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Global Dairy Update October 2025

Operational Update31 October 2025FSFConsumer Staples

• Fonterra invests $75 million to expand
butter production

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand, EU and US monthly

production increased. Australia monthly

production decreased

• New Zealand, Australia and US monthly

exports increased. EU monthly

exports decreased

• Asia, Latin America, Middle East & Africa

and China monthly imports decreased

• Fonterra's New Zealand collections

for September were 179.0 million

kgMS, 2.8% above September last

season. Season‑to‑date collections

are 316.3 million kgMS, 3.0% above

last season

• Fonterra’s Australia collections for

September were 10.6 million kgMS,

3.8% above September last season.

Season‑to‑date collections are

23.4 million kgMS, 3.0% above last season

• Fonterra farmers approve Consumer sale with

strong support

Key Dates

4 December 2025

FY26 Q1 Business Update

11 December 2025

Fonterra Co‑operative Group

Annual Meeting

15 December 2025

Fonterra Shareholders' Fund

Annual Meeting

OCTOBER 2025

Change for September 2025
compared to September 2024

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for the 12 months

to September 2025

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

Change for the 12 months

to September 2025

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

3.32.5

1.80.11.2

2.7

1.8

0.5

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand, EU

and US monthly

production increased.

Australia monthly

production decreased

New Zealand milk

production increased

2.5% in September

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable

weather conditions

and a strong milk price

incentivising farmers to

maximise production.

New Zealand milk

production for

the 12 months to

September was up

1.8% on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported

for September, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production decreased

0.5% in September

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower collections

in Victoria, down 3.2%

year‑on‑year for

September. The decrease

was partially offset by

higher collections in

Queensland and New

South Wales.

Australia milk production

for the 12 months to

September was 1.8%

down on the previous

comparable period.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

September, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production1

increased 2.7 % in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher production

in France, Ireland, Germany

and the Netherlands,

partially offset by lower

collections in Portugal,

which was 36.7 million

kgMS, or 25.6%, lower than

last year.

The increase, in part, is

likely due to the impacts

of Bluetongue disease,

particularly in Western

Europe on the comparable

period's collections.

EU milk production for the

12 months to August was

up 0.1% on the previous

comparable period.

US milk production

increased 3.3% in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to larger herd sizes and

higher yields. Production

increased year‑on‑year

for 19 of the 24 major

milk‑producing states, with

Kansas up 20% on August

last year.

The higher collections were

partially offset by lower

production in Washington,

which decreased 7.4%,

as the state's herd

size decreased 21,000

compared to last year.

US milk production for the

12 months to August was

1.2% up on the previous

comparable period.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in production –

1 Excludes UK.

%%%

%%%%

%

3
OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand, Australia,

and US monthly exports

increased. EU monthly

exports decreased

New Zealand dairy

exports increased 10.9%,

or 19,977 MT, in September

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of WMP and

fluid milk products, which

increased 14.4% and 21.7%,

or, 8,470 MT and 7,649 M T,

respectively, partially offset

by lower export volumes

o f A M F.

Exports for the 12 months

to September were

up 1.6%, or 56,304 M T,

on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher exports of

cheese, partially offset by

lower export volumes of

WMP and SMP.

EU dairy exports1

decreased 0.8%, or

5,050MT, in July compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower export

volumes of whey powder

from France and fluid

milk products from the

Netherlands and Germany,

partially offset by higher

export volumes of SMP.

Exports for the 12 months

to July were up 0.2%, or

9,884 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes WPC and WPI

from Ireland.

US dairy exports

increased 8.6%, or

20,960 MT, in July

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher export

volumes of cheese, and

butter, partially offset by

lower export volumes

of SMP.

Exports for the 12 months

to July were up 2.4%, or

67,447 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to strong growth

of cheese exports, and

butter, which is up 94%,

or 26,147 MT, for the

12 months year‑on‑year.

The increase is partially

offset by lower export

volumes of SMP.

Australia dairy exports

increased 5.8%, or

2,700 MT, in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was mainly

due to higher volumes of

fluid milk products, with

exports to China increasing

80% compared to last

August. The increase was

partially offset by lower

export volumes of butter.

Exports for the

12 months to August

were down 0.9%, or

6,070 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower exports of

whey powder, partially

offset by higher export

volumes of cheese.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%%

%%

To view a chart that

illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in exports –

%

%

Change for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Change for July 2025

compared to July 2024

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for July 2025

compared to July 2024

Change for the 12 months

to July 2025

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

Change for the 12 months

to September 2025

Change for the 12 months

to July 2025

8.6

0.9

10.9

0.2

2.4

5.8

0.8

1.6

1 Excludes UK.

4
OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Asia, Latin America,

Middle East & Africa

and China monthly

imports decreased

Latin America dairy

import volumes

decreased 2.9%, or

6,545 MT, in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower imports of

WMP by Peru, Brazil and

Venezuela and of SMP by

Mexico, partially offset by

higher import volumes of

whey powder.

Imports for the 12 months

to August were up 4.2%, or

107,376 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher volumes

of SMP and cheese by

Mexico, partially offset by

lower import volumes of

WMP by Guatemala and

AMF by Mexico.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes

decreased 8.0%, or

39,950 MT, in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was

mainly due to lower

import WMP and whey

powder by Indonesia and

the Philippines.

Imports for the 12 months

to August were up 1.5%, or

83,093 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher import

volumes of cheese by the

Philippines and Indonesia,

and MPC and MPI by

the Philippines, Japan

and Thailand.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes1

decreased 4.0%, or

17,604 MT, in August

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of fluid milk

products by the United

Arab Emirates, partially

offset by higher import

volumes of SMP.

Imports for the 12 months

to August were down

4.8%, or 261,023 M T,

on the previous

comparable period.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of fluid milk

products by the United

Arab Emirates and WMP by

Saudi Arabia and Algeria.

China dairy import

volumes decreased

by 1.1%, or 2,159 MT, in

September compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The decrease was mainly

due to lower import

volumes of fluid milk

products, partially offset

by higher volumes of WMP

and butter.

Imports for the 12 months

to September were

up 4.0%, or 113,617 M T,

on the previous

comparable period.

The increase was mainly

due to higher import

volumes of whey powder

and WMP, partially offset

by lower volumes of fluid

milk products and SMP.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%%%%

%%

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for August 2025

compared to August 2024

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

Change for the 12 months

to August 2025

To view a chart that

illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in imports –

1.18.02.9

1.54.8

%

Change for the 12 months to

September 2025

4.0

4.0

4.2

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in

New Zealand and Australia

compared to the previous

season‑

Season-to-date 1 Jul–30 Sept

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 Jun–30 Sept

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 Jun–30 Sept

compared to prior season

Season-to-date 1 Jun–30 Sept

compared to prior season

Increase for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Increase for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Increase for September 2025

compared to September 2024

Increase for September 2025

compared to September 2024

3.82.2

2.3

3.12.8

3.03.33.0

VOLUME (M LITRES/DAY)

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

2024/25

2023/242022/23

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections

in September

were 10.6 million kgMS,

3.8% higher than

September last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable weather

conditions. Consistent

rainfall across major

producing regions is

helping to replenish fodder

reserves, with some areas

of Tasmania receiving the

highest September rainfall

in over 20 years.

Some areas in Western

Victoria are still recovering

from drought conditions,

however increased rainfall

compared to last year is

reducing the impact.

Season‑to ‑date collections

for Fonterra Australia are

23.4 million kgMS, 3.0%

above last season.

North Island milk

collections in September

were 107.9 million kgMS,

3.1% higher than

September last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable weather

conditions across the

North Island.

Soil moisture was high

across most regions, being

at or near field capacity for

all areas except for some

drier areas in Hawkes Bay.

Temperatures throughout

the North Island were

slightly cooler than

historical averages,

which supported higher

milk yields.

Season‑to ‑date collections

are 212.1 million kgMS,

3.3% above last season.

South Island milk

collections in September

were 71.1 million kgMS, 2.2%

lower than September

last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable pasture

conditions, with lower

soil moisture across

most regions due to

below average rainfall

limiting pasture damage

from livestock.

Sunlight levels were

well above average for

most of the South Island,

with temperatures at

or slightly above the

historical average in milk

producing regions.

Season‑to ‑date collections

are 104.2 million kgMS,

2.3% above last season.

Fonterra's New

Zealand collections

for September were

179.0 million kgMS,

2.8% above September

last season.

The increase was mainly

due to favourable

weather conditions across

the country.

In addition to favourable

weather, a strong milk

price and high margins

are incentivising farmers

to maintain higher

production levels.

Season‑to ‑date collections

are 316.3 million kgMS,

3.0% above last season.

%%

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%
%%

%

%

To view more

information, including

a snapshot of the rolling

year‑to ‑date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZD/USD SPOT RATE

OCT 23OCT 24FEB 25JUN 25OCT 25JUN 24FEB 24

800

950

1,100

1,400

1,250

0.54

0.57

0.60

0.63

0.66

PRICE INDEX

NZD / USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

NZ Dollar weakness extended to below 57 US cents

following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ)

‘super‑sized’ reduction in the Official Cash Rate in October,

to 2.50% – a response to the weak growth numbers for

the second quarter of 2025. Investors anticipate further

monetary policy accommodation from the RBNZ will be

forthcoming in November to support economic recovery,

however, proportionate easing is expected from the US

Federal Reserve and so support for the NZD/USD exchange

rate has emerged at these lower levels.

Fonterra GDT results

at trading event 391

21 October 2025:

The next trading event will be held on 4 November 2025. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average

product price from

previous event

1.6

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,914

USD

Fonterra product

quantity sold on GDT

000’ MT

38.9

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 3,609/MT

2.3

WMP

USD 7,038/MT

1.8

AMF

USD 2,568/MT

1.8

SMP

USD 6,711/MT

0.3

BUTTER

USD 4,758/MT

2.1

CHEDDAR

38,913

MT

LATEST AUCTION

223,032

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Fonterra invests

$75 million to expand

butter production

Fonterra has announced

a $75 million investment

to expand butter

production at its

Clandeboye site in South

Canterbury, as part of

the Co‑op's next phase

of strategic investments

signalled in its FY25

Annual Results.

CEO Miles Hurrell says

Fonterra plans to invest

up to $1 billion over

the next three to four

years in projects that

will generate further

value for farmers

and drive operational

cost efficiencies.

“This investment

increases our production

of a high‑value product

and improves our

product mix by adding

value to milkfat,”

Hurrell says.

The investment will

enable construction

of a new butter line at

Clandeboye, expanding

the site’s current butter

production capacity

by up to 50,000 MT

per annum.

The new butter line

at Clandeboye will

expand the Co‑op's

capacity to produce

a range of butter

formats, tailored for

both global ingredients

customers and

professional kitchens.

The plant will be capable

of making products that

meet diverse market

requirements, including

Halal and Kosher

certifications, supporting

Fonterra's growth in key

international markets.

Hurrell says global

demand for butter

continues to grow,

and this investment

positions the Co‑op

to better serve

customers worldwide.

Fonterra Chief Operating

Officer Anna Palairet

says the expansion of

the Clandeboye site also

strengthens Fonterra’s

network in the South

Island by improving

flexibility and resilience.

“This investment is part

of Fonterra’s broader

strategic asset roadmap

supporting long‑term

growth in high‑value

dairy categories. The

expansion will create

16 new jobs at the site,

supporting the local

economy,” Palairet says.

Construction at the

Clandeboye site begins

in December 2025,

with commissioning

scheduled for early

2027 and first product

expected off the line in

April 2027.

This is Fonterra’s third

investment in the

South Island in the past

year, following:

• A $75 million investment

in an advanced protein

hub at Studholme to

be sold through the

Co‑op's Ingredients

business, catering to

the fast‑growing high

protein market for

medical and sports

nutrition. Construction

is expected to be

complete in early 2026.

• The $150 million

investment in a new

UHT cream plant at

Edendale to unlock

additional capacity

for high value product

sold through Fonterra’s

Foodservice business.

Construction is

expected to be

complete in the second

half of 2026.

Fonterra also recently

invested $64 million

at Clandeboye for the

conversion of two coal

boilers to wood pellets, a

crucial step in the Co‑op's

commitment to exit coal

by 2037. The conversion

was completed in

August 2025.

Our Co-op
8

Fonterra farmers

approve Consumer

sale with

strong support

Fonterra’s farmer

shareholders have given

the go‑ahead for the

Co‑operative to sell its

global Consumer and

associated businesses,

Mainland Group, to

Lactalis for $4.22 billion,

with 88.47% of the

total farmer votes

cast in support of

the divestment.

The final votes on the

divestment were cast at

a virtual Special Meeting

held on 30 October.

Chairman Peter McBride

says the Board and

management team were

encouraged by the level

of engagement from

farmer shareholders in

the lead‑up to the vote.

“We’ve been pleased

to see so many farmers

joining in the discussions

since the start of this

process in May last year

when we first announced

the decision to explore

divestment options, and

especially over the past

month or so when the

full details have been

available,” McBride says.

“It helps to demonstrate

one of the key things

that sets us apart from

most other processors

– our farmers have a

direct say in the future of

their Co‑operative, and

they’ve made the most

of that opportunity.

“We’re pleased to

have received a strong

mandate, with 88.47%

of the total farmer votes

cast in support of the

recommendation and

80.59% participation

based on milk solids

voted. We want to thank

all farmer shareholders

who voted.”

McBride says the

decision to divest

the Mainland Group

businesses is significant

and one the Board did

not take lightly.

“We have examined the

strategic context we

operate in, our strengths

and how as a Co‑op

we create value for our

farmer owners,” he says.

“The divestment will

usher in an exciting new

phase for the Co‑op.

We will be able to focus

Fonterra’s energy and

efforts on where we do

our best work. We will

have a simplified and

more focused business,

the value of which

cannot be overstated.”

Completion of the

divestment remains

subject to securing

certain regulatory

approvals and the

separation of Mainland

Group business from

Fonterra, both of which

are well underway.

Subject to these steps

being completed,

Fonterra expects the

transaction to complete

in the first half of the

2026 calendar year.

Fonterra is targeting a

tax‑free capital return

of $2 per share to

shareholders and unit

holders, equivalent to

$3.2 billion, once the sale

is complete.

Another shareholder

vote will be required

for the payment of

the capital return. The

process for that capital

return is expected to

be by way of a scheme

of arrangement under

Part 15 of the Companies

Act 1993.

The Co‑op plans to

provide more detail on

the timing and process

for the capital return in

early December.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

JUL 25FEB 25

JAN 25DEC 24OCT 24SEP 25AUG 25APR 25JUN 25MAY 25MAR 25NOV 24

LIQUID MILK (M LITRES)

-1,000

-750

-500

-250

0

750

500

250

EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

APR 25MAR 25FEB 25DEC 24NOV 24OCT 24SEP 25AUG 25JUL 25JUN 25MAY 25JAN 25

MT (000

s

)

-80

-40

0

80

40

160

120

AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

APR 25MAR 25JAN 25DEC 24SEP 25OCT 24NOV 24JUN 25JUL 25AUG 25FEB 25MAY 25

MT (000

s

)

-100

-50

0

100

50

AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy

Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year‑on‑

year changes in imports,

exports and production

for a range of countries

that are important

players in global

dairy trade.

NOTE: Data for EU and US to August; New Zealand and Australia to September.

NOTE: Data for EU and US to July; Australia to August; New Zealand to September.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to August; China to September.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the

right shows Fonterra

milk solids collected

in New Zealand and

Australia compared to

the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

SEPTEMBER

2025

SEPTEMBER

2024

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2025/26

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2024/25

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

179.0174.22.8%316.3307.23.0%

North Island107.9104.63.1%212.1205.43.3%

South Island71.169.62.2 %104.2101.92.3%

Australia10.610.23.8%23.422.73.0%

2025/26 season

Forecast Farmgate

Milk Price

(FGMP) update

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

FGMP / RANGE

(NZD)

NZD/USD

RATE AT

ANNOUNCEMENT

DATE

FORECAST

AVERAGE

CONVERSION

RATE FOR

2025/26

SEASON

FORECAST

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

EXPOSURE

FOR 2025/26

SEASON

HEDGED1 (%)

FOREIGN

EXCHANGE

OPTION

COVER

REMAINING

IN HEDGED

AMOUNT1 (%)

25 September

2025

$10.00 /

$9.00‑$ 11.00

0.58150.589272%18%

21 August 2025$10.00 /

$9.00‑$ 11.00

0.58210.588865%17%

As at the most recent update to the 2025/26 season forecast Farmgate Milk Price

on 25 September 2025:

• Fonterra had hedged approximately 72% of the full year forecast USD cash flows

related to the 2025/26 season Farmgate Milk Price.

• Of that 72%, approximately 18% was hedged with foreign exchange options which

had not yet expired or been exercised.

• If the remaining 28% of the forecast USD cash flows were to be hedged at the 25

September 2025 spot rate of 0.5815, the average NZD/USD conversion rate for the

2025 season would be 0.5892.

• Also shown for information are the equivalent measures at the date of the previous

forecast of the 2025/26 season Farmgate Milk Price on 21 August 2025.

1 Hedged percentages shown are as at the most recent month end prior to announcement date.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
NOV 24OCT 25AUG 25MAY 25SEP 25FEB 25MAR 25DEC 24APR 25JUN 25JUL 25JAN 25

10,000

16,000

22,000

34,000

28,000

40,000

3,400

3,700

4,300

4,000

4,600

4,900

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE (USD/MT)

QUANTITY SOLD ( MT)

Fonterra GDT

results

This chart shows

Fonterra GDT prices and

volumes over the past

12 months.

Fonterra GDT

results

This table provides

more information on the

latest results, including

a snapshot of the rolling

year‑to ‑date results.

LAST TRADING

EVENT


(21 OCTOBER 2025)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM

1 AUGUST 2025)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

38,913223,036

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

6.1%4.4%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,9144,110

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period last year

0.9%6.4%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(1.6%)‑

11


Supplementary Information

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt

drinks, sour cream, and

crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry

Restructuring Act 2001

(New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk

supplied in New Zealand

to Fonterra by farmer

shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk

products (evaporated

milk and sweetened

condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade,

the online provider

of the twice monthly

global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids,

the measure of the

amount of fat and

protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non‑Reference

Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price,

which are currently

WMP, SMP, BMP, butter

and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein

Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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