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Global Dairy Update May 2021

Operational Update30 May 2021FSFConsumer Staples

• Third quarter business update.
• Capital structure consultation commences.

1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• New Zealand, US and EU monthly

production up, while Australia down.

• US and Australia exports show strong monthly

growth. EU exports up while New Zealand

monthly exports decline.

• China monthly imports continue to grow.

Latin America imports up, Middle East and

Africa and Asia monthly imports down.

• Fonterra's New Zealand milk collection for April

was 118.2 million kgMS, an 11.2% increase on

April last season. At the end of April, season-to-

date collection was 1.2% up on last season.

• Fonterra’s Australia collection for April was

8.1 million kgMS, a 1.9% increase compared to

April last season, but down 1.1% for the season

to date compared to the prior period.

• Taranaki farm embraces te ao Maori

• Fonterra farmer John Wyatt has become the first person to

ever accomplish a trifecta in the New Zealand Dairy Industry

Awards (NZDIA).

Key Dates

1 June 2021

Start of the 2021/22 Season

31 July 2021

End of Financial Year 2021

September 2021

FY21 Annual Results

Announcement

M AY 2 02 1

For further details,

view our website –

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

3.31.811.6

1.80.21.8

0.5

2.5

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

New Zealand, US and EU

monthly production up,

while Australia down

New Zealand milk

production¹ increased

11. 6% on a litres basis in April

compared to April last year.

New Zealand production is

benefiting from favourable

end of season milk

production conditions in

key farming regions of the

North Island.

New Zealand milk

production for the 12 months

to April was 2.5% higher

than last year.

Fonterra collections are

reported for April, see page 5

for details.

Australia milk

production was down

1.8% in March compared to

last March.

Lower herd numbers

associated with farm exits

continue to constrain milk

production growth across

Australia despite favourable

on-farm conditions.

Dairy Australia has reduced

its milk production forecast

from 1% to 3% growth to

(1)% to 1% growth for the

2020/21 season.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to March was

1.8% higher than last year.

Fonterra collections in

Australia are reported for

April, see page 5 for details.

EU milk production²

improved after a slow start

to the season and increased

by 0.5% in March compared

to the same period last year.

Increases were observed in

Ireland (up 13.5%), Poland

(1.7%), Italy (1.5%) and offset

by declines in France (down

1.4%) and Germany (1.1%).

EU milk production for the

12 months to March was up

by 0.2% compared to the

same period last year, driven

by higher volumes from

Ireland, Poland and Belgium.

US milk production

increased by 3.3% in April,

compared to the same

period last year.

US milk production

continues to expand,

driven by herd size growth

and higher milk per cow

yield. April production

last year was impacted by

pandemic driven production

restrictions applied to

farmers by co-operatives.

Milk production for the

12 months to April was 1.8%

higher compared to the

same period last year.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year-on-year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2 Excludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

US and Australia exports

show strong monthly

growth. EU exports up

while New Zealand monthly

exports decline

Total New Zealand

dairy exports decreased

by 5.6% or 16,454 MT, in

April compared to the same

period last year.

The decrease was driven by

lower volumes of SMP and

AMF to South East Asia,

and WMP to Saudi Arabia

and UAE, down a combined

19,815 MT. This was partially

offset by increased cheese

exports to China, up 4,877  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to April were up by 1.5%, or

50,594 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by WMP,

fluid milk products and

cheese but partially offset by

decreases in SMP, butter and

infant formula.

EU dairy exports¹

increased by 0.3%, or

1,414 MT, in February

compared to the same

period last year.

February saw increased

volumes of fluid milk

products and whey shipped

to China but was partially

offset by reduced volumes of

butter to Saudi Arabia, and

cultured products and SMP

to Algeria.

Exports for the 12 months to

February were up 2.4%, or

168,320 MT, on the previous

comparable period. Fluid

milk products, whey, lactose,

WMP and cheese were the

main drivers of this growth,

partially offset by a large

decline in SMP.

US dairy exports

increased 21.3%, or

45,165 MT, in March

compared to the same

period last year.

Despite ongoing shipping

and logistical challenges,

record March shipments

were made to China, with

whey up 23,670 MT and SMP

up 8,893  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to March 2021 were up

10.4%, or 243,681 MT, on

the previous comparable

period, driven by SMP, whey

and WPC, up a combined

248,040  MT.

Australia dairy exports

increased by 16.6%, or

10,966 MT, in March

compared to the same

period last year.

The increase was driven by

higher demand from China

for SMP, up 5,662 MT, and

fluid milk products, up

5,804  MT.

Exports for the 12 months

to March were up 7.3%, or

53,659 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products, SMP and

butter but partially offset by

declines in infant formula.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%%%

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for March 2021

compared to March 2020

Change for February 2021

compared to February 2020

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

March 2021

Change for the 12 months to

February 2021

21.316.65.6

7.32.410.4

0.3

1.5

%

%

1 Excludes UK. February 2020 numbers include one extra day as 2020 was a leap year.

To view a chart that
illustrates year-on-year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China monthly imports

continue to grow.

Latin America imports up,

Middle East and Africa and

Asia monthly imports down

Latin America dairy

import volumes¹ increased

6.0%, or 8,427 MT, in

February compared to the

same period the last year.

The decrease was driven

by higher volumes of SMP

to Mexico and Peru and

fluid milk products to the

Dominican Republic, up a

combined 8,426  MT.

Imports for the 12 months

to February were up 1.4%

compared to the same

period the last year.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes¹

decreased 1.3%, or 4,817  MT,

in February compared to the

same period the last year.

The decrease was driven by

lower volumes of WMP to

South-East Asia, and lactose

to Japan and Singapore,

down a combined 13,291  MT.

This was partially offset by

higher volumes of whey, fluid

milk products and butter.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were down 2.2%,

or 108,058 MT, compared to

the same period the last year.

Decreases were recorded

across WMP, SMP, whey and

butter and offset partially by

increased volumes in lactose

and cheese, up 43,676  MT.

Middle East and

Africa dairy import

volumes¹ decreased 8.6%

or 26,523 MT, in February

2021 compared to the same

period the last year.

The decrease was driven

predominantly by lower

volumes of SMP and WMP

to Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and

fluid milk products to UAE

and Angola.

Imports for the 12 months to

February were down 2.0%,

or 76,360 MT, compared to

February last year, driven

by decreases in fluid milk

products and butter and

partially offset by increases

in SMP and WMP.

China dairy import

volumes increased by

26.4%, or 72,292 MT, in

April compared to the same

period last year.

With the exception of infant

formula, increased volumes

were observed across all

other product categories.

More notably, fluid milk

products from Germany,

New Zealand and Poland,

were up 37%, whey, from

the US, Belarus and Europe,

increased 70% and SMP

from New Zealand and

Australia, increased 43%.

Imports for the 12 months

to April were up 21.7%, or

689,069 MT, driven by fluid

milk products, whey, SMP

and lactose.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for February 2021

compared to February 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for February 2021

compared to February 2020

Change for February 2021

compared to February 2020

Change for the 12 months to

February 2021

Change for the 12 months to

February 2021

Change for the 12 months to

February 2021

26.4

1.36.0

2.22.0

%

Change for the 12 months to

April 2021

21.7

8.6

1.4

%

%

To view a table that shows our
detailed milk collection in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%%

%

Season to date

1 July to 30 April

Season to date

1 June to 30 April

Season to date

1 June to 30 April

Season to date

1 June to 30 April

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

Change for April 2021

compared to April 2020

1.92.526.011.2

1.11.43.01.2

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collection

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collection

Fonterra's Australia

collection in April was

8.1 million kgMS, a 1.9% increase

on April last season. This

was largely due to additional

milk sourced from other

manufacturers in April this

season. This varies month

to month.

Favourable autumn conditions

across Victoria and Tasmania

have stabilised milk production

with April intake increasing

compared to April 2020.

Season-to-date collection was

1.1% down on last season.

North Island milk collection

in April was 64.3 million kgMS,

26.0% higher than April

last season.

Season-to-date collection was

869.7 million kgMS, 3.0% ahead

of last season.

April collections were very

strong with generally favourable

weather conditions allowing

good pasture growth, and more

farms milking for longer than is

generally the case at this time

of the season. Eastern coastal

regions, in particular, continued

to see soil moisture deficits,

with collections in those areas

having lower growth.

South Island milk collection

in April was 53.9 million kgMS,

2.5% less than April last season.

Season-to-date collection was

594.2 million kgMS, 1.4% lower

than last season.

Weather conditions were less

favourable in the South Island

but collections were steady.

Although down on the same

month last season, they were at

average levels for this time of

the year, while also noting that

2020 did have a stronger than

average late season run.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collection for April was

118.2 million kgMS, 11.2% higher

than the same month last

season driven by strong growth

in the North Island.

Season-to-date collection was

1,464.0 million kgMS, 1.2%

ahead of last season.

April started out very warm

across the country, with both

islands experiencing a mix

of weather. Western regions

were generally wetter and had

lower than average sunshine

hours, whereas Eastern regions

were mostly drier and sunnier

than average.

%%%

Forecast Farmgate Milk Price for

the 2021/22 season

Forecast milk collection for the

2021/22 season

per

kgMS

7. 2 5 -

8.75

1, 52 5

M

kgMS

Outlook for

New Zealand

NZD

The inclusion of off-GDT

sales contributed

nine cents per kgMS to the

Milk Price for the season

to 30 April 2021.

%%%
%%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year-to-date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

MAY DEC MAY

JUL

OCT

DEC

MAR

MAY

AUG OCT MAR






,

,



,

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

The NZD/USD exchange rate

traded in a narrow band between

71 and 73 US cents; supported

by strong commodity prices and

robust domestic New Zealand

economic activity, but additional

strength was contained by

expectations of comparative US

economic outperformance in

the near term.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

18 May 2021:

The next trading event will be held on 1 June 2021. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

0.3

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

4,213

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

20.2

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,929/MT

2.1

BUTTER

USD 4,321/MT

1.1

CHEDDAR

USD 4,123/MT

0.2

WMP

USD 3,491/MT

0.7

SMP

USD 5,730/MT

0.0

AMF

20,199

MT

LATEST AUCTION

580,148

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Capital structure

consultation

commences

Fonterra is continuing to

consult with farmers on

potential options to change

its capital structure.

It is part of a comprehensive

capital structure review that

aims to help ensure:

• the financial sustainability

of the Co-op into

the future;

• a sustainable milk

supply; and

• protection of farmer

ownership and control.

The consultation process

started in early May and

includes a series of meetings,

webinars and other

opportunities for farmers

to find out more and have

their say. To help give the

conversations with farmers

some structure, the Board

put forward a preferred

option – a ‘Reduced Share

Standard and either No Fund

or a Capped Fund.’

“We believe the best option

for our Co-op is to move to

a structure that reduces the

number of shares a farmer

would be required to have

and either removes the Fund

or caps it from growing

further, to protect farmer

ownership and control,” says

Chairman Peter McBride.

“This is the Board’s current

thinking, but we are open

minded about adjusting

that direction based on

farmer feedback on any of

the options. Conversations

at the regional meetings

have already brought out

a number of good ideas

from farmers that we will

be considering.”

Once farmer views have

been heard, and if the

appetite for change remains,

further work will be done to

refine the preferred option or

options and a second round

of consultation will be held.

If the Board decides to seek

change, it would likely aim

for a farmer vote around the

time of this year's Annual

Meeting and the approval of

at least 50% of the members

of the Co-operative Council

(formerly known as the

Shareholders’ Council) and

75% of votes from voting

farmers would be required.

If the outcome is to buy back

the Fund, that would require

the approval of 75% of votes

from voting unit holders.

As some aspects of

Fonterra’s current capital

structure are reflected in the

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (DIRA), any vote

is likely to be conditional on

any necessary changes to

legislation being passed. The

DIRA enabled Fonterra to be

formed so that an efficient

co-operative of scale could

lead the country into global

markets. The value Fonterra

creates is returned to

regional New Zealand, where

it plays a strong role helping

to sustain local communities

and enhance their wellbeing.

Our Co-op
8

Taranaki farm embraces

te ao Maori

A profitable dairy farm

doesn't have to come at the

cost of the environment, say

South Taranaki dairy farmers

Jane and Damian Roper.

In April, the Ropers, who

milk 420 cows on their

158ha dairy farm in Alton,

welcomed more than

100 people to their farm

for the formal opening

of the latest step in their

journey into sustainable

and environmentally

conscious farming.

The Roper family and

members of the community

have built Ohuarai pa i te

kohu, a pa (a traditional

Maori defensive terrace) for

the propagation and growing

of native New Zealand trees.

"We have been learning te

reo Maori [Maori language]

since last year,” says Jane.

“Not only have we begun

to learn the language but

also the culture, the history

and the strong Maori values

relating to the protection of

land and the environment.

We wanted to bring Maori

culture and its set of values

into our farming operation.”

Their farm vision is to show

it’s possible to run a tidy,

profitable and efficient dairy

farm with minimal impact to

the environment, using both

Maori and modern science

practices – something they

are both passionate about.

Damian says building the pa

is the start of their journey

into this.

"With help, advice and

guidance from our iwi

Ngati Ruanui, our Marae

Wharepuni and our local

community the Tuwatawata

(stockade) Pa was built.

It houses two whare, a

propagation house for the

germinating of seeds named

Rongo-marae-roa (house of

generosity and hospitality)

and a second shadehouse

named Tane- mahuta for

the on-growing of the trees

before planting out."

The pa, which stretches

70 metres along a hilltop

and encompasses almost

half a hectare of land, has

been built with nearly

4,000 round fence posts

in different lengths, their

tips shaped to sharp points.

The high walls act as a

very effective windbreak,

sheltering the large

propagation house.

Winners of the Fonterra

Responsible Dairying

award in 2019, the Ropers

have planted about 18,000

indigenous trees around the

property since they bought

it in 2006 and plan to supply

others with trees once they

have them in production.

"This isn't a commercial

enterprise, but a way we

can help other farmers

become enthusiastic about

the benefits of indigenous

plantings. We are wanting to

bring back the biodiversity

and birdlife back to our

doorsteps, back to our farms.”

Built over the summer, it was

a team effort by about 20

people in the community,

from builders and

tradespeople to iwi members

who gave cultural advice.

To view Jane and Damian's

story –

Our Co-op
9

Third time’s a charm

A hat-trick. A trifecta. A

three-peat.

Whatever you want to call

it, Fonterra farmer John

Wyatt has become the first

person to ever accomplish

it in the New Zealand Dairy

Industry Awards (NZDIA).

John has been named the

2021 Taranaki Share Farmer

of the Year, the latest step

in his progression through

the ranks of the dairy

industry and a history

making moment.

It’s historic because

claiming the title meant

that John became the first

person to win all three

NZDIA categories – he was

the 2009 Hawke’s Bay/

Wairarapa Dairy Trainee

of the Year and the 2015

Manawatu Farm Manager of

the Year.

“It was at the back of my

mind when I entered”, says

John. “But I had no idea that

no one had ever done it

before so it’s pretty cool.”

John grew up on a sheep and

beef farm near Dannevirke

and was often helping the

neighbours with shearing

and docking.

"I have always been keen

on farming. I enjoy being

outside and working with

animals so I knew that was

where my future lay."

But in 2007, he left home

and gave up sheep and beef

in favour of dairying.

"I realised that dairy farming

offered a better progression

path to farm ownership and

more opportunities than

sheep and beef, so I gave it a

go. I enjoyed it so I have just

kept doing it.”

John reckons one of the keys

to his success is that he’s

always keen to learn.

“I want to know as much as

I can about what I’m doing

so having that knowledge is

important. That’s why I did

a Diploma through Primary

ITO and I think that has

really helped my career.”

Away from the farm John and

Kristina enjoy staying active,

but with one-and-a-half-year-

old son Caleb to also care for,

finding time can be tricky.

“I play squash and Kristina

plays hockey. We both enjoy

mountain biking together as

well, although it's a bit more

difficult now that we have

a family. We’re not far from

the beach at Opunake and

there are some great walking

trails on the mountain which

is less than 30 mins away.

There’s lots of outdoors stuff

close to us so we try to get

out when we can.”

John and Kristina are now

in the process of buying

the herd they currently

contract milk to start a 50:50

sharemilking partnership.

“We’re really excited about

that. It’s great to be staying

on the same farm. The plan

for the next few years is to

pay off some debt and then

hopefully be in a position

to buy a farm of our own.

Kristina and I work really

well as a team. I enjoy the

satisfaction of a job well-

done and want to set a good

example and create a future

for my family.”

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEUUK

DEC JUL JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEUUK

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s

















AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s















AVERAGE

10


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year-on-year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU/UK and Australia to March; New Zealand and US to April.

NOTE: Data for EU/UK to February; Australia and US to March; New Zealand to April.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to February; China to April.

SOURCE: Government milk production statistics/GTIS trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR

MAR

JAN

OCT FEB

JUL AUG MAY

SEP NOV DEC JUN 

,

,
,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,



,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

11


Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

APRIL

2021

APRIL


2020

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2020/21

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2019/20

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

118.2106.311. 2%1,464.01,447.21.2%

North Island64.351. 026.0%869.7844.63.0%

South Island53.955.3(2.5%)594.2602.6(1.4%)

Australia8.17.91.9%92.193.2(1.1%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year-to-date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(18 M AY 2021)

YEAR-TO-DATE


(FROM 1 AUGUST 2020)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

20,199580,148

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

26.3%(3.0%)

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

4,2133,489

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

43.3%6.0%

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(0.3%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

12
AMENA

Africa, Middle East, Europe,

North Asia, Americas.

AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non-Reference Products

All dairy products, except

for Reference Products,

produced by the NZ

Ingredients business.

NZMP

New Zealand Milk Products.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Other issuers discussed similar conditions around this time

Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update May 2021
    2021-05-30

    • Third quarter business update. • Capital structure consultation commences. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • New Zealand, US and EU monthly production up, while Australia down. • US and Australia exports show strong monthly growth. EU exports up while New Zealand monthly export…”

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update April 2021
    2021-04-30

    • Coal not in Fonterra’s future. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Increase in New Zealand monthly production. US monthly production up, EU and Australia down. • New Zealand, Australia and US exports show strong monthly growth. EU monthly exports down. • China monthly imports co…”

  • FCG — Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited: Global Dairy Update July 2021
    2021-07-29

    •Farmer feedback set to shape revised capital structure proposal. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • S tart of new season in New Zealand. US, EU a nd Australia monthly production up. •A ustralia, New Zealand and US monthly exports continue to grow while EU monthly exports ease. • Increas…”