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Infratil releases Climate Related Disclosures

ESG29 July 2024IFTUtilities

Infratil Limited 5 Market Lane, PO Box 320, Wellington, New Zealand Tel +64-4-473 3663 www.infratil.com
30 July 2024



Infratil releases Climate Related Disclosures


Infratil Limited (Infratil) (NZX/ASX: IFT) is pleased to announce the release of its FY2024 Climate

Related Disclosures (CRD).


This is our second CRD report, and the first under the mandatory NZ Climate Standards regime. We

have sought to be consistent with our FY2023 CRD where appropriate, to support comparability, whilst

also building on the information provided last year to align with the requirements of the NZ Climate

Standards.


This report covers the twelve months to 31 March 2024 and should be read in conjunction with Infratil’s

FY2023 Sustainability Report and CRD and FY2024 Annual Report.


The CRD document is available here.


For additional information on Infratil’s sustainability and responsible investment approach, please see

our website at https://infratil.com/responsible-investment/




Any enquiries should be directed to:


Louise Tong

Executive Director, Sustainability, Risk & Funding

louise.tong@morrisonglobal.com

---

Climate Related Disclosures 2024
Investing wisely in

ideas that matter

Disclaimer
This report sets out our understanding of, and

response to Infratil’s climate-related risks and

opportunities, our approach to scenario analysis,

our current and anticipated impacts of climate

change and our strategy to respond to these risks

and opportunities. This reflects our current

understanding as of 30 July 2024 in respect of our

financial year ending 31 March 2024. Infratil is

required to produce group climate statements

under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013

(FMCA) that comply with the Aotearoa NZ Climate

Standards for FY2024 (1 April 2023 – 31 March

2024).

This report contains disclosures that rely on

early and evolving assessments of current and

forward-looking information, incomplete and

estimated data, and our related judgements,

opinions and assumptions. We have sought to

provide accurate information in respect of

FY2024 but we caution reliance being placed on

representations that are necessarily subject to

significant risks, uncertainties and/or assumptions.

We rely on information and emissions data from

our portfolio companies that may not be complete

or accurate given our portfolio companies are

also evolving their approach to understanding

and reporting on climate-related risks and

opportunities. Climate change is an evolving

challenge, with high levels of uncertainty,

particularly over long-term horizons, given the

climate is dynamic, involves feedback loops,

interdependencies, and tipping points.

Descriptions of the current and anticipated

impacts of climate change on Infratil and the

multiple sectors our business covers, therefore

draw on and/or represent estimates only.

In particular, this document contains forward- looking

statements and opinions about Infratil, Infratil’s

portfolio companies and the environment in which

Infratil operates, including climate-related metrics,

climate scenarios, targets, estimated climate

projections, and statements of Infratil’s future

intentions and performance. It also contains

forward-looking statements regarding Infratil and

our portfolio companies’ business operations,

market conditions, sustainability objectives or

targets and risk management practices. These

statements and opinions necessarily involve

assumptions, forecasts and projections about our

present and future strategies and the environment

in which we will operate in the future, which are

inherently uncertain and subject to contingencies

outside of Infratil’s control and limitations,

particularly as to inputs, available data and

information which is likely to change.

We base those statements and opinions on

reasonable information available to us at the date

of publication. We do not:

• represent those statements and opinions will not

change or will remain correct after publishing

this report, or

• promise to revise or update those statements

and opinions if events or circumstances change

or unanticipated events happen after publishing

this report.

The risks and opportunities described in this report,

and our strategies to achieve our targets, may not

eventuate or may be more or less significant than

anticipated. There are many factors that could

cause Infratil’s actual results, performance or

achievement of climate-related metrics (including

targets) to differ materially from that described,

including economic and technological viability,

climatic, government, consumer, and market

factors outside of Infratil’s control. Infratil is

committed to progressing our response to climate-

related risks and opportunities over time but is

constrained by the novel and developing nature of

this subject matter. We caution reliance on climate-

related forward-looking statements that are

necessarily less reliable than other statements

Infratil may make in its annual reporting. Infratil

gives no representation, warranty or assurance

that actual outcomes or performance will not

materially differ from the forward-looking

statements in this report. We do not accept any

liability whatsoever for any loss arising directly or

indirectly from any use of the information contained

in this report, whether in respect of Infratil and/or

its portfolio companies.

This disclaimer should be read along with the

limitations on page 14.

This report is not an offer document and does not

constitute an offer or invitation or investment

recommendation to distribute or purchase

securities, shares, or other interests. Nothing in this

report should be interpreted as capital growth,

earnings or any other legal, financial, tax or other

advice or guidance. For detailed information on our

financial performance, please refer to our FY2024

disclosures and Annual Report, available here.

1

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024
Contents

00


Introduction

03 Introduction to this report

04 About Infratil

05 Materiality and boundaries

01


Governance

06 Infratil’s ESG governance

07 The role of Infratil’s Board

08 The role of Infratil’s

management

02

Strategy

09 Strategy and current impacts

12 Climate scenarios

and approach

15 Summary of climate risks,

opportunities and impacts

18 Physical risk assessment

24 Transition risks and

opportunities assessment

26 Digital infrastructure

28 Renewable energy

30 Healthcare

32 Airport

34 Draft Transition Plan

03

Risk Management

35 Infratil’s approach to risk

management

04

Metrics and Targets

36 Approach to measurement and

reporting

37 Emissions

38 Climate metrics

39 Targets

Front cover: Rivers of Wind

The artwork featured on the front cover is from Rivers of Wind, a digital artwork by Delainy Jamahl.

Bringing data to life in this mesmerising digital artwork, Delainy Jamahl’s Rivers of Wind uses 8 years of historic weather data from the Wellington

Airport weather station to produce its flowing visuals. Visualising the invisible force that moves us and is often heard howling through our city, Rivers

of Wind explores the intersection of technology and nature and their effect on the human experience.

We are delighted to showcase this local artistic talent, especially because it can be interpreted to represent many of the characteristics of Infratil's

portfolio through the intersection of climate, renewable energy, digital technology, and of course, Wellington Airport.

2

Introduction
3

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Introduction



Back to contents

Climate change is a serious issue for the global

economy and will have a significant impact across

many sectors and businesses.

It is therefore increasingly important for

organisations to understand and disclose their

climate-related risks and opportunities to allow

stakeholders to make informed decisions.

Recognising this, in 2021, the New Zealand

Government enacted legislation¹ to require

mandatory climate-related disclosures for

certain companies, known as Climate Reporting

Entities (‘CRE’). After a period of consultation,

the External Reporting Board (‘XRB’) issued the

Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards

(‘NZ Climate Standards’ or ‘NZ CS’)². These

mandatory standards provide a framework to

consider climate-related risks and opportunities

broadly in line with the Taskforce on Climate-

related Financial Disclosures (‘TCFD’) framework,

covering Governance, Strategy, Risk Management,

Metrics and Targets.

The aim of these Standards is to support the

allocation of capital towards activities that are

consistent with a transition to a low-emissions,

climate-resilient future. As a large NZX-listed

company, Infratil Limited (‘Infratil’) is deemed

to be a CRE and is required to report in line with

the NZ Climate Standards for FY2024. Infratil

voluntarily prepared Climate-Related Disclosures

('CRD') in FY2023. This is Infratil’s first mandatory

CRD. Infratil’s FY2024 CRD comply with the

NZ Climate Standards.

In preparing this report, we have relied on the following Adoption Provisions from NZ CS 2:

Adoption Provision number and description Comment

1 – Current climate-related financial impacts We have endeavoured to provide quantification of impacts where possible and will look to continue to

refine this aspect in future reports.

2 – Anticipated financial impacts (physical and

transition risks and opportunities)

At the portfolio level, we have quantified anticipated financial impacts from the physical effects of climate

change in the 'worst case' scenario that we have assessed (SSP5-8.5), but we have not yet disclosed

anticipated financial impacts from climate-related transition risks and opportunities.

3 – Transition planWe have included a draft Transition Plan in this report and we will look to refine this aspect of our strategy

once anticipated regulatory guidance has been released.

6 – Comparatives for metricsSome metrics are reported for the first time in FY2024, so comparatives and analysis of trends are not yet

possible for these metrics.

7 – Analysis of trends

Intended audience

The objective of the NZ Climate Standards is to enable Primary Users to assess the merits of how entities are considering climate-related risks and

opportunities and then make decisions based on those assessments. The Standards define Primary Users as ‘existing and potential investors, lenders

and other creditors’. Outside of Morrison, Infratil has no material creditors, and therefore we consider Infratil’s Primary Users to be our existing and

potential shareholders, bondholders and the banks that provide funding and other services to Infratil.

We note that Infratil’s investors and bondholders include a mix of large, institutional investors as well as retail investors. We have endeavoured to

provide a level of detail, graphics, and suitable language to enable the spectrum of our investors and lenders to engage with and understand this

report and glean useful insights.

1. The Financial Sector (Climate-related Disclosures and Other Matters)

Amendment Act 2021

2. Aotearoa New Zealand Climate Standards » XRB

Approved on behalf of the Board on 30 July 2024.

Alison Gerry Anne Urlwin

Director Director

Introduction
About Infratil

Infratil is an infrastructure investment company that

invests wisely in ideas that matter; in things that

societies need now and will need more of in the

future such as renewable electricity, data centres,

telecommunications networks, and healthcare.

Infratil’s portfolio has incorporated sustainability

characteristics since its inception in 1994, with

our initial investments including renewable energy

company Trustpower (now Manawa Energy). Infratil

views decarbonisation as a macro-trend tailwind

that forms a key part of the rationale behind our

renewable energy platform. Infratil’s deepening

conviction in this macro-trend is reflected in our

investment in renewable generation development

companies in the US (Longroad Energy, 2016), in

New Zealand and Australia with the establishment

of Tilt Renewables in 2016 (sold in 2021) and now

Mint Renewables (2022), and further afield in

Europe (Galileo, 2020) and in Asia (Gurīn Energy,

2021).

Infratil's portfolio diversity is an important attribute

that we take into consideration when assessing our

climate risks and opportunities. Infratil’s portfolio is

diversified both by sector and geographically, with

a presence across 17 countries. Most of Infratil’s

portfolio companies have assets that are

geographically spread across the jurisdictions in

which they operate. This diversification increases

our resilience to climate-related physical risks and

emerging transition risks, as well as providing

exposure to climate-related opportunities, such as

opportunities created by regulatory changes to

support renewable energy investments.

Infratil has its own Board, but no directly employed

staff – instead it contracts to Morrison for its day-

to-day activities, including investment

management. This provides Infratil with greater

access to expertise, flexible resource, and broader

networks than we could probably achieve as a

conventionally resourced company. A recent

Infratil now has a presence across 17 countries

4

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Introduction

example of this is the appointment of James

Shaw, New Zealand’s former Minister for Climate

Change, as an Operating Partner at Morrison,

announced in May 2024.

With the support of Morrison, Infratil seeks to

integrate material Environmental, Social and

Governance (‘ESG’) issues, including those relating

to climate change, through the investment

process. Further details regarding Infratil’s

Manager, and its approach to ESG integration are

set out on page 6 of Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability

Report, which was published in August 2023.

Around the same time, Infratil also released its

updated Climate Statement and refreshed its

investment Exclusion Policy.

In 2023, the Science Based Targets initiative

(‘SBTi’) approved Infratil’s near-term science-

based operational and portfolio emissions

reduction targets, making Infratil the first company

in New Zealand to achieve this status under the

SBTi’s Financial Institution framework. Details are

set out on page 39 of this report.

About this report

Set out in this report are Infratil’s FY2024 climate-

related disclosures, covering Governance,

Strategy, Risk Management, and Metrics & Targets.

This is our second CRD report, and the first under

the mandatory NZ Climate Standards regime. We

have sought to be consistent with our FY2023 CRD

where appropriate, to support comparability, whilst

also building on the information provided last

year in order to align with the requirements of

the NZ Climate Standards.

We have also sought to incorporate feedback from

stakeholders on last year’s report – for example,

the ‘key takeaways’ light purple bubbles on some

pages have been added in response to suggestions

from readers of last year’s report.

This report covers the twelve months to 31 March

2024 and should be read in conjunction with

Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report and Climate

Related Disclosures and the FY2024 Annual

Report.

CDC

Qscan

RetireAustralia

Mint Renewables

Gurīn Energy

Kao Data

Galileo

Longroad Energy

Clearvision

One NZ

CDC

Manawa Energy

RHCNZ

Wellington Airport

Fortysouth



Back to contents

Introduction
Materiality and boundaries

As set out on page 14 of NZ CS 3, the XRB defines

information as material if ‘omitting, misstating or

obscuring it could reasonably be expected to

influence decisions that Primary Users (capitals

added) make based on an entity’s climate-related

disclosures.’

To determine materiality, and in alignment with

Infratil’s approach in its ESG materiality assessment

undertaken in 2023, we have sought to adopt a

double materiality approach, considering both

Infratil’s GHG emissions profile and the impact of

climate change risks and opportunities for Infratil.

We have considered both financial impacts and

non-financial impacts such as reputation and

stakeholder impacts. We have also considered

what our Primary Users might reasonably expect to

be included in this report, for example, if there was

wide media coverage of damage to an asset or

facility, but the financial impacts were not material

at the Infratil level, we are likely to include it in our

CRD because a Primary User might consider it

unusual not to reference the event.

Although we have provided detailed disclosures at

the portfolio and sector level for transition risks and

opportunities, and at the sector and asset level for

physical climate risks, we have generally not

included their underlying value chains in our risk

and impacts assessments.

How we have determined materiality and set

boundaries is tailored for different components

of this report, which we summarise here.

5

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Introduction

Strategy

a) Current impacts

We have limited our disclosures on current impacts

to Infratil and all of its portfolio companies (typically

not extending to value chains) from climate or

extreme weather-related events that

we are

currently aware of

and/or actually occurred in

the reporting period or shortly thereafter.

b) Physical impacts

We have endeavoured to assess the impacts to

portfolio companies (typically not extending to

their value chains, unless stated otherwise within

the report) from a range of climate perils. We have

included Material Portfolio Companies³ which

collectively comprise over 95% of the portfolio by

fair value⁴.

We have sought to aggregate the assessed

impacts to assets for each platform and disclose

the findings at that level, regardless of size. We

have been able to provide this level of detail

because there are only a limited number of physical

sites/assets assessed as being both high/highly

exposed and vulnerable to one or more climate

perils.

We have just sought to quantify financial impacts

to the physical sites/assets, and not the financial

impacts to operations and/or earnings.

c) Transitional impacts

We disclose

qualitative transitional climate impacts

on a platform level that are informed by

consideration of the climate-related risks and

opportunities facing each sector, including some

supply chain impacts where they might have a

material impact at sector level.

Risk

Infratil’s risk management system focuses on risks

relevant to Infratil itself, and risks that are relevant at

the portfolio level.

We have therefore not disclosed information in this

section regarding the risk management systems

operated by the portfolio companies.

Metrics and Targets

a) Emissions reporting

We have released a FY2024 Greenhouse Gas

(‘GHG’) Emissions Basis of Preparation document

(‘Basis of Preparation’) for Infratil’s emissions

reporting, alongside this report.

Even though some portfolio companies’ Scope 1

and 2 emissions are below 5% of Infratil’s total

financed emissions, we have included all portfolio

companies in our emissions measurement and

reporting boundary.

As noted in our Basis of Preparation, we exclude

some business travel emissions for Infratil, namely

land transport, because they are deemed

immaterial (< 5% of total business travel).

b) Other climate metrics

Emissions intensity metrics follow the above

materiality approach, and, for the financial

components of the metrics, our approach aligns

with that used for financial data in our Annual

Report.

For other metrics, such as climate investment, we

have surveyed all our portfolio companies to try and

provide as complete a picture as possible.

We note that the portfolio companies are at

different stages of maturity for identifying and

precisely quantifying these financial climate

metrics.

All financial data is in New Zealand dollars unless

specified otherwise.

c) Targets

We follow the SBTi guidance for materiality in

respect of our target.

We report all portfolio companies that set, or

commit to setting, SBTi targets, regardless of size.



Back to contents

3 All portfolio companies in the reporting boundary except: Mint Renewables, Fortysouth, Gurīn Energy and Galileo.

4. As set out on page 27 of Infratil’s FY2024 Annual Report, fair value is the market value of listed investments, or book value in the case of Mint Renewables and Fortysouth, or reflects

independent valuations prepared for Infratil for all other portfolio companies.

Governance
6

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 01 Governance

3. Infratil’s approach to responsible investment

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Manager of Infratil, A publicly-listed

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Infratil’s ESG Governance

This graphic illustrates Infratil’s governance

structure for ESG issues, including in relation

to climate change.



Back to contents

Governance
Strategy:Infratil’s Board has responsibility for approving and monitoring Infratil’s strategic direction and investment strategy.

Infratil’s Board regularly reviews the Company’s strategy in light of the latest view on megatrends, macroeconomic

outlook, and industry tailwinds, including those related to climate. For example, Infratil has significant investments in

renewable energy, identified as a growth sector in the context of broader decarbonisation of the energy system.

Screening and investment:

For potential investments in a new portfolio company that meets the screening criteria in Infratil’s Exclusion Policy,

Infratil seeks to identify and consider material ESG issues, including in relation to climate, as part of its due diligence in

the investment process. Infratil has regard to Morrison’s Sustainability Framework (set out on its website here), and

Infratil’s own recently refreshed sustainability strategy and objectives (see page 10 of our FY2023 Sustainability

Report).

Relevant, material findings from any ESG due diligence process are presented to the Board as part of the overall

investment analysis and inform investment recommendations ultimately approved by the Board. Infratil’s Board

periodically reviews and approves Infratil’s Exclusion Policy.

Asset management and portfolio

company engagement:

Infratil’s Board has contracted Morrison to undertake the day-to-day management of Infratil’s investment portfolio, with

ESG and climate considerations increasingly integrated into the investment management process.

The Infratil Board also engages directly with most portfolio companies, including, as relevant, on climate-related issues

– for example the opportunities presented by the transition to low carbon electricity generation is an area of focus for

companies in Infratil’s renewable energy platform.

Formal risk governance: The Board has responsibility for ensuring that Infratil has appropriate risk management and regulatory compliance

policies in place and for monitoring the integrity of those policies as risk management mitigation strategies and/or

controls. Infratil’s Audit and Risk Committee (‘ARC’), a sub-committee of the Board, holds delegated responsibility for

Infratil’s Enterprise Risk Management (‘ERM’) system. The ARC has approximately four scheduled meetings p.a. and

the Chair of the ARC provides a summary of key issues discussed at each ARC meeting to the Board at the immediately

following Board meeting.

The ERM risk register includes specific climate-related risks, including transition risk, physical risk, greenwashing and

litigation risk, regulatory risk, and carbon prices. The ARC receives approximately semi-annual reporting on Infratil’s

risks from Infratil’s CFO and Treasurer, including climate risks and escalates issues to the Board in certain circumstances

as set out in the Risk section on page 35.

Reporting:

Infratil’s ARC reviews and reports to the Board on the preparation, review, verification, and assurance processes in

relation to sustainability reports and CRD. The Board is responsible for approving these reports and the climate

scenarios that the analysis underpinning the CRD are based on. Infratil’s approach to emissions measurement and

reporting is set out in its Basis of Preparation documents available here.

The Board considers climate-related issues and disclosures regularly across its approximately eight scheduled

meetings each year (and at ad hoc meetings as required).

Sustainability strategy and

initiatives:

Infratil’s Board is responsible for approving Infratil’s sustainability strategy, which incorporates a focus on climate and

nature – details are set out on page 10 of Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report.

The Board is also responsible for approving sustainability initiatives, including those relating to climate – for example, in

2023, the Board reviewed and approved Infratil’s emissions reduction targets, which were subsequently validated by

the SBTi. The Board receives updates at least annually from Infratil’s Executive Director, Sustainability, regarding

Infratil’s progress against its operational and portfolio SBTi emissions reduction targets.


7

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 01 Governance

a) Board: Infratil’s Board has overall responsibility for ESG governance, including oversight of climate-related risks and opportunities.



Back to contents

All Infratil’s directors are members of Chapter

Zero (or equivalent in other jurisdictions), the

New Zealand chapter of a global network of

board directors committed to taking action on

climate change. Chapter Zero is hosted by the

New Zealand Institute of Directors and supports

directors with climate awareness, skills, and

tools to steward their companies through the

challenges presented by climate change.

Various other sources of expertise and

assistance are also available to Infratil’s

directors that help to keep them informed on

climate-related matters, including:

• Morrison staff and external parties

provide expertise in climate change,

decarbonisation, and renewable energy and

changes to the regulatory landscape,

including in relation to climate change.

• Infratil’s investment in Clearvision Ventures

(‘Clearvision’) provides insights on the latest

international developments in technology,

including climate tech.

Given we have no directly employed staff,

ESG-linked remuneration is not relevant for

Infratil. Infratil's Management Agreement with

Morrison does not have remuneration

specifically linked to ESG or climate-related

KPIs, but these factors are seen as being

fundamental to long-term investment

performance.

At the portfolio company level, Infratil seeks to

support alignment of objectives by encouraging

incorporation of explicit ESG targets and

commitments, including in relation to climate.

One example is Wellington Airport that applies

an ESG modifier to its executive remuneration

scheme.

Governance
Infratil CEO and CFO:• Review and support Infratil investment recommendations that are made to the Infratil Board, having regard to the Exclusion Policy criteria.

• Are responsible for periodically reviewing updates to the Exclusion Policy and recommending these to the Board.

• Have oversight of the due diligence (‘DD’) process for any new investments, which typically includes ESG DD.

• Have oversight of, review and recommend to the Infratil Board for approval: the annual CRD, the Sustainability Reports and other reports that include ESG elements,

such as the Annual Report.

Investment Committee (‘IC’):The IC is governed by a Charter; membership includes the CEO of Morrison and other senior Morrison executives/partners, which currently includes Infratil’s CEO. The IC

helps to ensure investment opportunities are in line with Infratil’s strategy, including its sustainability strategy. The IC’s role includes:

• Reviewing and interrogating any primary research conclusions and sector plans.

• Reviewing and endorsing Infratil’s Exclusion Policy and ensuring new investment opportunities satisfy Exclusion Policy criteria.

• Reviewing investment opportunities and posing questions to the Morrison Investment Team, including on any material ESG matters.

• Approving further investigation and due diligence for investment opportunities.

• Providing recommendations regarding investment opportunities to the Board, with the support of the Infratil CEO and CFO. Recommendations are made in light of any

material ESG considerations, including any material ESG issues raised in the DD process.

Asset Management Committee

(‘AMC’):

The AMC is governed by a Charter; membership is determined by the IC having regard to the desired skills set out in the Charter. The AMC meets quarterly to review

performance of portfolio companies, including in relation to ESG. Quarterly reviews sometimes deep dive into ESG themes such as decarbonisation. ESG maturity and

performance benchmarking outcomes are reported to the AMC by the Morrison Investment Team on a quarterly basis. The AMC subsequently provides an update to the IC

which highlights any material ESG issues for consideration by the IC.

Morrison Investment Team:The Investment Team’s key responsibilities include:

• Originating and assessing investment opportunities in line with Infratil’s investment strategy and sustainability strategy and objectives and screening investment

opportunities in line with Infratil’s Exclusion Policy. The Investment Team prepares the investment paper and presents recommendations to the IC which typically include

any material ESG DD findings.

• Developing onboarding plans, including for management of material ESG issues.

• Developing senior management KPIs which may include an ESG-linked component.

• Optimising value through good management of the investments, including in relation to ESG issues. The Investment Team may provide input into or review material capex

undertaken by portfolio companies in relation to climate transition or resilience, including through climate transition risk analysis.

• Reviewing portfolio company reporting, which may incorporate ESG elements.

• Supporting coordination of ESG data and information required for Infratil’s ESG reporting, including Infratil’s Sustainability Reports and Climate Related Disclosures.

Various Morrison Investment Team members also have an important governance role as directors of Infratil’s portfolio companies. In this role they are responsible for the

oversight of the company strategy, sustainability strategy, risk management (including in relation to ESG and climate-related risks) and approval of any climate/ESG

reporting, initiatives and investment undertaken by the portfolio companies’ management teams.

Morrison Sustainable Investment

team and Infratil’s Executive

Director, Sustainability

(together the Sustainability

Team):

The Sustainability Team leads the ESG materiality assessment process for Infratil and develops or updates Infratil’s sustainability strategy and objectives, informed by the

materiality assessment. It is also responsible for:

• Keeping abreast of ESG developments and stakeholder expectations.

• Drafting Infratil’s Exclusion Policy and updates.

• Overseeing the ESG component of DD for any new investments or propositions and providing subject matter expert input on any actual or potential material sustainability

issues identified.

• Communicating ESG expectations and supporting new portfolio companies to develop and implement sustainability action plans.

• Ongoing engagement with portfolio companies on their material ESG issues in line with Infratil’s sustainability strategy and objectives e.g. providing support for GRESB

assessments.

• Developing and recommending ESG initiatives to Infratil’s Board for approval, such as Infratil’s SBTi-validated targets.

• Preparing various internal and external ESG reporting for Infratil, including the Sustainability Report and CRD. This includes collecting and collating ESG data with

reference to recognised frameworks and standards, investigating, selecting and recommending climate scenarios and coordinating assurance (e.g. for GHG emissions).


8

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 01 Governance

b) Management: As Infratil has no directly employed staff, Infratil’s Board has contracted Morrison to undertake the day-to-day management of Infratil’s investment portfolio. All sustainability workstreams are

undertaken and/or overseen by Morrison.



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In carrying out the above roles and responsibilities, we seek to integrate material ESG and climate-related issues through the investment process. An outline of how we seek to integrate ESG and climate issues is

set out in Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report (page 16).

Strategy
Investment strategy

Infratil is a high conviction infrastructure investor

focused on investing wisely in ideas that matter.

This means identifying and delivering the essential

services that society needs today and will continue

to require in the future. Our investment strategy is

to focus on sectors and businesses that:

• have strong defensive characteristics, resilient

to a range of economic and financial conditions;

• operate sustainably and support their

communities;

• offer growth opportunities supported by macro

or industry tailwinds; and

• provide opportunities to reinvest and build

large-scale infrastructure.

Our portfolio currently comprises investments

in renewable energy, digital infrastructure,

healthcare, and an airport.

Infratil has an important role to play to help

businesses, households and communities

decarbonise, while also managing the impacts

of climate change. In particular, our renewable

energy platform presents a material investment

opportunity for Infratil. This segment of our portfolio

includes investment in early stage through to

mature renewable energy development

companies, with current and pipeline renewable

generation projects across four continents and 29

markets. These companies are quite deliberately

exposed to the growth opportunities associated

with the global focus on decarbonisation through

increasing the proportion of clean energy

generation, as well as through electrification of

transport, heat, and industrial processes. As at

31 March 2024, the fair value of Infratil’s

investment in this segment was $3,160 million,

an increase of nearly $700 million or 28% since

FY2023. We cover this in some detail in our

FY2024 Annual Report (pages 27 and 40-49).

Sustainability strategy

Our sustainability strategy, which was refreshed

last year (set out on page 10 of our FY2023

Sustainability Report) has a ‘Climate & Nature’

pillar, recognising that Infratil and its portfolio

companies collectively have a role to play to

catalyse a rapid and efficient transition to a low-

carbon, resilient future, whilst protecting and

restoring nature. The three areas of focus to

achieve that objective are:

• investing to enable the transition, in a way

that builds resilience. Examples include

decarbonisation of energy systems through

renewable generation development, supporting

the transition to a sustainable aviation sector,

enabling remote working through our digital

infrastructure platform, and supporting

connectivity during crises.

• setting SBTi-validated emissions reduction

targets. The SBTi has approved Infratil’s

operational and portfolio emissions reduction

targets, the first financial institution in

New Zealand to achieve that status.

Details are set out on page 39.

• understanding, managing, and reporting on

impacts to nature. Recognising that supply

chains can have environmental and social

impacts, Infratil has established a supplier code

of conduct, and we encourage our portfolio

companies to do the same. Through GRESB⁵,

we encourage our portfolio companies to

measure and disclose their biodiversity impacts

where this is a material issue for them.

Current impacts

Here we set out some observed recent transition

and physical climate-related impacts on Infratil and

its portfolio companies. We have provided

quantification where possible, here and in the

‘Metrics and Targets’ section on page 38, noting

some financial impacts are commercially sensitive,

not known or complex to quantify.

a) Physical impacts:

Climate change is already impacting the frequency

and severity of extreme weather events in the

regions in which Infratil’s portfolio companies

operate. However, Infratil’s assets are

geographically diverse both at the portfolio level

and, with the exception of Wellington Airport, at the

company level. This provides a mitigant against

material physical damage from any single climate-

related event.

In FY2022 and FY2023, some assets owned by

Infratil’s portfolio companies were negatively

impacted by extreme rainfall, floods, and hail,

which we covered in our FY2023 CRD.

In some cases, costs related to those events were

incurred in FY2024 – our portfolio companies have

quantified a proportionate total of $3.3 million of

such costs.

In the current reporting period, we are not aware

of any material, negative climate-related physical

impacts on assets owned by Infratil’s portfolio

companies.

b) Transition impacts:

Market: The most material aspect of the transition

to a low-emissions economy impacting Infratil

today is the abovementioned global shift to

decarbonisation of electricity generation, and the

opportunity that creates for investment in our

global renewable energy platform.

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

5. GRESB Infrastructure Asset Assessments provide the basis for systematic reporting, objective scoring and peer benchmarking of ESG management and performance of infrastructure assets.

6. Development pipeline represents the renewable generation and battery storage options that Infratil’s renewable energy portfolio companies have secured, providing them with rights to

progress projects through development and into construction/operation as and when market conditions suit.



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The companies in our Renewable Energy platform

collectively have a development pipeline⁶ that has

increased from over 30GW in FY2023 to over

50GW in FY2024. The near term financial impact

of this opportunity is reflected by the proportionate

capital expenditure (‘capex’) in our renewable

energy platform. In FY2024 proportionate capex

across all Infratil’s renewable energy companies

was $963 million, more than twice that in FY2023

($399 million). Looking more broadly across

Infratil’s total renewable energy platform, we can

see that the decarbonisation tailwind has

contributed at least in part to the fair value uplift of

nearly $700 million (28%) between 31 March 2023

and 31 March 2024. These increases are not all

directly attributable to this opportunity alone

because there is a complex, wide-ranging mix of

factors involved.

Climate change considerations are

incorporated into both our investment strategy

and our sustainability strategy.

We are already observing some impacts from

climate change. Last year Infratil’s portfolio

companies experienced some physical impacts

of climate change; this year the impacts are

concentrated in transition risks and

opportunities, notably the costs of climate

disclosure regulations and resilience measures.

There were also opportunities evident in

FY2024, predominantly in relation to Infratil’s

ESG ratings, its climate-related portfolio

investments, and portfolio company

sustainable finance.

Strategy
10

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Another, related issue is the growing market focus

on energy use by data centres, particularly with

the advent of AI computing, and any potential

impact that might have on wider decarbonisation

ambitions for companies and governments.

As noted on page 33 of Infratil’s FY2024 Annual

Report, CDC’s development pipeline has increased

by over 400MW to 536MW in FY2024.

Given the abovementioned wider concerns, CDC

is committed to growing and operating sustainably.

The company is moving towards net zero carbon by

2030 in Australia, and both CDC’s New Zealand

campuses use 100% renewable power and are

Toitū enviromark diamond certified, recognising

they exceed the requirements of ISO 14001

standards. The total proportionate incremental

cost to all our portfolio companies, including CDC,

for securing renewable energy supply is covered in

the ‘Metrics and Targets’ section on page 38.

ESG Ratings: As a listed entity, a growing

proportion of Infratil’s equity investors use ESG

ratings as an input into their investment decisions

– these ratings invariably include climate

considerations. Infratil is engaging with a range of

ESG rating agencies, with the aim of securing

appropriate industry classifications and ultimately

more accurate and improved ESG ratings for

Infratil. This is important to Infratil as equity markets

and ESG indices continue to evolve and mature

and as we look to secure appropriately priced,

long-term capital for growth.

Infratil’s CDP Rating, which is intended to reflect

corporate progress and action on climate change,

has improved over the last few years, reflecting

Infratil’s increasing transparency and action on

climate issues. This year’s rating will also reflect

that Infratil now has SBTi-validated emissions

reduction targets.

Infratil is classified in the ‘Financial Services’ sector

for this rating and now has a score equivalent to the

Oceania and Global Averages, but is below the

2023 sector average score of B.

Climate disclosure regulations

sweeping the globe

Governments around the world are seeking to

regulate greater disclosure on climate risks and

opportunities, to support more informed capital

allocation decisions.

Whilst mandates and timeframes vary across

jurisdictions, the disclosure standards

generally follow the high level Taskforce on

Climate-related Financial Disclosures (‘TCFD’)

framework. Jurisdictions that are relevant for

Infratil’s portfolio companies either directly,

or because it will impact their capital providers

and/or value chains, include (subject to certain

thresholds):

CountryEntitiesStarting from

AustraliaLarge & listed

companies

and financials

2025

EULarge & listed

companies

2026

SingaporeLarge & listed

companies

2025

UKLarge & listed

companies

and LLPs

2024



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It is not possible to discern a quantified financial

impact from improved ESG ratings, as Infratil’s

investors and lenders make decisions based on

a range of factors. However, we know that ESG

ratings are used by many of our institutional

investors, as well as being used to construct some

ESG indices and investment products such as

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).

Closer to home, New Zealand investment firm

Forsyth Barr has assigned Infratil a Carbon & ESG

score of B+ in 2023, up from C+ in 2022.

Forsyth Barr has developed a quantified Carbon &

ESG adjustment to its weighted average cost of

capital (WACC) that feeds into its valuation

models. All else being equal, a move from C+ to B+

ESG rating lowers (improves) the WACC used by

Forsyth Barr by 0.15%. Whilst this serves to improve

the target share price recommended by Forsyth

Barr (all else being equal), it is not possible to

discern a direct financial impact from this for Infratil.

Policy & Legal: We continue to observe shifts in the

policy and legal landscape. Particular Government

climate policies in the USA, Europe, Asia and

New Zealand generally support and/or incentivise

greater renewable generation development.

Infratil’s significant renewable energy portfolio is

exposed to this opportunity.

We discussed the impact associated with the

US Inflation Reduction Act, which is the key

climate-related regulation for Infratil, in our

FY2023 Sustainability Report (page 19).

Our FY2024 Annual Report (page 44) provides an

update on emerging risks associated with this key

policy, and, on pages 40-49, the growth

opportunities for each of our renewable energy

portfolio companies in some detail.

Whilst we can’t attribute all of the uplift in

Longroad’s value and capital expenditure directly

to the Inflation Reduction Act, because there is a

complex, wide-ranging mix of factors involved, we

know that the policy is supportive of renewable

energy development in the US. Longroad’s fair

value has increased NZ$369 million (23%) since

31 March 2023 and proportionate capex was

$826 million in FY2024 (+138% on FY2023).

Shifts in the policy and legal landscape also

present risks for Infratil. Regulations requiring

climate-related disclosures affect Infratil and its

portfolio companies. There is an increasing number

of jurisdictions in which Infratil’s portfolio

companies operate that have enacted or are

considering climate disclosure legislation.

Manawa Energy and Wellington Airport are CREs

under New Zealand’s climate disclosure regime.

Australia is proposing mandatory climate reporting

legislation (see insert), which might mean CDC,

Qscan and RetireAustralia are required to produce

climate disclosures in coming years.

Our other portfolio companies are not yet directly

impacted by climate disclosure regulations, but

their lenders, customers and suppliers may be

required to report, so may start to require more

information from them. In addition, they are also

providing greater levels of climate-related

information to Infratil.

Infratil is supportive of the greater transparency that

these regulations provide, though we also

acknowledge that fulfilling these reporting

requirements means exposure to compliance risk,

involves some cost, and requires resourcing.

We disclose total expenditure on disclosures by

Infratil and proportionate expenditure reported by our

portfolio companies in the ‘Metrics and Targets’

section on page 38.


D-Disclosure

F- Failure to provide sufficient information to be evaluated

Pe-202220222023

Awareness

Management

Leadership

D

C-

C

B-

B

A-

A

FDC

Strategy
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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Sustainable Finance: Infratil and its portfolio

companies are also experiencing increasing

scrutiny and engagement on ESG issues, including

in relation to climate change, from lenders,

investors, and customers. The direction of travel

is clear – stakeholders are requiring greater

disclosures and expect companies to credibly

demonstrate they are managing their ESG

issues well.

Nearly 10% of Infratil’s portfolio (by fair value) is

funded at least in part by sustainable finance.

Working with its lenders and to reflect its renewable

energy generation portfolio, Manawa Energy

integrated sustainability into its debt funding

through the use of sustainable finance. Manawa

Energy’s Sustainable Finance Framework,

published in October 2023, sets out how the

company intends to issue and manage debt in

alignment with relevant sustainable finance

principles and guidelines. All of Manawa Energy's

current bonds on issue ($375 million face value)

are now green bonds, representing 83% of the

company’s total net debt as at 31 March 2024.

As covered in Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report

(page 24), Wellington Airport also has sustainable

finance in place, with $100 million of its bank

facilities converted to sustainability-linked loans in

2023. The conversion to sustainability-linked

lending means Wellington Airport’s will be charged

a lower interest cost and line fee if the company

achieves the sustainability goals and may incur a

higher interest cost if those goals are not achieved.

We are not able to quantify the exact benefit of the

above sustainable finance funding because it is

difficult to discern (for Manawa Energy) and

commercially sensitive (for Wellington Airport).

There was some financial cost incurred in relation

to these sustainable finance structures. We include

proportionate expenditure on sustainable finance

initiatives in the ‘Metrics and Targets’ section on

page 38.

Climate friendly by design

First Solar’s new Series 7 thin-film solar panels

are designed with sustainability in mind,

featuring as much as 16% recycled content,

including semiconductor materials, glass, steel,

busbar, and ribbon. The module is First Solar’s

most eco-efficient product to date.

According to First Solar, Series 7 panels feature

a carbon and water footprint nearly four times

lower than conventional crystalline silicon

modules manufactured in China and an energy

payback time approximately five times faster.

First Solar cites that its Series 7 modules take

just two months to produce more energy than

was required to create them, corresponding to

a 180-fold energy return on investment (EROI)

over a 30-year project lifetime.



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Insurance: Several of our portfolio companies have

told us that their insurance costs have recently

increased. The key drivers appear to be increased

construction costs and some degree, albeit difficult

to discern, of climate-related costs.

Our portfolio companies have indicated that about

$15 million of assets (on a proportionate basis) are

not insured due to unavailability or unaffordability

as a consequence of climate change risk.

Reputation: As set out in our sustainability

strategy, we recognise that to have a reputation as

an ESG leader, we need to be transparent,

collaborative, follow credible ESG (and climate)

standards and frameworks and set ambitious

targets. Our SBTi emissions reductions targets are

one example of how we are seeking to achieve that

objective; another example is the reporting

standards and frameworks that we follow, as set

out on page 23 of our FY2023 Sustainability

Report.

It is too complex to quantify the financial impacts

from this, because so many factors contribute to

Infratil’s reputation. However, there are several

benefits from having a good reputation on climate-

related issues, including reduced risk of climate

litigation, and enhanced ability to secure

attractively priced capital. Reputation underpins

our broader social licence to operate.

Carbon and Electricity: Some of our portfolio

companies purchase carbon offsets, and/or

renewable energy contracts. We set out the

financial impacts in the ‘Metrics and Targets’

section on page 38.

Technology: Infratil has a lens into the technology

opportunities presented by climate change

through our US$100 million commitment to

Clearvision, which we refer to on page 25 of our

FY2023 Sustainability Report. Some examples of

how this has manifested has been the introduction

of Jupiter and Persefoni platforms to Infratil, which

might not have otherwise happened. We have

included Infratil’s costs associated with subscribing

to these platforms in the Metrics and Targets

section on page 38. While these platforms have

been useful to support Infratil’s climate

assessments and disclosures, the direct financial

impact is assessed as not being material to Infratil.

Climate change related technology developments

present new investment opportunities for Infratil

and its portfolio companies. For example,

Longroad’s new 220MW solar and 214MW storage

project ‘Serrano’ in Arizona, which reached

financial close in March this year, is its first project

to use First Solar’s domestically manufactured

Series 7 panels. As well as producing clean energy,

these panels are designed and manufactured with

sustainability in mind – see insert. Given the

Serrano project is still in construction, and the

wide-range range of factors to consider, along with

a high degree of commercial sensitivity, it is not

possible to quantify any associated financial

impacts.

Another example is One NZ’s SpaceX collaboration

(see page 32 of the FY2023 Sustainability Report).

This opportunity is too early stage to quantify any

material associated financial impacts.

Strategy: summary of scenarios and approach
Climate change presents transition and physical

risks, as well as a range of opportunities, as

described in the table on the right.

While we are relying on some of the Adoption

Provisions in relation to disclosure of current and

anticipated financial impacts, we have sought to

evolve our approach to incorporate tools that will

increasingly enable us to make more quantitative

disclosures on the resilience of our portfolio

companies and their assets to climate change.

We also expect to integrate insights from our

climate-related risks and opportunities analysis

under our Physical Assessment Scenarios and

Transition Assessment Scenarios into our business

processes (risk reviews, valuation processes,

investment management processes and portfolio

company engagement) as we continue to refine

our approach.

Infratil’s approach to managing climate-

related risks and opportunities

Infratil’s risk management system focuses on risks

that are relevant and material for Infratil itself, and

at the portfolio level. We discuss our risk processes

– how we identify, assess and manage our risks – in

the ‘Risk Management’ section on page 35. The

climate-related risks in Infratil’s risk register are

summarised on pages 15-16.

Infratil seeks to ensure that risks are identified and

managed at the portfolio company level through its

governance and investment management

processes described in the section above. Infratil’s

board monitors, but does not manage, individual

company-level risks - many of which would not

individually be material at the Infratil level.

However, Infratil’s sector and portfolio company

level risks obviously have relevance to the Infratil

portfolio level risks - as detailed in the table on

page 15. We have set out our view of sector-level

climate-related risks and opportunities on

pages 26-33, which has helped to inform our

climate transition modelling and analysis.

Climate change impactDefinition

Physical RiskIn the context of this report, physical risk is the risk of damage to

the buildings, sites and assets because of greater exposure to the

physical impacts of climate change. These might be acute risks, like

the risk to damage from increasingly frequent or severe extreme

weather events, or chronic risks, such as the risk of temperatures

and sea levels continuing to gradually rise over time. Physical risks

may have financial implications arising from direct impacts to assets

or indirect impacts from disruption to supply chains and supporting

infrastructure. Physical risks can also impact a company’s financial

performance via changes in water availability, extreme

temperatures affecting operation of a site, or disruption to transport

for staff, customers, and suppliers.

Transition RiskTransitioning to a lower-carbon economy may entail extensive

policy, legal, technology, and market changes to address mitigation

and adaptation requirements related to climate change. Depending

on the nature, speed, and focus of these changes, transition risks

potentially pose varying levels of financial and reputational impacts.

OpportunitiesThe transition to a low carbon economy can also present

opportunities for organisations, for example the opportunity to

invest in renewable energy generation development, cost savings

from energy efficiency initiatives, and new digital services and

products.

12

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Summary of time horizons

As part of the analysis of Infratil’s

climate-related risks and opportunities, we

have identified the time horizons over which

to examine the impacts of climate change. In

doing so, we considered our businesses’

regular planning cycles, valuation horizons,

risk criteria and long-term planning and

investment time frames.

Short-term time horizon is defined as zero to

three years (i.e. from 2023 to 2026), this

broadly aligns to the budget cycle of Infratil

and its businesses.

Medium-term time horizon is defined as three

to ten years (i.e. from 2026 to 2033). As part of

the process of undertaking valuations for each

portfolio company, we look to build a detailed

financial forecast, typically for at least 10 years,

covering operational expenditure (‘opex’),

capital investment and potential regulatory

outcomes. Infratil’s target investment return is

set over a 10 year horizon as set out on our

website here. Our SBTi targets have a time

horizon in this band (2028 and 2030).

Long-term time horizon is defined 10 years

out to 2050, which aligns to our strategic

investment horizon – we have owned Manawa

Energy since 1994 (29 years) - as well as

reflecting the long-term nature of our

infrastructure assets, many of which are built to

last for decades. Our businesses often need to

plan and contract for decades ahead, for

example One NZ’s contract with Fortysouth is

for 20 years with the option of two 10 year

extensions, renewable energy generation

consents and offtake agreements are often for

tenors of a decade or longer, and the current

Wellington Airport Masterplan goes out to

2040.

Strategy: summary of scenarios and approach
Climate scenario selection

As part of analysing our risks and opportunities, we

have undertaken a range of scenario analyses to

examine the impact of climate change on our

businesses. To do so, we have conducted separate

analyses of our climate-related physical risks and

our climate-related transition risks and

opportunities.

Whilst the analysis is done through two separate

processes, our transition risk analysis incorporates

insights from our physical risk analysis.

Consistent with our approach in FY2023, we have

chosen to use climate scenarios developed by

Oxford Economics (‘the Transition Assessment

Scenarios’) for our analysis of transition risks and

opportunities, and a broadly aligned suite of

scenarios underpin the Jupiter Intelligence (‘Jupiter’)

platform that we are using for our analysis of

physical climate risks (‘the Physical Assessment

Scenarios’). These are summarised in the table

on the right and set out in more detail in the

appendices. Both sets of scenarios are subject to

limitations and assumptions explained on the next

page under ‘Challenges and uncertainties’

Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Service scenario

assumptions reflect scientific and economic

research from a range of recognised sources⁷

as well as its own bespoke analysis. The climate

scenarios are run on its fully integrated Global

Economic Model that provides a rigorous and

consistent structure for scenario analysis

and forecasting. This provides us with key

macroeconomic inputs for our valuation models

under the Transition Assessment Scenarios.

Jupiter Intelligence’s ClimateScore Global platform

uses climate scenarios and data from the

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth

Assessment Report (‘IPCC AR6’) and the most

recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

7. Including: International Energy Agency Net Zero by 2050 Roadmap, IPCC AR6 and 1.5°C Special Report and Network for Greening the Financial System scenarios.

8. We note that the Jupiter SP1-2.6 scenario (shown on the next page) covers pathways which yield a temperature range of 1.4°C to 2.5°C, and a midpoint of 1.8°C which incorporates a 1.5°C aligned outcome.



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(‘CMIP6’). Whilst the Jupiter platform is

comparatively sophisticated, it nonetheless faces

known limitations inherent to any global climate

model, the principal one being that weather is

difficult to model – and this is particularly so for

some ‘perils’ such as hail. Jupiter continues to refine

its model - for example it recently enhanced its

resolution for topographical elevation data. The

Jupiter assessment of physical risk can take some

resilience features into account, such as existing or

proposed flood levees, but it cannot yet take into

account other relevant infrastructure factors such

as the quality or scale of stormwater infrastructure.

Both the Transition Assessment Scenarios and

Physical Assessment Scenarios pathways lie

within the distribution of IPCC AR6 Shared

Socioeconomic Pathways (‘SSPs’) and the

associated warming in degrees Celsius by 2100.

Some of these are focused on the tail end of

the distribution and are therefore suitable for

risk assessment.

The SSPs build on the Representative

Concentration Pathways (‘RCPs’) used in the

previous IPCC AR5 report, which focused on the

physical impacts by describing the radiative

forcings (watts per m²) that occur under the

different scenarios by 2100. The SSPs augment

the physical impacts with narratives that outline

societal choices under each scenario, such as

policies, energy use and social cohesion. Further

details on the climate scenarios specific to

transition and physical risk analyses are set out

in each of those sections.

The criteria underlying our choice of climate

scenarios (for both the physical and transition

components of our analysis) was that they need

to be plausible but challenging scenarios from

credible sources that are appropriate for a global

portfolio. We have also considered the need to

choose a range of scenarios that meet the

regulatory reporting requirements (NZ CS 1

Climate scenarios that underpin our analysis

Transition Assessment ScenariosBaselineOrganised & DecisiveDelayed & DisorganisedToo Little, Too Late

Global warming1.9⁰C 2050; 3.1⁰C 21001.5⁰C 2050; 1.5⁰C 21001.7⁰C 2050; 1.7⁰C 21002.2⁰C 2050; 5.0⁰C 2100

Mitigation policiesLimited (current national

commitments)

Decisive and start early;

orderly

Delayed (to 2030+);

severe

No further policies

2050 carbon priceUS$54/tCO₂eUS$726/tCO₂eUS$540/tCO₂eUS$54/tCO₂e

Average GDP growth to 2035

Average GDP growth to 2035 - 2050

2.4%

1.8%

2 .1 %

1.9%

2.2%

1.7%

2.2%

0.4%

Physical Assessment ScenariosBaselineSSP1-2.6SSP2-4.5SSP5-8.5

Global warming

Jupiter 2020 physical

exposure assessments

1.7⁰C 2050; 1.8⁰C 21002.0⁰C 2050; 2.7⁰C 21002.4⁰C 2050; 4.4⁰C 2100

Physical damageMitigatedLargely mitigated

Severe, irreversible damage

We have chosen climate scenarios from

Oxford Economics to assist our transition

modelling, and Jupiter Intelligence for physical

risk modelling. We have chosen climate

scenarios from each which are broadly aligned,

to help us explore the resilience of our strategy

and portfolio of investments to the impacts of

climate change.

requires at least three scenarios, including a

1.5°C-aligned⁸ and ≥3.0°C scenario).

The scenarios are not intended to predict the future or

be perceived as ‘most likely’ outcomes - rather they

were selected to help us explore the resilience of our

strategy and portfolio of investments to the impacts

of climate change and any potential actions that could

alleviate risks, take advantage of opportunities, or

help to further our understanding of the potential

impacts of climate change.

Strategy: summary of scenarios and approach
Scenario analysis: challenges and

uncertainties

Our statements and conclusions reflect our current

understanding as at July 2024 in respect of the

twelve month period to 31 March 2024. We

acknowledge that our approach will continue to

evolve over time, and we believe it is important to

communicate the challenges and uncertainties

with our climate scenario analysis.

The most material uncertainty is the exact nature

and impacts from the physical change to the

climate itself, particularly over long-term horizons,

given the climate is dynamic, involves feedback

loops, interdependencies, and tipping points. The

manifestation of different climate scenarios in

terms of economic impacts, and physical impacts

at specific locations involves complex modelling,

with inherent uncertainties.

On top of this, our financial models involve inputs

and assumptions and have limited time horizons –

most of our valuation models do not extend out as

far as our longest climate scenario timeframe,

other than through the terminal value⁹.

Another challenge is that Infratil’s business covers

multiple sectors – renewable energy, digital

infrastructure, healthcare, an airport – that each

face different climate-related risks and

opportunities. Given this, we focused on each

platform separately for our transition risks and

opportunities analysis. We have tried to distil our

findings into content that is readily digestible, while

retaining a meaningful level of detail.

A key challenge with using the outputs from these

models in our transition analysis is determining how

to incorporate the long- term macro-economic

factors into the terminal value in our valuation

models; another is determining the implications for

each scenario on company-specific factors e.g.

how a certain scenario might influence changes to

14

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

9. This is an input into the model that reflects the value of the company beyond the forecasted period when future cashflows can be estimated.



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specific maintenance and capex assumptions.

Also, as we note in our healthcare platform analysis,

the Oxford Economics outputs do not always align

with our valuation model inputs e.g. Oxford

Economics do not provide any population

assumptions associated with each scenario.

For physical impacts, we have chosen to use

software technology to analyse risks at the asset

level, and graphical outputs to convey the insights.

This year, we have sought to progress from

reporting the level of exposure by number of sites,

to providing an indication of anticipated financial

impacts.

Assessing vulnerabilities of a site presents a further

layer of complexity and challenges, for example,

the vulnerability to extreme precipitation depends

on local soil moisture and stormwater infrastructure

capacity at the time of the event; determining the

vulnerability of a hydro site to extreme precipitation

is difficult to determine, given there is the ability to

manage flows to a certain extent (by increasing the

height of water storage, increasing generation and

spilling water).

Another limitation is that Jupiter does not have the

ability to assess vulnerability or performance of any

underground assets or supporting infrastructure,

such as three waters infrastructure, so this aspect

of physical climate risk is excluded from our

analysis.

Whilst we have sought to quantify our physical

climate risk, if the exposure or vulnerability of a

high-value single site asset was to change in

the future, this could materially alter on our

assessed impact.

In spite of these challenges, we have sought to

refine our analysis and disclosures from that

undertaken last year. One such evolution is the

addition of some tables (set out on the next two

pages) which summarise climate-related risks and

opportunities for Infratil and at the portfolio level.

Whilst both Jupiter and Oxford Economics are

reputable, sophisticated platforms suitable for

our global portfolio, there nonetheless exists a

range of challenges and assumptions that

impact certainty of the scenario analysis.

These range from modelling uncertainties, to

grappling with the size and diversity of Infratil’s

portfolio and the complexity of Infratil as a

business, inherent uncertainties with climate

modelling and some limitations of the

platforms.

Strategy: summary of climate-related risks,
opportunities and impacts

15

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Infratil’s risk

register

categories

Summary of material Infratil and

portfolio level climate-related risks/

opportunities for each category

Anticipated impactInfratil strategic response

PortfolioPhysical Risk: Climate change

negatively impacts the value of Infratil's

portfolio due to damage to physical

assets.

Transition Risk: Climate change

negatively impacts the value of Infratil's

portfolio, or access to attractively priced

funding, due to transition risks.

Transition Opportunity: Climate change

presents investment and value creation

opportunities for Infratil.

Physical risks: Reasonably anticipated physical climate-related

impacts in the worst case scenario assessed (refer SSP5-8.5 on

page 18) by 2050 is that up to 11% of Material Portfolio

Company Assets (by number) and up to 5% (by value) are At

Risk

10

i.e. assessed as being both highly exposed and vulnerable

to one or more climate perils, namely flooding (coastal, pluvial

and/or fluvial), extreme participation and, to a lesser degree,

wildfire and hail: see “Findings” section on

page 17.

Transition risks/opportunities: Our analysis of climate-related

transition risks and opportunities shows that the portfolio has

some opportunities to improve overall portfolio value under an

Organised & Decisive scenario and vulnerability to minor

negative impacts under a Delayed & Disorganised scenario. The

portfolio may have greater vulnerability to negative impacts

under the Too Little, Too Late scenario, but at this stage, we

consider it a less likely scenario than the others. This analysis also

incorporated financial assumptions reflecting the physical

impacts from climate change. See “Findings” section on page 17.

We integrate governance and management expertise in relation to

climate-related issues into the investment process (p6-8) and our risk

management system (p35). Further detail can also be found on p16 of

Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report.

Infratil’s governance strategy includes screening, in line with its Exclusion

Policy, and due diligence of potential investments, plus active management of

climate and ESG issues with portfolio companies (p4,7-9,34).

Our ongoing climate assessments provide greater understanding and

improved oversight of physical risks (p18-23) and transition risks and

opportunities (p25-33). Our draft Transition Plan (p34) sets out Infratil’s

foundations, approach and actions to support a transition to a low-emissions,

climate-resilient future.

Our portfolio is diversified by sector and geography (referred to on

p4,23,27,29,35) and we have choices as to which sectors, jurisdictions and

regions we deploy our capital.

Infratil and its portfolio companies use insurance and alternative insurance

mechanisms, including captive insurance schemes (referred to on p27,29).

We follow credible standards and frameworks, such as NZ CS and PCAF, and

set targets validated by SBTi (p3-4,9, 36-37,39).

Our strategy and sustainability strategy both recognise the opportunity for

Infratil to invest to enable the transition.

Infratil also has an ability to attract capital for growth through improving its

ESG ratings, and, in time, through sustainable finance (p10-11).

OperationalPhysical Risk: Climate event is

sufficiently widespread to negatively

impact the operations of multiple assets

simultaneously.

As set out on page 20, under a worst case SSP5-8.5 scenario by

2050, we see an increase in the number of sites exposed to

physical climate risks that could impact operational resilience

(precipitation, flood, wildfire, and extreme heat). Most (83%) of

the sites in Infratil’s portfolio have an overall hazard score in the

low or lowest risk bands, indicating the level of resilience to a

widespread event of the geographically diversified portfolio.

If a widespread climate event occurred, up to 5% of Material

Portfolio Company assets (by value) are assessed as being At

Risk

10

.

Our portfolio is diversified by sector and geography (referred to on

p4,23,27,29,35).

Our awareness of and responses to address physical climate risks through

ESG DD and physical climate risk analysis supports greater resilience at the

portfolio level (p7-8,18-23).

Compliance/

regulatory

Transition Risk: Infratil's climate

disclosures fail to meet regulatory

requirements.

Increasing focus and regulatory requirements in relation to

Sustainability Reports and CRD in short and medium term.

We leverage Morrison and external expertise, including through organisations

such as Chapter Zero, to support appropriate levels of climate capability for

Infratil (p4,7-8).

We have established processes for our Sustainability Reports, and CRD that

seek to manage these risks, including independent assurance of our

emissions data and review of our report against the NZ CS.

We leverage technology (such as Persefoni and Jupiter) to provide insights

and reliable and consistent reporting (p1,13,17-22,34). Further detail can also

be found on p25 of Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report.

We follow recognised standards (such as GRI) and frameworks (such as SBTi)

and engage with relevant ESG Ratings/Raters such as CDP and GRESB to

provide insights into market expectations (referred to on p3-4,8-11,34).

Further detail can also be found on p25 of Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability

Report.

ShareholderTransition Risk: Failure to meet

stakeholder expectations, which may

materialise by way of climate-related

litigation.

Over the short to medium term, increasing focus on credibility of

action and disclosures in relation to climate change by a range of

stakeholders (investors, lenders, communities).

10. Material Portfolio Company Assets are defined as being the sites/assets of all Material Portfolio Companies that were assessed in the Jupiter platform, which excludes the Airport sea walls (due to complexities in the modelling of this site in Jupiter).

The 5% metric is calculated by dividing the total proportionate insured, replacement or fair value (as available) of Material Portfolio Company Assets that are assessed as being At Risk by the total portfolio fair value. At Risk means that the assets have

been assessed as being both highly exposed and vulnerable to one or more climate perils (as set out at p 18, including limitations).

Strategy: summary of climate-related risks,
opportunities and impacts

16

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Qualitative analysis

Infratil and portfolio level climate-related risks and opportunities Relevant

Horizon

Organised &

Decisive

SSP1-2.6

Delayed &

Disorganised

SSP2-4.5

Too Little,

Too Late

SSP5-8.5

Relation to capital deployment and investment decision processes

PortfolioPhysical Risk: Climate change negatively

impacts the value of Infratil's portfolio due to

damage to physical assets.

M-LInsights from Infratil’s portfolio-wide physical climate risk analysis help to avoid an

unacceptable level of physical climate risks in (existing and new) capital deployed

into physical assets.

Transition Risk: Climate change negatively

impacts the value of Infratil's portfolio, or

access to attractively priced funding, due to

transition risks.

S-MAs shown on the graphic on page 6, a core function of Infratil’s Board and of

Morrison as its Manager, is to allocate capital in line with its strategy and

sustainability strategy, both of which incorporate transition risk and opportunity

considerations, as outlined on page 9.

Transition Opportunity: Climate change

presents investment and value creation

opportunities for Infratil.

S-M-LAs evidenced by its focus on improving ESG ratings, Infratil strives to have a good

reputation, including in relation to sustainability and climate change. This

supports Infratil to secure attractively priced capital to continue to grow and

invest in its portfolio.

OperationalPhysical Risk: Climate event is sufficiently

widespread to negatively impact the

operations of multiple assets simultaneously.

M-LInsights from Infratil’s portfolio-wide physical climate risk analysis help to avoid an

unacceptable level of physical climate risks in (existing and new) capital deployed

into physical assets.

Compliance/regulatoryTransition Risk: Infratil's climate disclosures

fail to meet regulatory requirements.

S-M Whilst these risks present relatively minor direct financial impacts, they would

have more material impacts on Infratil’s reputation and social licence to operate,

and therefore its ability to secure attractively priced capital to continue to grow

and invest in its portfolio.

StakeholderTransition Risk:

Failure to meet stakeholder

expectations, which may materialise by way of

a climate-related litigation.

S-M

Risk/opportunity rating key

Horizon: Short (S - 0 to 3 years), Medium (M - 3 to 10 years), Long (L - 10 years to 2050+)

As set out in our draft Transition Plan on page 34,

Infratil’s climate-related risks and opportunities,

described on the previous page and repeated

below, are incorporated into Infratil’s strategy, its

sustainability strategy, and integrated through the

investment lifecycle.

Here we set out the relevant timeframes and

ratings for risks and opportunities under our

chosen climate scenarios for Infratil and its

portfolio, and how they serve as an input into

Infratil’s capital allocation and investment decision

processes.

For a description of the scenarios noted below,

please refer to the description of the Physical

Assessment Scenarios (SSP1-2.6 through to

SSP5-8.5) on page 18 and the Transition

Assessment Scenarios (Organised & Decisive

through to Too Little, Too Late) on page 24.

Severe riskInsignificant riskSome opportunityHigh opportunityMinor riskModerate riskMajor risk

Strategy: summary of climate scenario
analysis and initial findings

17

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



Back to contents

11 AAL is the annual average loss from present day to 2050 based on the probability of the peril occurring each year between now and 2050 where the probability of the peril is the

aggregate probability of flood over a range of return periods from 1/10 to 1/500.

Physical climate risk scenario analysis: process

We have used a digital climate modelling platform developed by Jupiter Intelligence (Jupiter) to

explore the impact of three climate scenarios on about 291 physical assets/sites (‘assets’) in our

portfolio. We focused our analysis on the ‘worst case’ Physical Assessment Scenario (SSP5-8.5, refer

scenario (iii) on the next page), at 2050, on the basis that the anticipated impacts are likely to be

lower than those assessed in this scenario.

The Jupiter platform identifies which assets are most exposed to the various climate perils that it

models under the Physical Assessment Scenarios. We took the list of assets in the high or highest

exposure categories under the worst case scenario at 2050 and explored the vulnerabilities of those

assets to the identified peril(s). Assets that were both highly exposed and vulnerable formed our list of

At Risk assets.

We then took the value for each At Risk asset (insured or replacement value where possible) and using

Jupiter’s modelling, supplemented with modelling developed using Morrison expertise where

necessary, to determine an annual average loss (AAL

11

) value for each At Risk asset. We then

attributed a proportion of each AAL to Infratil based on Infratil’s proportionate shareholding.

Transition risk and opportunity scenario analysis: process

We used our valuation models for Material Portfolio Companies to explore the impact of three climate

scenarios on the value of Infratil’s portfolio in present day terms compared to the value of the

companies under a baseline climate scenario. We have also worked with sector experts at Morrison

to determine Infratil’s view of relevant risks and opportunities for each platform that will help to inform

our transition analysis.

To do this, for each Transition Assessment Scenario, we used macroeconomic data extracted from

Oxford Economics climate models supplemented by adjustments to other model inputs informed by

the risks and opportunities in our qualitative climate transition assessments and the findings of our

physical climate risk modelling.

Our valuation models include detailed inputs generally out to at least 10 years (the terminal date).

The models then have a ‘terminal value’ that reflects all future cashflows (adjusted for climate

impacts) beyond the terminal date, discounted back to a value as at the terminal date. The models

then discount the terminal value and all the detailed net cashflows back to a present value. These

models produce initial outputs only and are subject to the range of limitations set out on page 14.

Physical climate risk scenario analysis: findings

Our analysis shows that the anticipated impacts reasonably expected from physical climate risks

under SSP5-8.5 by 2050 are that up to 11% of our Material Portfolio Company Assets (by number)

and up to 5% by value are assessed as being At Risk, i.e. being both highly exposed and vulnerable to

one or more climate perils (see note 10 on page 15). These impacts occur mostly at healthcare and

renewable energy sites.

Based on the assessment of AAL associated with the At Risk assets under SSP5-8.5, Infratil’s

reasonable expectation is a proportionate AAL of up to $11 million.

In other words, over a short-term 3-year period, Infratil’s reasonable expectation is that the aggregate

proportionate AAL in the 'worst case' scenario (SSP5-8.5) considered is up to $33 million; out to

2030 up to $66 million and out to 2050 up to $286 million (all in present day values and all else being

equal).

Transition climate scenario analysis: findings

We modelled the impact of the climate scenarios on the net present value of each of Material

Portfolio Companies’ cashflows out to 2050. Our initial analysis of climate-related transition risks and

opportunities (combined with modelled financial assumptions to reflect the physical impacts from

climate change) shows that the portfolio has:

• some opportunities to improve overall portfolio value under an Organised & Decisive

scenario; and

• vulnerability to minor negative impacts under a Delayed & Disorganised scenario.

In other words, Infratil’s portfolio benefits most from a decisive transition.

The portfolio may have greater vulnerability to negative impacts under a Too Little, Too Late scenario,

but at this stage we consider it a less likely scenario (though it provides a useful ‘worst case’ boundary

to support our assessment of the expected financial impacts from physical climate risks).

Below we set out a synopsis of the processes we undertook for our climate scenario analysis (assessing physical and transition risks and opportunities) and the findings that support Infratil’s initial view of the

anticipated impacts that it reasonably expects from these risks. In the subsequent sections on Physical Risk and Transition Risks & Opportunities we cover the scenarios, process, and initial outputs in more detail.

Physical risk assessment
Introduction and context

Infratil has subscribed to a platform developed by

Jupiter Intelligence (‘Jupiter’), a Clearvision investee

company, to assist with analysing physical climate

risk for the assets in our portfolio. Jupiter was

selected by Infratil for its global capability, flexibility,

credibility, and high resolution – the software can

provide insights down to a 90mx90m grid cell

resolution, with each of those points in the model

having over 15,000 associated pieces of

climate data.

In June 2023, we collected geolocation data from

each portfolio company to upload into the Jupiter

ClimateScore Global platform, which allows us to

extract insights on the exposure to various climate

events (‘perils’) under various climate scenarios

over a range of time periods for each site. The

platform also enables analysis at a portfolio level, as

well as having the flexibility to classify each

geolocation by portfolio company and by sector to

perform more segmented risk assessments.

We have input 291 geolocations (in FY2023 we

input 303 geolocations) into the Jupiter platform –

this includes physical assets from across our

Material Portfolio Companies (which excludes

Galileo, Gurīn and Mint as they had no material

assets as at 31 March 2024), as well as some sites

in the companies’ value chains.

We have also excluded Fortysouth’s assets in this

assessment as, at over 1,600 sites, they are too

numerous to include practically and economically.

We consider this appropriate given that, by their

nature and geographic dispersion, the cell towers

have a relatively low level of physical climate risk,

particularly at the Infratil portfolio level.

We used the same list of assets as our assessment

in 2023, other than removing a few sites that have

been closed or sold. The number and value of new

sites is not considered material, and we will look to

update the site list when we consider it appropriate

to do so in the future.

The categories of sites included in the assessment

are set out below. All other aspects of the value

chain have been excluded as it is not practicable to

cover given the number of companies and sectors

in the portfolio.

(i) Owned assets. 117 sites that relate to owned

assets such as data centres (one site per

campus), owned generation sites, owned

properties, and retirement villages.

ii) 158 sites that are leased, where there is

material ‘owned’ equipment, predominantly

diagnostic imaging clinics (146) and sites that

house key communication/IT equipment.

(iii) Assets that are leased such as offices and

call centres (11 sites).

(iv) Assets that are not owned or leased, that are

part of a portfolio company’s value chain e.g.

managed generation site, key access road,

fibre access points (5 sites).

The outputs of our assessment in this report cover

both the number of sites with various levels of

exposure to each climate peril as well as analysis of

anticipated impacts. The latter has been derived by

considering which sites are both in the top two

exposure bands (high and highest) and considered

vulnerable to one or more perils. The subset of sites

that meet both criteria (‘at risk’ assets) have then

been analysed using the Jupiter platform to

estimate an ‘annual average expected loss’, which

is calculated in a similar way to an insurance

premium.

We undertook the vulnerability assessments in

conjunction with the relevant portfolio companies,

taking into account any existing mitigants and

controls. Each site was rated on a scale of 1(lowest)

to 5(highest) for asset vulnerability based on the

anticipated damage under the exposure identified

by Jupiter.

These discussions have provided insights to Infratil,

and its portfolio companies that can support asset

management, portfolio companies' insurance

discussions and any implications for business

planning and/or strategy.

Physical Assessment Scenarios: analysis

and timeframes

The scenarios explored using the Jupiter

ClimateScore Global platform have the following

attributes:

(i) SSP1-2.6: this represents midpoint warming

of ~1.8°C by 2100 (broadly aligns with our

Organised & Decisive scenario

12

and a Paris-

aligned trajectory).

(ii) SSP2-4.5: this represents midpoint warming

of ~2.7°C by 2100 (broadly aligns with

current global climate commitments by

governments

13

).

(iii) SSP5-8.5: this represents midpoint warming

of ~4.4°C by 2100 (broadly aligns with our

Too Little, Too Late scenario).

We note that as well as meeting the NZ Climate

Standards’ criteria for at least three scenarios, the

above also aligns with Aotearoa New Zealand’s

first national adaptation plan which recommends

using scenarios (ii) and (iii) for hazard and risk

assessments. An overview of the SSPs shown

above is summarised in Appendix 1. For internal

purposes, we have undertaken modelling of the

Physical Assessment Scenarios using the Jupiter

platform.

In this report, we detail the impacts from climate

change observed between a SSP1-2.6 baseline

(2020) and Jupiter’s ‘worst case’ SSP5-8.5

scenario (in 2050) as this effectively ‘book ends’

the scenarios (and timeframes) from a physical

climate risk perspective. In other words, the SSP5-

8.5 scenario presents the most challenging set of

results from the scenarios available in the Jupiter

platform.

Timeframes

The baseline year is 2020, which we have chosen

to best reflect the present-day position. Jupiter can

support analysis in future years on a 5-year

incremental time scale out to 2100. For internal

purposes, we have undertaken modelling of the

Physical Assessment Scenarios across a range of

timeframes from 2020 through to 2030 and out to

2050 using the Jupiter platform. However, for the

purposes of this report, we have chosen to publish

the impacts of the ‘worst case’ climate scenario

(SSP5-8.5) modelled out to 2050 and compared

the findings to the baseline (SSP1-2.6 in 2020).

Selecting the furthest point of our long-term

horizon (2050) for our analysis allows for a

reasonable period of time for climate-related

impacts to manifest.

Accordingly, the estimated impacts set out below

reflect those we would reasonably anticipate in

the SSP5-8.5 scenario. At this stage, we consider

it less likely than the other scenarios, but have

utilised it for this analysis as it demonstrates the

greatest possible physical impacts to our portfolio

of all the Physical Assessment Scenarios.

Return period

We have tested the resilience of the assets and

sites associated with our portfolio companies on

a 1/100-year basis for the acute perils i.e. looking

at the extent of the exposure to a climate peril

that currently has a 1% per annum chance of

occurrence. For Annual Average Loss calculations,

the modelling takes a broader range of return

periods into account.

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

12. Used for the analysis of climate-related transition risks and opportunities covered in the next section starting on page 24

13. Temperatures | Climate Action Tracker



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We explore the resilience of 291 physical sites

relevant to our portfolio companies using the

Physical Assessment Scenarios in the Jupiter

Intelligence platform.

This year, we have built on our FY2023 analysis

to understand which sites are both highly

exposed

and vulnerable. We have then used a

feature of the Jupiter platform to help assess

the anticipated impacts from physical risks

associated with climate change.

19
Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

14. This includes coastal flooding (from sea level rise, tides, and storm surge) and fluvial flooding (from and along rivers due to rainfall and severe storms)

Climate perils

We have explored the impact of eight climate perils

on our portfolio company assets and operations,

set out in the table below. In selecting these perils,

we considered the options available in the Jupiter

platform and the desire to present a broad suite of

commonly referenced climate perils.

The Jupiter platform allows users to select different

parameters e.g. a maximum temperature above

35⁰C or 38⁰C, but we have elected to continue to

use Jupiter’s default settings as they reflect

commonly used parameters, due to their alignment

with certain characteristics (e.g. 35⁰C is the level

above which there are impacts to human health

and performance).

The Jupiter platform assesses exposure in quintile

bands, with ‘Lowest’ (dark purple) representing the

bottom 20% of exposure and ‘Highest’ (pink)

representing the top 20% of exposure experienced

by all sites in Jupiter’s baseline modelling. For

example, Jupiter’s baseline modelling showed that

20% of all sites in its global model in 2020 had a

100 year return period exposure to a flood > 2m.

Since FY2023, Jupiter has refined and updated

some of its band definitions to reflect refinement

of its modelling, additional data and, in the

case of wind, cold, heat, wildfire and flooding,

re-evaluation to better match typical

vulnerabilities of assets to these perils.



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Peril TypeClimate PerilDescriptionHighest ExposureHigh ExposureMedium Exposure

Chronic

- gradual,

long-term

shifts

Extreme HeatMean days per annum where maximum

temperature > 35°C

≥ 75 days30-75 days10-30 days

Extreme ColdMean days per annum where minimum

temperature < 0°C

≥ 100 days 60-100 days15-60 days

Water stressAnnual human water demand/

water supply

≥ 0.80.6-0.80.4-0.6

Acute

- sudden,

event-driven

shifts

Wildfire Probability of a wildfire in a 1km² grid

cell per 100 years

≥ 0.7% 0.4-0.7%0.2-0.4%

Flood141 in 100 year chance of experiencing

a flood with a depth in metres

≥ 2m1-2m0.5-1m

Wind1 in 100 year chance of experiencing

a maximum 1-minute sustained wind

speed (km/h)

≥ 209km/h178-209km/h154-178km/h

Precipitation1 in 100 year chance of maximum

daily rain (mm)

≥ 325mm250-325mm200-250mm

HailThe number of days in a year where

large hail (> 5cm diameter) is possible

≥ 2 days1-2 days0.35-1 days

The above exposure bands apply across all scenarios, but the proportion of sites in the bands will change under different scenarios and timeframes.

For example, there will likely be fewer sites in the highest exposure band for extreme heat in 2020 under a SSP1-2.6 scenario than there is in 2050 under

a SSP5–8.5 scenario.

Physical risk assessment

This year, we have built on our understanding of

the exposure of our portfolio company assets

and sites to the identified climate perils by

exploring the vulnerability of those assets and

sites that have a high degree of exposure to one

or more perils. As shown in the graphic below,

the combination of these two insights (exposure

and vulnerability) provides us with a view on

overall risk and helps us to assess the potential

impact on value.

For example, a data centre might be exposed to

extreme cold, but has low vulnerability to this

peril, so the associated risk to the asset is low.

Conversely, a ground floor clinic might have a

high exposure to rainfall, and if it is also deemed

vulnerable (for example, the stormwater

infrastructure and flood resilience characteristics

of the building are weak), that presents a high

risk for that clinic (but a lower risk to the overall

business, given it is one clinic of many).

Hazard

(‘Peril’)

Exposure

Vulnerability

Risk = Hazard x Exposure x Vulnerability

Risk

Hazard

(‘Peril’)

Exposure

Vulnerability

Risk

20%
40%

60%

80%

100%

90%

70%

50%

30%

10%

0

Lowest ExposureLow ExposureMedium ExposureHigh ExposureHighest Exposure

PrecipitationFloodFireWater StressHeatColdHailWind

PrecipitationFloodFireWater StressHeatColdHailWind

Lowest Exposure

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

90%

70%

50%

30%

10%

0

Low ExposureMedium ExposureHigh ExposureHighest Exposure

Rolling forward to 2050 under the SSP5-8.5 ‘worst case’ scenario, the same set of sites is exposed to the eight climate

perils as follows:

Lowest Exposure

Medium Exposure

Highest Exposure

Low Exposure

High Exposure

Proportion of assets/sites in each exposure band in 2020 (under SSP1-2.6 scenario)

Proportion of assets/sites in each exposure band in 2050 (under SSP5-8.5 scenario)

20

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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First, we explore exposure to physical climate risk at a portfolio level – note this page and the next focus on the number or proportion of sites in

each exposure band for each peril, rather than implying a value impact. The Jupiter ClimateScore Global platform has generated the graph below

showing the projected proportion of sites that fall within each exposure band for each of the eight climate perils as at the baseline year, 2020:

How does climate change impact the

portfolio assets’ exposure to the perils?

The main changes from our FY2023 analysis

are the decrease in the number of assets in the

high/highest bands for wind, cold and fire and

an increase for flood and precipitation, due to

the recalibration by Jupiter referred to earlier.

Below we summarise the level of exposure to

the most impactful perils for assets/sites in

Infratil’s portfolio and how this changes out to

2050 under a SSP5-8.5 scenario. On page 22,

we explore vulnerability to these perils.

• Precipitation: Exposure to this peril is

forecast to increase, with an additional 28

sites moving into the top two bands (123 by

2050). We note the broad dispersion across

a range of locations which provides a

mitigation against the operational and

financial impact of any one event.

• Flood: The number of assets in the top two

bands (29) is unchanged over time, but the

level of exposure within the band typically

increases. Most of these are hydro stations,

which are designed to be resilient to this risk,

but supporting infrastructure (e.g. access

roads, grid connections) may be impacted.

• Wildfire: Sites in the top two exposure

bands increase from 6 to 14 by 2050.

Approximately half of these sites relate to

generation assets which are typically in arid

regions with little vegetation to create fire

risk. The balance are clinics in Australia.

Increased exposure to extreme heat (37 sites

in 2050, up from 29 in 2020) is unlikely to

damage assets but would affect people and

operations e.g. higher cooling costs, ability to

undertake maintenance outside.

Physical risk assessment

Healthcare
Lowest Risk

Highest

Risk Band

Renewable EnergyDigital InfrastructureAirport(lighter hashed cell represents a site with no material owned assets)

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

010203040

Present Day Score

2020 - 2050 Change Score

5060708090100

21

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Jupiter Overall Hazard Score : Infratil portfolio assets and sites by sector



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Another perspective is provided by Jupiter’s

‘Overall Hazard Score’ graph.

The horizonal axis Present Day Score is a score

that, for each site, represents Jupiter’s calculation

for that site’s weighted average exposure to all

eight climate perils as at 2020 (a proxy for the

Present Day). So, the purple dot sitting just above

the x-axis at the right-hand side of the graph, with

a score of around 96 (red circled), is highly

exposed to climate perils today.

The vertical axis 2020-2050 Change Score is a

score that, for each site, shows how much that

site’s exposure to climate perils changes between

now and 2050 under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. So,

the purple dot in the top right-hand corner of the

graph is both highly exposed to climate perils today

(with a Present Day Score of about 99), and the

exposure is expected to change (increase)

materially by 2050, with a Change Score of around

90 (as an aside, this is a leased clinic). The top left

purple dot has a relatively low Present Day Score

(2), but its exposure to climate perils by 2050 is

assessed by Jupiter as being very high (89), and at

42, its Overall Hazard Score is rated medium risk.

For each site, Jupiter calculates an Overall Hazard

Score which reflects the combined risk factor

presented by both its Present Day Score and its

Change Score. The Overall Hazard Scores are not

shown on the graph axes, instead we have divided

the sites into risk bands, delineated by the light grey

dashed lines. The sites with the top 20% of Overall

Hazard Scores are in the highest risk band (in the

top right-hand segment of the graph), and the sites

with the lowest 20% of Overall Hazard Scores are in

the lowest risk band (in the bottom left-hand

segment of the graph).

We make the following observations from a

platform perspective:

• Renewable assets (blue) are deliberately sited

for wind and sun, so we would expect to see

some with a higher Present Day Score. Sites

with a higher Change Score are predominantly

solar assets. Two of the 72 sites (3%) are in the

top two Overall Hazard Score bands, one of

which is a leased office. We note that the First

Solar Series 6 and Series 7 panels both have an

operating temperature range of -40 to +85°C

and at 35°C (the Jupiter threshold for extreme

heat), the panels operate at about 3% below

maximum efficiency.

• Digital assets (yellow) largely have

low-moderate Present Day and Change Scores,

and only one site is in the top two Overall Hazard

Score bands. The assets with a slightly higher

Overall Hazard Score, are data centres in

Australia that have been assessed as not

vulnerable to the perils to which they are

exposed (wildfire and precipitation), given their

design features and lack of surrounding

vegetation.

• Healthcare assets (purple) show the greatest

dispersion. These are largely clinics across

New Zealand and Australia – any physical

impacts from climate change on any individual

clinic would not be expected to be material from

a portfolio perspective. The main exposures

(and perils that drive the Change Score) in this

platform are precipitation (with about a 10%

increase in the number of sites in the top

exposure bands by 2050), followed by heat and

water stress. Of the nine healthcare assets in

the top two Overall Hazard Score bands, one is

an office, one is a retirement village and the

other seven are clinics in Australia.

• Wellington Airport (pink): the most exposed

airport site (pink stripes) is the northern access

road, which is vulnerable to coastal flooding.

Whilst important for passenger access, this

road is not owned by the airport, it is the

responsibility of local and central Government.

Wellington Airport is engaging with the relevant

agencies on resilience upgrades. We have

excluded the Airport’s seawall from our analysis

because, given its proximity to water, it was

difficult to model in the Jupiter platform.

However, we have included information on the

company’s planned investment in resilience of

its marine protection assets on page 38.

Overall Hazard Score

Risk BandScore% Sites

Highest80-1001

High60 -793

Medium40-5913

Low20-3929

Lowest0 -1954

Following recalibration of its exposure bands,

the Jupiter platform shows that the sites in

Infratil’s portfolio are predominantly in the

low-lowest overall hazard bands (83%

compared to 71% in FY2023), reflecting that

the combined risk factor of its current

exposures, and change in exposure by 2050

is predominantly low-lowest.

Physical risk assessment

22
Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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What is the distribution of the At Risk assets/

sites that are highly exposed and vulnerable

to one or more climate perils under the

SSP5-8.5 ‘worst case’ scenario?

• Of the assets that are in any of the top two

exposure bands under SSP5-8.5 by 2050,

we assessed 33 as being vulnerable to those

perils (rated > 3 on our scale of 1(lowest) to

5(highest)). Nearly 40% of these are sites not

owned by the portfolio companies, though

some have material owned assets housed in

them e.g. clinics. Notably, there are no data

centre sites that are both highly exposed and

vulnerable (At Risk) – not surprising given the

importance placed on resilience for this

sector, and that all the sites are relatively

newly developed.

• Our analysis shows the most exposed

platform, by number of At Risk sites, is

healthcare, followed by renewable energy;

and the most common perils are extreme

precipitation followed by flood. We note that

the Wellington Airport sites that are exposed

and vulnerable are the northern access

route, and southern sea wall – both of these

are well understood by the company and the

risks are being actively managed, as covered

in the company’s own climate disclosures.

What are the anticipated physical impacts

of climate change on the portfolio under the

SSP5-8.5 ‘worst case’ scenario?

• Jupiter has functionality to assess ‘annual

average loss’ (AAL) for some, but not all,

perils. It can assess Infratil’s portfolio assets/

sites that are exposed and vulnerable to flood

and wildfire but cannot assess hail and

extreme precipitation. AAL can be viewed

akin to an annual insurance premium (with no

profit margin).

• We have therefore used Jupiter to assess

impacts for flood and wildfire. For hail and

precipitation, we applied a simplistic version

of the Jupiter modelling based on the

assessed vulnerability to estimate the

annual average impact. We acknowledge

this assessment was somewhat more basic

than Jupiter’s modelling function.

• Our analysis shows that up to 5% of assets

(by value) are At Risk, i.e. being assessed as

being highly exposed and vulnerable to one or

more climate perils (see note 10 on page 15).

The platform with the most exposed assets by

value is renewable energy followed by

healthcare, and then digital. The perils that

present the most risk from a value

perspective are flood and extreme

precipitation. Proportionate AAL for Material

Portfolio Company At Risk assets (excluding

the Airport seawalls) out to 2050 is up to

$11 million in present value terms.

Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, by 2050 up to 11% of portfolio company assets assessed (by

number) are highly exposed and vulnerable to one or more climate perils (At Risk). This translates to

an Annual Average Loss for these assets of up to $11 million in today’s dollars. The perils most

impactful are flood, extreme precipitation, and wildfire. The sectors most impacted are (in order of

number of sites) healthcare, renewable energy, and then digital. Healthcare sites are leased clinics,

where climate risk can be factored into lease renewal decisions.

Distribution of the number of At Risk sites that

are high/highly exposed and vulnerable

Proportionate total fair value of At Risk assets by

platform (before insurance)

Proportionate AAL by platform (before insurance)

Distribution of the perils of At Risk sites that are

high/highly exposed and vulnerable

Proportionate total fair value of At Risk assets by

peril (before insurance)

Proportionate AAL by peril (before insurance)

Digital

Renewable Energy

Healthcare

Airport

9%

36%

48%

6%

Flood

Extreme precipitation

Wildfire

Hail

39%

44%

14%

3%

$-

$100.0

$200.0

$300.0

$400.0

$500.0

DigitalRenewable EnergyHealthcare

NZ$ million

Extreme

precipitation

WildfireHailFlood

$-

$100.0

$200.0

$300.0

$400.0

$500.0

NZ$ million

$-

$2.0

$4.0

$6.0

$8.0

$10.0

DigitalRenewable EnergyHealthcare

NZ$ million

$-

$2.0

$4.0

$6.0

$8.0

$10.0

NZ$ million

Extreme

precipitation

WildfireHailFlood

Physical risk assessment

Mitigating physical climate risk
For Infratil, one of the key mitigants to risk, including

risks associated with the physical impacts from

climate change events, is diversification. Not only

are Infratil’s portfolio companies geographically

and sector diverse, but the physical assets within

the portfolio companies are also geographically

diverse across the jurisdictions in which they

operate, except for Wellington Airport.

Whilst a pervasive, systemic risk such as the

exposure to the physical impacts from climate

change cannot be avoided altogether, this

diversification by geography, sector, and asset

type helps to limit the financial impact from climate

events in any one year.

Many of our portfolio companies are increasingly

undertaking work on identifying, mitigating, and

reducing risks to their assets from the physical

impacts of climate change. In doing so, they deploy

a range of mitigation strategies including insurance

and incorporating resilience considerations into site

selection, design and construction.

23

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

In addition to geographic diversity, some other

examples of mitigants deployed within the portfolio

companies include:

• Wellington Airport is investing in adaptive

capacity of its assets by upgrading marine

defences and stormwater infrastructure.

• RetireAustralia has ongoing programmes of

roofing repairs and preventative maintenance,

helping to ensure roofs are tied down and

regular monitoring and maintenance of

stormwater infrastructure is undertaken.

• CDC’s data centres incorporate a range of

design characteristics that support resilience

against a range of risks, including physical

climate risks.

• As noted in our FY2023 CRD (page 7), Longroad

is trialling the next generation of innovative solar

trackers that have special features to help

protect the solar panels from hail.

• RHCNZ and Qscan diagnostic imaging clinics

are on a range of leases, typically with an initial

medium-term tenor (albeit often with a right of

renewal). This provides a mitigant to physical

climate risk in that the business can choose not

to renew a tenancy if the risk of an extreme

weather event is deemed to be unacceptable.

One NZ



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Physical risk assessment

To assess the potential transition impacts of
climate change on our four platforms we took a

dual approach utilising both qualitative and early

quantitative analysis.

Whilst Infratil’s enterprise risk management system

focuses on risks at the portfolio level, for the

purposes of assessing transition risks and

opportunities, we considered each platform

separately, as we expect that they will each

experience different impacts due to the varying

nature of each sector.

Consistent with the approach for our FY2023 CRD,

our analysis explored the climate-related transition

risks and opportunities for each platform across

short, medium, and long-term horizons under the

Transition Assessment Scenarios set out below.

Transition risks and opportunities assessment

Transition

Assessment Scenario

BaselineOrganised & DecisiveDelayed & DisorganisedToo Little, Too Late

Temperature above

pre-industrial levels

(1850-1900)

2050 – 1.9°C

2100 – 3.1°C

2050 – 1.5°C

2100 – 1.5°C

2050 – 1.7°C

2100 – 1.7°C

2050 – 2.2°C

2100 – 5.0°C

Summary of Oxford

Economics’ Scenario

Description

Some action by governments, albeit

somewhat delayed, sees carbon emissions

reduce but to a lesser extent and slower

than the Organised & Decisive and Delayed

& Disorganised scenarios. Out to 2050,

global growth is only fractionally higher than

these scenarios but will be negatively

impacted further out as the physical

impacts of climate change cause financial

harm.

Immediate and coordinated global action by

all stakeholders is undertaken to meet

mitigation goals, this allows for a phased

and moderate economic response with

short-term economic pain inflicted as

immediate steps are undertaken to reduce

emissions for a long-term benefit.

Delayed and disorganised global action

which requires a severe response by

stakeholders to meet mitigation goals. This

scenario is characterised by a delayed

implementation of climate policies with

significant action not implemented until

2030 though in the long run the economy

benefits from the severe actions

undertaken.

Limited climate action and failure in meeting

Nationally Determined Contributions.

15


This scenario is characterised by little to no

action towards climate policies and with

increasingly severe economic impacts

resulting from climate inaction as we move

through the timeline with the long run

outcome being significant impacts on

day-to-day life and significant economic

pain.

Oversight of the scenario modelling exercise has been provided by Morrison employees and Infratil representatives who sit on the boards of our portfolio companies and other sector experts.

15. All About the NDCs | United Nations

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Summary of scenarios explored

Below is a summary of the four scenarios

which we have selected for climate change

transition assessment. Apart from the

addition of a Baseline scenario, the climate

scenarios are consistent with those used for

our FY2023 disclosures (which used our

own, unadjusted valuations as the baseline).

Further information on these scenarios and

the assumptions behind them are outlined in

Appendix 2.

Quantitative assessment
Our quantitative modelling exercise is an initial

assessment subject to a number of limitations. As

a starting point, we used our internal portfolio

valuation models to test the impact of the

Transition Assessment Scenarios on our baseline

valuation outputs. We chose to use our internal

valuation models because they are an existing tool

that integrates well with the Oxford Economics

outputs. The main focus of this quantitative

assessment was the period covered by the

detailed component of our valuation models,

typically out 10-20 years (depending on the

company). We then adjusted our terminal value

estimates to capture the impact of the Transition

Assessment Scenarios from this point out to 2050.

To provide an early indication of the financial

impact under each scenario, we used the Transition

Assessment Scenarios outputs to provide the

macroeconomic scenario inputs into our valuation

models. We also made assumptions about

company-specific, non-macroeconomic variables

that are expected to be impacted by the different

climate change scenarios, such as capex being

impacted by policies requiring more stringent

building standards. We have also incorporated

assumptions about how physical impacts from

climate change might impact financial impacts,

such as operating expenditure (‘opex’) being

higher due to greater maintenance required under

a Too Little, Too Late scenario. This aspect was

informed in part by the findings from our physical

climate analysis covered in the previous section.

In FY2023, we compared the valuation outcome

under each scenario to our current valuations. This

year, we have progressed our understanding by

comparing the valuation outcomes under our

Organised & Decisive, Delayed & Disorganised and

Too Little, Too Late scenarios to that observed using

a suite of macroeconomic inputs from the Oxford

Economics Baseline scenario. We did this to

support consistency of approach (comparing

‘apples with apples’). The Baseline scenario is

intended to demonstrate a continuation of the

current trajectory in terms of the global response

to climate change.

In the next sections we set out the initial findings

from our early quantitative and qualitative

assessments for each platform. We have worked

towards providing greater detail than what was

disclosed in FY2023.

Given the significant uncertainties referred to here

and on pages 1 and 14, we provide a narrative

description (rather than quantitative outputs) of

the findings from our quantitative analysis for each

platform and at a portfolio level. Whilst we have

made some progress, we are still refining our

approach to quantifying the impacts to valuations.

We will continue to evolve our modelling and

disclosures over time.

Qualitative assessment

In our qualitative analysis, in FY2023, we undertook

an exercise with input from sector experts within

Morrison to identify the potential climate-related

risks faced by each of our platforms. We

considered how each of our sector platforms are

expected to perform in times of climate change

related economic stress, and we considered how

markets, governments, businesses, and society

might respond under each Transition Assessment

Scenario. This qualitative analysis helped to inform

our quantitative modelling. It was focused on

transition impacts rather than physical impacts,

though some aspects, like insurance, relate to

both.

As part of the qualitative assessment, we identified

a number of transition risks and opportunities that

might be faced by each of our platforms. These

risks are not listed individually in Infratil’s risk

register, which is focused on risks relating to Infratil

itself and its overall portfolio. We explored how

these might impact the value of the platform and

we estimated the severity of each risk (relative to

the total fair value of each platform) under each

scenario and over time.

As we worked through this assessment, we

considered how our platforms may seek to mitigate

the impacts of the identified transition risks or take

advantage of identified opportunities. We also

considered risks that relate to policy changes,

technology, shifting market and consumer

preferences and reputation.

This year, we have reviewed and updated the

outputs from our FY2023 CRD qualitative

assessment.

Summary of portfolio level impacts

At the portfolio level, in our analysis of the Transition

Assessment Scenarios out to 2050, we observed

that Infratil has some opportunities to improve

overall portfolio value under an Organised &

Decisive scenario and vulnerability to minor

negative impacts under a Delayed & Disorganised

scenario. The portfolio may have greater

vulnerability to negative impacts under a Too Little,

Too Late scenario, but at this stage we consider it to

be a less likely scenario (though as mentioned, it

provides a useful scenario to support assessment

of potential financial impacts from physical climate

risks).

Here, we set out a brief description of the impact

under each scenario at the overall portfolio level:

Organised & Decisive: Under this scenario, we

observe an overall uplift in the value of the portfolio,

driven primarily by the Renewable Energy platform,

where values are bolstered by an increase in

generation development combined with high

electricity prices in the short to medium term. The

impact to portfolio value is directionally the same,

but slightly higher in percentage terms, than what

we observed in our FY2023 analysis.

Delayed & Disorganised: This year, we saw a small

negative impact to valuations, slightly lower than

observed in our FY2023 analysis. We observed an

increase in the valuation of our renewables

platform, compared to a negative impact last year.

We note the complexity of modelling this scenario,

given significant changes in behaviour, prices and

polices occur towards the end of/just after our

valuation model timeframes, which need to be

factored into the terminal value assumptions.

Too Little, Too Late: Under this scenario, our

analysis showed negative impacts to valuations

across the portfolio, similar to our analysis in

FY2023, but to a greater degree. This is largely due

to lower global economic growth (under this

scenario, Oxford Economics’ modelled GDP

growth has deteriorated compared to last year),

the financial consequences from the physical

impacts of climate change, and a constrained

ability to pass on cost increases given pervasive

and increasingly severe economic stress under this

scenario. The modelling shows that our Renewable

Energy platform is also negatively impacted by the

absence of supportive policies, despite electricity

demand and prices remaining firm (due to a lack of

drive for energy efficiency gains).

In the following pages, we explore the impacts of

our climate scenarios at a sector level.

25

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Transition risks and opportunities assessment



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Summary of scenario analysis

Our transition modelling shows a correlation

between action to reduce global warming

and the value of our portfolio: more decisive

action under the Organised & Decisive

scenario provides the best outcome for

Infratil’s portfolio. Conversely, the portfolio is

most vulnerable to minor negative impacts

under a Delayed & Disorganised scenario.

Climate-related impacts to long-term

growth, the cost of the physical impacts

from climate change, and renewable

electricity demand and prices are the key

drivers of impacts to value.

Digital infrastructure
Summary of quantitative assessment

We assessed the climate transition impacts to the

digital infrastructure platform from the Transition

Assessment Scenarios against our modelled

baseline, using our internal valuation models. Our

findings this year were directionally consistent for

each climate scenario compared to our findings

in FY2023.

Under the Too Little, Too Late scenario, we see

the largest divergence in value for our digital

infrastructure platform, with long-term global GDP

growth declining towards zero as the impacts of

climate change start to dramatically affect the

macroeconomy. We also anticipate higher

maintenance costs and capex for our digital assets

under this scenario as businesses respond to the

physical impacts of climate change and seek to

further enhance resilience, for example greater

investment in initiatives to support security of

supply for electricity. These factors present a drag

on cashflows into the future, given the ability to

pass through cost increases is likely to be more

challenging in this scenario. Together these

impacts – lower growth and higher costs – are

shown by our modelling to result in a negative

deviation from our baseline valuation.

26

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

KLON-01 and KLON-02 at the Harlow Campus



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Key modelling adjustments

GDP

CPI

Maintenance capex

Growth capex

Sales cadence

Interest rates

The modelled impact of the Delayed & Disorganised

scenario shows the greatest negative deviation

from baseline compared to the other platforms. This

is driven by long-term weak GDP growth, higher

maintenance and opex (on a large physical asset

base) and fewer transition opportunities than in the

Organised & Decisive scenario.

Higher long-term growth and lower climate-related

maintenance and capex drag lead to higher terminal

value assumptions under an Organised & Decisive

scenario compared to the baseline scenario.

27
Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Qualitative transition analysis

Transition risks Relevant

Horizon

Organised &

Decisive

Delayed &

Disorganised

Too Little,

Too Late

Comments/Mitigants

Policy changes lift requirements for building standards,

putting upwards pressure on construction costs and/or requiring

retrofits.

MOver time, where relevant, we will engage with our portfolio companies to encourage

them to ’stay ahead of the curve’ on energy efficiency and building standards.

Infratil and its portfolio companies aim to stay abreast of and engage in policy and

regulatory developments. Portfolio diversification is another mitigant, providing Infratil

with options as to when and where to deploy capital into future developments. Risk impact

will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

New technologies required (e.g. next generation data centre

cooling equipment, telco infrastructure equipment) which are

more expensive and/or in scarce supply due to high demand.

M-LOver time, where relevant, we will encourage our portfolio companies to:

- develop/maintain strong relationships with relevant suppliers.

- stay abreast of technology developments and explore the use of latest energy efficient

technology in new builds/upgrades.

Higher market cost

of electricity due to:

Higher carbon prices and/or cost or

availability of renewable energy supply.

S-MOver time, where relevant, we will encourage our portfolio companies to:

- implement energy efficiency measures to mitigate rising costs, particularly in relation to

cooling systems and equipment.

- work with customers and suppliers to encourage them to upgrade to energy efficient

technology in a timely way.

For data centres, long-term contracts and pass-through of some electricity costs are risk

mitigants.

Greater cooling demand and cost of

physical and transitional climate impacts

on electricity. infrastructure.

M-L

Market prices, terms and conditions for insurance becomes less

attractive (and/or insurance availability declines).

M-L Some of our portfolio companies are already starting to:

- address issues with insurance in relation to high pricing or limited coverage by engaging

with insurers.

- investigate and deploy measures to improve resilience to physical risks.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

Market preferences shift towards lower data usage, or lower

emissions options for digital/data.

M Infratil encourages and supports its portfolio companies to take credible action to reduce

emissions and set SBTi targets.

In New Zealand, CDC has received and maintained Toitū net carbon zero certification

since its first year of operation, making it the first certified net carbon zero hyperscale data

centre provider in the country; and One NZ has committed to setting a SBTi validated

emissions reduction target.

Reputational impacts associated with increasing focus on the

growing energy demand of data centres and affect that might

have on energy markets and wider decarbonisation ambitions.

S-M

Reputational considerations for lenders limit financial appetite/

increase pricing for companies that are high emissions and/or

not reducing emissions sufficiently.

S-M

Transition opportunities

Reduce costs and/or exposure to energy and carbon price

volatility through energy efficiency initiatives and/or reducing

carbon footprint.

S-M Infratil supports and encourages its portfolio companies to understand, measure and

reduce their emissions footprints, using recognised frameworks such as GHG Protocol,

SBTi and GRESB.

Blank cells in the Too Little, Too Late column reflect that the opportunity is not relevant or

that stakeholders are expected to have ambivalent attitudes towards sustainability and

climate initiatives in this scenario.

Reputation: Leverage strong sustainability and climate

credentials to attract customers, capital and community

support.

S-M-L

Develop new products/services to support the transition to a

low emission, climate resilient future.

S-M-L For example, One NZ's SpaceX proposed offering is expected to support continued

connectivity in face of disasters arising from the impacts of climate change.

Greater market demand for digital services e.g. for working from

home/virtual meetings, technology infrastructure to support

innovative climate solutions.

S-M-L This demand may arise from a desire to reduce emissions (e.g. from commuting/travel,

energy efficiency or grid optimisation) or it may be due to greater climate-related

disruption (e.g. increased extreme weather events making commuting/travel difficult).

Digital infrastructure



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Horizon: Short (S), Medium (M), Long (L) term

Risk/opportunity rating key

Severe riskInsignificant riskSome opportunityHigh opportunityMinor riskModerate riskMajor risk

Renewable energy
28

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Summary of quantitative assessment

We assessed the climate transition impacts to the

renewable energy platform from our Transition

Assessment Scenarios. Two of the key factors

underpinning our modelling in each of the three

climate change scenarios are the forecast

renewable energy demand and electricity prices.

Manawa Energy’s valuation is particularly sensitive

to the latter given its largely fixed-price offtake

contracts are shorter (full exposure to market

pricing from FY28 onwards) than Longroad’s

average offtake tenor of 15.9 years.

Under the Organised & Decisive scenario, total

global energy demand declines as consumers and

businesses aggressively seek to reduce

consumption through energy efficiency and other

measures – against this, the proportion of

renewable electricity grows from around 40%

currently to over 97% by 2050. With the strongest

suite of supportive policies and incentives, the

modelled impact under the Organised & Decisive

scenario presents the greatest valuation upside

compared to the baseline both for the Renewable

Energy platform and the overall portfolio.



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Longroad Energy 243MW

El Campo wind farm, Texas

Key modelling adjustments

GDP

CPI

Maintenance

Capex

Electricity prices

Renewable energy demand

Development cadence

Development margins

Interest rates

Generation volume

Under the Delayed & Disorganised scenario,

supportive policies and demand for renewables

development comes later in the modelled period,

meaning valuation uplift is positive, but not as

strong as the Organised & Decisive scenario.

Conversely, the Too Little, Too Late scenario sees a

continued rise in global energy demand, but the

proportion of renewable electricity remains

constant at around today’s levels. A lack of

supportive policies and the negative financial and

economic impacts from the physical effects of

climate change see some fall in value relative to the

baseline for this scenario.

Qualitative transition analysis
Transition risks Relevant

Horizon

Organised &

Decisive

Delayed &

Disorganised

Too Little,

Too Late

Comments/Mitigants

Market demand for renewables decreases – either as a result

of overall energy demand decreasing and/or as a result of

apathy towards decarbonisation of the energy system.

M-LInfratil's renewable energy platform has opportunities to continue developing generation

under all scenarios, though energy demand and the rate of energy transition are factors

worth continuously monitoring.

Having a portfolio that is diversified across geographies and jurisdictions that may diverge

in this regard is expected to act as a mitigant to this risk, whilst also providing broad-based

exposure to opportunities.

Policy changes increase consenting and compliance costs

and/or reducing incentives for new and existing

developments.

S-MInfratil and its portfolio companies aim to stay abreast of and engage in proposed changes

to regulatory/consenting rules. Governments and regulators are aware of the need for

new renewable generation, which limits the risk of burdensome changes under Organised

& Decisive and Delayed & Disorganised scenarios.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs. Portfolio

diversification is another mitigant, providing Infratil with options as to when and where to

deploy capital into future developments.

Competitors might more rapidly deploy new energy

technologies which might emerge that are more cost

effective, efficient or have other features more attractive than

current renewable energy technology.

M-L Infratil and its portfolio companies aim to stay abreast of emerging technology

developments, including through engaging with experts, in industry forums and (for

portfolio companies) suppliers. Morrison’s global energy expertise is helpful in this regard.

Through Infratil-nominated board positions, we will support exploring, where appropriate,

deployment of the latest generation technology in new builds/upgrades.

Grid capacity becomes further constrained as market

demand for connections grows and 'must run' renewable

generation increases creating peaks in market supply which

increase the risk of curtailment.

S-M Where feasible, and practicable, Infratil’s renewable energy portfolio companies seek:

- geographical diversity of generation to avoid too much supply in any given location.

- to investigate/deploy storage options for grid excess either through battery technology

or other types of grid scale storage.

- to secure sites with the ability to sell into multiple markets and/or manage via offtake

contract terms.

A related opportunity associated with this risk is that existing generation sites and secured

development opportunities with good grid connectivity and capacity characteristics may

become more valuable.

Intense market competition for new project sites and grid

access as capital flows into renewable energy development. In

some regions, we are observing a constraint in new grid

connections due to supply chain and labour shortages.

S-MTo mitigate this risk, where feasible and practicable, Infratil’s renewable portfolio

companies could seek to:

- enter into contracting arrangements to secure revenue for generation projects.

- secure options/sites for future development projects where appropriate.

- lift in-house grid capability to support accelerating and securing grid access.

Portfolio diversification is another mitigant, providing Infratil with options as to when and

where to deploy capital into future developments. A related opportunity associated with

this risk is that existing generation sites and secured development opportunities with

good grid connectivity characteristics may become more valuable.

Supply chain constraints arise from high market demand for

components for renewable energy generation. Additional

pressure on the supply chain may arise from raw material

shortages, political instability, or regulatory changes.

S-MWe encourage our portfolio companies to develop and maintain strong supplier

relationships. For example, Longroad has established a deep relationship with First Solar,

affording favourable procurement status and supply chain benefits. Depending on market

conditions, our portfolio companies are able to deploy a range of strategies to support

supply chain access, such as diversifying their supplier base, utilising portfolio 'buying

power', and leveraging their reputation and networks. Morrison helps to organise a

procurement forum for Infratil’s renewable energy companies to facilitate discussion of

procurement insights and challenges.

A related opportunity associated with this risk is that existing generation sites and secured

development opportunities with good grid connectivity characteristics may become

more valuable.

Market prices, terms and conditions for insurance becomes

less attractive (and/or insurance availability declines).

S-M-LSome of our portfolio companies are already starting to:

- address issues with insurance in relation to high pricing or limited coverage by engaging

with insurers or utilising captive insurance.

- investigate and deploy measures to improve resilience to physical risks.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

Increasing focus on reducing embodied carbon in generation

equipment (and/or costs increase due to higher market prices

for carbon).

S-MOver time, where relevant, we will encourage our portfolio companies to stay abreast of

technology developments & deploy low carbon technology in new builds/upgrades where

feasible.

One example of this is Longroad's planned use of the new Series 7 solar panels in its

Serrano development, which have a relatively low carbon footprint as detailed in the inset

story on page 11.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

Transition opportunities

Climate-friendly regulations/policy provide incentives to

develop renewable energy generation and/or increase

demand for clean energy.

S-M-LInfratil and its portfolio companies are focused on staying abreast of, and engaging in,

regulatory developments in relation to clean energy.

Diversity across a range of jurisdictions increases the likelihood of being exposed to

positive policy changes. This is not seen as an opportunity under the Too Little, Too Late

scenario, as there are unlikely to be climate-friendly regulations.

New renewable energy generation, storage and transmission

technologies might emerge that reduce costs, increase

generation, or have other attractive features.

S-M-LInfratil and its portfolio companies aim to stay abreast of emerging technology

developments, including through engaging with experts in industry forums and (for

portfolio companies) suppliers. Morrison’s global energy expertise is helpful in this regard.

Whilst technology developments might emerge under the Too Little, Too Late scenario,

they are somewhat less likely – and the imperative for novel/more challenging innovations

such as green hydrogen is a low probability under this scenario (hence this cell is blank).

The drive to decarbonise increases market demand for

renewable energy from existing and novel/emerging

technologies (e.g. sustainable aviation, green hydrogen) which

presents new investment opportunities.

S-M-L

Reputation: Leverage strong sustainability, climate, and

resilience credentials to attract customers/contracts, capital,

and community support.

S-M-L Infratil supports and encourages its portfolio companies to understand, measure and

reduce their emissions footprints, using credible frameworks such as GHG Protocol, SBTi

and GRESB.

The blank cell in the Too Little, Too Late column reflects that stakeholders are expected to

have ambivalent attitudes towards sustainability and climate initiatives in this scenario.

Renewable energy

29

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

Horizon: Short (S), Medium (M), Long (L) term



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Risk/opportunity rating key

Severe riskInsignificant riskSome opportunityHigh opportunityMinor riskModerate riskMajor risk

Healthcare
30

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy

As a preamble to the next two sections, it is worth

noting that our quantitative and qualitative

assessments of the healthcare and airport

platforms need to be taken in context of their scale

relative to the wider portfolio.

We have endeavoured to use the rating key to

reflect the financial impact relative to the total value

of each platform. This year, we have also added

greater nuance to our rating key to distinguish the

level of risk and whether a risk is relevant or not.

As at 31 March 2024, the healthcare and airport

platforms made up about 11% and 4% of the fair

value of Infratil’s total investment portfolio

respectively, compared to digital (62%) and

renewables (23%). So, a ‘minor‘ risk for the

healthcare or airport platforms is likely to have a

lower dollar impact than the same grade risk for

digital or renewables.


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Summary of quantitative assessment

We assessed the climate transition impacts to the

healthcare platform from the Transition

Assessment Scenarios. Our modelling shows that

neither the Organised & Decisive nor the Delayed &

Disorganised scenarios had a material impact on

valuations for the Diagnostic Imaging businesses.

Oxford Economics’ assumptions did not provide a

forecast for population growth, as an alternative

we estimate GDP growth is a reasonable proxy for

population growth and have used this assumption

to estimate demand for healthcare services. As a

result, scanning volumes continue to grow under

all climate scenarios, albeit at a slower rate in the

Too Little, Too Late scenario which assumes

macro-economic growth slows and unemployment

increases. We recognise that the impacts to health

in this scenario may spur greater demand for

diagnostic imaging, but this is very challenging to

model, and the general economic stress may

limit Government and private ability to pay for

health services.

We found it challenging to sensibly incorporate

the Oxford Economics House Price Index into

our modelling; while this is a key metric for

RetireAustralia’s valuation, it contributed to the

best valuation performance under Too Little, Too

Late scenario (albeit negative). This aspect of our

modelling requires some further refinement and

customisation, which we will look to undertake

next year.

Key modelling adjustments

G

DP

CPI

Maintenance

Capex

House Price Index

Healthcare
Qualitative transition analysis

Transition risks Relevant

Horizon

Organised &

Decisive

Delayed &

Disorganised

Too Little,

Too Late

Comments/Mitigants

Market values for property respond negatively to economic

conditions resulting from policy responses to address climate

change.

M-LThis risk relates to RetireAustralia, currently the only portfolio company whose valuation is

highly correlated to general property prices. As at 31 March 2024, RetireAustralia made

up less than 4% of Infratil’s investment portfolio (by fair value), but just over 30% of the

healthcare platform.

Policy changes lift requirements for building standards, putting

upwards pressure on construction costs and supply chains

and/or requiring retrofits (impacting retirement village sector

more than diagnostic imaging).

S-MOver time, where relevant, we will engage with our portfolio companies to encourage

them to ’stay ahead of the curve’ on energy efficiency and building standards. Infratil and

its portfolio companies aim to stay abreast of and engage in policy and regulatory

developments. Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs

to portfolio company customers. Infratil can choose when and where (which sector and

jurisdiction) to deploy capital into future developments.

New technologies required (e.g. low-carbon diagnostic

equipment, next generation HVAC systems) which are more

expensive and/or in scarce supply due to high demand.

M-LOver time, where relevant, we will encourage our portfolio companies to:

- develop/maintain strong relationships with relevant suppliers .

- stay abreast of technology developments and explore the use of latest energy efficient

technology in new builds/upgrades.

Higher market cost of

electricity due to:

Higher carbon prices and/or

cost or availability of renewable

energy supply.

S-MOur healthcare companies have already started implementing energy efficiency

measures to mitigate rising costs, particularly in relation to heating, ventilation and air

conditioning systems and diagnostic equipment. Page 38 of Infratil’s FY2023

Sustainability Report sets out some information of how RHCNZ is selecting and deploying

energy efficient equipment.

For retirement villages, deploying distributed renewable energy solutions such as rooftop

solar will reduce carbon emissions and may improve security of supply/resilience. Page

20 of Infratil’s FY2023 Sustainability Report sets out an example of how RetireAustralia is

focusing on these issues at The Verge retirement village.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

Greater cooling demand and

cost of physical and transitional

climate impacts on electricity

infrastructure.

M-L

Market prices, terms and conditions for insurance becomes

less attractive (and/or insurance availability declines).

M-L Some of our portfolio companies are already starting to:

- address issues with insurance in relation to high pricing or limited coverage by engaging

with insurers or investigating captive insurance.

- investigate and deploy measures to improve resilience to physical risks.

Risk impact will depend on the ability to pass through any increased costs.

Reputational considerations for lenders limit financial appetite/

increase pricing for companies that are high emissions and/or

not reducing emissions sufficiently.

S-MInfratil encourages and supports its portfolio companies to take credible action to reduce

emissions and set SBTi targets.

Transition opportunities

Reduce costs and/or exposure to energy and carbon price

volatility through energy efficiency initiatives and/or reducing

carbon footprint.

S-M Infratil supports and encourages its portfolio companies to understand, measure and

reduce their emissions footprints, using recognised frameworks such as GHG Protocol,

SBTi and GRESB.

Blank cells in the Too Little, Too Late column reflect that the opportunity is not relevant or

that stakeholders are expected to have ambivalent attitudes towards sustainability and

climate initiatives in this scenario.

Reputation: Leverage strong sustainability and climate

credentials to attract customers, capital, and community

support.

S-M-L

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Horizon: Short (S), Medium (M), Long (L) term

Rating key for opportunities and risks (taking into account existing mitigants already in place)

Severe riskInsignificant riskSome opportunityHigh opportunityMinor riskModerate riskMajor risk

Airport
Summary of quantitative assessment

Due to our airport platform consisting solely of

Wellington Airport, the risks and opportunities

faced by this platform are those faced by

Wellington Airport. We have leveraged the work

already done by Wellington Airport to inform our

own qualitative analysis of transition risks and the

impact of the Transition Assessment Scenarios on

the platform.

Our quantitative analysis showed a small negative

impact to the airport valuation under the Organised

& Decisive scenario, slightly larger negative impact

under the Delayed & Disorganised, and somewhat

larger negative impact under the Too Little, Too Late

scenario.

The key contributions to the valuation impact are

the GDP trajectories, tempered by the airport’s

regulatory pricing structures which allow for a

reasonable level of returns across a range of market

conditions. However, we acknowledge the ability to

pass on all cost increases will likely be constrained

under a Too Little, Too Late scenario, given the

severity of the economic impacts from climate

change over the long term.

Passenger numbers have historically been strongly

correlated to GDP growth. Large capex decisions

are critical junctures for the airport, with passenger

volumes being a critical input into these decisions.

Our modelling conservatively assumes all planned

capex proceeds under all scenarios, whereas

closer to final investment decision, any business

case and underlying forecasts will be heavily

scrutinised (by the Airport, Infratil and

stakeholders), which would be a mitigant under

the worst case Too Little, Too Late scenario.

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Wellington Airport is undergoing its own exercise

to examine the impacts of climate risks on the

business, and we continue to work with them to

inform our collective view of climate impacts.

Wellington Airport recently released its first

climate-related disclosures, available here.

Wellington Airport

Key modelling adjustments

Passenger forecasts

GDP

CPI

Maintenance

Capex

Interest rates

Airport
Qualitative transition analysis

Transition risks Relevant

Horizon

Organised &

Decisive

Delayed &

Disorganised

Too Little,

Too Late

Comments/Mitigants

Government regulation/

policy results in:

increased costs (e.g. from

higher carbon prices).

S-MWellington Airport is working to reduce its operational emissions footprint.

The company engages with Government on regulatory and legislative changes and is

working to provide infrastructure to support a shift to more sustainable aviation.

Wellington Airport has started to incorporate assessment of infrastructure required for

novel aircraft into its forecasting.

a cap or reduction in passenger

numbers or increase in opex/

capex.

M

New technologies deployed by airlines (Sustainable Aviation

Fuel, electrification of aircraft) which are more expensive and

reduce passenger demand.

M-LAirlines have strong incentives to drive a commercially viable transition to

sustainable aviation.

Wellington Airport is working alongside the aviation sector to achieve this outcome.

Reputational considerations e.g. if the Airport fails to make

credible progress on targets; or lenders limit financial

appetite/increase pricing for companies that are associated

with high emissions and/or not reducing emissions

sufficiently.

S-M Wellington Airport regularly engages with its stakeholders, is working on emissions

reduction initiatives, is seeking to improve its Airport Carbon Accreditation rating and has

committed to set a SBTi validated target.

Sustainable finance can act as a mitigant to this risk - targets relating to the

abovementioned initiatives have been embedded in some of Wellington Airport’s funding

through sustainability linked loans.

Notwithstanding these mitigants, this remains a relevant risk given ongoing scrutiny of the

climate-related impacts of the airline sector.

In addition to the above, we note the following characteristics that act as mitigants to all the above transition risks:

- the Airport has some diversification to its revenue base with 57% from aeronautical activities and 43% from commercial activities in FY24, with 20% of commercial revenue uncorrelated to passenger numbers.

- the Airport’s regulatory pricing regime is a mitigant to transition risks by providing a degree of certainty of returns on committed aeronautical capex. Nonetheless, future large capex decisions will need to be

made in light of any assessed risks to passenger numbers, including climate-related risks.

Transition opportunities

Introduction of low-carbon flights provides a market

opportunity for a low emissions service that competes with

alternative carbon-dependent transport options.

S-M-L For example, electric aircraft on short-haul routes might become an attractive,

sustainable transport option compared to car or ferry. Wellington Airport is currently

engaged in initiatives to support low/zero emissions flights - refer pages 7-15 of its 2024

Kaitiakitanga Report.

The blank cell in the Too Little, Too Late column reflects that stakeholders are expected to

have ambivalent attitudes towards sustainable aviation initiatives in this scenario.

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Horizon: Short (S - 0 to 3 years), Medium (M - 3 to 10 years), Long (L - 10 years to 2050+)

Risk key for opportunities and risks (taking into account existing mitigants already in place)

Severe riskInsignificant riskSome opportunityHigh opportunityMinor riskModerate riskMajor risk

We have developed a draft transition plan for
Infratil that pulls together the elements of Infratil’s

strategy and sustainability strategy that

collectively describe Infratil’s ‘targets, including

any interim targets, and actions for its transition

towards a low-emissions, climate-resilient future’

(as defined in NZ CS1).

In preparing this draft Transition Plan, we have had

regard to the UK’s Transition Plan Taskforce (TPT)

guidance for Asset Owners and international peer

companies.

The three key actions in the draft Transition Plan

are:



1. Making and reporting progress against Infratil’s

SBTi targets.

2. Active investment management with portfolio

companies on climate-related risks and

opportunities through the investment process.

3. Collaboration and advocacy with stakeholders,

third parties and peers, including with lenders

to explore opportunities in sustainable finance.

Infratil’s Board has approved this draft Transition

Plan. We will review it annually, including in FY2025

as we seek to align with the anticipated NZ CS

requirements. We will also monitor relevant

developments from the Australian climate

disclosure regime.

Draft Transition Plan

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 02 Strategy



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Infratil’s draft Transition Plan for a transition to a low emissions, climate-resilient future

Science based emissions reduction targets

Infratil has committed to:

• maintain zero absolute scope 1 and 2 emissions; and

• reduce scope 3 emissions by achieving its SBTi target,

which aims for 60% of its portfolio (by value) to have SBTi

validated targets by FY2028 and 100% by FY2030; and

• reduce scope 3 emissions from business travel 25% by

FY2030 from FY2023.

Infratil will consider setting a Net Zero target once SBTi has

finalised its Net Zero framework for Financial Institutions.

Climate-related risks and opportunities

Infratil is maturing its processes and engaging with its

portfolio companies to better understand, manage and

disclose physical and transition impacts of climate change

under various scenarios.

This provides insights on managing/mitigating climate risks

and opportunities to integrate into the investment process.

A key role Infratil’s portfolio can play in a just transition is the

opportunity to develop cost-efficient, clean generation

through its renewable energy platform.

Collaborate and advocate

To support our work on climate-related issues, we

collaborate with technology providers (e.g. Persefoni and

Jupiter Intelligence) and third-party experts (e.g. Oxford

Economics).

We seek and share insights with stakeholders, portfolio

companies and peers, and advocate for the right market

and policy settings to support the transition.

Over time we may collaborate with lenders to integrate our

ESG objectives into our capital structure through sustainable

finance.

Investment strategy

• We review our investment strategy in

light of the latest views on megatrends

and industry tailwinds, including in

relation to climate.

• Some of our investments, such as

global renewable energy and digital

platforms, have important roles to

play in the transition.

Screening & due diligence

• Material climate issues are identified

and considered as part of the DD

process for new investments, with

reference to Infratil’s sustainability

strategy and objectives.

• Per our Exclusion Policy, we avoid

investments that, in our view, are

likely to harm the environment or

are harmful to society.

Active investment management

• We identify and actively manage

climate-related risks and opportunities

in our portfolio as we seek to optimise

value through good management of

our investments.

• We support our portfolio companies

to understand, measure and manage

climate impacts and set their own

SBTi targets.

Benchmarking & reporting

• We measure and report emissions and

other key climate metrics and support

our portfolio companies to do the same.

• At least annually, we will report progress

against our SBTi target.

• We benchmark against recognised

standards, such as GRESB and CDP.

Infratil’s strategy & sustainability strategy

We invest in ideas that matter; decarbonisation is a macro-

trend tailwind that supports the rationale behind our

renewable energy platform. Our investments are diversified

by sector and geography, which increases our resilience to

climate risks as well as providing exposure to climate-related

opportunities. ‘Climate & Nature’ is one of the four pillars of

Infratil’s sustainability strategy.

Infratil’s climate governance

Stakeholders want to see Infratil acting as a responsible

steward with robust governance practices appropriate to its

structure so that climate-related issues are managed well.

Infratil’s Board has ultimate responsibility for oversight of

climate-related risks and opportunities; integration of

climate into the investment process (see above) is also key

to management of climate-related risks and opportunities.

Market standards, frameworks and regulatory settings

We seek to understand and comply with evolving climate-

related policies and regulations as they can impact risks,

create new market opportunities and drive innovation.

We recognise that adherence to recognised market

standards and frameworks will give Infratil’s stakeholders

confidence in its approach to managing climate-related

risks and opportunities.

Foundations

Actions

Means

(climate integration)

Managing risks, including climate risks, and
integrating ESG and climate considerations

throughout the investment lifecycle are key factors

that support the long-term success and resilience

of our business, and that of our portfolio

companies. There are three approaches with

Infratil’s portfolio that, in combination, act as key

mitigants to the impact of climate-related physical

and transition risks:

• Diversification: Infratil’s investments are

diverse by sector, geography, and asset type

and Infratil consciously determines the

composition of its portfolio over time. Most of

Infratil’s portfolio companies also have a broad

geographic distribution of their own assets

across the jurisdictions in which they operate,

which provides protection against a range of

climate-related risks.

• Exclusion: Infratil’s Exclusion Policy,

summarised below, limits Infratil’s exposure to

businesses that are likely to be materially

impacted under the Organised & Decisive or

Delayed & Disorganised scenarios.

Risk Management

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Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 03 Risk Management

• Engagement: Infratil engages with its portfolio

companies on ESG matters, including in relation

to climate-related risks and opportunities, and is

seeking to improve and mature our approach to

assessing these risks and opportunities.

Risk Management processes

Infratil includes assessment of climate risk as part

of its broader approach to risk management

through its enterprise risk management system,

which is summarised in the following diagram.

Infratil refreshed its risk framework and risk register

in 2023. Workshops were held with sector teams to

identify material risks, including, where relevant,

climate-related risks that are material to Infratil.

These risks were then assigned to one of Infratil’s

four principal risk categories: portfolio; operational;

stakeholder management; and regulatory and

compliance; with climate-related risks appearing in

each category. In many cases, climate-related risks

are an aspect of a broader risk, for example, the risk

‘attracting and retaining talent’ makes specific

reference to having sufficient climate expertise

within the business.

The risks in Infratil’s risk register that have relevance

to climate-related issues are summarised in the

table at pages 15-16.

Following these workstreams, a formal Risk

Management Policy was developed and approved

by the ARC in early 2024.

Infratil’s sustainability and climate-related risk

assessments have been able to draw on insights

from Infratil’s 2023 ESG materiality assessment,

our Jupiter climate physical risk assessment (see

pages 18-22) and our climate transition risk

modelling (see pages 24-33).

All risks, including climate-related risks, undergo

the same risk assessment process, though the

approach may differ depending on the nature of

the risk. Infratil applies a ‘5 x 5’ risk matrix and

assessment methodology for assessing each risk;

assigning a likelihood rating (from rare over a long-

term (> 10-year) horizon, through to almost certain

in the next six months) and impact rating (from no

impact through to severe impact), producing an

overall risk score which is plotted on a risk ‘heat map’.

When preparing the heat map, the likelihood and

impact for some climate risks, such as ESG

litigation and stakeholder activism, are quantified

using subjective judgement, informed by market

precedents, and adjusted for the nature of Infratil’s

portfolio. We are starting to quantify other climate-

related risks, such as physical and transition risks

using available tools and technology – further

details on Infratil’s approach and the time horizons

considered are set out in the Strategy section of

this report.

Morrison, on behalf of Infratil, provides regular

reporting to the ARC, approximately every six

months. All risks in the register are assessed and

reported via the heatmaps, along with the controls

and treatments and commentary for those risks

with the highest residual risk rating. Particular

attention is given to strategic risks that have the

potential to materially impact the overall

performance of the Infratil portfolio.

Under the recently refreshed risk framework, the

ARC has responsibility for monitoring compliance

and reviewing and recommending any exceptions

to the Risk Management Policy to the Board (if

practicable) or the Board Chair for approval. Any

crystallised risks or residual risks outside risk

tolerance levels are communicated to the Board by

the ARC Chair as part of the summary of each ARC

meeting provided at each subsequent Board

meeting, or earlier if appropriate.

Portfolio companies

As noted on page 12, through our investment

management processes and board

representation, Infratil looks to the board and

management teams of each portfolio company to

have robust governance and risk management

processes in place to effectively identify, assess,

and monitor the operational and strategic risks

relevant to each individual business, including in

relation to climate change.

* Unless we are satisfied the entity has or can feasibly develop a credible 1.5ºC aligned transition plan and will

commit to setting emissions reduction targets that are validated by the Science Based Targets initative (SBTi).

As part of our approach to responsible investment, Infratil will not invest in organisations that derive

material earnings directly from activities that, in our view can harm the environment, such as:

Identification

“What are all the

material risks we’re

exposed to”

Response

“Are we comfortable

with the level of

residual risk relative

to risk appetite”

Contol and

Mitigants

“How do we manage

and mitigate risks”

Appetite

“How much risk are

we willing to take”

Govenance

and Policies

“How do we oversee

risk taking”

Measuement

and Evaluation

“How do we size and

scope the risks and

report them”

Extracting, processing and

transportation of thermal coal

Oil exploration

and production

Generating electricity

using fossil fuels*



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Approach to emissions measurement
and reporting

Infratil is an infrastructure investor with no directly

employed staff, offices, facilities or direct products

or services. The management of Infratil’s

investments is undertaken by its Manager,

Morrison. Infratil owns no material assets other

than its portfolio investments and cash deposits

from time to time. Infratil therefore has no Scope 1

16. The Greenhouse Gas Protocol: A Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard (2018) (the GHG Protocol)

17. PCAF (2022). The Global GHG Accounting and Reporting Standard Part A: Financed Emissions. Second Edition.

Metrics and Targets

36

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 04 Metrics and Targets

Longroad Energy’s Sun Streams 2, solar farm, Arizona



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or 2 emissions. The material sources of emissions

for Infratil are therefore all Scope 3 emissions.

The dominant source of Infratil’s Scope 3 emissions

is from emissions associated with our investment

portfolio. We also report emissions associated with

Infratil Board travel. Infratil measures and reports

emissions in line with the GHG Protocol

16

, PCAF

17


and its Basis of Preparation.

In accordance with PCAF, Infratil reports its share

of emissions from each portfolio company in

proportion to Infratil’s share of total capital

associated with that company (including both

debt and equity).

By way of example, for an entity with $1 million

of debt and $5 million of equity, if Infratil owns a

40% stake in the equity ($2 million), it will report

2/(1+5) = 33% of the entity’s emissions as being

attributable to its investment. The proportion of

emissions allocated, here 33%, is known as the

attribution factor.

Infratil has adopted the operational control

approach, with all portfolio companies treated as

investments, rather than deeming operational

control for those where Infratil owns more than

50%. Therefore, emissions from the portfolio

companies are all consistently reported in Scope 3

Category 15 (investments). Further rationale and

details can be found in Infratil’s FY2024 Basis of

Preparation. Infratil has sought independent,

expert advice that supports this approach. KPMG

undertook a review of Infratil’s FY2022 GHG

emissions data and provided limited assurance

over Infratil’s FY2023 and FY2024 GHG emissions

data.

When reporting its own Scope 3 Category 15

(investments) emissions, i.e. the attribution of the

emissions of its portfolio companies, Infratil

includes its portfolio companies’ Scope 1 and 2

emissions.

This year we had sufficient coverage of portfolio

company Scope 3 Category 6 (Business Travel)

emissions reporting to also include this data where

it was available. We will encourage our portfolio

companies to continue expanding the extent and

quality of Scope 3 emissions reporting, so that

Infratil can increasingly include more Scope 3

categories over time.

In line with PCAF, we have also reported Infratil’s

financed emissions relating to Wellington Airport’s

Scope 3 emissions, including in relation to aircraft

fuelling. Other than emissions relating to the

Airport’s staff business travel, we have stated its

Scope 3 emissions separately from the other

financed emissions to provide greater granularity,

and because we do not have wide coverage for this

category across the portfolio.

Organisational boundary

As set out in Infratil’s FY2024 Basis of Preparation

document, and in line with the GHG Protocol,

Infratil has set organisational boundaries that

capture the most material emissions, while

endeavouring to optimise consistency,

transparency, and relevance.

Entities included in the FY2024 emissions

reporting boundary are all Infratil’s portfolio

companies excluding IIPL and Clearvision. In

FY2023, Infratil’s emissions reporting boundary

was the same, but it also excluded the then newly

established Mint Renewables and Fortysouth.

Climate metrics

Measuring the emissions performance of Infratil’s

investment portfolio through market-standard

metrics provides stakeholders with information to

understand the emissions and climate-related

characteristics of Infratil’s portfolio, and how they

compare with recognised market benchmarks.

As well as reporting operational and financed

emissions, on the next page we provide additional

climate metrics relevant to Infratil, including those

referenced in NZ CS 1.

This year, we surveyed our portfolio companies

to obtain a broader data set for climate-related

expenditure/investment set out in the table on

page 38.

Metrics and Targets: emissions
37

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 04 Metrics and Targets



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Infratil’s operational and financed emissions (tCO₂e)FY2024 FY2023 FY2022

Scope 1: Infratil has no operational assets or facilitiesNilNilNil

Scope 2: Infratil has no offices or facilities that use electricityNilNilNil

Scope 3: Cat 6 (business travel)224212Not measured

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) – market based (Scope 1+2)22,86320,22222,206

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) – market based (Scope 1+2 + defined 3

18

)2 4 , 7 74Not measuredNot measured

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) – location based (Scope 1+2)45,37638,78934,873

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) – location based (Scope 1+2 + defined 3)4 7, 2 8 7Not measuredNot measured

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) – immediate row above + all Airport Scope 3128,864Not measuredNot measured

Weighted average PCAF data quality score

19

1.62.02.2

Portfolio financed emissions metrics by sector

20

FY2024DigitalRenewablesHealthcareAirportTo t a l

WACI

21

(tCO₂e/NZ$m revenue)35.624.410.56.425.9

WACI (tCO₂e/US$m revenue)59.740.81 7. 610.74 7. 9

Emissions intensity (tCO₂e/NZ$m invested)2.00.52.60.61.6

Emissions intensity (tCO₂e/US$m invested)3.30.94.31.02.7

FY2023DigitalRenewablesHealthcareAirportTo t a l

WACI (tCO₂e/NZ$m revenue)52.21 7. 621.08 .136.4

WACI (tCO₂e/US$m revenue)83.32 8 .133.613.058.2

Emissions intensity (tCO₂e/NZ$m invested)2.70.83 .10.82 .1

Emissions intensity (tCO₂e/US$m invested)4.31.25.01.23.4

Portfolio financed emissions by sector (tCO₂e)

FY2024DigitalRenewablesHealthcareAirportTo t a l

Total - market based (Scope 1+2)16,9281,7643,79237822,863

Total - market based (Scope 1+2 + defined 3)17,9202,0644,3584322 4 , 7 74

Total – location based (Scope 1+2)38,8701,7594,36937845,376

Total - location based (Scope 1+2 + defined 3)39,8622,0584,9354324 7, 2 8 7

Weighted average PCAF data quality score 1.51.82.01.01.6

FY2023DigitalRenewablesHealthcareAirportTo t a l

Total - market based (Scope 1+2)13,783 1,9184,12939220,222

Total – location based (Scope 1+2)31,6261,9184,85339238,789

Weighted average PCAF data quality score2.02.02.02.02.0

Total financed emissions (Scope 1+2 market

based) have increased 3% since FY2022, due

to growth in the digital platform and the

increase in One NZ ownership. Financed

emissions decreased for all other sectors.

Against this, as shown in the blue bars in the

graph above, location based Scope 1+2

emissions increased 30% over the same period,

highlighting the importance of portfolio

companies securing renewable energy supply.

Renewable electricity contracts reflect 22,513

fewer tonnes of financed Scope 2 emissions in

FY2024 (18,567 in FY2023).

Infratil’s business travel emissions increased

slightly (6%), largely due to a small uptick in

aggregate long-haul passenger-km. Financed

emissions relating to portfolio company

business travel were 1,911tCO₂e.

Wellington Airport expanded its Scope 3

emissions reporting boundary in FY2024. Under

PCAF we are required to disclose all financed

Scope 3 emissions for Wellington Airport, which

for FY2024 were 81,631tCO₂e, of which 99.8%

relates to aircraft refuelling, and 54tCO₂e to

staff business travel. Including all of the Airport’s

Scope 3 emissions would increase the

company’s emissions intensity metric from

0.6 to 131.5 tCO₂e/NZ$m invested.

Both WACI and emissions intensity decreased,

reflecting absolute emissions reduction in all

platforms except digital, combined with

increased revenue (as a proxy, proportionate

EBITDAF increased 60%) and value (fair value

of the portfolio increased $4.3 billion or 45% in

FY2024). PCAF data quality score improved

(decreased) with some portfolio companies

undertaking their own assurance/external

reviews.

Renewable energy contracts have helped

to constrain growth in financed emissions

18. For FY2024, defined 3 includes Portfolio Company Scope 3 Category 6 (Business Travel) financed emissions

19. PCAF uses a five step data quality scale from 1 (best quality) to 5 (estimated). More detail can be found here.

20. Portfolio company Scope 1 and 2 emissions on a market basis.

21. WACI – Weighted Average Carbon Intensity. Sector metrics are not portfolio weighted to allow for comparison to peers and benchmarks

We have restated FY2023 Manawa Energy emissions to reflect a change in our interpretation for incorporating Minority Interests in line with PCAF. Consequently FY2023 market and location

based financed emissions for Renewables have increased by 129 tCO₂e. We have also restated the Airport FY2023 WACI metrics, which were previously portfolio weighted.

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

GHG emissions (tCO₂e)

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) - location based (Scope 1+2)

Scope 3: Cat 15 (investments) - marketbased (Scope 1+2)

FY2022FY2023FY2024

MetricFY2024Comment
WACI – portfolio company Scope 1 & 2

emissions (market based)

25.9tCO₂e/NZ$m revenue (FY2023 36.4)

47.9tCO₂e/US$m revenue (FY2023 58.2)

The Weighted Average Carbon Intensity (‘WACI’) of Infratil’s portfolio reflects the carbon emissions associated with

Infratil’s portfolio company investments per million dollars of each portfolio company’s revenue. Individual company

WACI is aggregated on a weighted basis, according to the company’s fair value compared to the portfolio fair value.

WACI provides insight into emissions intensity on an activity basis and is useful for comparison within sectors, to gain

an understanding of each company’s ‘carbon efficiency’ relative to its industry peers.

Economic Emissions Intensity – portfolio

company Scope 1 & 2 emissions (market

based)

1.6tCO₂e/NZ$m invested (FY2023 2.1)

2.7tCO₂e/US$m invested (FY2023 3.4)

Economic Emissions Intensity (‘EEI’) is an alternative measure of emissions intensity to WACI. It reflects the carbon

emissions associated with Infratil’s portfolio company investments against every million dollars of money invested by

Infratil. EEI provides insight into the emissions relative to the value invested and allows for normalisation of emissions

intensity where portfolio value is growing over time. It is useful for comparison of Infratil’s portfolio against other

portfolios or funds.

Portfolio coverage – validated SBTi targets0% of portfolio companies (by value)

(FY2023: 0%)

We note that in August 2023, both Wellington Airport and One NZ committed to setting SBTi emissions reduction

targets. In March 2024 the Airport made a submission to SBTi and the company has stated that it is aiming to have its

target validated in FY2025.

Portfolio coverage – commitment to SBTi

targets

30% of portfolio companies (by value)

(FY2023 0%)

Proportion of the portfolio (by fair value) of companies that have committed to setting SBTi emissions reduction

targets, being the fair value of Wellington Airport and One NZ compared to the fair value of the total portfolio

(excluding Clearvision and IIPL).

Amount or percentage of assets, or other

business activities aligned with climate-

related opportunities

$3.2 billion invested in renewable energy

platform as at 31 March 2024 (FY2023

$2.5 billion).

Fair value of Infratil’s investment in our renewable energy platform as per page 27 of Infratil’s FY2024 Annual Report.

Except as noted below, we have not identified financial values for specific climate-related opportunities in the other

sectors, though some companies have or are planning products and services that have relevance to climate

opportunities. One such example is the renewable energy options offered by CDC to its customers, many of whom

have carbon targets, which, along with its low water use, are competitive differentiators for the company. Another is

the SpaceX product being developed by One NZ, which would provide greater connectivity in the event of disasters,

including climate-related events.

Amount of expenditure/investment

deployed toward climate-related risks

and opportunities

FY2024 expenditure

$1.0 billion (FY2023 $0.4 billion)

$7.6 million

$3.1 million

$1.3 million

FY2024 expenditure

Total proportionate capex relating to Infratil’s renewable energy platform (p26 of Infratil’s FY2024 Annual Report).

Total proportionate expenditure by portfolio companies relating to decarbonisation initiatives, carbon credits,

energy efficiency and renewable energy supply.

Total proportionate expenditure by portfolio companies on initiatives to support resilience (noting climate resilience

may not be the sole outcome/driver).

Total Infratil and proportionate expenditure by portfolio companies on climate-related regulatory requirements,

emissions reporting, disclosures, assurance, targets, sustainable finance, ESG/climate assessments (including

GRESB, CDP) and supporting technology (e.g.: Oxford Economics and Persefoni).

Future expenditure

NZ$2.2 - $2.8 billion*

$35.0 million*

$25.0 million*

Future expenditure

FY2025 capex guidance for Infratil’s renewable energy platform (assuming NZD/USD at 0.6) as set out in Infratil’s

FY2024 investor presentation (slide 32).*

Wellington Airport’s disclosed FY25-29 expenditure on marine protection structures providing resilience against

seismic and climate-related events.*

Wellington Airport’s disclosed FY25-29 expenditure on decarbonisation and transition initiatives.

Renewable electricity (owned)

- generation capacity

- generation volume

2,281MW (FY2023 2,117MW)

6,043GWh (FY2023 5,750GWh)

Total renewable electricity capacity of the portfolio companies in Infratil’s renewable energy platform.*

Total renewable electricity generation by the portfolio companies in Infratil’s renewable energy platform.*

Renewable electricity pipelineOver 50GW (FY2023: over 30GW)FY2024 renewable energy platform development pipeline as per pages 43-49 of Infratil’s FY2024 Annual Report.*

Internal emissions priceNeither Infratil, nor any of its portfolio

companies have an internal emissions price

in place.

Infratil’s New Zealand based portfolio companies (41% of the portfolio by fair value) are either directly or indirectly

impacted by carbon prices set through the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) which averaged over

NZ$60/tCO

2

e (spot) and over NZ$75/tCO

2

e (5-year) in FY2024 (~NZ$77 spot and ~$87 5-year in FY2023).

Management remuneration linked to

climate-related risks or opportunities

n/aWith no directly employed staff, Infratil does not set any remuneration linked to climate risks and opportunities,

however some of our portfolio companies have such pay structures in place. Some examples include Wellington

Airport executive remuneration having an ESG modifier; Manawa Energy has incentive arrangements for

management which include climate-related KPIs.

Amount or percentage of assets

or business activities vulnerable to

transition risks

Up to 5% of Infratil's assets (being the fair

value of Infratil’s investment in the Material

Portfolio Companies).

The modelling under our Quantitative Assessment (page 22) showed a potential negative impact to the combined

fair values for Infratil’s investment in the Material Portfolio Companies of up to 5% under the Delayed & Disorganised

climate scenario out to 2050. The Too Little, Too Late may have a greater negative impact on value, but at this stage,

we consider it a less likely scenario. Our Quantitative Assessment also accounted for some physical impacts such as

increased opex due to greater maintenance.

Amount or percentage of assets

or business activities vulnerable to

physical risks

Up to 5% (by value) of Material Portfolio

Company Assets are At Risk

10

.

This is the total proportionate insured, replacement or fair value of Material Portfolio Company assets that are

assessed as being in the top two exposure bands (high/highest exposure) and vulnerable under a SSP5-8.5

scenario by 2050 relative to the total portfolio fair value. The At Risk assets are predominantly in Renewables and

Healthcare and the dominant perils are flood, precipitation, and wildfire. Due to limitations with Jupiter assessing sea

walls, we have excluded Wellington Airport from this assessment and point the reader to the future resilience

expenditure noted above, as well as the company’s own Climate Related Disclosures.

Climate metrics

38

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 04 Metrics and Targets

* not adjusted for our proportionate equity share i.e. these are gross, not proportionate values

Metrics



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a) Investment portfolio target
Infratil’s target set out below has been validated as

meeting the SBTi’s requirements under a portfolio

coverage approach, meaning it is aligned with

limiting global warming to 1.5°C for portfolio

company scope 1 and 2 emissions:

Infratil commits to:

• 60% of its portfolio by fair value setting SBTi

validated targets by FY2028; and

• 100% by FY2030, from a FY2023 base year.

Progress as at 31 March 2024

• 0% of Infratil’s portfolio has set SBTi validated

targets.

• 30% of Infratil’s portfolio, being Wellington

Airport and One NZ, have publicly committed

to setting SBTi targets.

In 2023, Infratil announced that it had set near-

term emissions reduction targets across our

portfolio and operational activities, in line with the

SBTi’s Financial Sector Science-Based Targets

Guidance.

The SBTi is a global body enabling businesses to set

ambitious emissions reductions targets in line with

the latest climate science. Aligning with the SBTi

framework is intended to give Infratil’s stakeholders

confidence that the emissions reduction targets

are credible, comprehensive and in alignment with

the science to support meeting the goals of the

Paris Agreement.

As set out above, there are two limbs to Infratil’s

SBTi target – one is focused on emissions reduction

in Infratil’s investment portfolio (Scope 3, category

15), the other is focused on maintaining zero

Scope 1 and 2 emissions and reducing emissions

from board travel (Scope 3, category 6).

Our plans to achieve the targets do not include

the use of any offsets (i.e. carbon credits). The

boundaries for the targets align with Infratil’s

emissions reporting boundaries – details of which

can be found in Infratil’s FY2024 Basis of

Preparation.

As at 31 March 2024, there were no companies in

Infratil’s portfolio with SBTi targets. However, both

Wellington Airport and One NZ have registered

their commitments to setting a science-based

emissions reduction targets that will be submitted

to the SBTi for validation.

Infratil aims to achieve 100% portfolio coverage

by 2030, 10 years ahead of the timeframe

required by SBTi. Infratil plans to review this target

every 5 years, or if there is a material change to

the portfolio, in line with SBTi requirements. We

also plan to review and update the target if we

are confident that it will be met earlier. Any new

companies to Infratil’s portfolio that don’t have a

SBTi target will have a grace period of up to two

years before they must be included in the portfolio

coverage calculation.

Infratil’s strategy to achieve the portfolio coverage

target is to leverage our influence and engagement

with the portfolio companies directly and through

Morrison. This can be done at a number of levels:

asset managers engaging with the portfolio

company management teams; Morrison

sustainability executives engaging with and

supporting the businesses; and Infratil’s board

appointees providing constructive oversight.

Working in collaboration with the co-investment

partners will also be an important limb of the

strategy. In addition, Infratil intends to continue

to target sectors, such as renewable energy,

that support decarbonisation and uphold our

investment screening on high emissions

intensity sectors.

All portfolio companies were made aware of

Infratil’s intention to set a SBTi target and many

entities now have work underway to understand

their emissions profile, measure, and report

emissions and to establish their own SBTi targets

(albeit over a range of timeframes). Under the SBTi

sector frameworks, each portfolio company can

set targets that are relevant and appropriate to

their sector, and some of the smaller companies

will be able to set targets under the SME

Framework.

We intend to regularly report progress against

the target publicly, as part of the asset

management process and to the Infratil Board.

When material portfolio changes occur (for

example, as a result of a new investment or

divestment), Infratil plans to undertake modelling

to understand the implications for Infratil’s

progress against the target.

Infratil intends to make our expectations clear from

the outset with newly acquired or established

portfolio companies through our asset

management and portfolio company engagement

processes. Infratil selected these actions because

they best suit Infratil’s approach to engagement

on material issues with its portfolio companies, it

provides clarity of expectations and progress for

all stakeholders and allows for flexibility across

different sectors and company sizes.

b) Operational targets

In addition to the portfolio coverage target, Infratil

has also set the following operational emission

reduction targets that have been validated by SBTi.

The Scope 1 and 2 targets, being zero absolute

emissions, are aligned with limiting warming to

1.5°C. The scope 3 component for business travel

is in line with the SBTi requirements for this source

of emissions, meaning it is aligned with limiting

global warming to well below 2°C:

Infratil commits to:

• maintain zero absolute scope 1 and 2 GHG

emissions through FY2030 from a FY2023

base year.

• reduce absolute scope 3 GHG emissions

from business travel 25% by FY2030 from

a FY2023 base year.

Progress as at 31 March 2024

• Infratil’s Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions were

zero in FY2024.

• In FY2024, Infratil’s scope 3 business travel

emissions were +6% from FY2023.

The baseline year for our operational targets was

selected as being representative for travel, being a

period that was not impacted by Covid disruption

and at a stage where Infratil had established a

globally diversified portfolio.

Infratil’s strategy to achieve this target is to restrict

travel by directors where appropriate, particularly

international travel; to increasingly consider

alternatives to travelling using digital solutions and

to adopt lower emissions transport options where

available e.g. train travel in Europe.

Targets

39

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024Section 04 Metrics and Targets

Targets



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40
Appendix

Physical climate risk scenarios

Scenario

Global warming by 2050

Global warming by 2100

above pre-industrial levels

(1850-1900)

SSP1-2.6

Midpoint ~1.7ºC

Midpoint ~1.8ºC

SSP2-4.5

Midpoint ~2.0ºC

Midpoint ~2.7ºC

SSP5-8.5

Midpoint ~2.4ºC

Midpoint ~4.4ºC

Emissions trajectoryGlobal net GHG emissions are cut rapidly reaching net

zero around 2070 and become negative after that.

Global net GHG emissions rise slightly from current levels

before starting to fall around mid-century, but do not

reach net-zero by 2100.

Current global net GHG emissions levels roughly double

by 2050 and triple by the end of the century.

Policy and socioeconomic

factors

Societies switch to more sustainable practices, with

focus shifting from economic growth to overall

well-being. Technological innovation occurs with a focus

on carbon sequestration technologies. This is the ‘Paris

Pathway’ which is only possible if countries deliver on

COP26 pledges.

Socioeconomic factors and technological trends follow

their historical trends, with no notable shifts. Progress

towards sustainability is slow. Development and income

growth proceeds unevenly. This is the pathway we are on

if countries follow current policy settings.

SSP5-8.5 can be considered a ‘no climate policy’

scenario. Overall rates of technological progress are

modest. This scenario is associated with high

consumption, energy demand and energy carbon

intensity.

Macroeconomic trendsModerate economic growth and a focus on sustainable

development leave the world, on average, facing

moderate challenges to mitigation and adaptation, but

with significant divergence across and within countries.

Limited progress on development, slow income growth,

and lack of effective institutions, especially those that

can act across regions, implies high challenges to

adaptation in all regions.

The global economy grows quickly, but this growth is

fuelled by exploiting fossil fuels and energy-intensive

lifestyles.

Energy pathwaysBy 2100, energy demand has increased, but only

modestly, with growth fuelled largely by renewables.

By 2100, energy demand has doubled, with growth

fuelled predominantly by increases in fossil fuels and, to

a lesser degree, renewables.

A lack of focus on energy efficiency means that by 2100,

energy demand has more than trebled, fuelled

predominantly by fossil fuels.

Carbon sequestration/land

use

Effective international cooperation to reduce emissions

through land use. Methane emissions reduce

consistently through to 2100.

Some limited international efforts to reduce emissions

by limiting deforestation and agricultural emissions.

Methane emissions start to reduce from around the

mid-2030s.

Global use of cropland increases out to 2070 driven by

the socio-economic context. Land (forest) cover steadily

declines out to 2060 then remains constant. Methane

emissions continue to increase until eventually declining

towards the end of the century.

Other than temperature rises, Jupiter’s climate models do not directly incorporate these factors into their bespoke modelling. Rather, the above descriptions serve to inform the reader about the factors associated

with each of the SSP-RCP scenarios.

Appendix 1

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024



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41
Appendix

Transition Assessment Scenarios:

ScenariosBaselineOrganised & DecisiveDelayed & Disorganised Too Little, Too Late

Global warming above

pre-industrial levels

(1850-1900)

1.9°C 2050

3.1°C 2100

1.5°C 2050

1.5°C 2100

1.7°C 2050

1.7°C 2100

2.2°C 2050

5.0°C 2100

Oxford Global

Economic Model

nomenclature

BaselineNet ZeroDelayed TransitionClimate Catastrophe

Summary of Scenario

Description

Medium to high reference scenario

resulting from no additional climate policy.

SSP3-7.0 has particularly high non-CO2

emissions, including high aerosols

emissions.

Immediate and coordinated global action

by all stakeholders to meet mitigation

goals, allowing for phased and moderate

economic responses.

Delayed and disorganised global action

requires eventual severe response to meet

mitigation goals.

Limited climate action results in failure

to meet current nationally determined

contributions.

Assumptions All currently announced carbon reduction

policies that are sufficiently detailed are

said to be implemented. This means that

carbon neutrality targets of some

significant economies are not included due

to lacking sufficient policy detail.

Net zero carbon emissions are achieved in

2050 through early policy action,

technological advances, and global

coordination. The impact on the economy

is modest with higher investment helping to

offset carbon taxes.

Climate policies are introduced relatively

late, from the 2030s, requiring

governments to eventually implement

stronger policy action to achieve ambitious

climate goals. Difficulties decarbonising

and aggressive carbon taxes create

substantial inflationary pressure prompting

greater, more rapid investment in energy

efficient technologies.

Governments fail to meet their policy

pledges and the concentration of

greenhouse gases in the atmosphere

intensifies. Rising global temperatures

result in severe physical damage that

accelerates over time. High risk that

climate systems reach tipping points.

Key implications:

Physical:Medium physical riskLow physical riskLow to moderate physical riskVery high physical risk

Frequency and

severity of climate

events and level of

mitigation

Increased impact and frequency of

extreme weather events compared to

today, though physical damage is only

partly mitigated, limiting long-term

economic growth

Some increase to impact and frequency of

extreme weather events. Physical damage

mitigated.

Moderate increase to impact and

frequency of extreme weather events.

Physical damage largely mitigated.

Large increase in the frequency and

strength of extreme weather events which

are expected to have a dramatic impact on

the built and natural environment. Severe

irreversible physical damage.

Transition Risks:Medium level of transition risksHigh level of transition risksHigh level of transition risks, but delayed to

2030 and more intense than Net Zero

Little to no transition risks compared to

other scenarios

Government

regulation

Currently announced climate policies are

implemented, but globally announced

policies are expected to fall well short of the

carbon reductions agreed in the Paris

Agreement.

Governments implement stringent policies

to limit global warming to 1.5°C, and global

net zero CO₂ emissions in 2050.

Aggressive, globally coordinated carbon

pricing and technological investment

support a move to cleaner, more efficient

energy consumption.

Governments do not ramp up efforts to

limit global warming until 2030. Therefore,

more stringent policy is required to achieve

similar climate outcomes to the Organised

& Decisive scenario by 2050, resulting in

greater economic impacts.

Governments fail to meet their nationally

determined contributions. Carbon prices

remain low or non-existent, and

governments make no investment towards

climate resilience.

Energy transition and

energy markets

Despite falling oil and coal demand, the

global energy mix is still dominated by high

emissions fuel sources, though the

electricity mix becomes significantly

cleaner towards 2050 with ~75% of

electricity generation coming from low

carbon sources.

Significant reduction in energy

consumption and carbon intensity of

generation as the world shifts towards

cleaner electricity. By 2035 demand for

coal and gas halves and is almost zero by

2050. Electricity prices rise significantly

at the start of the scenarios when there

is still dependence on taxed fossil fuel

inputs, but as cheaper renewables and

nuclear technologies are adopted, prices

start to fall.

There are significant reductions in energy

consumption and the carbon intensity of

energy generation with the transition

towards cleaner electricity from 2030 to

2050. Because the Delayed Transition

starts later, the energy mix is not quite as

clean as the Organised & Decisive

scenario.

Overall energy demand grows beyond

baseline levels, with a greater reliance on

carbon-intensive fossil fuels. Fossil fuels

with higher marginal costs are required to

supply increased demand, leading to

higher overall energy prices than under the

Organised & Decisive and Delayed &

Disorganised scenarios.

Technology

progression

Low levels of technological innovation occur

with little to no new carbon sequestration

technologies, though green energy

investment is expected to reach US$86tn

by 2050.

Technological innovation occurs with the

main focus on carbon sequestration

technologies, energy efficiency and

renewable capacity.

Technological innovation occurs, though

delayed to the 2030s due to the delay in

government policy, with the main focus on

carbon sequestration technologies (albeit

at a lower level than the Organised &

Decisive scenario), energy efficiency and

renewable capacity.

Low levels of technological innovation occur

with little to no new carbon sequestration

technologies and only token investments

into energy efficiency or renewable energy.

Carbon PriceCarbon prices are instituted based on

current policies, with the prices expected

to grow in line with mandated price paths,

reaching US$54/tCO₂e in 2050.

Carbon prices are instituted immediately

and aggressively via a globally coordinated

effort, reaching ~US$726/tCO₂e by 2050.

Carbon prices are finally implemented in

2030, and at this point is instituted quickly

and prices move higher aggressively,

reaching ~US$540/tCO₂e by 2050.

Carbon prices languish at current

levels and only apply in jurisdictions with

existing legislation resulting in a price of

~US$54/tCO₂e in 2050.

InflationUnder the Baseline scenario Inflation is

expected to grow at a flat ~3% p.a. till

2050. Price growth is expected to remain

subdued in the Baseline compared to the

Delayed & Disorganised and Too Little, Too

Late scenarios due to differing assumptions

around the level of government intervention

and physical damage arising from climate

change.

Higher taxes and carbon prices, initially

inelastic demand for fossil products and the

associated sharp rise electricity prices lead

to significant inflationary pressures, which

slowly fade as economies transition away

from taxed products. Inflation peaks early

at ~6% in 2026 as carbon prices have their

greatest impact. As the economy adjusts,

inflation declines towards long-term

baseline by the 2040s. Central banks look

through the inflation impacts, managing

inflation expectations through

communication instead of rate hikes.

The peak in inflation is delayed compared to

the Organised & Decisive scenario due to

the lag around ramping up climate policy

from global governments which does not

occur until 2030. Inflation peaks at ~4%

around 2031 before declining back to ~3%

by c2038. Central banks look through the

inflationary impacts, managing inflation

expectations through communication

rather than direct rate hikes.

Rising prices for key production inputs and

food (higher temperatures and extreme

weather events damage crop yields) cause

a prolonged increase in global inflation

versus baseline levels. Inflation, and to a

lesser extent interest rates, are

permanently elevated compared to

baseline. By 2050, the absolute inflation

index value is more than 21% higher than

the baseline inflation index. Central banks

hike policy rates to endeavour to manage

inflation expectations and to help bring

demand more in line with supply.

GDPBaseline global GDP is expected to grow at

a 2.1% CAGR from now until 2050.

From 2022 to 2035, global GDP is forcast

to grow at 2.4% and from 2035 to 2050 it is

expected to grow at 1.8%.

From now till 2050, real GDP growth is

lower than baseline as inflation from carbon

prices eats away at real incomes, this

impact is strongest up until the early-

2030s where global GDP growth is

expected to be 3.7% below the baseline

forecast on an absolute basis. Once the

world has adapted to a low carbon

economy, the benefits of higher investment

in the early years of the transition and lower

relative temperatures is expected to

benefit GDP growth, with GDP growing

faster than baseline through to 2050. The

GDP Cumulative Average Growth Rate

(‘CAGR’) from 2035 to 2050 is 1.9%

compared to baseline of 1.8%. In the

second half of the century GDP is expected

to grow above the baseline forecast due to

mitigated climate risks and as benefits of

higher investment and moderate

temperatures are realised.

Under this scenario, real GDP is expected

to experience a sharp decline in growth

from 2030 as decisive government policy

action impacts investment decisions. Until

2030 global GDP growth is expected to

remain at baseline levels, but by 2045

global GDP is 3.5% below the baseline

forecast as policies impact economic

growth. GDP growth will recover above

baseline growth by the end of the 2040s

with the net result that GDP is 3.4% below

the baseline forecast by 2050. GDP growth

CAGR from 2035 to 2050 is 1.7%

compared to baseline of 1.8%. Eventually,

the low-carbon economy settles at a new

equilibrium and overall GDP ultimately

increases above baseline.

In this scenario global productivity and

output decline as the impacts of climate

increase and the costs and impacts of

physical damage materialise. GDP CAGR

from 2035 to 2050 is 0.4% compared to

baseline GDP growth of 1.8%. By 2050,

Global GDP is 21% below the baseline (in

absolute dollar terms) as physical risks start

to impact on business performance. This

scenario leads to 'economic annihilation'

(in Oxford Economics' words) by 2100 as

temperatures increase to 5°C above

pre-industrial levels, which is estimated

as the threshold for mass extinction.

Consumer

Preferences

A lack of education around climate impacts

and slow development of efficient

technologies means consumers continue

current patterns of consumption.

Consumers move rapidly and decisively to

low emissions products and services from

circa 2025 onwards. Discretionary

spending levels are lower initially, then

increase from c2030 onwards.

Consumers eventually move to low

emissions products and services from

2030-35 onwards. Discretionary spending

levels are lower from 2030 due to more

persistent high inflation.

Consumers are apathetic towards climate

change initiatives and are slow to adopt

new technologies and ways of living. Little

to no demand for sustainable and climate

friendly products and services. Low

discretionary spending due to persistent

high inflation, high remediation costs (and

high insurance costs or no/limited

availability).

Appendix 2

Infratil Climate Related Disclosures 2024



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The scenarios underpinning the Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Scenarios used in our FY2024 transition analysis are:

• REMIND (Regional Model of Investments and Development) MAgPIE (Model of Agricultural Production and its Impacts on the Environment) Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) outputs from the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) 4th vintage

(published November 2023), specifically based on the Net Zero, Delayed Transition. This data source is used for the (i) carbon pricing, (ii) electrification and electricity supply mix, and (iii) energy efficiency assumptions in the ‘Net Zero’ and ‘Delayed

Transition’ scenarios.

• IEA World Energy Outlook 2023 for energy investment assumptions (published October 2023) in the ‘Net Zero’ and ‘Delayed Transition’ scenarios and carbon price baseline forecast

• IPCC Special report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (published October 2018) for range of carbon capture assumptions in the ‘Net Zero’ and ‘Delayed Transition’ scenarios.

• Circular economy and fossil fuel supply assumptions in the ‘Net Zero’ and ‘Delayed Transition’ scenarios are based on Oxford Economics’ assumptions.

• The ‘Climate Catastrophe’ scenario is based on Oxford Economics’ assumptions across carbon pricing, circular economy, energy investment, carbon capture, electrification and electricity supply mix, energy efficiency, and fossil fuel supply.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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