Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update April 2020

Operational Update29 April 2020FCGConsumer Staples

• Fonterra and YFood partnership.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand monthly production down.

Australia, EU and US production up.

• New Zealand and Australia monthly exports

decline. Increase in monthly exports from the

US and EU.

• China records decline for first two months of

2020. Asia, Middle East and Africa monthly

imports down.

• Fonterra’s milk collection across New Zealand

for the 10 months to 31 March reached

1,341 million kgMS, down 0.3% on last

season. Australia milk collection decreased

13.9% to 85.3 million kgMS for the season to

31 March 2020.

• Partnering to help out where we can - delivering milk and

food to those in need.

• Our cheese and butter bring home the bacon.

Key Dates

May/June 2020

FY20 Q3 Business Update

1 June 2020

Measurement Date for Share

Standard 2020/21 Season

31 July 2020

End of Financial Year 2020

APRIL 2020

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2019

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for the 12 months

to March 2020

Change for the 12 months

to March 2020

Change for the 12 months

to February 2019

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

2.28.11.9

4.41.01.1

4.4

1.1

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand monthly

production down.

Australia, EU and US

production up

New Zealand milk

production¹ was down 1.9%

on a litres basis (up 0.1% on

a milk solids basis) in March

compared to March last year.

Continued drought

conditions for many locations

across New Zealand,

particularly in the upper

North Island affected milk

production in March. This

has prompted some farmers

to dry-off herds earlier

than usual.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to March

was 1.1% lower than last year.²

Fonterra collections are

reported for March, see page

5 for details.

Australia milk

production² increased 8.1%

in February compared to the

same period last year.

With rainfall in many regions

offsetting the impact of dry

conditions milk production

is showing signs of recovery,

driven by growth in output

from regions in Victoria

and Tasmania.

Production for the 12 months

to February was down 4.4%

on the previous 12 months.²

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

March, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production²

increased by 4.4% in

February compared to the

same period last year.

The largest production

growth was seen in Spain

(up 9.2%) followed by France

(5.3%), The Netherlands

(5.1%) and Germany (4.5%).

Milk production is

beginning to improve at a

time when global demand

uncertainty and supply chain

bottle-necks are weighing on

the market.

EU milk production for the

12 months to February was

up by 1.0% compared to the

same period last year.²

US milk production

increased by 2.2% in March

compared to March last year.

Milk production continued

to grow in March, as spring

volumes started to ramp

up and the result of prior

months’ steady increases

in herd sizes and in milk

per cow becomes apparent.

Some dairy producers have

been dumping milk, as

they struggle with a lack of

demand due to restaurant

and school closures amid the

COVID-19 crisis.

Milk production for the

12 months to March was

1.1% higher compared to the

same period last year.²

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 2020 production numbers include one extra day of production in February as 2020 is a leap year.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand and Australia

monthly exports decline.

Increase in monthly exports

from the US and EU

Total New Zealand

dairy exports decreased

by 5.9%, or 18,713 MT, in

February compared to the

same period last year. This

was primarily driven by

decreased demand for butter

from Iran and for fluid milk

products from China, down a

combined 19,132  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 3.7%, or

124,237 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by WMP,

fluid milk products, cheese

and infant formula, up a

combined 129,269 MT.

EU dairy exports

increased by 0.8%, or

3,755 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. This was

mainly driven by increases in

cheese and butter to the US,

butter to the Middle East,

fluid milk products to China

and AMF to Saudi Arabia, up

a combined 28,212 MT, and

largely offset by a decrease

in SMP exports to Asia of

25,167  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to January were up 6.6%, or

359,421 MT, on the previous

comparable period. Fluid

milk products, SMP, butter

and cheese were the main

drivers of this growth, up a

combined 348,635  MT.

US dairy exports

increased 5.4%, or 9,621  MT,

in February compared to

the same period last year,

albeit at a slower pace than

prior months.

The increase was driven

by WPC and lactose, up

a combined 8,997  MT.

Whey exports to China

also continued to grow

after months of sustained

declines, up 2,569  MT.

Cheese exports to Mexico

slowed, down 1,868  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

February 2020 were down

2.0%, or 48,190 MT, on the

previous comparable period,

driven by whey and AMF,

down a combined 74,313  MT,

but partially offset by an

increase in WMP and fluid

milk products.

Australia dairy exports

decreased 16.0%, or

10,448 MT, in February

compared to the same

period last year. This was

primarily driven by fluid milk

products, WMP, SMP and

whey, down a combined

8,756  MT.

Exports for the 12 months to

January were down 7.6%, or

59,868 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

Declines were recorded

across a broad range of

products with SMP, whey,

cheese and WMP down

78,966 MT, but partially

offset by increases in fluid

milk products up 29,955  MT.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%

%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for February 2020

compared to February 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January2 019

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

5.416.05.9

7.66.62.0

0.8

3.7

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China records decline for

first two months of 2020.

Asia, Middle East and Africa

monthly imports down

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

4.1%, or 6,867 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. This was

driven by increased demand

for WMP from Colombia

and Chile and for cheese

from Mexico, up a combined

6,725  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to January 2020 were

down 1.4%, or 28,274  MT,

compared to the same

period the previous year.

Decreases were driven

primarily by infant formula,

and whey, down a combined

47,519 MT, but largely offset

by increased WPC, up

22,017  MT.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 8.9%, or

36,884 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. Decreases

were recorded in SMP, fluid

milk products and whey

down 31,765  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to January were up 0.2%,

or 10,084 MT, compared

to the same period the

previous year.

Growth was recorded across

cheese, butter and lactose,

up a combined 48,111 MT, but

offset by decreases in whey

and infant formula, down

29,593  MT.

Middle East and

Africa dairy import

volumes¹ decreased 13.7%

or 50,445 MT, in January

compared to the same

period last year. Decreases

were recorded principally

in infant formula to Nigeria,

fluid milk product to Libya

and WMP to Algeria, down a

combined 45,440  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to January 2020 were

down 2.7%, or 114,676  MT,

compared to the same

period last year. This was

driven by large decreases

in WMP and fluid milk

products, down a combined

120,894 MT, and partly offset

by an increase in infant

formula of 38,494  MT.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by 1.4%,

or 9,056 MT, in the January-

February period compared

to the same period last year.

Based on updated aggregated

data for January and February,

the decrease was the result of

lower volumes of SMP (21.6%

or 20,875 MT), WMP (4.9% or

11, 358 MT) and lactose (25.3%

or 4,495 MT), partially offset

by an increase in butter, fluid

milk products and whey, up a

combined 26,153  MT.

COVID-19-related public

health measures put in place

in February are likely to have

impacted China's imports.

New Zealand's exports to

China reduced by 1.5% over

this period.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%%

%%

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change January-February 2020

compared to same period 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for January 2020

compared to January 2019

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

Change for the 12 months

to January 2020

1.4

8.94.1

0.22.7

%

Change for the 12 months

to February 2020

7.7

13.7

1.4

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%

%%

%%%

Season to date

1 July to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Season to date

1 June to 31 March

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2019

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2020

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2019

Change for March 2020

compared to March 2019

2.94.76.61.2

13.91.41.50.3

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY

















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collection 2019/20 Season

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection in March was

8.0 million kgMS, down 2.9%

on March last season.

Average to above-average

rainfall and moderate

summer temperatures for

much of Australia in March

improved seasonal conditions

and the milk production

outlook for the remainder of

the season.

Season-to-date collections

reached 85.3 million kgMS,

down 13.9% on the same

period last season. Fonterra

milk collections have been

impacted by the highly

competitive milk supply

market with losses primarily

to milk brokers. Fonterra also

decided to purchase less

third-party milk to focus on a

value-add product mix.

North Island milk

collection in March was

63.5 million kgMS, down

6.6% on last March.

Season-to-date collection

was 793.5 million kgMS,

down 1.5% on last season.

Drought conditions

continued throughout

March in the North Island,

significantly impacting milk

production, particularly in

northern regions.

The end of the month

saw more meaningful

rainfall bringing relief to

some regions.

South Island milk

collection in March was

64.5 million kgMS, up 4.7%

on last March.

Season-to-date collection

was 547.4 million kgMS, up

1.4% on last season.

South Island milk

production continues to

hold. Conditions on farm

are reported as good, with

pasture cover and cow

condition both in good shape

heading into autumn.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection in March, was

128 million kgMS, down

1.2% on the same month

last season.

Season-to-date collection

was 1,340.9 million kgMS,

0.3% behind collections at

the same time last season.

March was drier than usual

across most of the country,

although some regions did

see periods of significant

rainfall. The dry conditions

continued to weigh on

North Island milk supply

through March, while

South Island production

levels have held well.

%

%
%

%

%

%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

APR  APR  DEC  APR

AUG  DEC  AUG 

,

,

,

.

.

.

.

.
PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity prices and New Zealand

dollar trend

COVID-19 continued to

spread across the globe

and by mid-March the

World Health Organisation

had officially classified

the outbreak a ‘pandemic’.

Most developed nations

moved into various states

of ‘lock-down’ in an effort

to slow the spread of the

virus and allow their health

systems to cope, however,

these efforts also resulting

in economic contraction.

New Zealand has adopted

a similar approach, with the

forecast domestic economic

downturn weakening the NZ

dollar to below 60 US cents.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

21 April 2020:

The next trading event will be held on 5 May 2020. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

4.2

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

2,896

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

19.7

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 3,975/MT

8.5

AMF

USD 9,409/MT

3.2

RENNET CASEIN

USD 2,707/MT

4.0

WMP

USD 4,117/MT

3.4

BUTTER

USD 2,431/MT

5.8

SMP

USD 4,480/MT

1.9

CHEDDAR

19,739

MT

LATEST AUCTION

567,111

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

Fonterra and YFood
partnership

Fonterra has partnered

with one of Germany’s

fastest-growing start-ups,

YFood, to provide research

and product development

expertise to support

YFood’s expansion.

YFood is already a market

leader in the newly emerging

complete food segment

and provides innovative

"complete food" in the

form of drinks, bars and

powder for people with

busy lifestyles.

Fonterra GM Europe, Thijs

Bosch says: “The strategic

partnership with the YFood

team is a great step to

further strengthen Fonterra’s

position as the leading

ingredient solutions supplier

in the growing active

nutrition market in Europe

and beyond.

“We strongly believe that

our product development

and R&D capabilities will

support the YFood team

in developing great tasting

products with our range of

specialty ingredients.

“This investment in YFood

is part of our strategy which

includes a focus on advanced

ingredients categories that

reflect the way consumers

enjoy dairy as part of

their lifestyles”.

In line with this partnership

Fonterra has made a small

investment of capital.

Our Performance

7

8
Our Co-op

Partnering to help

out where we can -

delivering milk and food

to those in need

When New Zealand went

into COVID-19 lock-down

Fonterra’s In-School

programmes (Fonterra Milk

for Schools and KickStart

Breakfast) let principals

know that, at their discretion,

they could send product that

was already at schools’ home

with those most in need.

Kickstart Breakfast

is a partnership with

Sanitarium and the

New Zealand Government

that provides Anchor™

milk and Weet-Bix™

to all New Zealand

Schools. Fonterra Milk

for Schools provides free

milk to New Zealand

primary schools.

With schools closed for at

least four weeks, the team

switched their focus to see

how the Co-operative could

do its bit in helping the wider

community where it could.

Now, the team are providing

nearly one million serves

of Anchor™ milk to

communities throughout

the country.

Manager of Fonterra’s

In-School Programmes

Vania Martins-Fouche said

the team quickly realised

that getting milk to these

communities during

lock-down was something

they’d need a bit of help

with, so they’ve enlisted the

help of The Salvation Army,

Eat My Lunch, Whanau Ora

and Kiwi Harvest.

“We were looking for charity

partners that had a wider

distribution network and

would be able to take the

milk into the heart of the

communities during the

lock-down period, the four

groups we’ve chosen fit this

bill – it’s a real example of

Good Together,” Vania says.

Good Together are the

words we use to talk about

our Co-op’s purpose,

values and strategy.

Our cheese and butter
bring home the bacon

Every year the New Zealand

Champions of Cheese

Awards celebrate the

country’s best specialty

cheese, yoghurt and butter.

Thanks to our farmers’

top-quality milk, this

year Fonterra, through

NZMP™, Anchor Food

Professionals™ and our own

local cheese brands Kapiti™

and Mainland™, scooped

20 gold, 18 silver and 14

bronze medals across several

different categories.

The New Zealand Champions

of Cheese Awards is the only

national cheese competition

in New Zealand and honours

technical excellence

in the manufacture of

New Zealand cheese. The

awards are judged by an

independent panel of local

and international experts,

ranging from cheese-makers

to food critics.

Winning a total of 52 medals

is a fantastic result and one

our farmers and teams can

be extremely proud of.

Craig Honore, Fonterra’s

Cheese Technical Expert,

says the standards have

been raised for the

New Zealand cheese awards,

and we were up against

tough competition.

“This is great recognition of

the quality and the effort

that’s put in by farmers and

our excellent cheese-makers,

and the focus they have for

making quality products.”

It wasn’t just cheese bringing

home the silverware with

our haul including 17 awards

(11 gold) for butters made at

Kauri, Edgecumbe, Te Rapa,

Te Awamutu, Clandeboye,

Whareroa, and Morrinsville.

In fact, every butter we

entered won an award!

All winners are now in the

running for the Category

Champion, Trophy & Special

Award wins which will be

announced in May.

The Gold Medal Winners were:

• Kapiti Kikorangi Triple Cream Blue

• Kapiti Kahurangi Creamy Blue

• Kapiti Awa Tangy Blue

• Kapiti Kahikatea Camembert

• Kapiti Tuteremoana Te Tihi Premium Vintage Aged Cheddar

• Mainland Crumbly Feta

• Fonterra Lichfield NZMP 3MC

• Fonterra Stirling Mild Cheddar

• Anchor Food Professionals Traditional Cream Cheese

• Fonterra Edgecumbe Unsalted Pastry Butter

• Fonterra Kauri NZMP Salted Butter Spreadable

• Fonterra Te Rapa NZMP Unsalted Butter

• Fonterra Kauri NZMP Unsalted Butter

• Fonterra Te Awamutu NZMP Unsalted Butter

• Fonterra Clandeboye NZMP Unsalted Butter

• Fonterra Morrinsville NZMP Salted Butter

• Fonterra Clandeboye NZMP Unsalted Lactic Butter

• Fonterra Whareroa NZMP Unsalted Lactic Butter

• Mainland Reduced Salt Buttersoft

• Mainland Semi-Soft Butter

Our Co-op

9

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES













,

EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s



















AVERAGE

10


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to February; New Zealand and US to March.

NOTE: Data for EU to January; New Zealand, Australia and US to February.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Latin America and Middle East & Africa to January; China to February.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL AUG MAY SEP NOV DEC JUN 



,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT
QUANTITY SOLD  MT

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

MARCH

2020

MARCH


2019

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2019/20

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2018/19

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

128.0129.6(1.2%)1,341.01,345.2(0.3%)

North Island63.567.9(6.6%)793.5805.5(1.5%)

South Island64.561.64.7%547.4539.71.4%

Fonterra Australia8.08.3(2.9%)85.399.1(13.9%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(21 APRIL 2020)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2019)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

19,739567,111

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

26.8%1.9%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

2,8963,312

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

(17.4%)8.8%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(4.2%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update April 2020
    2020-04-29

    • Fonterra and YFood partnership. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand monthly production down. Australia, EU and US production up. • New Zealand and Australia monthly exports decline. Increase in monthly exports from the US and EU. • China records decline for first two…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update February 2020
    2020-02-28

    • Fonterra completes the sale of DFE Pharma. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly production in New Zealand down. EU and US in line with expectations. • Monthly exports from the US show strong growth. New Zealand, Australia and EU monthly exports decline. • December imports…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update March 2020
    2020-03-31

    • Fonterra announced its Interim Results on 18 March. • Fonterra completes sale of Dennington. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Monthly New Zealand production flat and Australian production steadies. Increase in EU and US production. • Monthly exports from the US and EU grow. N…”