Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update March 2020

Operational Update31 March 2020FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra announced its Interim Results on 18 March.
• Fonterra completes sale of Dennington.

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Monthly New Zealand production flat and

Australian production steadies. Increase in EU

and US production.

• Monthly exports from the US and EU

grow. New Zealand, Australia monthly

exports decline.

• Latin America and Asia monthly imports down.

December imports up for Middle East and

Africa. China records decline for first two

months of 2020.

• Fonterra’s milk collection across New Zealand

for the nine months to 29 February reached

1,212 million kgMS, down 0.3% on last season.

Fonterra's Australian milk collection decreased

15.0% to 77.3 million kgMS.

• Helping with New Zealand's sanitiser shortage.

Key Dates

20 April 2020

Share Standard Compliance

2019/20 Season

May 2020

FY20 Q3 Business Update

1 June 2020

Measurement Date for Share

Standard 2020/21 Season

MARCH 2020

For further details,

view our website –

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2019

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

5.30.50.0

5.60.60.8

1.1

1.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Monthly New Zealand

production flat and

Australian production

steadies. Increase in EU and

US production

New Zealand milk

production¹ was flat on a

litres basis in February (up

1.7% on milk solids basis

compared to the same period

last year).

Adjusting for the leap year,

February 2020 production

was down 3.4% (down 1.8%

on a milk solids basis).

Drought conditions across

the North Island and

heavy rainfall in the lower

South Island affected milk

production in February.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to February

was 1.6% lower than last year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for February, see

page 5 for details.

Australia milk

production increased 0.5%

in January compared to the

same period last year.

Production for the 12 months

to January was down 5.6% on

the previous 12 months.

Australian production has

steadied in recent months,

with rainfall in many regions

offsetting the impact of dry

conditions and helping to

offset higher feed costs.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported

for February, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production

increased by 1.1% in January

compared to the same

period last year.

The largest production

growth can be seen in The

Netherlands (up 2.8%),

Poland (up 2.2%) followed

by France (up 1.3%) and

Germany (up 0.7%).

The increase in milk

production is likely to

translate into more cheese,

especially from Poland

where the growth has

been sustained for the last

six months.

EU milk production for the

12 months to January was

up by 0.6% compared to the

same period last year.

US milk production

increased by 5.3% in

February compared to

the same period last year.

However, with February

2020 containing an extra

day due to 'leap year', the

adjusted increase is closer to

2% on a daily basis.

February's continued milk

production growth is driven

by steady increases in herd

sizes and in milk per cow.

Milk production for the

12 months to February was

0.8% higher compared to

the same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

Note: February 2020 production numbers include one extra day of production as 2020 is a leap year.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Monthly exports from

the EU and US grow.

New Zealand and Australia

monthly exports decline

Total New Zealand

dairy exports decreased

by 6.1%, or 19,348 MT, in

February compared to the

same period last year. This

was primarily driven by

decreased demand for butter

from Iran and for fluid milk

products from China, down a

combined 20,068  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 3.7%, or

124,552 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by WMP,

fluid milk products, cheese

and infant formula, up a

combined 156,044 MT.

EU dairy exports

increased by 3.0%, or

12,444 MT, in December

compared to the same

period last year. This was

mainly driven by increases in

butter, fluid milk products,

cheese and WMP, up a

combined 29,405 MT, and

partially offset by a decrease

in SMP exports of 18,349  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

December were up 7.6%, or

408,870 MT, on the previous

comparable period. SMP,

fluid milk products, butter,

cheese and lactose were the

main drivers of this growth,

up a combined 415,121  MT.

US dairy exports

increased 18.8%, or

31,964 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year marking the

fourth consecutive month

of growth. The increase was

driven primarily by SMP,

up 20,153 MT, and WPC

and lactose, up a combined

9,849 MT. This increase is the

result of higher demand from

Indonesia, Philippines and

Vietnam. Whey exports have

started to grow and were up

by 923 MT after months of

sustained declines.

Exports for the 12 months

to January 2020 were down

3.4%, or 80,441 MT, on the

previous comparable period.

The decrease was driven

by whey and AMF, down a

combined 85,416  MT.

Australia dairy exports

decreased by 18.1%, or

11, 683 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. This was

primarily driven by SMP

and infant formula, down a

combined 12,410  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

January were down 5.7%, or

45,072 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

Declines were recorded

across a broad range of

products with SMP, whey,

cheese and WMP down a

combined 76,126 MT partially

offset by an increase in fluid

milk products, up 37,635  MT.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%

%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

18.818.16.1

5.77.63.4

3.0

3.7

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

Latin America and Asia

monthly imports down.

December imports up for

Middle East and Africa.

China records decline for

first two months of 2020

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹

decreased 5.8%, or 9,125  MT,

in December compared to

the same period last year.

This was driven by decreases

in infant formula and SMP

down a combined 9,130  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to December 2019 were

down 1.0%, or 19,560  MT,

compared to the same

period the previous year.

Decreases were driven

primarily by infant formula,

whey and cultured products,

down a combined 61,711,

largely offset by increases in

WPC, fluid milk products and

cheese, up by a combined

48,560  MT.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 3.6%, or

14,740 MT, in December

compared to the same

period last year. Decreases

were recorded in SMP

and fluid products, down

27,622 MT, partially offset

by increases in whey, cheese

and butter, up a combined

10,186  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to December were up 1.6%,

or 78,919 MT, compared

to the same period the

previous year. Growth was

recorded across SMP, cheese

and butter, up a combined

70,998  MT.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 3.1%, or 10,497  MT,

in December 2019 compared

to the same period in 2018.

Increases were recorded

principally in SMP, WMP

and butter, up a combined

21,856 MT, partly offset by

a significant drop in infant

formula, down 11,498  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

December 2019 were down

1.8%, or 73,730 MT, compared

to the prior comparable

period. This was driven by

large decreases in cheese

and WMP, down a combined

112,017 MT, partly offset by a

significant increase in infant

formula of 69,071  MT.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by 2.1%,

or 13, 605 MT, in the January-

February period compared

to the same period last year.

Based on aggregated data for

January and February from

Beijing Orient Agri-business,

the decrease was the result of

lower volumes of SMP (25%

or 20,875 MT), WMP (5% or

11, 358 MT) and lactose (41%

or 7,311 MT), partially offset

by an increase in butter, fluid

milk products and whey, up a

combined 26,153  MT.

COVID-19-related public

health measures put in place

in February are likely to have

impacted China's imports.

New Zealand's exports to

China reduced by 1.5% over

this period.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%%

%%

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change January-February 2020

compared to same period 2019

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for December 2019

compared to December 2018

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

Change for the 12 months

to December 2019

2.1

3.65.8

1.61.8

%

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

7.5

3.1

1.0

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%

%%

%%%

Season to date

1 July to 29 February

For the 2019/20 season

compared to the previous season

For the 2019/20 season

compared to the previous season

For the 2019/20 season

compared to the previous season

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2020

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

2.75.64.10.3

15.00.91.00.3

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collection 2019/20 Season

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection in February were

7.6 million kgMS, down 2.7%

on February last season.

Average to above-average

rainfall and mild summer

conditions for much of

Australia during February

provided some month-on-

month stability.

Season-to-date collections

reached 77.3 million kgMS,

down 15. 0% on the same

period last season.

Fonterra collections continue

to be impacted by a highly

competitive milk supply

market which has seen losses

primarily to milk brokers.

Fonterra also decided to

purchase less milk from third

parties given the increased

focus on higher-value products.

North Island milk

collection for the month

ended 29 February was

70 million kgMS, down 4.1%

on last February.

Season-to-date collection

was 730.1 million kgMS,

down 1% on last season.

Drought conditions

persisted throughout

February, impacting milk

production across most

regions, with northern areas

significantly impacted.

South Island milk

collection for the month

ended 29 February was

63.7 million kgMS, up 5.6%

on last February.

Season-to-date collection

was 482.5 million kgMS, up

0.9% on last season.

Canterbury and Southland/

Otago regions received rain

mid-month which improved

pasture growth.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection for the month

ended 29 February was

133.5 million kgMS, up 0.3%

on last February.

Season-to-date collection

was 1,212.6 million kgMS,

down 0.3% on last season.

February saw drought

conditions across much

of the North Island. These

conditions notably impacted

milk production in the

North Island. South Island

collections have held, with

season-to-date collections

marginally above last season.

The inclusion of off-GDT sales

contributed 8 cents per kgMS

to the Milk Price for the season

to 31 January 2020.

%

Leap day impact

An additional 4.3 million kgMS was collected

nationally (2.2 million in the North Island, 2.1 million

in the South Island) when compared to last season

%
%

%

%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

MAR OCT MAR MAY AUG OCT JAN MAR MAY AUG JAN





,

, 

,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

As the COVID-19 virus began

to spread outside of China and

the likely economic headwinds

resulting from quarantine

efforts came into focus, the

NZ dollar declined from 65 US

cents early in February to 62 US

cents by the end of February

and reduced significantly

during March.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

17 March 2020:

The next trading event will be held on 7 April 2020. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

4.5

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,011

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

23.4

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 2,538/MT

8.3

SMP

USD 9,987/MT

1.0

RENNET CASEIN

USD 4,144/MT

0.3

BUTTER

USD 4,331/MT

0.7

AMF

USD 2,797/MT

5.2

WMP

USD 4,398/MT

2.6

CHEDDAR

23,363

MT

LATEST AUCTION

528,195

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

Helping with
New Zealand’s

sanitiser shortage

One of the ways Fonterra

is helping to keep people

safe during COVID-19 is by

making more of its high-

grade ethanol available

to companies who use

it in the production of

sanitiser products, including

hand sanitiser.

This comes as the need for

sanitiser grows exponentially

throughout the country.

Fonterra is now

manufacturing an additional

220,000 litres, on top of the

375,000 litres it has already

made available to sanitiser

manufacturers in recent

weeks and it is now looking

at all viable options to

increase ethanol production

to help with supply of

sanitiser in the weeks and

months ahead.

On top of that, Fonterra

has been working with its

customers who use ethanol

but don’t make sanitiser, to

see if stock can be redirected

to create more supply.

Working closely with

long-time customer, fuel

company Gull, the Co-op

has been independently

testing Gull’s ethanol stock

originally destined for fuel to

determine where it’s suitable

for use in sanitiser. With the

support of Gull, 250,00 litres

has been independently

tested, and is now approved

for sale to sanitiser

producers via Fonterra’s

distribution network.

To date, an additional

403,000 litres of ethanol

stock has been redirected

towards sanitiser production

all thanks to the support of

Fonterra’s customers.

In total, 1 million litres

of ethanol has been

redirected for sanitiser,

which is the equivalent of

5.7 million 250ml bottles of

hand sanitiser.

Ongoing work to achieve this

has been made possible by

the efforts of teams across

the Co-op and with the

help of Fonterra’s national

distributor Axieo.

Head of Fonterra’s ethanol

business, Lactanol, Peter

Motion, says it’s the socially

responsible thing to do

and really needed right

now by our communities,

especially those people and

businesses on the front line

of the country’s COVID-19

response efforts.

“We will continue to work

with our distributor and

transport providers to

improve supply chain

efficiencies and increase

the weekly volume available

of ethanol available to

producers from less than

85,000 litres a week to more

than 250,000 litres a week.

“Fonterra is also continuing

to work with the

Government to identify and

prioritise industries that

need sanitising products as

they will be a necessity for all

essential services,” says Peter.

“But it’s not only about

looking after our

communities, we’re looking

after our employees too.”

“We are working hard to

keep up with the increased

hand sanitiser needs at our

sites, and we are currently

in the final stage of the

process to make our own

quality sanitiser product to

ensure our people have what

they need while at work.

Production is scheduled

to start this weekend,”

says Peter.

Our Co-op

7

8
Our Performance

A new chapter for

Dennington factory

ProviCo Australia buys

Fonterra’s Dennington site.

Fonterra Australia and

ProviCo Australia have

signed a sale and purchase

agreement for Fonterra’s

Dennington manufacturing

site. The sale will be

complete by 22 April 2020.

ProviCo is an

Australian-owned company

established in 2003 and a

leader in animal nutrition. It

is Australia’s largest supplier

of calf milk replacers,

manufacturing a range of

feed and vitamin-fortified

products for animals

including cattle, dairy, sheep,

horses and pigs.

Fonterra Australia Managing

Director René Dedoncker

said the sale is good news

for Dennington and its

surrounding community.

“Since we announced the

factory’s closure in May,

we’ve been working with

potential buyers to find a

commercially viable and

sustainable future for the

site, and we’re pleased to be

selling the factory to ProviCo

with all of its operational

capabilities and assets intact.

“The sale creates a new

chapter for the factory,

which has been an important

part of the Dennington

community for more

than 100 years,” said

Mr Dedoncker.

Managing Director

of ProviCo Australia,

Andrew Paterson, said that

the sale will create new

jobs for the Dennington

community and provide

environmental benefits for

the agriculture industry.

“Active in the circular

economy, our business

is focused on salvaging

raw materials and turning

them into animal nutrition

products. This helps the

food industry minimise their

waste costs and ProviCo’s

products improve farm

performance and health of

animals and soils.

“We’ll be employing local

people and will work with

local training institutions

to provide on-the-job skills

training to create further

employment opportunities

for the community.

“As well as creating local

jobs, we’re committed to

sustainability and sustainable

initiatives are a big part of

our plans. The Dennington

site will be a hub for our

sustainability programmes

around renewable energy

and sustainable farming

products,” said Mr Paterson.

ProviCo will use the site

to manufacture a range

of animal nutrition foods

that deliver health and

performance benefits for

infant and production

animals. As part of the sale

agreement, ProviCo will also

take over the responsibility

for the Dennington

memorabilia hall and

its contents.

The Dennington church

and its hall are not included

in the sale. Fonterra is

in discussions with the

Warrnambool Council on the

future of the church and its

hall and hopes to be able to

communicate the outcome

of these discussions soon.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

JUL JUN APR MAR DEC JAN FEB SEP NOV OCT MAY AUG 

MT s















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to January; New Zealand and US to February.

NOTE: Data for EU to December; Australia and US to January; New Zealand to February.

NOTE: Data for China, Asia, Latin America and Middle East & Africa to December.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR JAN OCT

FEB JUL

AUG

MAY

SEP

NOV

DEC

JUN

,
,

,

 ,

,

,

,

,

, 

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

FEBRUARY

2020

FEBRUARY


2019

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2019/20

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2018/19

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

133.5133.10.3%1,212.61,215.7(0.3%)

North Island69.872.8(4.1%)730.1737.6(1.0%)

South Island63.760.45.6%482.5478.10.9%

Fonterra Australia7.67.8(2.7%)77.390.9(15. 0%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(17 MARCH 2020)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2019)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

23,363528,195

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

12.6%0.8%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3,0113,338

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

(11. 1%)10.7%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(4.5%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update March 2020
    2020-03-31

    • Fonterra announced its Interim Results on 18 March. • Fonterra completes sale of Dennington. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly New Zealand production flat and Australian production steadies. Increase in EU and US production. • Monthly exports from the US and EU grow. N…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2020
    2020-02-28

    • Fonterra completes the sale of DFE Pharma. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production in New Zealand down. EU and US in line with expectations. • Monthly exports from the US show strong growth. New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly exports decline. • December imports…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2020
    2020-04-29

    • Fonterra and YFood partnership. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand monthly production down. Australia, EU and US production up. • New Zealand and Australia monthly exports decline. Increase in monthly exports from the US and EU. • China records decline for first two…”