply at peak periods.

High degree of customer

appetite for demand response

mechanisms to be packaged

into new contracts.

Contact has unique demand

flex capabilities through its

Simply Energy subsidiary

1

EVs” includes the number of electric vehicle registrations for March 2023 as reported by Waka Kotahi. This is inclusive of battery electric (3,076), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) Petrol (734) and PHEV Diesel (0)

Decarbonisation ambitions and thermal economics will support growth.

2 YEARS

27
12 month targets (FY24)Key initiatives

Execution: two years on, what does delivery look like?

ADVANCED

AMBITIONS (FY27)

NZAS agreement extension.

Electrification of industrial process

heat –NZ Steel furnace and other

boiler conversions.

Facilitate other demand growth

opportunities –including data

centre developments.

Pursue Green Chemical

opportunities –H2 & CO2,

with transport focus.

Demand Response proposition.

Conclude NZAS extension

negotiations with improved

long-term pricing.

Positive FID for one

Green Chemical deal.

Facilitate at least 25MW of

new demand.

Facilitate 100MW of new

demand.

Reach 100MW total Demand

Flex and start pivoting to

Demand Response.

New green chemical channel

established contributing

incremental EBITDAF.

Attract new industrial demand with globally competitive renewables

Grow demand

28
Key partnerships to advance demand growth

Large scale data centres

Major industrial energy users

Green chemicals

Industrial process heat

Road transport

Entered into 10-year renewable energy agreement

with Microsoft on new geothermal power station at

TeHuka(renewable energy attributes).

Supported around 50MW of new-to-market

lower South Island electricity demand.

Demand flex arrangements with key participants,

e.gOpen Country Dairy and Alliance.

Working with BOC, a Linde company, to assess highest value

commercial options for C0

2

captured at geothermal facilities.

Long term Tauhara backed PPAs: Genesis, Oji Fibre and Pan Pac.

Sold a structured 30MW 10-year hedge to NZ Steel for its new Electric Arc Furnace.

Working with the HW Richardson Group to assess

a trial use of hydrogen for heavy transport.

Contact has developed a view of relative netbacks across applications and

will focus on those of highest value

Contact is focused

on the highest value

sources of new

demand, spanning

five key areas

29
SupportingNZ Steel’s decarbonisation initiative to install an Electric Arc Furnace

Key features

•Contact has sold a 30MW 10-year hedge to NZ

Steel for its new Electric Arc Furnace (EAF).

•Contract is effective from the commissioning of

the EAF and no earlier than December 2025.

•30MW load in summer (October to February)

fixed across all periods.

•“Off-peak” sale in winter, excluding morning

and evening peaks (March to September).

•Innovative financial solution to unlock

decarbonisation in light of rising peak price

volatility.

•Resulted from working in close partnership to

understand the needs of key customer.

Contact’s fixed price sales position over “Winter”

(March –September, Peak periods are excluded 7 days a week)

Morning peak

Evening peak

MW

30 MW

4

Hours

4

Hours

Contact has partnered with NZ Steel

to develop an innovative supply arrangement

Value to NZ Steel

•Lower price of electricity.

•Will produce “new” steel from scrap

and massively reduce coal

consumption.

•Enables reduction in carbon coal

emissions by at least 800 ktCO

2

e p.a.

Value to Contact

•Supports Contact’s shift to a greater

mix of must-run summer renewables.

•Contact captures value by retaining

exposure to peak volatility in winter.

Winter supply to NZ Steel

30
Green chemical pathway at geothermal

ImportsDomestic

production

Current

national +

potential

hothouse

demand

Historical

Refinery

production

Ohaaki

CO

2

Horizon II: eFuels

Possible options from CO

2

and green hydrogen

Horizon I: Industrial grade CO

2

Estimated volumes. ktpa

Inputs and outputs

Electrolysis using generation and water

eSAF

ePetroland eDiesel

eMethanol

Geothermal

generation

+

Water

Oxygen

O

2

Green

Hydrogen

H

2

Carbon

Dioxide

CO

2

Opportunities from our success in geothermal carbon capture include the purification and

sale of industrial grade CO

2

(HorizonI) and subsequent eFuelapplications (HorizonII)

50

30

20

20

45

65

31
Andy Sibley

CEO

Simply Energy

Nathan Jones

General Counsel

NZ Steel

Fireside chat

Customer perspective

32
Grow renewable

development

Jacqui Nelson

Chief Development Officer

33
Launch: what we said we’d do

Launch: ambitions for 2026Progress

Wairākeireplacement consented. GeoFuture,

wind and solar all proceeding to FID.

Lithium prices continue to fall improving the

economics of large scale batteries.

Will be operational in Q4 2023 with

22MW higher capacity than at FID. TeHuka

operational Q4 2024. Combined capacity of 225MW.

Build Tauhara to extend our geothermal capacity.

Grow our generation footprint through Wairākeigeothermal replacement, and/or wind and solar.

Wairākeireplaced with most efficient combination

of geothermal, wind, solar & batteries.

Large scale batteries deployed.

Tauhara is online.

A

B

Deploy large scale batteries.

C

Build renewable generation and flexibility on the back of new demand

Grow renewable development

On trackSome delayMajor delay / concerns

34
NZ development environment has shifted

with geothermal becoming more competitive

Development

announcements

prominent

Construction

environment

constrained

Technology

cost curves

turned

Battery economics

have been

challenging

Entry of solar developers

in the NZ market. Transpower now

estimates ~7GW solar by end of this

decade.

Of the >5GW renewable pipeline

announced by NZ’s top 5 generators,

about 60% is early-stage.

Little underway from independent

developers due to market challenges.

Potential for offshore wind being

explored.

Limited appetite for

EPC contracts.

Reduced immigration

leading to constraints

on skilled labour pool.

Global supply chain

challenges.

Elevated commodity

prices.

Lead up to 2021 saw a

significant cost curve reduction

across wind and solar.

Europe is now weaning off

Russia, with renewables

demand keeping prices higher.

Cost of firming has risen.

Geothermal (which is

baseload) is now more

competitive.

Lithium iron phosphate

batteries remain the

technology of choice for

grid-scale battery storage.

Lithium carbonate input

costs surged from the start

of 2021, increasing more

than tenfold by late 2022.

Now rapidly receding.

Forward wholesale

electricity prices

elevated

2 YEARS

And we have seen a raft of early-stage announcements

Thermal costs are higher

and set to stay high.

ASX Futures pricing at

Otahuhu remains at ~

$170/MWh through 2026.

Contact’s long run

price expectation is

$100-110/MWh (2022 real).

Signal to build renewables

remains strong.

35
12 monthtargets (FY24)Key initiatives

1

Execution: two years on, what does delivery look like?

ADVANCED

AMBITIONS (FY27)

Geothermal: GeoFuture

delivering 0.4TWh incremental

uplift from 2H 2026.

Solar: Kowhai Park delivering

0.3TWh by 1H 2025.

North Island solar delivering

0.3TWh by 1H 2026.

Wind: Southland Wind Farm

delivering between 0.9 –1.2TWh p.a.

Batterysolution fit for portfolio.

Achieve FID for GeoFuture

and Kowhai Park solar.

On track FID for North

Island solar.

On track FID for wind.

Tauhara operational Q4

2023.

Final Investment Decision

on BESS (battery).

Grow to 10.3TWh p.aof

renewable assets from

geothermal new build,

solar and wind.

100MW battery

operational.

Build renewable generation and flexibility on the back of new demand

Grow renewable development

1

Key initiatives are subject to FID.

36
A unique capability to develop

renewable generation

1

Of the large-scale geothermal operators in New Zealand: Mercury and Contact.

Geothermal Wind

Solar

Operational experience on the

world’s second longest electricity producing

geothermal field (Wairākei, since 1958).

Developed dedicated, internationally-recognised,

subsurface team and continued R&D to lower

the cost of operations.

We believe we’re New Zealand’slowest

cost geothermal operator

1.

Ownership of Western Energy, a leading provider

of specialist well solutions offering services

around the world.

Partnership with Roaring40s with key staff

having experience delivering nine operational

wind farms in New Zealand (totalling 500MW).

Deep knowledge of New Zealand’s undeveloped

wind sites totalingin excess of 2,000MWthat have

not yet beenconstructed.

Compliments Contact’s previous wind experience

and own ability to incorporate and trade wind

developments into the market.

Partnered with Lightsourcebp, recently

named largest solar developer in the world.

Lightsourcebp has developed 8.4GW of solar,

has a global development pipeline of 55GW and

operatesin 19 regions globally, resulting in

strong connections into solar supply chains.

Contact brings its position as a creditworthy

counterparty to support a Power Purchase

Agreement (PPA) –a major hurdle to securing

project finance and de-risking a project.

37
1.4

0.3

0.9

4.6

0.4

0.3

1.4

0.7

FY27

-1.1

Wairakei

decommissioning

Current renewable

generation

1

7.2

10.7

Wind

7.2

Solar

6.1

Additional geothermal

10.3Wh FY27 target

Additional

Tauhara

capacity

Contact is targeting renewable generation

“Current” net of

Wairākei

decommissioning

GeoFuture

2

TeHuka Unit 3

Tauhara

North Island solar

Kowhai Park

Southland wind farm

1

Based on FY22 renewable generation volumes.

2

The net additional output from GeoFutureillustrated here is 0.4TWh as previously indicated to the market (bars do not appear to add to 0.4TWh due to rounding).

(end of)

10.3TWh by end of FY27, from 7.2TWh in FY22

Note: Solar, wind and GeoFutureprojects are subject to FID from the Board, with final capacity to be confirmed at FID. Solar and wind are subject to consenting outcomes.

38
Contact is ramping up Southland wind project

Launching application for resource consent in 2023, targeting generation online in FY27

Location

30km southeast of Gore within the

Southland District.

Transmission

Connection is to 220KV Transpower line between

Invercargill and Dunedin.

Preferred Grid Injection Point location and

transmission route is being finalised with the

directly affected landowners.

Connection application to Transpower accepted

and in the queue.Design process underway.

Site

Majority of wind farm located on two properties -

Jedburgh Station (pastoral farm) and Venlaw

Forest (pine plantation).

Total wind farm area ~5500 ha.

Consenting

Undertaking site investigations and design towards

preparation of resource consent application to be

lodged in second half of 2023.

Resource consent process will allow for wind

turbine optionality during procurement negotiations.

Resource / indicative output

Approximately 50 turbines.

Available turbine options in the market

range from 4.2MW to 6.6MW.

Modelled wind resource of 9 m/s average.

Generation range anticipated to be

~900 –1200 GWh/annum.

Anticipated life 60 years (with repowering

of turbines at 30 years).

39
.

Contact and Lightsource bp partnership

Selected as preferred developer of KōwhaiPark solar farm (stage 1)

Location

Adjacent to Christchurch Airport (CIAL).

Foundation for the KōwhaiPark energy hub.

Potential for future electricity demand growth /

decarbonisationinnovation at CIAL.

Transmission

Near major load centre.

Connection to strong part of Orion’s distribution

network.

Reduced reliance on Transpower, supporting

development timeframes.

New connection designed to accommodate solar

farm and future loads.

Site

CIAL and Environment Canterbury land parcels.

~300Ha of usable land for solar development.

Consenting

Foundational project (solar farm and upgraded transmission

capacity) supporting future green aviation initiatives.

Consenting strategy and aviation approvals have been

significantly advanced.

Resource / indicative output

Bifacial PV panels mounted on single axis trackers.

Preliminary layouts propose 150MWac project (170MW).

Generation of ~289GWh p.a.

Life of 35 years.

40
A range of plant capacity options

being assessed (net export to grid)

Open to a range of technologies to

best optimise the resource

Expected spend of total

development costs before FID

3

GeoFutureproceeding to FID

Indicative development timeline

160 to

180MW

Binary

or Steam

Turbine

$5.3 to

$5.7m / MW

~10%

Contact to proceed with plans to replace WairākeiA&B legacy geothermal

power stations with TeMihi Stage 2 (GeoFuture)

Anticipated total project costs

GeoFutureinvestment parameters

2

Balance sheet prepared, enabling

investment option to proceed fully funded

Wairakei consents

granted to operate

for next 35 years

Dec 22

Reservoir and Drilling

Assessment, Power

Station Tender

Process and Business

case development

2023

Final Investment

Decision (FID)

End

2023 / Early

2024

Construction

2025-2026

June 2026

Plant online

2H2026

Operationalsteamfield

discharges from Wairākei

A&B cease

1

1

As per consent requirements.

2

Subject to Board Final Investment Decision.

3

Expect to commit to this expenditure over the next few months.

41
Paul Botha

Director

Roaring40s

Breakout sessions

James Flannery

GM Strategy

Solar

Matt Cleland

Head of Wind

and Solar

Adam Pegg

Managing Director

Australia and NZ

Lightsourcebp

Wind

42
Lunch break

43
Create outstanding

customer experiences

Matt Bolton

Chief Retail Officer

44
Launch: what we said we’d do

Launch: ambitions for 2026Progress

Energy Retailer of the Year in August ’22.

Create NZ's leading energy sustainability brand that

will support renewable development ambitions

Create outstanding

customer experiences

Continue to improve our customer experience.

Add decarbonisation and adjacent products.

On trackSome delayMajor delay / concerns

Top 10 ‘most trusted retailer’ by 2026

1.

+650,000 customer connections by 2026.

Lowest cost to serve energy retailer,

CTS < $90 per connection

2

.

A

B

Decrease our cost to serve through simplification, growing connections and developing a strong digital platform.

C

1

As per Colmar Brunton Rep Track report, 2020 ranked 38

th

.

2

Rebased for operating cost reclassifications in FY22.

Customer connections now >580,000, an increase

of >57,000 since FY21.

Digitisation programme continues to unlock both cost

to serve improvements and increases in NPS.

45
A competitive market, customer expectations

and the environment continue to change

Growing importance

of the Home

Energy usage and

patterns changing

Challenges of

rising costs

Sustainability

(and decarbonisation)

expectations building

Highly competitive

retail energy and

telco market

Wide range of market

players (despite

consolidation).

Very competitive pricing

(despite rising costs).

More movements into

complementary products.

New propositions

emerging at pace.

Post covid new norms.

A happy home even

more important to

New Zealanders.

Energy consumption

reshaped as we spend

more time at home.

9-5 office model disrupted.

Household demand to

grow (& pattern change)

with EV transition.

Customers open to

time-shift energy

consumption for value.

Interest & growth in solar /

batteries building, aligned

to cost and control drivers.

Forward wholesale electricity

prices up from $133/MWh

to $174MWh.

1

High inflation and recession

impacting households.

Energy hardship a

growing concern, and

energy wellbeing a focus.

Bundling helps deliver value.

Concerns with climate

change continue to grow –

exacerbated with recent

major weather events.

People looking for

businesses & government

to provide solutions and

are supporting brands

doing the right thing.

2 YEARS

1

Source: EMI quarterly long dated Otahuhu forward curve prices.

46
Our recent delivery confirms

FY27 targets are well within reach

FY22FY20FY21FY23E

505k

523k

574k

585k

+16%

Growing total connections

FY20FY21

125k

114k

FY22FY23E

72k

93k

+74%

Growing multi-product customers

$117

$126

FY20FY21FY22FY23E

$104

$115

+21%

Growing returns (Elec Netback $/MWh)

2

Growing Contact brand trust

1

Growing our products

FY22FY21

33

FY20FY23E

30

38

43

+10

Growing customer net promoter score

Good Nights

proposition

Wireless

broadband

Investigating next

adjacency

Jun-21Jun-22Mar-23

5

th

=3

rd

=2

nd

=

+3

1

Brand Trust Ranking vs NZ energy retailers.

2

Note Electricity Netback is at ICP level, and includes prior year operating expense allocations restated to ensure like for likecomparison.

Contact

Dynamic Load

Control

Contact

Mobile

47
12 month targets (FY24)Key initiatives

Execution: two years on, what does delivery look like?

ADVANCED

AMBITIONS (FY27)

Reshaping product and

pricing architecture.

Targeted activity to drive

connections growth.

New product delivery.

Business and process

simplification & digitisation

to continue to reduce Cost to

Serve.

Electricity net price up by >5%.

Greater than 615k connections.

Market leading cost to serve

per connection down a further

5%.

Significantly grow non-energy

gross margin.

Further expansion of “It’s good

to be home” brand position.

Greater than 685k connections.

CTS at global benchmark of

<$80/ connection.

Grow EBITDAF contribution

from non-energy lines of

business by 3x

Top quartile NZ Business for

Sustainability survey

1

and most

Trusted Energy brand.

2

Create NZ's leading energy sustainability brand that

will support renewable development ambitions

Create outstanding

customer experiences

1

As measured by Kantar Better Futures survey.

2

As measured by Contact’s independently surveyed brand tracker.

48
Our digital and data capability

Transforming our cost to serve and pricing strategy

Data Driven

pricing strategy

Digital services:

Transforming our

cost to serve

1,437

H1FY20H1FY21H1FY22H1FY23

1,415

1,699

1,870

+32%

Customer per contact centre FTE

Digital share of interactions (%)

+31%

While

bringing

incremental

value

Focused on

digital journeys

and customer

adoption

Delivering

step-change

efficiency

transformation

Lowest cost platform:

$122

$160

$190

$236

Cost to serve / connection (1H FY23)

1

Peer 1

Peer 2

Peer 3

Homogenous regional level pricing

decisions limiting cost recovery and

increasing churn risk.

Manual processes result in low capture

rate (<50% of connections) resulting in

inability to recover rising input costs.

ICP level profitability data driving targeted

pricing decisions that are increasing retail

margins.

Leveraging automation and advanced AI-

powered models to increase pace and scale

of pricing activity (>80% of connections).

Dynamic AI-led pricing strategy enabling

real time cost recovery and margin growth

at a customer level.

Predictive churn modelling embedded,

enabling personalisedoffers to drive multi-

product growth and increased tenure.

Jan-20

Mar-20

May-20

Jul-20

Sep-20Nov-20

Jan-21

Mar-21

May-21

Jul-21

Sep-21Nov-21

Jan-22

Mar-22

May-22

Jul-22

Sep-22Nov-22

Jan-23

Mar-23

Non-digital channelsDigital Interactions

78%

47%

Regional –15 decisionsLocal –50 pricing decisionsICP –Individual pricing decisions

1

Competitor CTS taken from reported financial statements. Note potential for corporate operating model differences.

49
14k

37k

62k

78k

Scaling through adjacencies

Incremental margin and improved customer experiences drive increased CLV

Broadband:

Growing

Multi product attachment

continues to drive lower churn

Dec-20Dec-19Dec-21Dec-22

Broadband connections

Multi-product churn benefit

Customer month churn rate by bundle Dec 21-Dec 22

Single Product2 Products3 Products

2.0%

2.7%

1.7%

1 point improvement

Rapidly

building scale

and market

share

Opportunity to expand data

connectivity through

Contact Mobile

Bringing to life ‘Energy Mobility’ digitally through partnerships

Bundling

creates

loyalty

Contact

Solar

Time of use

Energy Plans

Batteries

Energy

Control

EV

Dynamic load control will improve

management of peak load and

compliment ‘Good’ plans

Contact

Contact Dynamic

Load Control

Contact

Mobile

50
We see a further evolution of how customers

will engage with energy by the end of the decade

Bundled utility provider of choice

Distributed Storage (Batteries)

enables energy time shifting and

resilience.

Leverage brand

to efficiently scale

product lines.

Electrified Transport -in home

and out of homecharging.

Increasing use of data and

mobile connectivity.

Expansion of Time of Use plans

to incentiviseloadshifting.

Use of Automated ‘Demand flex’ Control.

Software powering user

experiences to manageand

control energy consumption

while ‘on the go’.

Distributed Generation

(Solar) supplements

network generation.

Energy

mobility

Energy

independence

Cloud based eco-system

thatcombines connectivity with

energy solutions toenable energy

mobility and energy independence.

Lowest CTS remains

a competitive

advantage.

51
Panel discussion

Enabling our strategy

John Clark

Chief Generation

Officer

Chris Abbott

Chief Corporate

Affairs Officer

Jan Bibby

Chief People

Experience Officer

Tighe Wall

Chief Digital Officer

Facilitator: Louise Wright, Head of Communications and Reputation

52
Major Projects

execution

Jack Ariel

Major Projects Director

53
Major Projects: Tauhara execution

and building capability for the future

54
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1

2021202220232024

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Plan at FID

Achieved by Aug 21

Tauhara: Project started well...

Commissioning

Construction

Commercial operation

55
But 2021-2022 happened

Extreme

externalities

Needed a different contracting model with more

contractors and more interfaces to manage.

Difficulty in getting skilled resources.

High absenteeism.

Logistic restrictions.

Changing ways of working.

Commodity

prices

skyrocketed

Immigration

down

Less skilled resources

Reduced local and

regional contractor

capacity

Uncharacteristic

rain patterns

Delays in getting goods

into New Zealand.

Record-high

transportation costs.

Highly impacting safety,

productivity, cranes

operations, etc.

Substantial impact

on costs and

availability

of goods.

High inflation.

Global

Pandemic

Global

supply chain

collapsed

56
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1

2021202220232024

Achieved by Aug 22

Based on the achieved

performance by Aug 22

the re-forecast showed

a further delay

Commissioning

Based on what we saw by Dec 21

we needed to adjust the plan

Construction

Plan at FID

...and we started to feel the consequences

Commercial operation

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Challenges were even greater than

envisaged

Q4Q1

57
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1

2021202220232024

100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Recovery plan

Aug 22

We needed to change trajectory

And have now recovered a quarter

Actual

Apr 23

Q4

Commissioning

Construction

Commercial operation

58
Recovery plan –the challenge:

Re-focused project organisation

(ENABLER)

Closer line of sight, flatter organisation

Personal accountability

New and clearroles and responsibilities

Intensified recruitment drive

In the end, we converted the problem into an opportunity

To recover and de-risk the programme not compromising safety & quality, nothing off-limits (time –costs –output)

Set-up the Project Acceleration Office

(GAME CHANGER)

Acceleration initiatives to bring back completion date

De-risking initiatives to maintain the gains

Thorough preparation

Interface management

Relentless pace of delivery and work cadence

Collaboration with Partners

(TO IMPROVE OUTPUTS)

Worked with Sumitomo-Fuji to increase the output

of the plant (from 152 MW to 174 MW)

Engaged with every construction contractor

to work together on simplifying construction

and resequencing jobs

Redesigned piping system and steel structures

59
How we did it

Projectleadership

Strategy

(INTENTION)

Execution

(ATTENTION)

Robust business case

Compelling vision

Clear objectives & goals

Clear scope

Well defined budget

Strong processes

Meticulous plan

Thorough preparation

Impeccable execution

Pace of delivery

KPI’s and LI’s

Interface management

Risks & opportunities

Assurance and controls

Collaboration

One team spirit

Innovation

Competence

Motivation

Recognition

60
Geothermal Projects: Tauhara and Beyond

Tauhara

Tauhara

FEL-3 TeHuka

TeHukaEngineering

Te Huka

GeoFuture Engineering

FEL-3 GeoFuture

GeoFuture

Front-end

design

Te Huka

Te Huka ProcurementGeoFutureProcurement

GeoFuture

Engineering/

procurement

Construction

Commissioning

and readiness

61
Project delivery

capability

Capability beyond

geothermal

Design

efficiency

Contracting

strategies

Resourcing

Future capability: we tackled Tauhara

and developed future capability

What capabilities do we need to build to effectively execute large capital projects?

Our thinking process...

What is required for effective delivery of the future pipeline at Contact?

What we learnt from our capital

projects execution experience?

Project

delivery

Project

performance

Project definition

and planning

Actions taken to enhance and develop major projects capability

Creation of Major Projects Group | MajorProjectProcesses | Project Academy | Constructability reviews thorough project definition & construction discipline involvement during design |

Partnership with others forspecialistknowledge –Lightsourcebp for solar, Roaring40s for wind|Created contracting andprocurement capability within Major Projects|

Thorough project definition scope, estimateprocess, readiness reviews and more

Project delivery

process(project

management,

construction,

engineering, etc.)

Wind, solar and

storage

Design to Cost

Fit for purpose

specification

Constructability

in design

Digital tools

Contractor

operating model

depending

on market

circumstances

(not “one model

fits all”)

Owner’s team and

contractors’ teams

Major projects

delivery model

KPI measurement

and tracking

Pace and cadence

“Projects portfolio“

approach rather than

“task force”

approach

Thorough

front-end work

Meticulous

planning

62
Construction

Design Efficiency through scope

optimisation(Design to Cost)

Simplification of specifications &

standardisation

Constructability in Design

Safety in Design

Front-end work and project planning

for flawless delivery

Major Project processes for

consistency in delivery

Contracting & procurement focus

Project Academy and mentoring programme

Acquire specialist knowledge through

partnerships (wind / solar)

Contracting strategies aligned with local,

regional and national industry capabilities

Partnership and collaboration mindset with

contractors and construction industry

Lean construction

Sustainability in construction

Clear vision and leadership

Defined functions to cover major project needs

Competent Resourcesand

Roles & Responsibilities

Cadence of execution and reporting

Full involvement of Major Projects team

during project development allowing for

gradual transition

OrganisationDesignCapability

And we’ve developed the capability to execute large

capital projects

TauharaTe Huka 3GeoFutureSolarWind

Battery

63
Dorian Devers

CFO

Disciplined

investment;

growing returns

64
Leadership in shareholder communications

Key initiatives implemented

Principles

TransparencyAccountabilityNot hiding behind complexity

of the business

Simplified view

of the short-term

value drivers and

trajectory of

channel prices

and volumes

Short-term and

long-term EBITDAF

guidance to drive

accountability

Monthly tracking

of progress on

major projects

vs target

Reporting on

ROIC metrics

and focus on

improving returns

on investment

Implemented

regular operational

ESG reporting,

prominence of ESG

aligned with financial

metrics

65
Dynamic capital allocation to meet the market

2 YEARS

Conditions improved for NZAS to stay.

Large scale data centre developments underway.

Gas availability constrained,carbon prices higher.

Development announcements prominent.

Construction environment constrained.

Technology cost curves turned.

Battery economics have been challenging.

Forward wholesale electricity prices elevated.

Investment decisions taken

Accelerate the development of the geothermal assets:

•Accelerate TeHuka3 investment backed by Microsoft agreement.

•Advance TeMihi Stage 2 (GeoFuture) for investment decision.

Early-stage investment of $7mto secure wind and solar

development pipeline.

Deferred battery investment as lithium prices rose. Rapidly advancing

to FID with capital costs $30m lower since December 2022. Stratford

(consented) or potentially Glenbrook (subject to consenting).

Thermal investment limited to peakersand to manage security of supply:

•TeRapa closure.

•No further major TCC investment.

Enhanced asset refurbishment programme to reduce risks around

unexpected plant outages.

Environmental changes

A

B

C

D

E

66
0.

Driving value from renewable development

Indicative go-forward renewables LRMC $/MWh

1

Geothermal

Wind

Solar

1

Based on 100MW plants across technologies. Solar includes benefits from project financing

Firming required

All margin,

no firming

costs

$105/MWh (2022 real)

Long run price

expectation (>2027)

Intermittent renewable generation firming margin

only available if hydro capacity is unused.

Firming required

$75/MWh

$80/MWh

$85/MWh

$30/MWh

$25/MWh

Requires

firming from

scarce

resources,

which is not

costless

Margin available

$20/MWh

Solar (generation weighted vs time weighted)

Wind (generation weighted vs time weighted)

051015202530354045

0.75

0.00

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

Wind share of Demand/Generation(%)

Wind Combined GWAP/TWAP

NZ historical

Texas

Germany

051015202530354045

0.7

0.9

0.8

0.0

1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

Solar share of Demand/Generation(%)

Solar Combined GWAP/TWAP

NZ Energy Link modelling

Germany

California

Early-stage point-estimate of

projects available to Contact

Source MDAG: Price discovery with 100% renewable electricity supply. Concept Consulting and Energy Link.

1.0

0.77

0.95

0.73

0.82

0.71

~25-30% loss per 10% penetration

~10% loss per 10% penetration

We are in a unique position across the technology types, with our renewable geothermal development

not requiring firming. Relative value of new renewable flexibility will increase.

$70-85/MWh

$75-90/MWh

$85-95/MWh

67
Capital allocation framework: delivering our strategy

Decision making framework to deliver value accretive growth

Opportunity

Expected /

targeted returns

1

Rationale

Geothermal

Near term >12%

Ultimately >10%

Compensates for scarce resource and subsurface expertise

to develop. No firming costs.

Wind

Near term >10%

Ultimately 8-10%

Latent system firming has very limited firming costs.

Above WACC return for higher quality sites.

Solar

Near term >15%

Ultimately 7-9%

Speed to market to capture elevated wholesale pricing.

Lowest barriers to entry.

Project financing structure drives higher returns to Contact.

Utility scale

batteries

Near term > 7-9%

Ultimately 8-10%

Early returns will be challenged but strategic benefits of

firming investment need to be captured.

Changing value rankings of renewable investments

Highest

value

Lowest

value

Today (FY23)Tomorrow (FY27+)

New

Geothermal

New

Geothermal

New intermittent

renewables

New renewable

flexibility

New renewable

flexibility

New intermittent

renewables

Grid scale batteries

Demand response

Biomass

Sources of new renewable flexibility

all uncertain (either flexibility or cost)

1

IRR, based on current financing approaches (Wind, Geothermal on balance sheet, 30% gearing, Solar project financed).

Near term returns higher on elevated wholesale pricing and lower correlation with existing assets.

Hydro consenting

changes

Pumped hydro

68
253253

270

282

271

377

490

507

549

500

70

0

20

30

40

50

80

60

750

0

250

46

FY20AFY27F

$m

FY26FFY19A

20

cps

19

17

FY21A

21

FY22A

20

FY23F

29

FY24F

39

FY25F

42

+267

+94.7%

EBITDAF ($m)

OpFCF (cps)⁶

Near-term growth: Geothermal

Investments expected to deliver material operating free cash flow uplift

Key assumptions / metrics

FY19AFY20AFY21AFY22AFY23FFY24FFY25FFY26FFY27F

Generation volumesGWh

3,2563,3333,1143,2833,2323,9745,0195,1265,464

Geothermal PPA: Internal¹GWh

2,9302,9992,8032,9552,8963,5624,0493,8854,189

Geothermal PPA: ExternalGWh

000006468728728

PPA price –Internal²$/MWh

85.086.688.293.7100.3106.3110.6112.8115.1

Average electricity price$/MWh

89.887.896.998.399.4110.7111.7112.6114.6

Other income³$m

336111116222832

Carbon emissions⁴ ktCO

2

e

217197179183192241249261275

Transmission costs$m

-4-4-3-3-7-10-12-12-19

Direct operating costs$/MWh

-11-10-12-12-12-12-10-11-10

⁵ Mid-point of the estimate range ($5.3m -$5.7m/MW), 168MW plant illustrated. Subject to final investment decision.

⁶Investment in associate.

⁷Debt sized at 2.8x net debt to EBITDAF. Interest costs forecast at 5.5%. Tax book value at FY22 ~$800m.

Pro-forma geothermal segment: EBITDAF and Operating free cash flow

Key metrics

FY19AFY20AFY21AFY22AFY23FFY24FFY25FFY26FFY27F

Annual inflation rate

change

%1.8%1.9%1.9%6.3%7.0%5.0%2.5%2.0%2.0%

SIB capex$m-28-39-30-25-31-39-33-33-30

Notional Debt⁷$m7097077567897591,0561,3741,4181,538

Cumulative geothermal capitalinvestment ($m)

¹ 10% of the generation volume merchant and sold into the spot market (forecast ASX). Does not include major commissioning outages.

²Internal PPA pricing set to $85/MWh (real FY19).

³ Steam sales, Western Energy gross margin, revenue from sales of renewable attributes and carbon income from afforestation.

⁴Gross carbon emissions. Does not include the impact from carbon capture.

15

786

Afforestation⁶

300

Tauhara

Te Huka

GeoFuture⁵

950

58

Western Energy

288

SIB capex

31

110

221

541

956

1,456

1,902

2,231

2,396

FY19AFY24FFY20AFY24FFY21AFY23FFY22AFY23FFY23F

2,396

69
Future growth: Intermittent renewables

Wind and solar additions will be supported by firming and sales channel choices

Baseload geothermal.

Hydro backed by peakers to cover dry year risks.

Potential wind and solar firmed with a

combination of battery / peakers / hydro /

geographic diversity.

252

193

283

255

FY21FY19FY20

553

FY22

537

505

446

Geothermal

Rest of the business

EBITDAF range (FY19 –22)

$193m

$283m

Average $246m

+-~$50m

Mass market: Daily shape met with hydro and battery,

seasonal with hydro storage and ASX buy/sell.

C&I: Flex to manage winter fuel risk, sell adjacent demand

products (demand flex) or access pricing discrepancies with

mass market channels.

ASX: Manage short-term fuel risk. Geothermal residual.

62%

Manage demand peak shapes

Winter

Summer

Manage annual volatile hydro inflows

Manage seasonal demand swings (TWh)

9.5

11.1

SummerWinter

+16.7%

Historical EBITDAF by proforma segment ($m)

Corporate enabling

functions

0

100

200

300

400

500

Manage daily/weekly intermittent renewables

EnergySales

Strategy and portfolio

management

Engineering

Corporate

SIB capex average (FY19 –22)

$31m

ICT

Firming

Wind

70
55

65

25

25

20

31

11

9

9

5 year (21-26) capex

spend profile as at

Feb 2021

100

5 year (21-26) capex

spend profile as at

May 2023

150

Mid-life hydro spend

Trading systems enhancement

Carbon capture

Peaker remediation¹

Geothermal resilience

SAP

Five year accelerated SIB capex programme

We have accelerated key SIB capex initiatives to enhance resilience and capture market value

Accelerated SIB capex programme ($m)

Accelerated SIB capex phasing ($m)

What we will deliver

Optimisinghydro assets to

ensure maximum output to

leverage high wholesale prices.

Investment in peakerresilience

to enhance reliability,

supporting system security.

Continued strong relationships

with iwi to support the

development of GeoFuture

geothermal powerstation.

De-risking ICT environment to

ensure robust, secure and

supported software and

information systems.

¹ Net of insurance proceeds of $15m. The capex and insurance income will be separately disclosed in the financial statements.

²Excludes expenditure under the accelerated capex programme.

SIB capex performance² ($m)

60

51

58

51

FY22FY19FY20FY21

SIB capex average (FY19 –22)

$55m

$40m

Cumulatively below expectation

FY25

3

FY24¹

FY21

FY23

24

45

FY22

36

FY26

30

12

150

71
Contact indicative FY27 EBITDAF aspiration

¹ See slide 68 for assumptions underpinning assumptions for Geothermal proforma and EBITDAF changes.

² Pricing to long term channels (Retail and Strategic long-term sales) rises with inflation. Market channel pricing (C&I, CFD, Merchant) at $135/MWh (FY22: $133/MWh).

³ Cost inflation on thermal fuel, fixed costs and geothermal PPA escalation.

4

Other income reduces on steam sales from steam sales post TeRapa closure (-$30m) partially offset by increase in Retail non-electricity products gross margin.

⁵ Solar EBITDAF contribution subject to Board Final Investment Decision on Kowhai Park and North Island solar (see slide 37).

Achieved FY27

result will be

dependent on

hydrology with

+/-$50m annual

variance to mean

to continue

<300 ktCO

2

e

Scope 1 and 2 Emissions

(net of afforestation)

788 ktCO

2

e

282

549

255

267

94

266

100

Price increases to

offset cost inflation

20

15

FY22Normalised and

expected FY27

Geothermal

EBITDAF uplift¹

Other income⁴

815

Solar uplift⁵

Rest of the

business

Geothermal

537

6

+278

+52%

Electricity net revenue²

Cost inflation³

Supported by NZAS extension and current electricity futures market prices

EBITDAF($m)

72
Q&A

Dorian Devers

CFO

Mike Fuge

CEO

73
Mike Fuge

CEO

Closing remarks

Thank you

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • GNE — Genesis Energy Limited: Governance Roadshow Presentation
    2023-05-30

    Governance Roadshow May/June 2023 Second line can be in orange Barbara Chapman CNZM – Chairman Warwick Hunt MNZM - Director 2. Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Genesis Energy Limited (‘Genesis Energy’) for information purposes only.This disclaimer applies to th…”

  • KMD — KMD Brands Limited: Trading Update and Investor Day Presentation
    2023-05-17

    IMPORTANT NOTICE AND DISCLOSURE This presentation prepared by KMD Brands Limited (the “Company” or the “Group”) (ASX/NZX:KMD) provides additional comment on the financial statements of the Company, and accompanying information released to the market. As such, it should be read i…”

  • IFT — Infratil Limited: Infratil 2023 Investor Day
    2023-03-23

    Disclaimer While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this presentation, Manawa Energy Limited and its related entities, directors, officers and employees (collectively “Manawa") do not accept, and expressly disclaim, any liability whatsoever (including for n…”