Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update July 2024

Operational Update30 July 2024FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra confirms transactional advisors.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Australia and EU monthly production

increased. New Zealand and US monthly

production decreased.

• Australia monthly exports increased.

New Zealand, EU and US monthly

exports decreased.

• Asia, Latin America and Middle East & Africa

monthly imports increased. China monthly

imports decreased.

• Fonterra's New Zealand collections for the

first month of the 2024/25 season were

14.5 million kgMS, less than 1% of the full

season forecast.

• Fonterra’s Australia collections for the season

ended 30 June were 107.0 million kgMS, 1.1%

ahead of last season.

• Planting hundreds of natives with Trees for Survival.

Key Dates

31 July 2024

End of FY24 Financial Year

25 September 2024

FY24 Annual Results Announcement

J U LY 2 0 2 4

%%%
%%%%

%

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared June 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

1.03.51.1

2.90.10.5

0.7

0.8

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Australia and EU

monthly production

increased. New Zealand

and US monthly

production decreased

New Zealand milk

production decreased

1.1% on a litres basis (down

2.2% on milk solids basis) for

June compared to the same

period the year prior.

The production decrease

was mainly due to farmers

drying off calving herds,

following unfavourable

weather conditions in May

and milk price forecast

announcements.

New Zealand milk

production for the

12 months to June was

down 0.8% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for

June, see page 5 for details.

Australia milk

production increased 3.5%

in May compared to the

same period the year prior.

The production increase was

mainly due to favourable

weather conditions and

availability of irrigation

water, resulting in increased

pasture quality.

Australia milk production

for the 12 months to May

was up 2.9% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

June, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production¹

increased 0.7% in May

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The production increase

was driven by ongoing

growth in France and Poland.

Additionally, European raw

milk prices have slightly

increased to reflect tight

supplies in Western Europe.

EU milk production for

the 12 months to May was

up 0.1% on the previous

comparable period.

US milk production

decreased 1.0% in June

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The production decrease was

mainly driven by the ongoing

outbreak of Highly Pathogenic

Avian Influenza (HPAI),

resulting in smaller herd sizes

and decreased milk yield per

cow. This was partially offset

by lower feed costs, allowing

farmers to feed their cattle

increased rations.

US milk production for

the 12 months to June was

down 0.5 % on the previous

comparable period.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Australia monthly exports

increased. New Zealand,

EU and US monthly

exports decreased

New Zealand dairy

exports decreased 6.0%, or

17,820 MT, in June compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to reduced demand of

whole milk powder and fluid

milk products to key markets,

such as China and Algeria.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 0.7%, or

23,264 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to rising

demand for SMP and cheese

from key Southeast Asian

markets such as Indonesia.

EU dairy exports

decreased 3.8%, or

22,249 MT, in May compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was mainly due

to lower export volumes of

WMP, fluid milk products and

cream to key Asian markets.

Exports for the 12 months

to May were down 2.3%, or

146,608 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due

to reduced trade with

China, Algeria, Japan, and

Saudi Arabia. This was

partially offset by higher

export volumes of cheese to

the US, alongside an increase

in whey exports.

US dairy exports

decreased 0.8%, or 1,852  MT,

in May compared to the

same period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly due

to lower export volumes of

SMP, lactose and butter to

Southeast Asia and Canada.

This was partially offset by

higher export volumes of

cheese and whey.

Exports for the 12 months

to May were down 5.0%, or

145,479 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

lower export volumes of

American powder products

as worldwide demand

continues to decrease. This

was partially offset by an

increase of export volumes

to Mexico.

Australia dairy exports

increased 17.7%, or 9,163 MT,

in May compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase in exports

was mainly due to clearing

additional inventory held this

year compared to prior year.

Exports for the 12 months

to May were down 5.0%, or

34,708 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

the disconnect between

Australia’s domestic milk

price and global commodity

prices, making Australian

exports less competitive.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%

%

%

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

0.8

5.0

6.0

2.3

5.0

17.7

3.8

0.7

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Asia, Latin America

and Middle East &

Africa monthly imports

increased. China monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

2.1%, or 4,651 MT, in May

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to ongoing high import

volumes of cheese by Mexico

and fluid milk products by

the Dominican Republic.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 6.2%, or

146,771 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

ongoing higher import

volumes of cheese and WMP

by Mexico and Brazil.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 5.6%, or 24,576 MT,

in May compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly due

to higher import volumes

of whey by Malaysia, the

Philippines, and Thailand.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 5.5 %, or

268,038 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to higher

import volumes of WMP

by Vietnam and fluid milk

products by the Philippines.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 6.4%, or

30,866 MT, in May compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was driven

by ongoing high import

volumes of SMP to

Saudi Arabia, fluid milk

products to UAE, and whey

to Nigeria.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 5.8%, or

319,565 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

higher volumes of SMP by

Saudi Arabia, WMP to the

UAE, and cultured products

by Iraq.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by

20.5%, or 58,864 MT, in

June compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was driven by

lower import volumes of

fluid milk products, WMP

and SMP.

Imports for the 12 months

to June were down 12.2%, or

393,790 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was mainly due to

ongoing decline in import

demand of milk powder

products as China prioritises

local brands.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%%%%

%%

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for May 2024

compared to May 2023

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

Change for the 12 months

to May 2024

20.55.62.1

5.55.8

%

Change for the 12 months

to June 2024

12.2

6.4

6.2

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%

%

%

For the 2023/24 Season

compared to previous season

Season-to-date 1 June to 30 June

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 30 June

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 June to 30 June

compared to prior season

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

Change for June 2024

compared to June 2023

4.229.2

29.2

6.72.1

1.26.72.1

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY























5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections in June were

6.8 million kgMS, 4.2%

above June last season.

The increase was mainly

due to strong production

in Northern and Eastern

Victoria supported by

favourable weather

conditions, despite lower

production volumes

in Western Victoria

and Tasmania.

The 2023/24 season milk

collections for Australia were

finalised at 107.0 million

kgMS, 1.2% above

last season.

North Island milk

collections in June were

11. 9 million kgMS, 6.7%

above June last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable pasture

conditions across the region,

continuing on from the

strong finish from the end of

last season.

South Island milk

collections in June were

2.6 million kgMS, 29.2%

below June last season.

Although a large variance

in percentage terms,

June collections in the

South Island typically

represent less than 0.5% of

full season collections.

The decrease was mainly

due to unfavourable

weather conditions, with

dry, cold regions and low

sunlight hours affecting

pasture growth.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for June were

14.5 million kgMS, 2.1%

below June last season.

As is normal for this time of

the season, collections for

June represent less than 1%

of the full season forecast.

The decrease was mainly

due to unfavourable

weather conditions

impacting collections in

the South Island. This was

partially offset by favourable

pasture conditions leading

to a strong start for

North Island collections.

%%

%%

%
%%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

JUL SEP DEC APR

JUL

OCT MAY FEB





,

, 

,

.

.
.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

A weaker outlook for growth paired with increased political

uncertainty in the US and the spectre of a renewed era of

protectionism led to increasingly loud calls for central banks,

including the US Federal Reserve, to reduce borrowing costs.

Investors began to pare back their exposure to risky assets,

such as equities, while safe-haven assets like government

bonds outperformed. Against this backdrop the NZD/USD

exchange rate declined to near 59 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

trading event 360

16 July 2024:

The next trading event will be held on 6 August 2024. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

1.6

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,911

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

21.1

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 3,134/MT

2.3

WMP

USD 4,217/MT

5.9

CHEDDAR

USD 6,555/MT

1.0

BUTTER

USD 6,764/MT

3.8

AMF

USD 2,590/MT

0.6

SMP

21,115

MT

LATEST AUCTION

588,234

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Fonterra confirms

transactional advisors

On Thursday 25 July, Fonterra

confirmed its transactional

advisors to support the

potential divestment process

for the Consumer and

integrated businesses in

Australia and Sri Lanka.

Mike Cronin, Managing

Director Co-operative Affairs

who is leading the team

working on the potential

divestment process, said:

"I can confirm that we have

this week appointed Jarden

alongside JP Morgan and

Craigs Investment Partners

to jointly work with us as

transactional advisors.

"They’ll support us through

the ongoing preparation

phase and act as the point of

contact for potential buyers

going forward.

"We’ve also recently

appointed legal advisors

and are close to appointing

additional advisors to

provide expert advice in

areas such as accounting,

to help us make the best

decisions for the Co-op

through this process,"

said Mike.

Planting hundreds
of natives with

Trees for Survival

Students from Vardon

Primary School in

Hamilton contributed to

environmental conservation

by planting over 500 native

trees on a dairy farm in

Morrinsville, thanks to a

collaboration between

Fonterra and Trees

for Survival.

In the previous spring, the

Co-op extended its support

to Vardon Primary and

other North Island schools,

aiding them in nurturing

native plant seedlings. This

initiative provided schools

with essential resources,

including a custom-built,

irrigated shade house.

Through Trees for Survival’s

environmental education

programme, students have

learned to cultivate and care

for native plants.

With the seedlings now

mature, the students

participated in planting

them along waterways and

hillsides on the dairy farm.

This effort aims to enhance

water quality, prevent

erosion, and create vital

habitats for local wildlife.

Despite the challenges

posed by recent rainfall, the

30 students engaged eagerly,

gaining insights into the

ecological and biodiversity

benefits of native plants.

Fonterra supplier

Vanessa Markwell

commented on the

experience: “We had a

fantastic day hosting the

students and witnessing

their enthusiasm. It was truly

rewarding to see the plants

they nurtured from seedlings

being planted. Participating

in the Trees for Survival

programme has been a

deeply fulfilling experience

for us, and we extend our

thanks to Trees for Survival,

Vardon Primary, and Fonterra

for this opportunity.”

Markwell added, “As Fonterra

suppliers, it is gratifying

to see the Co-operative

supporting initiatives like

Trees for Survival. We

appreciate everyone involved

for making this possible.”

In a similar effort last month,

29 students from Ngutunui

Enviro School in Pirongia

planted 725 native trees on

a farm owned by Fonterra

farmers. This planting was

strategically done near a

newly established eel pond

to provide shade and a

healthier habitat for tuna and

other wildlife.

Jane Shaw, a parent of one

of the students, praised the

initiative: “The support from

Fonterra during Ngutunui

Enviro School's inaugural

year with Trees for Survival

has been remarkable. The

planting day highlighted the

students' dedication and

showcased the collaboration

between various

stakeholders committed to

environmental change. The

hands-on experience in plant

growth, planting, and habitat

restoration, combined with

a positive attitude, made it a

memorable day.”

Since announcing its

partnership with Trees for

Survival in 2022, the Co-op

has facilitated the planting

of thousands of trees across

Aotearoa New Zealand.

Phil Lyons, National

Manager at Trees for

Survival, expressed gratitude

for Fonterra’s support:

“We deeply appreciate

Fonterra’s commitment. Our

shared goal is to make a

meaningful impact through

an innovative environmental

restoration and education

programme. Together, we are

inspiring communities and

children to create a lasting

legacy while learning about

conservation and enhancing

local biodiversity.”

Shaheen Junge, Fonterra’s

Community and Social

Impact Manager

underscored the importance

of the partnership: “Our

commitment is to effect

positive change for future

generations. Partnering

with Trees for Survival

empowers students to

actively participate in

community stewardship and

environmental action.”

Our Co-op

8

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s













AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s













AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to May; New Zealand and US to June.

NOTE: Data for EU, US and Australia to May; New Zealand to June.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa, Latin America to May; China to June.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

JUNE

2024

JUNE


2023

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2024/25

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2023/24

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

14.514.8(2.1%)14.514.8(2.1%)

North Island11. 911. 16.7%11. 911. 16.7%

South Island2.63.6(29.2%)2.63.6(29.2%)

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

JUNE

2024

JUNE


2023

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

2023/24

SEASON

2022/23

SEASON

CHANGE

Australia6.86.54.2%107.0105.81.2%

2023/24 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

2024/25 season

forecast Farmgate

Milk Price (FGMP)

update

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2023/24

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2023/24

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

29 May 2024$7.70-

$7.90

$7.800.61440.612699%12%

21 March 2024$7.50-

$8.10

$7.800.60820.612592%17%

As at the most recent update to the 2023/24 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price dated 29 May 2024:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 99% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the

2023/24 season Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 99%, approximately 12% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet

expired or been exercised.

• If the remaining 1% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 29 May 2024 spot rate

of 0.6144, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2024 season would be 0.6126.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the previous update to the

2023/24 season Forecast Farmgate Milk Price on 21 March 2024.

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP (NZD)

NZD/USD RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2024/25

SEASON

PERCENTAGE

OF FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2024/25

SEASON

HEDGED

PERCENTAGE

OF FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT

RANGE MID-

POINT

29 May 2024$7.25-

$8.75

$8.000.61440.613049%11%

For the opening forecast Farmgate Milk Price for the 2024/25 season announced on 29 May 2024:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 49% of the full year forecast USD cash flows related to the

2024/25 season Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 49%, approximately 11% was hedged with foreign exchange options which had not yet expired

or been exercised.

• If the remaining 51% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 29 May 2024 spot rate

of 0.6144, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the 2024 season would be 0.6130.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL

AUG MAY

SEP NOV DEC JUN


,

,

,

 ,

,

,

,

,

,

,
WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(16 JULY 2024)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2023)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

21,115588,234

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

(11. 5%)(4.3%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,9113,421

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

17.2%(4.9%)

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

1.6%–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update July 2024
    2024-07-30

    • Fonterra confirms transactional advisors. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Australia and EU monthly production increased. New Zealand and US monthly production decreased. • Australia monthly exports increased. New Zealand, EU and US monthly exports decreased. • Asia, Latin Am…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update September 2024
    2024-09-29

    • Fonterra continues momentum in FY24, announces special dividend. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand and Australia monthly production increased. EU and US monthly production decreased. • Australia, EU and US monthly exports increased. New Zealand monthly exports dec…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update August 2024
    2024-08-29

    • Fonterra’s climate targets get tick of approval by Science Based Target initiative. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly production increased. US monthly production decreased. • New Zealand, Australia and US monthly exports increased. EU month…”