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Infratil Independent Valuation Update - 31 December 2024

Property7 March 2025IFTUtilities

Infratil
As at 31 December 2024

Independent Valuation Update

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Overview

A number of Infratil's investments have independentvaluations completedas at31 December,withthoseresults summarised below.The balance of Infratil's independent

valuations have been previously disclosed.

Longroad, Galileo and Qscan below reflect the midpoint of the 31 December independent valuations. CDC’s key valuation methodologies and assumptions were presented

as part the NZX valuation announcement on 6 January 2025.

Key valuation methodologies and assumptions underpinning the remaining independent valuations are summarised on the followingpage and remain consistent with the 30

September 2024 valuations

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.

The 31 December 2024 independent valuation of Infratil’s investment in Longroad shows a US$133 million decline in valuation overthe three months since the 30

September 2024 valuation. This implies that Infratil’s 37.01% share is now valued at US$1,133 million, down from US$1,265 million at the end of September 2024. The

decline in the valuation is largely attributable to an increase in discount rates (base rates) outweighing positive updates to operating forecasts and development /

construction progress.

The 31 December 2024 independent valuation of Infratil's investment in Galileo shows a €12 million increase in valuation overthe three months since the 30 September

2024 valuation. This implies that Infratil’s 38% share is now valued at between €125.6 million and €176.5 million (with a midpoint of €151.1 million), up from €113.8 million to

€164.9 million (with a midpoint of €139.4 million) at the end of September 2024. The increase in valuation is largely attributable to shareholder capital injected into the

business and a increase in the development stage of some projects in Galileo’s pipeline.

The 31 December 2024 independent valuation of Infratil’s investment in Qscan shows a A$47 million increase in valuation over thesix months since the 30 June 2024

valuation. This implies that Infratil’s 57.62% investment in Qscan is now valued at between A$416.2 million to A$454.9 million (with a midpoint of A$434.6 million), up from

A$358.2 million to A$423.3 million (with a midpoint of A$388.0 million) at the end of June 2024. The increase in valuation isdue to changes in discount rate assumptions.

Independent Valuation Update

Portfolio Companies (NZ$ Millions)30 September 202431 December 2024

Longroad Energy1,992.7

2,005.6

Galileo245.0278.3

Qscan Group436.5

479.5

1. Valuation methodologies and assumptions for 30 September 2024 included here: Infratil FY25 Interim Results Presentation (nzx.com)

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Primary valuation methodology: DCF using FCFF. Valuation

approach consists of:

–A top-down approach (aggregate enterprise cashflows, including

a terminal value); and

–Bottom-up valuation approach (DCF using FCFE for operating,

under-construction, and near-term development projects

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, and a

multiples approach for long-term development pipeline),

–Platform derived from the difference between top-down &

bottom-up valuations, less net debt.

Forecast period: Top down: 30Y, Bottom up: 40Y (2065)

Enterprise value: US$6,940m

Equity value

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: US$3,039m

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: 4.9%

Asset beta: top down - 0.86

Cost of equity​: 13.8% top-down (8.7% WACC), 9.4% operating

assets, 9.5% under construction, 10% near-term projects plus

additional milestone spreads, 16.5% long-term pipeline plus

milestone discounts

Terminal growth rate: 2.5% (top-down, year 30)

Near-term (3 years) development pipeline: 4,344MW

Long-term development pipeline (5 years): 24,112MW

Multiple for long-term development projects: US$150/kW

Platform value assessed around ~11% of total enterprise value

Longroad (37.0%) – US$1,133m (NZ$2,006m)

Galileo (38%) – €151.1m (NZ$278.3m)

Primary valuation methodology: Transaction multiples for more

advanced projects and cost for entry-stage projects

Equity value: €397.5m

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: n/a (DCF methodology not adopted)

Asset beta: n/a (DCF methodology not adopted)

Multiples for development projects that are ‘ready to build’ range

from €50-400k/MW depending on country and technology type (i.e.

solar, wind or standalone battery storage)

The valuer assigns a discount (~10-95%) to the multiple that it

considers appropriate as the project moves towards ‘ready to build’

stage. For projects that are early to mid-stage of the development

lifecycle, only a small percentage of the ‘ready to build’ value is

captured with the majority of value being recognised as projects get

close to ‘ready to build’ stage.

Platform premium of ~1% applied

Independent Valuation Summary

FX Rates: NZD/US: 0.5656 NZD/EUR: 0.5425 NZD/AUD: 0.9064 NZD/GBP: 0.4541

1. Longroad’s equity value adjusted for committed but uncalled capital included in the independent valuation

Qscan (57.6%) – A$434.6m (NZ$479.4m)

Primary valuation methodology: DCF using FCFE (with a cross

check to comparable companies and precedent transactions)

Forecast period: 10 years (2034)

Enterprise value: A$972.1m

Equity value: A$754.2m

Key valuation assumptions

Risk free rate​: 4.00%

Asset beta: 0.775

Cost of equity​: 13.2%

Terminal growth rate: 3.5%

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.