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Market update - revised FY26 guidance

Guidance28 May 2026THLConsumer Discretionary

Tourism Holdings Limited
470 Oruarangi Road, Māngere,

Auckland 2022

PO Box 4293, Shortland Street,

Auckland 1140, New Zealand

www.thlonline.com


1

Underlying results excludes non-recurring items


29 May 2026


NZX | ASX | MEDIA RELEASE

TOURISM HOLDINGS LIMITED (thl)


MARKET UPDATE – REVISED FY26 GUIDANCE


Tourism Holdings Limited (NZX:THL, ASX:THL, “thl” or “the Company”) provides a market update in relation to

guidance issued at its interim results release.


Previous Guidance


At the FY26 interim results announcement on 23 February 2026, thl advised that it expected:

• underlying net profit after tax (uNPAT

1

) for FY26 to be in the range of $43 million to $47 million; and

• net debt to be below $400 million at 30 June 2026.


Updated Guidance


Given the ongoing global disruptions to international travel and the broader softening of consumer

confidence, thl’s underlying FY26 profitability has not been significantly impacted, and the Company

maintains a strong balance sheet position. The Board considers this a positive outcome given the degree of

change and impact on global tourism.


There are a number of factors impacting performance, including the effects of the current Middle East

conflict on vehicle sales, softer conditions in the Australian domestic rental business, and foreign exchange

movements.


Reflecting these impacts, thl now expects FY26 uNPAT, on a continuing operations basis (excluding the

divested UK & Ireland business), to be in the range of $40 million to $43 million.


The exclusion of the UK & Ireland business, as a result of the divestment, is not considered a material change

to overall earnings as movements between underlying and statutory items largely offset. Further detail on

this will be provided in the year-end results presentation.


Net Debt


Geopolitical and macroeconomic developments, together with softer consumer confidence, have impacted

vehicle sales transactions across all of thl’s markets since the start of March 2026. Underlying customer

interest and lead volumes for recreational vehicles remain positive. However, the broader uncertainty has

resulted in a reluctance by consumers to commit to purchase decisions in the current environment.




The lower than expected vehicle sales volumes have primarily affected near term net debt and has not had a

material impact on earnings, reflecting the normalisation of vehicle sales margins in recent years. Combined

with adverse foreign exchange movements of approximately $10 million and adverse working capital

movements of approximately $20 million (including a longer than planned inventory release from the

Australian manufacturing closure), this has resulted in an increase in the year-end closing net debt position.


thl now expects net debt at 30 June 2026 to be in the range of $460 million to $470 million.


Balance Sheet Strength


thl remains comfortably within all of its existing banking covenants. Headroom across thl’s debt facilities,

including bank debt and asset financing facilities, currently exceeds $300 million in aggregate.


Reflecting thl’s business model, in particular the Company’s ability to adjust production volumes in response

to any shortfall in vehicle sales, thl expects the elevated net debt position to unwind progressively, with

planned vehicle purchases being moderated accordingly.


Future Trading Outlook


Rentals and tourism


The major international travel trade shows conducted over the past three weeks have now concluded, and

the overarching sentiment from thl’s engagement at these events is positive for the medium and longer

term. In thl’s view, free independent travel, and the RV category in particular, remain highly desired by

customers, and the Company continues to view its product and brand portfolio as compelling within that

demand pool.


Canada remains a highlight, with thl expecting a record summer ahead and forward indicators continuing

to support a positive outlook into calendar 2027. Sentiment for the coming New Zealand summer is also

reasonably positive, although the Company’s view in this market remains contingent on further air capacity

opening up through the Middle East alongside overseas government travel safety ratings lowering, to assist

in easing long haul flight prices.


In the United States, forward bookings are now trending up on the prior year, however, the degree of recovery,

and the extent of any growth, into calendar 2027 remain uncertain at this stage. In Australia, the domestic

rental business has been impacted in the short term by concerns around fuel costs and softer consumer

confidence. As with New Zealand, the strength of the coming summer will depend on long haul flight prices

and capacity. The destination itself continues to be highly desired by international visitors, which underpins

thl’s medium term confidence in this market.




thl views the September to October window as a key booking period to establish the summer 26/27

performance. If the situation with the current Middle East conflict continues beyond the next few weeks,

there is the potential for a more significant impact on the New Zealand and Australia summer.


Vehicle sales


As noted, given leads remain in line with expectations, we are looking at consumer confidence metrics in all

jurisdictions to develop a view on the forthcoming year’s performance. Overall purchases continue to be

monitored and adjusted to meet any drop in vehicle sales performance.


Strategic Initiatives


We are pleased with the progress made against our strategic priorities. The UK & Ireland business has been

divested, completing our exit from that market. In Australia, our manufacturing operations have been closed

and consolidated into New Zealand, streamlining our production footprint and capturing scale efficiencies.

The Australian retail business has delivered a significant improvement in its working capital position and has

closed underperforming sites, with further opportunities for performance improvement identified for FY27.

Our North American business continues to perform below ROFE expectations, and we are actively exploring

a range of options to lift performance and unlock value in that region.


ENDS


Authorised by:


Cathy Quinn, ONZM

Chair


For further information contact:


Media | Investors | Analysts:

Grant Webster

thl Chief Executive Officer

Direct Dial: +64 9 336 4255

Mobile: +64 21 449 210



About thl (www.thlonline.com)


thl is a global tourism operator listed on the NZX and ASX (code: THL) and is the largest commercial RV rental operator

in the world. In New Zealand/Australia, thl operates rental brands (Maui, Britz, Apollo, Mighty, Hippie, Cheapa Campa),

manufacturing (Action Manufacturing), retail brands (Talvor, Kea, Winnebago, Adria, Coromal, Windsor), retail

dealerships (RV Super Centre, Apollo RV Sales, George Day, Camperagent), travel technology (Triptech) and tourism

attractions (Kiwi Experience and the Discover Waitomo Group, which includes Waitomo Glowworm Caves, Ruakuri Cave,

Aranui Cave and The Legendary Black Water Rafting Co.). In North America, thl operates the Road Bear RV, El Monte RV,

CanaDream, Britz and Mighty rental brands.

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