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Investor presentation

Investor Presentation11 March 2020CENUtilities

Queenstown, March 2020

Disclaimer and important information
This presentation may contain projections or forward-looking statements regarding a variety of items.

Such forward-looking statements are based upon current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties.

Actual results may differ materially

from those stated in any forward-

looking statement based on a number

of important factors and risks.

Although management may indicate

and believe that the assumptions

underlying the forward-looking

statements are reasonable, any of the

assumptions could prove inaccurate or

incorrect and, therefore, there can be

no assurance that the results

contemplated in the forward-looking

statements will be realized.

This presentation does not

constitute investment advice.

Numbers in the presentation have

not all been rounded and might not

appear to add.

All logos and brands are property

of their respective owners. All

company, product and service

names used in this presentation

are for identification purposes only.

All references to $ are

New Zealand dollars

2

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

EBITDAF, underlying profit, free

cash flow and operating free cash

flow are non-GAAP (generally

accepted accounting practice)

measures. Information regarding

the usefulness, calculation and

reconciliation of these measures is

provided in the supporting material.

Furthermore, while all reasonable

care has been taken in compiling

this presentation, Contact accepts

no responsibility for any errors or

omissions.

SNAPSHOT
Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

3

All figures at 30 June 2019 or for FY19 year.

It is an owner and operator of low-cost,

long-life renewable generation assets

and is developing its consented

geothermal development

options.

“New Zealand serves as a
model for effective energy

markets and secure power

system operation.”

International Energy Agency (IEA)

New Zealand 2017 Review

Major

generators

State-owned national

transmission grid operator

Distribution

businesses

Retailers

(50 brands)

Million

consumers

REGULATED MONOPOLIES

COMPETITIVECOMPETITIVE

Spot

electricity

pool

NEW ZEALAND ELECTRICITY MARKET

4

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

13%

32%

39%

13%

GST

Retail

3%

Levies

0%

Meter rentals

$2,419

per year

What does your

power bill pay for?

Transmission and

distribution

Generation

cost

National quarterly supply and demand (TWh)
MANAGING SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Thermal generation is currently the most economic swing fuel to manage the seasonal supply and demand mismatch.

Flexible thermal

production is required

per annum of

seasonal renewables

firming required

5

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

0.60.6

1.8

1.9

1.9

1.8

6.8

5.8

5.6

7.6

1.1

2.6

3.5

0.5

0.5

JunMar

0.5

SepDec

Mean hydro inflows*

Geothermal**

Wind**

10.2

10.9

11.6

10.5

Quarter ending

*Source: NZX hydro, mean inflows1926 –2019. ** Source: MBIE quarterly electricity generation and consumption 2015 to 2019

Thermal and

hydro storage

Must-run

renewable

generation

VALUE DRIVERS
6

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

Fixed sales improves

earnings predictability

from volatile wholesale

spot prices

Value from thermal assets

by selling at a fixed price

Reducing the cost of

generationthrough

thermal substitution

Lowering the cost of

geothermal generation

Disciplined and transparent

approach to operating and

capital expenditure

Focus on operational

improvement

Optimiseasset portfolio

450

378

350

285

276

269

280

46

41

37

32

32

3131

FY18FY14FY13FY16FY15FY17FY19

-165

Electricity spot prices ($/MWh)

Generation weighted

0

200

400

Jan-18Jan-19Jul-18Jul-19Jan-20

391

357

301

272

260

FY18FY16FY19FY17FY20 mid-point

Controllable opexand capex ($m)

Generation costs ($m and $/MWh)

Fixed price sales as a % of mean

renewable generation

Investing

in profitable

growth

Productivity

Pricing

FY19 year.

STRONG INVESTMENT CASE
Strong cash

flow generation

and operational

performance

Dividend policy

provides certainty

Shares offer value

and liquidity when

benchmarked

Latent potential

with world-class

geothermal capability

ESG

CREDENTIALS

OPEN

ECONOMY

7

<IR>

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

=
Estimated total

capital cost

~11 to 12 cps

Operating free

cash flow yield

~$1bn

•Assumes debt funded at current rates with an $75-85/MWh wholesale price. Capital cost

estimates exclude sunk costs incurred pre-FY20 and capitalised interest.

GEOTHERMAL POTENTIAL

Opportunity

Possible staging timing dependent on results of appraisal

drilling, demand growth and economic thermal substitution.

A world-class

geothermal

expertise with

consented

brownfield

development

potential.

in operating free cash flow

from capital deployment into

an asset that we have a

60 year track record

of managing.

8

Contact Energy / Queenstown Investor day / March 2020

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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