Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update19 July 2021MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 30 June 2021

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

PHYSICAL GENERATION DOWN

85GWh IN THE QUARTER,

126GWh ACROSS THE FULL-YEAR

ELEVATED Q4 SPOT PRICES REFLECT

SHORT-TERM FUEL CONSTRAINTS,

FUTURES PRICES EASING

CFD PURCHASES INCREASE BY 315GWh

VERSUS PCP AS MERCURY

MITIGATES PRICE RISK

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

GENERATION

VOLUMES

FALL

SPOT PRICES

ELEVATED

HEDGE

PURCHASES

LIFT

>> COMMENTARY

HYDRO GENERATION DOWNAS LOW INFLOWS PERSIST; GEOTHERMAL GENERATION IMPACTED BY KAWERAU OUTAGE

Mercury's hydro generation in FY2021-Q4 of 727GWh (193GWh below average

1

) equalledthe prior comparable period for the lowest level of

hydro generation in company history. Thiswas due to sustained dry hydrology that saw Waikato catchmentinflows at the 13th percentile

2

for

the quarter and at the 16

th

percentile

3

for FY2021. Consequently, hydro storage in Lake Taupo ended the year at 143GWh below average

2

.

Geothermal generation decreased from 675GWh in FY2020-Q4 to 590GWh in the most recent quarter due to an unplanned outage at the

Kawerau power station that started on 7 June. The station is currently expected to return to service this week.

ELEVATED PRICES REFLECT CURRENT FUEL CONSTRAINTS WITH FUTURES EASING

Average spot prices in the quarter reflected low national hydro storage and continued gas deliverability issues, increasing to $277/MWh at

Otahuhu and $261/MWh at Benmore from $115/MWh and $102/MWh respectively in FY2020-Q4. Elevated prices were also seen in

Mercury's CFD purchases for FY2021-Q4 which increased by 315GWh, from 464GWh in FY2020-Q4 to 779GWh, to mitigate price risk from

decreased physical generation.

Futures prices eased during the quarter due to a lift in national hydrology towards the end of June. FY2022 futures prices decreased from

$193/MWh and $177/MWh at Otahuhu and Benmore at the start of the quarter to $170/MWh and $151/MWh respectively by the end of the

quarter, with a subsequent further reduction to $144/MWh and $122/MWh as at 16 July 2021.

COMMERCIAL & INDUSTRIAL SALES LIFT AS MERCURY POSITIONS PORTFOLIO

Notwithstanding elevated spot prices, Mercury continued to engage with customers seeking to re-contract resulting in Commercial &

Industrial segment sales (including both physical and financial) increasing by 227GWh, from 731GWh in FY2020-Q4 to 958GWh in FY2021-

Q4. The Commercial & Industrial sales yield increased by 9.1% from $93/MWh in FY2020-Q4 to $102/MWh in FY2021-Q4.

Customer numbers continued to decrease, dropping by 3,000 across the quarter to 328,000. This was reflected in Mass Market sales

volumes which decreased by 63GWh to 672GWh versus 735GWh in the same quarter last year.

DEMAND IN Q4 LIFTS VERSUS COVID-19 LOCKDOWN AFFECTED PCP; DEMAND IN QUARTERS 1-3 DECREASES

Temperature-adjusted demand in FY2021-Q4 increased by 5.8% as the prior comparable period was affected by the COVID-19 Level 4

lockdown. Increases were seen across all sectors, with contributions from each sector being: urban (+2.5%), rural (+1.0), industrial (+1.2%),

dairy (+0.8%) and irrigation (+0.3%).

The recovery in Q4 drove full-year temperature-adjusted demand up by 1.0%. Excluding this period, demand in the first three quarters in

FY2021 decreased by -0.6% versus the same quarters in FY2020, largely driven by reduced industrial demand due to production cutsat the

Tiwai Point aluminium smelter, Norske Skog's Kawerau mill and the Marsden Point refinery.

1

For quarters ended 30 June since 1999

2

For quarters ended 30 June since 1927

3

For 12-month periods ended 30 June since 1927

328348
291307

3741

4547

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)(GWh)

1,2051,1084,5224,361

2

6727352,6542,892

3

5333731,8681,469

5654213213

4

1,2621,1634,7354,573

5

8468073,4323,377

4253581,5591,323

6

4214491,8732,054

31183166747

1,3171,4026,2056,331

7277273,6113,712

7

5906752,5942,619

77946419681,478

6

77946419681,478

8

1.021.011.011.02

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases

5

6

7

Includes Mercury's 65% share of Nga Awa Purua generation

8

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 149 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 June 2021 and 149 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 June 2020 and of 599

GWh for the 12 months ended 30 June 2021 and 601 GWh for the 12 months ended 30 June 2020

193.1398.81

170.4498.91

139.0583.69

139.0583.69

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions (including positions held to maturity which were previously disclosed in CfD volumes)

Spot Settlement of CfDs

PORTFOLIO LWAP/GWAP

113.97266.79

Geothermal (consolidated)

180.04109.51

186.94117.03

95.7484.59

175.21101.15

176.38104.12

193.56115.14

91.7583.63

86.9682.15

139.70130.84

101.1594.05

($/MWh)($/MWh)

123.77118.45

Twelve months ended

30 June 2021

Twelve months ended

30 June 2020

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

100.05

136.45

113.09

Physical129.27124.20

Mass Market142.10

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

30 June 2021

Three months ended

30 June 2020

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

269.63

87.10

Other Sell CfDs

277.51117.16

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs85.79

109.30

Spot Customer Purchases

86.16

287.92128.97

98.1586.00

109.24

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

84.28210.08 Buy CfDs

264.93107.42

210.0884.28Financial

295.88134.90

121.59282.02

Hydro

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE
Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

13%

29%

23%

23%

4%

8%

Financial Year Q4 2021

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

15%

35%

21%

18%

4%

7%

Financial Year Q4 2020

13%

87%

Financial Year Q4 2021

MERCURY

OTHER

14%

86%

Financial Year Q4 2020

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2020 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2021 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2020FY2021

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$114.01

$95.65

$92.56

$135.59

$119.06

$103.11

$187.52

$193.18

$143.18

$184.24

$170.44

$144.05

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY21FY22FY23

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 JUNE 2020AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2021

$104.40

$79.83

$75.74

$120.57

$100.69

$82.16

$174.84

$177.01

$125.69

$173.13

$151.34

$124.13

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

FY21FY22FY23

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 JUNE 2020AS AT 31 DECEMBER 2020AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2021

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202112.316.919.514.8

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

201712.116.119.314.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

8,593

8,865

9,022

8,824

8,418

8,945

1,261

1,251

1,252

1,307

1,223

1,220

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q4 2016Q4 2017Q4 2018Q4 2019Q4 2020Q4 2021

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-11

Jan-12

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20

Jan-21

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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