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Infratil Independent Valuation Update - 30 June 2024

Operational Update28 July 2024IFTUtilities

1994
2024

As at 30 June 2024

Infratil Independent Valuation Update

1
Overview

A number of Infratil's investments have independentvaluations completedas at 30 June,withthoseresults summarised below.

CDC, Longroad, Galileo, Mint, Qscan and RetireAustralia values below reflect the midpoint of the 30 June independent valuations. CDC’s key valuation

methodologies and assumptions were presented as part the NZX valuation announcement on 4 July 2024.

Key valuation methodologies and assumptions underpinning the remaining independent valuations are summarised on the following page and remain

consistent with the 31 March 2024 valuations

1

, except for Longroad (refer below), and an update for the inclusion of storage for Galileo.

The decrease in the Longroad independent valuation is largely attributable to an increase in discount rates outweighing minor positive updates to operating

forecasts.

Independent Valuation Update

Portfolio Companies (NZ$Millions)31 March 202430 June 2024

CDC$4,419.7$4,950.0

Longroad Energy$1,952.0$1,831.0

Galileo$240.7$241.9

Mint Renewables$2.0$13.3

Qscan Group$411.9$424.6

RetireAustralia$464.4$492.9

1. Valuation methodologies and assumptions for 31 March 2024 included here: Infratil FY24 Annual Results Presentation (nzx.com)

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Primary valuation methodology: Sum-of-the-parts

reflecting:

–DCF using FCFE for operating assets, under-

construction projects, and near-term development

projects (projects that are expected to achieve

FNTP within the next 3 calendar years)

–Multiples approach for long-term development

projects (discounted on FNTP year)

–An element of platform value (goodwill)

Forecast period: ~40 years (2065)

Enterprise value: US$6,380m

Equity value: US$2,999m

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Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: 4.6% (Mar 24: 4.4%)

Asset beta: 0.39 - 0.37 (Mar 24: 0.33 / 0.33)

Cost of equity​: 8.75 – 9.00% (Mar 24: 8.25% / 8.5%)

for operating and under-construction assets with an

additional premium risk premium of 0.75% – 1.75%

applied to near-term development assets and 15% for

long-term development pipeline and platform

Terminal value: N/A (finite life assets)

Near-term (3 years) development pipeline: 3,859MW

(Mar 24: 3,859MW)

Long-term development pipeline (5 years): 21,039MW

(Mar 24: 20,052MW)

Multiple for long-term development projects:

US$150/kW (Mar 24: US$175/kW)

Remaining platform value assessed to be around

~8% of total enterprise value

Longroad (37.3%) – US$1,113m


(NZ$1,831m)

Galileo (40%) – €138m (NZ$242m)

Primary valuation methodology: Transaction

multiples for more advanced projects and cost

for entry-stage projects

Equity value: €343.9m

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: n/a (DCF methodology not

adopted)

Asset beta: n/a (DCF methodology not adopted)

Multiples for development projects that are

‘ready to build’ range from €50-400k/MW

depending on country and technology type (i.e.

solar, wind or standalone battery storage)

The valuer assigns a discount (~10-95%) to the

multiple that it considers appropriate as the

project moves towards ‘ready to build’ stage. For

projects that are early to mid-stage of the

development lifecycle, only a small percentage

of the ‘ready to build’ value is captured with the

majority of value being recognised as projects

get close to ‘ready to build’ stage.

Platform premium of ~1% applied

Independent valuation summary

FX Rates: NZD/USD: 0.6080 NZD/EUR: 0.5687 NZD/AUD: 0.9139 NZD/GBP: 0.4814

1. Longroad Equity Value adjusted for committed but uncalled capital included in the independent valuation

Qscan (57.6%) – A$388m (NZ$425m)RetireAustralia (50%) – A$450m (NZ$493m)

Primary valuation methodology: DCF using

FCFF (with a cross check to comparable

companies and precedent transactions)

Forecast period: 40 years (2064)

Enterprise value: A$1,111.0m

Equity value: A$900.9m

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: 3.95%

Asset beta: 0.89

Weighted average cost of capital​: 11.55%

(blended rate)

The valuer adopts different discount rates for

each segment (i.e. existing, brownfield and

greenfield developments) having regard to the

different risk profiles

Terminal growth rate: 2.5%

Primary valuation methodology: DCF using

FCFE (with a cross check to comparable

companies and precedent transactions)

Forecast period: 10 years (2034)

Enterprise value: A$915.9m

Equity value: A$673.4

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: 3.95%

Asset beta: 0.80

Cost of equity​: 13.85%

Terminal growth rate: 3.1%

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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