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Global Dairy Update June 2021

Operational Update29 June 2021FSFConsumer Staples

•Clean sweep at New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards .
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

•New Zealand finishes full season up on

previous season. US and EU monthly

production up, Australia flat.


Incr

ease in monthly exports observed across

all regions.


China monthly imports continue to grow.

Latin America, Middle East and Africa and Asia

monthly imports increase.

•F

onterra's New Zealand milk collection for the

season ended 31 May 2021 was 1,539 million

kgMS, up 1.5% on prior season.


F

onterra’s Australian collection for May was

7.7 million kgMS, a 0.2% increase compared to

last season.

•A milk tanker with a difference.

Key Dates

31 July 2021

End of Financial Year 2021

September 2021

FY21 Annual Results

Announcement

December 2021

FCG/FSF Annual Meetings

JUNE 2021

%
%

%

%

%

%

%%

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021 compared

to April 2020

Change for the 12 months to

May 2021

Change for the 12 months to

May 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

4.60.07.6

1.30.22.3

0.8

2.6

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand finishes full

season up on previous

season. US and EU monthly

production up, Australia flat

New Zealand milk

production¹ increased 7.6%

on a litres basis, (up 9.4%

on milk solids basis) in May

compared to May last year.

Despite severe flooding in

Canterbury at the end of the

month, warm temperatures

across the North Island and

Marlborough contributed

favourably to end of season

milk production.

Full season New Zealand

milk production for the 12

months to May was 2.6%

higher than last year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for May, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production was flat in April

compared to April last year.

Despite favourable seasonal

conditions and increased

farmer confidence, reduced

herd numbers, farm exits,

and labour shortages are

constraining milk production

growth across Australia.

Dairy Australia is forecasting

milk production to be -1% to

+1 % for the 2020/21 season.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to April was

1.3% higher than last year.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

May, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production²

increased by 0.8% in April

compared to the same

period last year.

Strong volumes were

observed in Ireland (up

6.1%), Spain (2.2%) and

Poland (1.9%), despite

continuing declines in

Germany (down 0.7%) and

Netherlands (0.8%)

EU milk production for the

12 months to April was up by

0.2% compared to the same

period last year, driven by

higher volumes from Ireland,

Poland and Sweden.

US milk production

increased by 4.6% in May,

compared to the same

period last year.

May production last year was

affected by the pandemic

as production restrictions

were put in place by

co

-operatives. Nonetheless,

May production this year

continued to grow, driven

by sharp expansions in

herd sizes and milk per cow

yield growth.

Milk production for the 12

months to May was 2.3%

higher compared to the

same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2

E

xcludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

Increase in monthly

exports observed across

all regions

Total New Zealand

dairy exports increased

by 19.8%, or 52,355 MT, in

May compared to the same

period last year.

The increase was driven by

stronger volumes of WMP,

up 22%, and fluid milk

products, up 55%, primarily

to China. There were also

increases in cheese to China

and the Middle East, up 27%,

and higher exports of casein

to the US, China and the EU,

up 185%.

Exports for the 12 months

to May were up by 3.6%, or

123,890 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by WMP,

fluid milk products and

cheese but partially offset by

declines in SMP and AMF.

EU dairy exports

increased by 8.1%, or

49,746 MT, in March

compared to the same

period last year.

March saw increased exports

of fluid milk products, and

SMP shipped to China and

cheese to Japan, but this

was partially offset by lower

demand for infant formula

from China.

Exports for the 12 months

to March were up 3.5%, or

247,576 MT, on the previous

comparable period. Fluid

milk products, whey, cheese

and lactose were the main

drivers of this growth, up a

combined 357,323 MT. It was

partially offset by declines

in SMP, MPC and MPI and

infant formula.

US dairy exports

continued to increase, up

25.7%, or 52,542 MT, in

April compared to the same

period last year.

Shipments of SMP and

whey to China continued

to strengthen in April, up a

combined 24,058 MT. Cheese

export volumes increased

by 13,612 MT, or 50%, the

highest level on record,

primarily to Mexico and

South Korea.

Exports for the 12 months to

April 2021 were up 12.1%, or

282,685 MT, on the previous

comparable period, driven by

SMP, whey, WPC and cheese,

up a combined 275,305  MT.

Australia dairy exports

increased by 37.4%, or

23,684 MT, in April compared

to the same period last year.

The large increase was

primarily driven by higher

volumes to China. Sustained

strong demand was observed

in May for fluid milk

products, up 9,362 MT, SMP,

up 7,057 MT, and cheese, up

4,463  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to April were up 10.2%, or

74,160 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, SMP and

butter but partially offset by

declines in infant formula.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%%

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

May 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

25.737.419.8

10.23.512.1

8.1

3.6

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China monthly imports

continue to grow.

Latin America, Middle

East and Africa and Asia

monthly imports increase

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

19.3%, or 25,806 MT, in

March compared to the

same period the last year.

The increase was driven

by stronger volumes of

fluid milk products to Peru,

cheese to Mexico and Chile,

and WMP to Brazil, up a

combined 40,243 MT. This

was partially offset by lower

volumes of SMP to Mexico.

Imports for the 12 months

to March were up 3.2%, or

56,277 MT, compared to the

same period the last year.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

increased 8.8%, or 36,150  MT,

in March compared to the

same period the last year.

The increase was driven by

higher volumes of SMP and

fluid milk products to the

Philippines, lactose to Japan

and cheese to Korea, up a

combined 30,121  MT.

Imports for the 12 months to

March were down 0.5%, or

22,415 MT, compared to the

same period the last year.

Declines were recorded

across WMP and whey and

offset partially by increased

volumes in lactose, cheese

and SMP.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes¹

increased 3.2%, or 9,826  MT,

in March compared to the

same period the last year.

The increase was driven

predominantly by higher

volumes of fluid milk

products to Libya, infant

formula to Nigeria and

cheese to Bahrain.

Imports for the 12 months

to March were up 0.7%, or

28,041 MT, compared to

March last year, driven by

increases in WMP, SMP and

infant formula, and partially

offset by declines in fluid

milk products and butter.

China dairy import

volumes increased by

1.3%, or 3,345 MT, in May

compared to the same

period last year.

Volumes increased across

most product categories.

SMP and WMP imports hit

record levels for the month of

May, sourced primarily from

New Zealand and Australia.

Fluid milk product imports

continued to increase from

Germany, New Zealand and

Poland, and whey imports

remained strong, from the

US, France and Belarus.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 21.5%, or

684,569 MT, driven by fluid

milk products, whey, SMP

and WMP.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

1.3

8.819.3

0.50.7

%

Change for the 12 months to

May 2021

21.5

3.2

3.2

%

%

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%%

%

Season to date

1 July to 31 May

For the 2020/21 Season

compared to the previous season

For the 2020/21 Season

compared to the previous season

For the 2020/21 Season

compared to the previous season

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

Change for May 2021

compared to May 2020

0.28.028.67.7

1.01.83.91.5

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collection

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection in May was

7.7 million kgMS, a 0.2%

increase on May last season.

Favourable autumn

conditions across Victoria

and Tasmania has meant

stable milk production

in May.

Season-to-date collection

was 1.0% down on last

season, with favourable

on-farm conditions

throughout the season

stabilising milk production.

North Island milk

collection in May was

38.6 million kgMS, 28.6%

higher than May last season.

May collections continued

the strength seen in April,

benefiting from warm

and sunny weather with

useful rainfall in many

areas giving favourable

growing conditions.

Full season collection was

908.3 million kgMS, 3.9%

ahead of last season.

South Island milk

collection in May was

36.7 million kgMS, behind

8.0% on May last season.

Collections for South Island

began to drop off more

quickly during the second

half of May than in recent

seasons. The heavy rain

in the last weekend of the

month caused flooding in

some areas, with disruption

to collections as a result.

Full season collection was

630.9 million kgMS, behind

1.8% on last season.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection for May was

75.3 million kgMS, 7.7%

higher than May last season.

Collection for the 2020/21

season was 1,539.2 million

kgMS, 1.5% ahead of

last season.

May started with settled

weather across the country

before rain arrived for

western areas towards

the middle of the month.

Warmer and drier conditions

returned in the second half

of the month, with already

dry regions of both islands

missing out on meaningful

rainfall. Temperatures were

above May average across

the country, and sunshine

hours higher than average

for most regions.

%%%

%%%
%%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

JUN JAN

JUN

AUG

NOV

JAN APR JUN AUG NOV APR





,

, 

,

.

.

.

.

.
PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

The exchange rate stabilised

around 71 US cents - balanced

between New Zealand’s strong

economic performance in

recent months which supported

the NZD; while inflationary

pressures in the United States

have increased the risk of US

interest rates rising faster which

supported the USD’s value.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

15 June 2021:

The next trading event will be held on 6 July 2021. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

1.4

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,140

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

20.7

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,612/MT

1.7

BUTTER

USD 5,687/MT

0.6

AMF

USD 3,389/MT

1.6

SMP

USD 4,328/MT

0.1

CHEDDAR

USD 3,997/MT

1.6

WMP

20,677

MT

LATEST AUCTION

622,468

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Fonterra Responsible

Dairying Award

The prestigious award

was introduced by the

New Zealand Dairy

Industry Awards and

Fonterra to recognise dairy

farmers who demonstrate

leadership in their approach

to sustainability.

Waikato farmers

Pete Morgan and

Ann Bouma were this

year’s winners, receiving

the John Wilson Memorial

Trophy. Fonterra CEO

Miles Hurrell presented the

award and says Pete and Ann

are excellent ambassadors

for our industry.

“Pete, Ann and the other

finalists are driving positive

change in our industry

and are great role models,

producing milk that is

backed by the quality and

sustainability credentials that

customers now expect and

need. People want to know

that their milk is coming

from farmers that care for

the environment, animals,

people and communities.”

Share Farmer of the Year

Manoj Kumar and Sumit

Kamboj are driven,

professional and high-

achieving siblings who

benchmark excellence within

the industry.

“The New Zealand dairy

farming system is totally

different from back home

in India and it really appeals

to us,” they say. “It’s very

rewarding as we can see the

improvements we make on-

farm and there is a culture

unlike any other industry.”

Dairy Manager of the Year

Christopher Vila was

a veterinarian in the

Philippines before he moved

to New Zealand 13 years

ago and began a career in

dairying as a farm assistant.

The judges describe

Christopher as a humble,

competent and passionate

dairy farmer who sets

high standards for himself

and staff.

“He’s completely engaged in

his role but also understands

the importance of getting

off-farm and spending

time with his wife and

young daughter.”

Dairy Trainee of the Year

Ruth Connolly was

applauded by judges who

said she was a polished,

articulate, considered, with

a broad understanding of

different industry issues.

“Ruth is constantly pushing

for perfection. She has a

huge love and respect for

the cows, the land and the

people. She has an insatiable

thirst for knowledge which,

coupled with specific and

high-reaching goals, will

stand her in good stead.”

NZDIA Lifetime Achievement

Award

Jeff Bolstad, a Morrinsville

farmer, was recognised

for his long service and

contribution to the Dairy

Industry Awards and wider

agriculture sector.

NZDIA Trust Chair

Natasha Tere says this is

the first time this award has

been presented.

“It’s a prestigious honour

that is awarded to an

individual that has provided

exceptional service to

the New Zealand Dairy

Industry Awards. We have

chosen Jeff as he has been

a bonding strength behind

our organisation. Jeff has a

pure love and passion for

aspiring dairy farmers and

has been a guiding light, a

father figure and confidante

to many while on their

Awards journey.”

Clean sweep at

New Zealand Dairy

Industry Awards

Fonterra farmers once again impressed at the New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards, winning all

four 2021 main titles, plus an NZDIA Lifetime Achievement Award.

The winners were:

• Fonterra Responsible Dairying Award – Pete Morgan and Ann Bouma

• NZ Share Farmer of the Year – Manoj Kumar and Sumit Kamboj

• NZ Dairy Manager of the Year – Christopher Vila

• NZ Dairy Trainee of the Year – Ruth Connolly

• NZDIA Lifetime Contribution Award – Jeff Bolstad.

For more on the

New Zealand Dairy Industry

Awards –

Our Co-op
8

A milk tanker with a

difference

Tens of thousands of

farmers and members of

the public have been the

first to experience a brand

new addition to Fonterra’s

milk tanker fleet at Fieldays

in Waikato – an interactive

showcase of what makes the

Co-op Good Together.

The tanker experience allows

visitors to share their own

memories of Fonterra in the

video booth, play a ‘Milk

Mayhem’ game and even

give tanker driving a go on

our realistic simulator.

“It’s Fonterra’s 20th birthday

this year and a good chance

to reflect on all the amazing

work that we’ve done

together. We believe the

experience we’ve created

celebrates being Good

Together while having a bit

of fun!” says Andrea Perez,

General Manager

Co-operative Experience.

It’s exciting to be back at

Fieldays after the annual

event at Mystery Creek

was cancelled in 2020

because of COVID – the first

time since the agricultural

showcase started over half a

century ago.

Multiple teams from within

our Co-op have worked

tirelessly over the past few

months to bring the Fonterra

Good Together tanker

experience to life. Everyone

agrees that the highlight of

the project so far has been

the collaboration.

“It’s been awesome to

have teams from very

different parts of the

business come together

to achieve such a fantastic

result. We had people

from all across National

Transport - fleet, dispatch,

transport depots, third

party vendors – working

alongside Co-op Experience

and it’s been such a positive

experience,” Tanker Planning

& Dispatch Manager,

Malcolm Bailey says.

While our farmers and

other Fieldays attendees

got the first peek, there will

be plenty of opportunities

for more people to see and

experience the interactive

tanker throughout

New Zealand. It will be going

on a year-long roadie from

the top of the North, to the

bottom of the South Island,

visiting Fonterra sites and

other locations as it goes.

Fieldays

As the Southern

Hemisphere’s largest

agricultural event, Fieldays

has always been a highlight

of the agricultural calendar.

There are over 1,000

exhibitors, 130,000 visitors

and a global audience reach

of over 23 million people.

The event generates

around NZ$500 million

of sales and revenue for

New Zealand firms.

The experience is

highly interactive

with stories, games

and even a tanker

simulator.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR  MAR  FEB  JAN  DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s

















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s



















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU and Australia to April; New Zealand and US to May.

NOTE: Data for EU to March; US and Australia to April; New Zealand to May.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to March; China to May.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL AUG MAY

SEP NOV DEC JUN

,

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,



,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

M AY

2021

M AY


2020

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2019/20

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

75.369.97.7%1,539.21,517.11.5%

North Island38.630.028.6%908.3874.63.9%

South Island36.739.9(8.0%)630.9642.5(1.8%)

Australia7.77.70.2%99.9100.9(1.0%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(15 JUNE 2021)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2020)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

20,677622,468

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

0.0%(2.8%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,1403,535

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

37.6%8.1%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(1.4%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMENA

Africa, Middle East, Europe,

North Asia, Americas.

AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

NZMP

New Zealand Milk Products.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update June 2021
    2021-06-29

    •Clean sweep at New Zealand Dairy Industry Awards . 1 Global Dairy UPDATE •New Zealand finishes full season up on previous season. US and EU monthly production up, Australia flat. • Incr ease in monthly exports observed across all regions. • China monthly imports continue to gr…”

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update July 2021
    2021-07-29

    •Farmer feedback set to shape revised capital structure proposal. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • S tart of new season in New Zealand. US, EU a nd Australia monthly production up. •A ustralia, New Zealand and US monthly exports continue to grow while EU monthly exports ease. • Increas…”

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update May 2021
    2021-05-30

    • Third quarter business update. • Capital structure consultation commences. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, US and EU monthly production up, while Australia down. • US and Australia exports show strong monthly growth. EU exports up while New Zealand monthly export…”