Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update February 2024

Operational Update29 February 2024FCGConsumer Staples

• Cheese tops the menu for Lunar New Year.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Australia monthly production increased.

New Zealand, EU and US monthly

production decreased.

• Australia and New Zealand monthly

exports increased. EU and US monthly

exports decreased.

• Latin America, Asia and Middle East & Africa

monthly imports increased. China monthly

imports decreased.

• Fonterra New Zealand milk collections in

January were 158.4 million kgMS, 1.8% behind

January last season.

• Fonterra Australia milk collections in January

were 9.7 million kgMS, 2.1% ahead of January

last season.

• Duck River clinches coveted Champion Butter title.

Key Dates

21 March 2024

FY24 Interim Results Announcement

May 2024

FY24 Q3 Business Update

FEBRUARY 2024

%
%%

%

%

%%

%

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for the 12 months

to January 2024

Change for the 12 months

to January 2024

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

1.12.21.5

0.30.00.3

0.3

0.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Australia monthly

production increased.

New Zealand, EU

and US monthly

production decreased

New Zealand milk

production was down

1.5% on a litres basis (down

0.6% on a milk solids basis)

in January compared to the

same period the year prior.

The decrease was due to hot

and dry El Niño conditions

in the North Island. This was

partially offset by favourable

weather conditions in the

South Island.

New Zealand milk

production for the

12 months to January was

up 0.6% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported

for January, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production increased 2.2%

in December compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The production increase was

due to favourable weather

conditions, with average

rainfall events.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to December

was up 0.3% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported

for January, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production¹

decreased 0.3% in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The production decrease

was driven by Ireland, as

milk prices fell below cost

of production coupled with

adverse weather conditions

leading to earlier housing

of cows.

EU milk production for the

12 months to December

was flat.

This is mainly due to

decreased milk production in

France, offset by increases in

Germany and Poland.

US milk production

decreased 1.1% in January

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Smaller herd numbers and

continued lower milk yield

has resulted in a seventh

month of consecutive

decline in production

year‑on‑year.

Milk production for the

12 months to January was

down 0.3% on the previous

comparable period.

This is mainly due to smaller

herd numbers and continued

lower milk yield.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Australia and New Zealand

monthly exports increased.

EU and US monthly

exports decreased

Total New Zealand dairy

exports increased 12.3%,

or 39,118 MT, in January

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Higher exported volumes

of SMP to Southeast Asia

and China pushed SMP

exports to highest level since

December 2014.

Exports for the 12 months

to January were up 5.3%, or

179,241 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

increases in SMP, WMP, and

AMF volumes to China.

EU dairy exports

decreased 6.9%, or

34,843 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

Lower export volumes of

SMP and WMP to China

were partially offset by

higher export volumes of

SMP to North Africa, and

WMP to Middle East.

Exports for the 12 months

to December were up 0.1%,

or 6,385 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

higher export volumes of

SMP and cheese, partially

offset by lower export

volumes of infant formula.

US dairy exports

decreased 1.1%, or 2,558  MT,

in December compared

to the same period the

year prior.

Butter export volumes fell,

particularly to Canada,

due to increased pricing

impacting demand.

Exports for the 12 months

to December were down

6.7%, or 193,403 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was mainly due to lower

export volumes of butter

and whey, partially offset by

higher volumes of lactose.

Australia dairy exports

increased 8.9%, or 5,219  MT,

in December compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase in exports

was mainly due to higher

export volumes of fluid

milk products and whey to

China, partially offset by

lower export volumes of

sweetened milk powder.

Exports for the 12 months

to December were down

22.5%, or 185,982 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was mainly due to

the disconnect between

Australia's domestic milk

price and global commodity

price, making exports

less competitive.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%

%

%

%%

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

Change for the 12 months

to January 2024

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

1.1

22.5

12.3

0.1

6.7

8.9

6.9

5.3

%%

To view a chart that
illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Latin America, Asia

and Middle East &

Africa monthly imports

increased. China monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

7.3%, or 13,540 MT, in

December compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher volumes of

WMP and cheese by Brazil

from Argentina.

Imports for the 12 months to

December were up 8.3%, or

186,198 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to higher

volumes of WMP by Brazil

from Argentina, and cheese by

Mexico from the US.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 21.4%, or

79,786 MT, in December

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher volumes of WMP

by Bangladesh and Thailand

from New Zealand, and fluid

milk by the Philippines and

Vietnam from the EU.

Imports for the 12 months

to December were down

0.4%, or 19,900 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was mainly due to

lower volumes of SMP by

Philippines, and partially

offset by higher volumes of

lactose by India and Vietnam.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 2.7%, or 13,300  MT,

in December compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher volumes of SMP by

Egypt from EU, and butter by

Saudi Arabia from both the

EU and New Zealand.

Imports for the 12 months to

December were up 3.7%, or

201,032 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

higher volumes of SMP

by Algeria from the EU

and Saudi Arabia from

New Zealand.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by

9.4%, or 24,863 MT, in

December compared to the

same period the year prior.

The decrease was driven

by lower import volumes

of WMP and SMP. This was

partially offset by an increase

in demand for lactose

and cheese.

Imports for the 12 months

to December were down

9.7%, or 331,586 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

This was due to a decline in

import demand of WMP and

fluid milk products reflecting

excess domestic supply.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for December 2023

compared to December 2022

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

9.421.47.3

0.43.7

%

Change for the 12 months

to December 2023

9.7

2.7

8.3

%

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 January

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

Change for January 2024

compared to January 2023

2.12.85.41.8

0.53.22.80.4

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections

in January were

9.7 million kgMS, 2.1% ahead of

January last season.

Collections increased

in January due to mild

temperatures, reducing the

impact of heat stress on cows.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 66.5 million kgMS, 0.5%

ahead of last season.

Collections increased mainly

due to improvement of

weather patterns.

North Island milk

collections in January was

85.7 million kgMS, 5.4% behind

January last season.

The decrease was due to hot

and dry conditions resulting in

lower milk flows.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 594.5 million kgMS, 2.8%

behind last season.

South Island milk

collections in January was

72.7 million kgMS, 2.8% ahead

of January last season.

The increase was due to

continued favourable weather

conditions which saw all

regions outperform January

last season.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 417.6 million kgMS, 3.2%

ahead of last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections in January were

158.4 million kgMS, 1.8% behind

January last season.

The decrease was due to

lower collections in the

North Island as unfavourable

weather conditions impacted

production. This was partially

offset by favourable weather

conditions in the South Island.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 1,012.1 million kgMS, 0.4%

lower than last season.

%%

Forecast milk collection for the

2023/24 season

1, 4 6 5M

kgMS

Forecast Farmgate Milk Price for

the 2023/24 season

NZD

per

kgMS

%

7. 3 0 -

8.30

Outlook for Fonterra

in New Zealand

%

%
%%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year‑to‑date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

JAN MAR JUL NOV FEB MAY DEC AUG





,

, 

,

,

.

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

Financial markets enjoyed a period of relative calm over

February. Globally, economic data has evidenced ongoing

resilience in labour markets and tentative signs of recovery in

the manufacturing sector, while levels of inflation continued

to decline – the ensuing positive risk sentiment saw equity

markets advance. The NZD/USD exchange rate continued to

trade near the 61 US cent level.

Fonterra GDT results at

trading event 350

20 February 2024:

The next trading event will be held on 5 March 2024. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

1.7

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,722

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

22.2

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,143/MT

7.3

CHEDDAR

USD 6,552/MT

8.6

AMF

USD 6,546/MT

0.5

BUTTER

USD 2,813/MT

0.7

SMP

USD 3,382/MT

2.2

WMP

22,234

MT

LATEST AUCTION

413,638

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Cheese tops the menu

for Lunar New Year

Lunar New Year celebrations

run throughout mid‑

February as families gather

across China and Southeast

Asia to celebrate the Year of

the Dragon.

And they’re likely to be

eating mozzarella and cream

cheese produced here in

New Zealand.

The fusion of traditional

Chinese pastries and dairy

ingredients is increasingly

popular around Lunar New

Year when families gather

to celebrate.

Fonterra’s Darfield site is

forecast to export around

20,000 MT of cream cheese

to China this season, and

1,500 MT to Southeast Asia.

Demand for Darfield’s cream

cheese is increasing, largely

driven by an expanding

middle class and the growing

appetite for cream cheese in

a wide range of applications

from bakery to beverage.

In fact, the site has

increased its production

of cream cheese to meet

demand in the lead up to

Lunar New Year.

The team recently made

significant efficiency, quality,

and yield improvements

– managing to increase

annual throughput by an

additional 2,100 MT per

year – all executed with zero

capital spend.

Talking about the

improvements, Site

Operations Manager

Blake Aston says: “We’re

very connected with our

customers in market, and

this is a great example of

how the team has embraced

process change to meet the

increased demand.”

Cream cheese from Darfield

is commonly used in tea

macchiatos in China, made

using a base of Chinese tea,

topped with a cap of cream

and cream cheese that is

whipped together until

it forms a light and fluffy

texture. Other popular items

made using cream cheese

include cheese lollipops

and cheesecakes.

Meanwhile, Fonterra’s

Clandeboye site exported

around 56,000 MT of IQF

Mozzarella (Individually

Quick‑Frozen Mozzarella) in

FY23, with China being the

main export market at over

60% share.

That’s about 1.2 MT of

mozzarella for every person

in Timaru district (pop:

46,296 at 2018 Census)!

It was part of the

360,000 MT of total product

made by the Clandeboye

team of 1,000 who live and

work in South Canterbury

and surrounding areas.

Around 895 farms in the

Central South Island supply

the milk to Clandeboye site,

which ends up in dumplings

and hot pots around Lunar

New Year.

Demand for IQF Mozzarella

into China is currently

forecasted to grow 10% year

on year as the popularity

of pizza in China grows.

This includes the expansion

of pizza shops into lower

tier cities outside of the

big cities.

Clandeboye will continue

to be an important site

for China with it currently

producing 90% of all

IQF Mozzarella made

by Fonterra.

Conrad Harle, Clandeboye

Site Operations Manager,

says: “It’s a proud moment

to see products made here

at Clandeboye ending up

on plates in big cities like

Beijing, Shanghai, or Hanoi.”

“With more than

1,000 employees, we’re a big

part of the local economy,

providing jobs for the region

and helping New Zealand

succeed on the world stage.”

Duck River clinches
coveted Champion

Butter title

Tasmanian‑produced

Duck River Premium

Butter, crafted at Fonterra

Australia’s Spreyton site,

clinched the coveted title

of Champion Butter at this

year's Australian Grand

Dairy Awards.

This achievement marks the

second consecutive win for

Duck River, surpassing strong

contenders – including

another Fonterra Australia

finalist, Western Star™ Butter

– to secure first place at the

forefront of dairy excellence.

Prior to this recognition,

Duck River achieved acclaim

at the 2023 Dairy Industry

Association of Australia

(DIAA) Australian Dairy

Product Awards, with the

Spreyton site securing four

gold and two silver medals

for butter and milk powder

products, and the trophy

for the best Consumer Pack

Butter in Tasmania.

The Australian Grand Dairy

Awards – now in its 25th year

– honours the highest quality

dairy products throughout

Australia and is the premier

dairy competition in

the nation, celebrating

agriculture and food. Duck

River's eligibility for national

recognition starts with state‑

based recognition and gold

medal victories to ensure

only the highest‑quality

products are up for judging.

Having achieved both

state and now national

acclaim, Duck River stands

as a testament to the

outstanding quality of milk

produced by Tasmanian dairy

farmers and the unwavering

dedication of our expert

butter makers at Spreyton.

This winning combination

ensures consumers are

buying Australia’s finest

crafted butter – only

available in Tasmania.

In this year's competition,

an expert panel of 17 judges

meticulously evaluated

close to 400 of Australia's

top dairy products based on

flavour, aroma, texture, body,

and appearance, affirming

Duck River's excellence

in each category. Judges

described Duck River Butter

as “smooth, creamy and

perfectly salted.”

Fonterra Australia Director of

Supply Chain and Operations

Rob Howell, shared

excitement in Duck River's

back‑to‑back recognition.

“We’re exceptionally proud

to have taken home the

Champion Butter award for

the second year running.

It would not be possible

without our hardworking

Tasmanian farmers and the

skilful craft of our team at

Spreyton who have been

making Duck River Butter for

more than 26 years,” he said.

“Duck River dates back

120 years to 1904, and it’s

clear our butter makers are

honouring the origins and

history of this well‑loved

butter with back‑to‑back

Champion Butters wins,”

Rob added.

Fonterra Australia Senior

Brand Manager, Marketing

Spreads, Linsey Macintosh

said Duck River Butter is

found in more than half

of Tasmanian households,

making it the state’s

number one butter and

spreads brand.

“Duck River Butter is a brand

that Tasmanians know and

love, and consistently choose

to purchase. It doesn’t just

hold the number one spot

in the butter and spreads

category, but it also claims

the number one position

for repeat rate of purchase,”

Linsey said.

“It’s impressive, 90 per

cent of customers come

back again to repurchase,”

she added.

Congratulations to everyone

contributing to the creation

of this iconic butter.

Our Co-op

8

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN 

DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s
















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s



















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year‑on‑year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to December; New Zealand and US to January.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to December; New Zealand to January.

NOTE: Data for Asia, China, Middle East & Africa, Latin America toDecember.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

JANUARY

2024

JANUARY


2023

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2023/24

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2022/23

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

158.5161.4(1.8%)1,012.11,016.2(0.4%)

North Island85.790.6(5.4%)594.5611.4(2.8%)

South Island72.770.82.8%417.6404.83.2%

Australia9.79.52.1%66.566.20.5%

2023/24 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2023/24

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2023/24

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

12 February 2024$7.30‑

$8.30

$7.800.61500.613690%19%

7 December 2023$7.00‑

$8.00

$7.500.61440.613784%18%

As at the most recent update to the 2023/24 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price dated

12 February 2024:

• Fonterra hedged approximately 90% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the

2023/4 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 90%, approximately 19% was hedged with foreign exchange options which have not yet

expired or been exercised.

• If the remaining 10% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 12 February 2024

spot rate of 0.6150, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2024 season would

be 0.6136.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the previous update to

the 2023/24 season Forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 7 December 2023.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN OCT

FEB JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV

DEC

JUN

,
,

,

,

,
,

,

,
,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year‑to‑date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(20 FEBRUARY 2024)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2023)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

22,234413,638

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(22.9%)5.1%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,7223,251

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

7.3%(11. 9%)

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

1.7%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non‑Reference Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2024
    2024-02-29

    • Cheese tops the menu for Lunar New Year. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Australia monthly production increased. New Zealand, EU and US monthly production decreased. • Australia and New Zealand monthly exports increased. EU and US monthly exports decreased. • Latin America,…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update March 2024
    2024-03-28

    • On 21 March, Fonterra announced its 2024 Interim Results. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Australia, New Zealand and US monthly production increased. EU monthly production decreased. • New Zealand monthly exports increased. Australia, EU and US monthly exports decreased. •…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2024
    2024-04-30

    • New Sharesies platform to offer farmers mobile-first share trading. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Australia monthly production increased. New Zealand, US and EU monthly production decreased. • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly exports increased. EU monthly exports decr…”