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Synlait provides investor presentation

Investor Presentation29 October 2023SMLConsumer Staples

Synlait Milk Limited · 1028 Heslerton Road, RD13 Rakaia, Canterbury, New Zealand · +643 373 3000 · www.synlait.com

NZX: SML

ASX: SM1



30 October 2023


Synlait provides investor presentation

Synlait Milk Limited (Synlait) provides a copy of the presentation, which will be given to investors and

analysts today at a site tour of its Synlait Pokeno facility.


There is no new material information in the presentation.


For more information contact:

Media

Allan Swann

Corporate Communications Manager

P: +64 27 211 4874

E: allan.swann@synlait.com


Investors

Hannah Lynch

Head of Strategy & Corporate Affairs

P: +64 21 252 8990

E: hannah.lynch@synlait.com

---

POKENO
INSTITUTIONAL

INVESTOR SITE TOUR

30 October 2023

SYNLAIT’S EVOLUTION
Grant Watson

Chief Executive Officer

TO REMAIN COMPETITIVE SYNLAIT’S
STRATEGY NEEDED TO EVOLVE ...

FROM (PRE-2022)

Enabled by a refreshed Executive Leadership Team

•Concentration risk

•Risk appetite

•Capacity and supply led

•Scattergun approach to opportunities

•Quick-fix problem solving

•Reliant on people experience

•Siloed mentality

•Tactical responses to customer needs

•Well positioned for milk supply

•Diversified channels, categories and geographies

•Business stability

•Customer and demand led

•Opportunities grounded in competitive advantage

•Permanent quality solutions

•Enabled by mature systems, tools and processes

•Cross functional ways of working

•World class customer engagement

•Processing partner of choice

TO (2022 ONWARDS POST STRATEGY REFRESH)

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

... BUT THE MACRO ENVIRONMENT HAS CHANGED
Geopolitical

changes

Extreme weather events

impacting milk supply

New Zealand

CO2 shortages

Inflationary

pressures

COVID-19China birth

rates declining

Substantial capital

investment in China-based

manufacturing assets

Global supply

chain challenges

Tight labour market

CO2

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

SO, HOW HAS SYNLAIT EVOLVED?
PEOPLE

Staff numbers

Shift numbers

PROFITABILITY

Customer demand

Net Profit After Tax (NPAT)

MILK SUPPLY

Milk processors

Peak cow and milk

Synlait Farmer Leadership Team

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

MILK FLOWS HAVE BEEN RELATIVELY FLAT FOR SEVERAL YEARS ...... AND SYNLAIT HAS RETAINED ITS 4% MARKET SHARE.
80%

90%

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

1.5

1

.5

0

-.5

2

100%

15

10

5

0

-5

20

Milk

production

(m’ kgMS)

YoY

production

change (%)

03/0403/04

04/0504/05

05/0605/06

06/0706/07

07/0807/08

08/0908/09

09/1009/10

10/1110/11

11/1211/12

12/1312/13

13/1413/14

14/1514/15

15/1615/16

16/1716/17

17/1817/18

18/1918/19

19/2019/20

20/2120/21

21/2221/22

22/2322/23

New Zealand milk production volumeProcessor share of New Zealand milk pool

Fonterra

SynlaitOther

MILK SUPPLY

Milk production is flat, while milk processors are rising.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

4.0
4.5

5.0

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

5.5

Total milking

cows (million

heads)

96/97

98/9998/9998/99

00/01

02/03

04/05

06/07

14/15

08/09

16/17

10/11

18/19

12/13

20/21

Total milking cows and production per cow

400

350

300

250

200

450

Production

per cow

(kgMS/cow)

Dairy farmers are committed to making it work. What is Synlait doing?

Establish Synlait’s

competitive

advantage.

Achieve geographic

expansion. Synlait

is a New Zealand

company.

Resource

appropriately.

1

RETENTION & GROWTH

2

GROWTH

3

GROWTH

MILK SUPPLY

Peak milk and cow have also arrived. How do we compete?

PURPOSE

AND CULTURE

MADE WITH

BETTER MILK

COMPETITIVE, TRANSPARENT

FARMGATE MILK PRICE

FAVOURABLE

ADVANCE RATE

AND NO SHARES

DIGITAL TOOLS

AND ON-FARM

SUPPORT

INDUSTRY AND

COMMUNITY

ENGAGEMENT

SPECIALTY

MILK

PREMIUMS

LEAD WITH

PRIDE™

1

5

3

7

2

6

4

8

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

MILK SUPPLY
Adam Williamson

South Island

Dan Schat

South Island

Henry Bolt

South Island

Gary Michael

South Island

Rebecca Hubbard

North Island

Susie Woodward

North Island

Phill Everest

Co-Chair

Will Burrett

South Island

Synlait established a Farmer Leadership Team of eight farmer suppliers who are a conduit to the company.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

Where headcount growth has come from
200

150

100

50

0

Current customer demand changes

SAMR registration

ERP implementation

COVID-19

New customer growth

Training centralised

FY 22FY 23

PEOPLE

Macro impacts and customer demand changes significantly impact planning and production cycles.

Total headcount trend

1200

900

600

300

0

North IslandSouth IslandTotal

FY 20FY 19FY 18FY 21FY 22FY 23

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

•New shifts take a minimum of nine months to recruit (three months), reach a competent level without supervision (three months),
and support the delivery of full attainment to plan (three months).

•Blending and canning shift numbers:

•Dunsandel: 23 people

•Auckland: 25 people

•Shift changes also require changes to other team structures, i.e., quality, warehousing, maintenance, and other manufacturing teams.

SAMR re-

registration

expired

1

4

2

5

3

6

Dec

2020

Oct

2021

May

2021

Mar

2022

Nov

2022

Feb

2023

Jan

2021

Nov

2021

Jun

2021

Apr

2022

Feb

2021

Dec

2021

Aug

2022

Jul

2021

May

2022

Mar

2021

Jan

2022

Sep

2022

Dec

2022

Aug

2021

Jun

2022

Apr

2021

Feb

2022

Oct

2022

Jan

2023

Mar

2023

Sep

2021

Jul

2022

Customer

demand

decreases

(COVID-19)

Blending &

Canning shift

reduction (5 → 4)

15% of

workforce

disestablished

in reaction

to demand

decrease

Customer

demand

decreases

Blending &

Canning shift

increase (3 → 4)

Blending &

Canning shift

reduction (5 → 4)

Blending &

Canning shift

increase (5 → 6)

ERP

implementation

Back on track with

infant formula supply

China-label stock build

for SAMR registration

PEOPLE

Customer demand changes also have a significant impact on national shift numbers.

Blending &

Canning shift

reduction (6 → 5)

Blending &

Canning shift

reduction (4 → 3)

Blending &

Canning shift

increase (4 → 5)

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

PROFITABILITY
Synlait built capacity ahead of the curve, allowing capacity and supply to underpin strategic assumptions.

Advanced Nutrition volumes

(FY 18 forecast vs FY 23 actuals)

Dryers

required

4

3

2

1

5

FY 17

Pokeno site

acquisition

FY 22FY 18FY 23FY 19FY 20FY 21

Net Profit After Tax

Actual Advanced Nutrition volumes

Advanced Nutrition volumes FY 18 forecast

The business has pivoted its strategy to be customer and demand-led but is still playing catch up while navigating significant macro impact.

COVID-19

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

SYNLAIT STRATEGY FY 24 – FY 28
CATEGORIES

OUR PRODUCTS

CHANNELS

OUR BUSINESS TYPES

RIGHT TO PLAY

OUR STRONG FOUNDATIONS

AMBITION

TO FY 28

RIGHT TO WIN

OUR COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE MODELS

KEY ENABLERS

OF EXECUTION

Singapore

Malaysia

Thailand

New Zealand

Australia

Greater China

Philippines

Vietnam

Indonesia

GEOGRAPHIES

OUR GROWTH MARKETS

PURPOSE

AND CULTURE

MADE WITH

BETTER MILK

COMPETITIVE, TRANSPARENT

FARMGATE MILK PRICE

FAVOURABLE

ADVANCE RATE

AND NO SHARES

DIGITAL TOOLS

AND ON-FARM

SUPPORT

INDUSTRY AND

COMMUNITY

ENGAGEMENT

SPECIALTY

MILK

PREMIUMS

LEAD WITH

PRIDE™

1

5

3

7

2

6

4

8

PURPOSE

AND CULTURE

FOOD SAFETY, QUALITY,

TRACEABILITY AND SURETY OF SUPPLY

NEW ZEALAND

PROVENANCE AND

MARKET ACCESS

BASIC

PRODUCT

PORTFOLIO

ADVANCED

PRODUCT

PORTFOLIO

FLEXIBLE WORLD CLASS

MANUFACTURING FACILITIES

1

5

3

2

4

9

B CORP™ AND

MADE WITH

BETTER MILK

8

DEEP CHANNEL

EXPERTISE

7

On-Farm

Excellence

Best In Class

Customer

Engagement

Disciplined

Product

Innovation

High

Performance

Culture

Systems, Tools

and Processes

World Class

Manufacturing

and Supply Chain

Infant

Nutrition

Adult

Nutrition

Commodity

Powders

B Corp™

Score of 105

Advanced

Nutrition

CUSTOMERSFARMER SUPPLIERS

Advanced

Ingredients

Farmer Net

Promoter Score

Top Quartile

FoodserviceFoodservice

Cream

AMF and Butter*

IWS Level 2

Ingredients

Customer Net

Promoter Score

Top Quartile

Staff Engagement

Top Quartile

Return on

Capital 15%

Food Safety

and Quality

Regulatory

Know-How

Highly Utilised,

Efficient Plants

Advanced Nutrition

and Foodservice

Know-How

Integrated

Value Chain

Sustainability

Credentials

Cream Cheese*

BEST IN CLASS

CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT

6

Our Purpose – Doing Milk Differently For A Healthier World

* TBC, further o

pportunities being explored.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

Naiche Nogueira
Director of Advanced Nutrition

ADVANCED NUTRITION AND

FOODSERVICE MARKET INSIGHTS

Abby Ye

President of China & Director of Foodservice

Naiche Nogueira
Director of Advanced Nutrition

ADVANCED NUTRITION

ADVANCED NUTRITION STRATEGY FY24 – FY28
CATEGORIES

OUR FOCUS PRODUCTS

CUSTOMERS

OUR FOCUS PARTNERS

RIGHT TO PLAY

OUR STRONG FOUNDATIONS

AMBITION

TO FY28

RIGHT TO WIN

OUR COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE MODEL

KEY ENABLERS

OF EXECUTION

GEOGRAPHIES

OUR GROWTH MARKETS

Our Purpose – Doing Milk Differently For A Healthier World

Early Life

Nutrition

Adult

Nutrition

Advanced

Ingredients

Flexible Protein

Sources

Base and

Consumer

Powders

Consumer

Beverages

Malaysia

New Zealand

Australia

China

Philippines

Vietnam

Indonesia

Food Safety

and Quality

Highly Utilised,

Efficient Plants

Regulatory

Deep Category

Knowledge

Sustainability

Credentials

Nutritionals

Know-How

PURPOSE

AND CULTURE

FOOD SAFETY AND

QUALITY, TRACEABILITY

NEW ZEALAND PROVENANCE,

MARKET ACCESS AND

SURETY OF SUPPLY

FLEXIBLE WORLD

CLASS FACILITIES

AND OPERATIONS

FLEXIBLE PROTEIN

CAPABILITY

1

3

2

4

9

MADE WITH

BETTER MILK

AND B CORP™

8

Gross Margin

of $200m

Diversified

Customers, Markets

and Categories

Customer Net

Promoter Score

Top Quartile

Staff Engagement

Top Quartile

Sales Volumes

of 75,000 MT

IWS Level 2

SEA Local

Leaders

Chinese Local

Leaders

Strategic

Multinational

Partners

On-Farm

Excellence

Best In Class

Customer

Engagement

Disciplined

Product

Innovation

High

Performance

Culture

Systems, Tools

and Processes

World Class

Manufacturing

and Supply Chain

BEST IN-CLASS

CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT

7

TURNKEY CONSUMER

PACKAGED SOLUTIONS

6

5

EXPERT NUTRITION AND

SCIENCE-BASED SOLUTIONS

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

ADVANCED NUTRITION – LIFE STAGE NUTRITION
EARLY LIFE NUTRITIONADVANCED INGREDIENTSADULT NUTRITION

Lactoferrin and

specialty ingredients

Maternal

nutrition

Sports

nutrition

Infant

nutrition

Clinical

nutrition

Children

nutrition

Active

nutrition

Healthy

ageing

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

New Zealand
Infant: $0.1 B (5%)

Australia

Infant: $0.7 B (4%)

Indonesia

Infant: $2 B (2%)

Malaysia

Infant: $0.6 B (3%)

Vietnam

Infant: $2 B (5%)

Thailand

Infant: $0.9 B (3%)

China

Infant: $23 B (0.5%)

South Korea

Infant: $0.2 B (1%)

Japan

Infant: $0.5 B (-2%)

Philippines

Infant: $0.9 B (2%)

EARLY LIFE NUTRITION – APAC

APAC total market value: US $31 B (CAGR 1.3%)

Source: Eruomonitor, Allied Market Research. Market Value is for tracked markets only.

Notes: CAGR is estimated from 2020-2026, ELN includes Stages 1-4

LOW CATEGORY GROWTH

PREMIUMISATION

RANGE EXTENSIONS

TO CHILDREN’S

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

EARLY LIFE NUTRITION – CHINA
Largest global market at 49% of global share

Domestic vs import

12

8

4

16

00

2

4

6

8

10

12

20

14

201420172021201520182022201620202019e-2023

Domestic

57%

International

43%

2023

Domestic

40%

International

60%

2014

Birth rate

Marriage rate

Birth rate

(millions)

Marriage rate

(millions)

Marriage and birth rates

Source: Eurom

onitor, Statista, Chemlinked 2023, Macquarie 2022

N

otes: CAGR is estimated from 2023-2028, ELN includes Stages 1-4

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

Australia
Adult: $1 B (9%)

Indonesia

Adult: $0.7 B (8%)

Malaysia

Adult: $0.1 B (8%)

Vietnam

Adult: $0.3 B (8%)

Thailand

Adult: $0.5 B (8%)

China

Adult: $7 B (7%)

South Korea

Adult: $1 B (8%)

Japan

Adult: $2 B (7%)

Philippines

Adult: $0.3 B (8%)

APAC total market value: US $13 B (CAGR 8%)

ADULT NUTRITION

AGEING POPULATION

PREVENTATIVE

NUTRITION

INCREASED SPEND

ON NUTRITION

Source: Euromonitor. Market value is for tracked markets only.

Note: Graphic shows major significant market only.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

NUTRITION FOR WELLNESS
PRODUCT MATURITY

Dairy and plant-based milk sources

Fortified

powders

Healthy

ageing

Whole milk

and calcium

Broad

support

Gut health

Formulated

support

Basic

fortification

Targeted

support

Weight loss

Complete

support

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

WHY IS ADULT NUTRITION SYNLAIT’S
NEXT GROWTH OPPORTUNITY?

Demographic changeLeverages dairy and

plant-based capability

Synergises with

infant capability

Increasing nutrition

and health awareness

Accelerated

awareness and trust

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

FOODSERVICE
Abby Ye

President of China & Director of Foodservice

FOODSERVICE STRATEGY FY24 – FY28
CATEGORIES

OUR FOCUS PRODUCTS

CHANNELS

OUR FOCUS BUSINESS TYPES

RIGHT TO PLAY

OUR STRONG FOUNDATIONS

AMBITION

TO FY28

RIGHT TO WIN

OUR COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE MODEL

KEY ENABLERS

OF EXECUTION

GEOGRAPHIES

OUR GROWTH MARKETS

Our Purpose – Doing Milk Differently For A Healthier World

BakeryBeveragesOEMFoodservice

Cream

Butter

(TBC)*

Cream Cheese

(TBC)*

FLEXIBLE WORLD

CLASS FACILITIES

AND OPERATIONS

DEDICATED

NPD CAPABILITY

1

5

2

4

FOOD SAFETY AND QUALITY,

TRACEABILITY AND SURETY OF SUPPLY

NEW ZEALAND

PROVENANCE AND

MARKET ACCESS

Food Safety

and Quality

Integrated

Value Chain

Dedicated

NPD Capability

Highly Utilised,

Efficient Plants

Sustainability

Credentials

Dairy

Know-How

China

Philippines

Vietnam

Indonesia

MADE WITH

BETTER MILK

AND B CORP™

8

DEEP CHANNEL

EXPERTISE

6

BASE

PRODUCT

PORTFOLIO

3

Category

Diversification

IWS Level 2

Gross Margin

of $24m

Sales Volumes

of 22,000 MT

Customer Net

Promoter Score

Top Quartile

Staff Engagement

Top Quartile

On-Farm

Excellence

Best In Class

Customer

Engagement

Disciplined

Product

Innovation

High

Performance

Culture

Systems, Tools

and Processes

World Class

Manufacturing

and Supply Chain

PURPOSE

AND CULTURE

9

BEST IN-CLASS

CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT

7

Malaysia and Singapore

* TBC, further o

pportunities being explored.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

CONSUMPTION CHANNELS
CAFESBEVERAGE CHAINSBAKERIES

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

WHY IS FOODSERVICE CREAM
SYNLAIT’S NEXT GROWTH OPPORTUNITY?

From New ZealandEntering fast

growing channels

An emerging

opportunity

Headed for

South East Asia

Potentially another plant

based opportunity

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

FAST GROWING CHANNELS
•China bakery growth 9.9%

•Beverage growth 13.4%

EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES IN CHINA

•Central kitchens growing at 25%

•Frozen bakery segment – less than 10% market penetration (US is 70%)

•Pre made dish segment – just 8% market penetration (Japan at 60%)

THE DATA SPEAKS FOR ITSELF

NEW ZEALAND CREAM IMPORTS TO CHINA

•39% of total import volume (cream)

•44% of total import value (cream)

•$8.3 billion export market to China

NEW ZEALAND CREAM IMPORTS TO CHINA




POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

CHINA’S CREAM MARKET
HAS SIGNIFICANT POTENTIAL

New Zealand accounts for

58% of all China’s cream imports

New Zealand

France

United Kingdom

Spain

Ireland

Netherlands

Belgium

Australia

Germany

Others

China Import Statistics – Cream

2022 Chinese cream

market: 250,000MT

For comparison: Australia accounts

for just 2% of China’s cream imports

58%

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

JOYHANA CREAM IN MARKET
South China –

Shenzhen/Guangzhou 深圳/广州

East China –

Shanghai 上海

North China –

Beijing 北京

West China –

Chengdu 成都

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

CUSTOMER FEEDBACK



The whipping rate of Joyhana is quite good,

a good option for mousse cake.

Looking forward for more creations from

Joyhana cream!

Joyhana cream goes very well with fruit taste.

POKENO INSTITUTIONAL INVESTOR SITE TOUR

QUESTIONS
Naiche Nogueira

Director of Advanced Nutrition

Grant Watson

Chief Executive Officer

Abby Ye

President of China & Director of Foodservice

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.