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Investor Roadshow Presentation

Investor Presentation14 November 2017RBDConsumer Discretionary

RUSSEL CREEDY
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

RESTAURANT BRANDS NEW ZEALAND LIMITED

GRANT ELLIS

CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

INVESTOR PRESENTATION

NOVEMBER 2017

SAIPAN & GUAM
AUSTRALIA

NEW ZEALAND

RESTAURANT BRANDS

A CORPORATE FRANCHISEE, BASED IN THE SOUTH PACIFIC

HAWAII

2

ICONIC BRANDS
RESTAURANT BRANDS HOLDS THE FRANCHISE FOR SOME OF THE WORLD’S BEST

KNOWN BRANDS

KFC

KFC is the world’s most

popular chicken restaurant

chain. Established by

Colonel Harland Sanders

over 70 years ago, it now

has more than 20,000

locations in 125 countries.

PIZZA HUT

Founded in 1958 and a

household name for pizza,

Pizza Hut is an American

restaurant chain and

international franchise with

over 16,000 locations in

more than 100 countries.

STARBUCKS

COFFEE

From a single store in Seattle

in 1971, Starbucks Coffee has

grown into an international

coffeehouse chain now

operating in almost 24,000

locations worldwide.

CARL’S JR.

Established in 1941, this

American burger quick

service restaurant chain

serves the ‘best burgers on

the planet’ to customers at

more than 3,600 US and

international locations.

TACO BELL

An American chain of quick

service restaurants

established in 1962, Taco

Bell serves a variety of Tex-

Mex foods, including tacos,

burritos, quesadillas,

nachos, and other specialty

items in around 7,000

restaurants.

FRANCHISED FROM:

NZ: 1997

AUSTRALIA: 2016

NZ: 1999 NZ: 1997

HAWAII: 2017

NZ: 2013 HAWAII: 2017

3

INVESTMENT THESIS
AN ATTRACTIVE INVESTMENT ON A NUMBER OF LEVELS

PROVEN CAPABILITY IN MANAGING AND

GROWING A HIGH PERFORMING STABLE

OF ICONIC, BRANDED FOOD CHAINS

•Consistent track record of continued growth

in revenues and earnings

•World-class corporate franchisee with

recognised skills in marketing, facility and

supply chain management

SHARPLY FOCUSED GROWTH STRATEGY

THAT HAS TRANSFORMED THE COMPANY

INTO A MULTI-BRAND INTERNATIONAL

BUSINESS

•Demonstrated execution capability with a

track record of store transformation and

operational excellence that can be

replicated in new acquisitions and across

additional brands

•Strong capital allocation capabilities that

have consistently grown returns for

shareholders

INVESTMENT IN STRONG CASH

GENERATING BUSINESSES

•Strong balance sheet and cash flows

•Consistent and growing dividend yields

4

GROUP FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
TRACK RECORD OF DELIVERING CONTINUED GROWTH

TOTAL SALES (NZ$M)

329.3

359.5

387.6

497.2

~750.0*

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

TOTAL EBITDA (NZ$M)

53.5

61.5

66.9

86.2

~120.0*

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

TOTAL NPAT (excluding non-trading items)(NZ$M)

18.9

22.5

24.2

30.6

40.0**

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

DIVIDEND PER SHARE (NZ cents)

16.5

19.0

21.0

23.0

~25.0*

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

* FY18 numbers - analyst consensus forecasts

** FY18 number – company guidance

5

TRADING HISTORY
FROM A SOLID, BUT FLAT FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FIVE YEARS AGO, RBD HAS SEEN STRONG

SALES AND EARNINGS GROWTH FROM BOTH ITS DOMESTIC KFC BUSINESS AND ITS

OFFSHORE ACQUISITIONS

SALES (NZ$M)

241.5

265.0

282.5

296.5

48.4

48.4

44.9

40.5

25.0

26.1

26.8

26.7

14.3

20.1

33.4

36.3

97.2

329.2

359.6

387.6

497.2

~750.0*

20142015201620172018

KFC AU

CJ NZ

SC NZ

PH NZ

KFC NZ

Sales $m

EBITDA (NZ$M)

44.5

50.8

57.2

61.4

5.5

6.4

4.9

4.1

3.5

4.3

4.4

4.8

0.2

0.4

1.0

15.0

53.5

61.7

66.9

86.3

~120.0*

20142015201620172018

* FY18 numbers - analyst consensus forecasts

6

OFFSHORE GROWTH STRATEGY
RECENT ACQUISITIONS HAVE BROUGHT SCALE AND DIVERSIFICATION OF EARNINGS

$NZM

NZAUSHAWAII

TOTAL

STORES

1

1726183

316

STORE SALES

2

($NZM)

422153175

750

STORE EBITDA

2

($NZM)

752322

120

PEOPLE

3,5002,2002,000

7,700

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAHAWAII

1.Company forecast year end FY18

2.FY18 analyst consensus forecasts

7

CASH FLOW
RECENT ACQUISITIONS HAVE ENHANCED ALREADY STRONG CASH FLOWS

Operating Net InflowsInvesting Net Outflows (excl. Major Acquisitions)

32.2

36.6

44.3

47.9

72.0*

10.1

22.6

15.3

15.1

24.0*

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

CASH FLOWS (NZ$M)

* FY18 numbers - analyst consensus forecasts

8

CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
BANK DEBT UP ON AUSTRALIA AND HAWAII ACQUISITIONS BUT WELL WITHIN (NEW)

FACILITY LIMITS AND WITHOUT ANY PRESSURE ON THE BALANCE SHEET

RATIOS*

Interest Cover (EBITDA)

18x

Net Debt: EBIT

2.4:1

Net Debt: EBITDA

1.5:1

Gearing (D:D+E)

39.2%

* as at 1H2018

WESTPAC (NZ$60M & A$60M)

FIRST HAWAIIAN (US$51M)

BTMU (A$50m)ANZ(A$8M)

BANK DEBT(NZ$M)

8.1

22.6

12.7

46.5

133.1*

FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18

125

74

55

9

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

Actual*Facility

FACILITY:

BANK DEBT (NZ$M)

263

133

9

AUSTRALIA
OPERATIONS

10

There are over 600 KFC
restaurants across Australia,

mostly held by franchisees

QLD

Queensland

c.130

restaurants

NSW

New South Wales

c.200 restaurants

ACT

c.15 restaurants

TAS

Tasmania

c.15 restaurants

VIC

Victoria

c.150 restaurants

SA

SouthAustralia

c.50 restaurants

WA

WesternAustralia

c.40 restaurants

NT

Northern Territory

c.5 restaurants

KFC AUSTRALIA

THE KFC BUSINESS IN NSW CONTINUES TO GROW STRONGLY WITH NEWLY ACQUIRED STORES

AND ORGANIC SALES GROWTH

RBD60

Yum!50

Other Franchisees90

11

GROWTH STRATEGY EXECUTION
EXECUTION HAS GONE WELL TO DATE, WITH STORE NUMBERS AND UNDERLYING BUSINESS PERFORMANCE AHEAD OF PLAN

•Growth focus around NSW

•Acquisitions not excessively priced (EBITDA multiples 5-6x)

•Strong, established management team

•Business successfully integrated into RBD

•Continued active involvement by vendor (Stephen Copulos)

Post investment review on the Australian acquisition shows performance ahead

of target for the 42 stores acquired

Store numbers up 45% on original acquisition in Australia as

“beach head” expands

42 STORES

8 STORES

10 STORES

1 STORE

61 STORES

ORIGINAL ACQUISITION

APRIL 2016

PURCHASES FROM

SMALLER

FRANCHISEES

AQUIRED FROM

YUM!

NEW STORE

BUILDS

STORES AS AT

FEB 2018

ACTUAL YEAR 1

109.4

BUSINESS CASE

YEAR 1

107.9

SALES A$M

EBITDA A$M

BUSINESS CASE

YEAR 1

16.1

ACTUAL YEAR 1

16.7

12

GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
Eight independent

franchisee stores

acquired in FY18

EXPAND RESTAURANT

NETWORK

Infill opportunities to increase the

restaurant portfolio footprint in existing

trade areas

ACQUIRE OTHER

FRANCHISE PORTFOLIOS

Potential scope to acquire other

franchise portfolios in the KFC

network from individuals to large

multi-store operations

POTENTIAL ACQUISITION

OF YUM! RESTAURANTS

Yum! owns approximately 50 KFC

residual restaurants in Australia

after selling a number off to

franchisees

One new store

completed FY18.

More sites pending

RBD in a strong

position to purchase

residual stores (all in

NSW)

13

HAWAII
OPERATIONS

14

HAWAII
BACKGROUND AND ACQUISITION OVERVIEW

•Agreement to purchase Pacific Island Restaurants Inc. (PIR)

for $US105 million signed 26 October 2016 and settled on 7

March 2016

•PIR is the sole Taco Bell and Pizza Hut franchisee in Hawaii,

Guam and Saipan (82 stores)

•Capital raising in November 2016 through Accelerated

Renounceable Entitlement Offer (AREO) raised $NZ94

million from mainly existing shareholders

STORE NETWORK

30

38

HAWAII

GUAM

7

6

SAIPAN

1

LEADING MARKET SHARE IN BRANDED QSR PIZZA

AND MEXICAN FOOD IN HAWAII

Taco Bell

91%

Taco Del Mar

9%

Pizza

Hut

43%

Domino's

21%

Papa

John's

16%

Little

Caesars

12%

Boston's

7%

Harpo's

1%

15

HAWAII
OVERALL HAWAIIAN BUSINESS AFTER 27 WEEKS IS OFF TO A

SATISFACTORY START

1H2018 ACTUAL

PER 26 OCT 2016

PRESENTATION

32.7

32.0

48.1

52.4

1H2018 WPRA* SALES (NZ$000s)

93.0

62.0

250.0

278.0

1H2018 ACTUAL

PER 26 OCT 2016

PRESENTATION

1H2018 PRA** EBITDA (NZ$000s)

PIZZA HUTTACO BELL

* Weekly Per Restaurant Average

** Per Restaurant Average

16

GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
Evaluating potential

KFC purchase

EXPAND RESTAURANT

NETWORK

Infill opportunities to increase the

restaurant portfolio footprint in existing

trade areas, predominantly for

Taco Bell

ACQUIRE OTHER BRANDS

Potential scope to acquire other

franchises in Hawaii, leveraging

multi-brand capabilities

EXTENSIVE NETWORK

REFURBISHMENTS

Considerable upgrade opportunities

for Taco Bell network.

Pizza Hut rationalisation from red

roofs to delcos

One new Pizza Hut to

open before year end.

Refurbishments under

way on 3 Taco Bell sites

First Taco Bell

transformation

performing very well

17

HAWAII STORE REFURBISHMENTS
RESTAURANT BRANDS’ EXPERIENCE IN NEW ZEALAND INDICATES THAT A TARGETED

STORE REFRESH PROGRAMME COULD FURTHER IMPROVE PIR’S PROFITABILITY

OVERVIEW

•Investment programmes to be funded out of operating

cash flows and debt facility.

•RBD’s own experience in New Zealand has been that

store refresh expenditure typically results in increased

store sales and profitability and generates an attractive

return on capital.

•In New Zealand, RBD has been able to achieve

sustainable sales growth and an uplift in profitability

across its portfolio from its refresh programme

150

170

190

210

230

250

270

290

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

KFC NEW ZEALAND SALES GROWTH FOLLOWING

STORE TRANSFORMATION PROGRAMME

Sales Revenue (NZ$M) (Right Axis)Transformed Stores (Left Axis)

18

Kailua Taco Bell
YTD SSS +60%

THE STORE TRANSFORMATION

PROCESS IS UNDERWAY

FY2018FY2019

1-

NEW STORES

21

12

MINOR REFURBISHMENTS

-5

23

MAJOR REFURBISHMENTS

23

--

RELOCATES

1-

-1

TRANSFORMATIONS

-2

NEW ZEALAND
OPERATIONS

20

SALES (NZ$M)
STRONG REVENUES

282.5

296.5

44.9

40.5

26.8

26.7

33.4

36.3

201620172018

CJ

SB

PH

KFC

THE NEW ZEALAND BUSINESS CONTINUED TO GROW STRONGLY WITH FY17 SALES IN EXCESS OF

$400M, LED BY KFC

* FY18 analyst consensus forecasts.

387.6

400.0

422.0*

21

EBITDA (NZ$M)
EARNINGS MOMENTUM

57.2

61.4

65.3

4.9

4.1

3.7

4.4

4.8

4.4

0.4

1.0

67

71

75

201620172018

CJ

SB

PH

KFC

Total

KFC DRIVES NEW ZEALAND EARNINGS GROWTH

* FY18 analyst consensus forecasts.

22

New store build (primarily for independent
franchisees) gaining momentum. NZ Store

numbers expected to exceed 100 early in

FY18

GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

NETWORK AND

CHANNEL EXPANSION

RAPID NETWORK

DEVELOPMENT WITH

FORMALISATION OF MFA

SMALLER BRANDS HAVE

FURTHER DEVELOPMENT

POTENTIAL BUT DEPENDENT

ON CURRENT INITIATIVES

Successful opening of new format store in Fort St

shows potential for the brand in downtown

locations.

Traditional format KFC’s continue to provide

growth opportunities with the 100

th

store in NZ

targeted by year end.

Delivery trial underway in eight stores.

Initial results positive.

Starbucks growth potential dependent on

terms of new franchise agreement

Carl’s Jr. growth dependent on improving

existing profitability

23

New ZealandAustraliaHawaii
Store buildsStore build (corridors)

Small franchisee acquisitions

Large acquisition

Potential acquisition

Store builds (network)N/ARelocations

New store builds

PotentialentryPotentialentryNew store builds

Transformations

SUMMARY

WHILST CONSOLIDATING THE ACQUISITIONS OF THE PAST 18 MONTHS, THE FOCUS

REMAINS ON GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES THROUGH STORE BUILDS AND

TRANSFORMATIONS

OUTLOOK FY18 YEAR
•Current strategies across all geographic markets are delivering positive results.

•Acquisition of the Taco Bell and Pizza Hut brands in Hawaii has seen a solid

contribution in the first period of ownership.

•Strong performance of the KFC brand in Australia and New Zealand expected to

continue in the second half.

•Absent any major changes to economic or market conditions, the Group will

deliver a Net Profit after Tax (excluding non-trading items) for the FY18 year

of around $40 million

25

QUESTIONS?
DISCLAIMER

The information in this presentation:

•Is provided by Restaurant Brands New Zealand Limited (“RBD”) for general information purposes and does not constitute investment advice or an offer of or invitation to purchase RBD securities.

•Includes forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees or predictions of future performance. They involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are

beyond RBD’s control, and which may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in this presentation.

•Includes statements relating to past performance which should not be regarded as reliable indicators of future performance.

•Is current at the date of this presentation, unless otherwise stated. Except as required by law or the NZX Main Board and ASXlisting rules, RBD is not under any obligation to update this presentation, whether

as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

•Should be read in conjunction with RBD’s audited consolidated financial statements for the year to 27 February 2017 and the unaudited six months to 11 September 2017 and NZX and ASX market releases.

•Includes non-GAAP financial measures including "EBITDA”. These measures do not have a standardised meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be comparable to similar financial information

presented by other entities. However, they should not be used in substitution for, or isolation of, RBD’s audited consolidated financial statements. We monitor EBITDA as a key performance indicator and we

believe it assists investors in assessing the performance of the core operations of our business.

•Has been prepared with due care and attention. However, RBD and its directors and employees accept no liability for any errors or omissions.

•Contains information from third parties RBD believes reliable. However, no representations or warranties are made as to the accuracy or completeness of such information.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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