Mercury NZ Limited/Announcement
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Quarterly Operational Update

Quarterly Update18 October 2021MCYUtilities

QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE
Three months ended 30 September 2021

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE01

HYDRO GENERATION DOWN WITH DRIER

WEATHER BUT TAUPO STORAGE LIFTS,

GEO IMPACTED BY KAWERAU OUTAGE

CUSTOMER NUMBERS MAINTAINED

AT 328,000 AS MERCURY

HOLDS MARKET SHARE

COMPLETED ACQUISITION OF

TILT RENEWABLES NZ WIND FARMS,

TURITEA COMMISSIONING UNDERWAY

>> QUARTERLY HIGHLIGHTS

GENERATION

LOWER

CUSTOMER

NUMBERS

STEADY

WIND

ADDED

>> COMMENTARY

HYDRO GENERATION DOWN AS MERCURY REBUILDS TAUPO STORAGE; KAWERAU OUTAGE IMPACTS GEOTHERMAL

Hydro generation in FY2022-Q1 of 953GWh was below average as Waikato catchment inflows remained below average at the 34

th

percentile

1

. Despite this, Mercury lifted Lake Taupo hydro storage which ended the quarter at 403GWh, 45GWh above average

2

.

Geothermal generation in the quarter decreased by 80GWh, from 687GWh in FY2021-Q1 to 607GWh, due to a 44 day unplanned outage

at the Kawerau power station which ended on 20 July. The outage period coincided with higher prices which saw the LWAP/GWAP ratio

increase unfavourably from 1.01 in FY2021-Q1 to 1.04 in the most recent quarter. Cover was taken to offset this loss in production

resulting in the average price for Buy CfDs increasing from $128/MWh in FY2021-Q1 to $143/MWh in FY2022-Q1.

This quarter saw the completed acquisition of Tilt Renewables NZ wind farms on 3 August, reflected in 220GWh of wind generation

volume for the quarter. The Turitea wind farm produced 13GWh in the quarter while undergoing commissioning with revenue generated

offsetting project capex.

SPOT PRICES REMAIN HIGH BUT EASE OVER THE QUARTER; FUTURES REFLECT IMPROVED HYDRO STORAGE

Average spot prices in the quarter remained elevated at $149/MWh at Otahuhu and $123/MWh at Benmore versus $136/MWh and

$125/MWh respectively in FY2021-Q1. Prices trended down within the quarter as national hydro storage increased due to high South

Island hydro inflows (at the 99

th

percentile

1

), shown through the average July price of $191/MWh and $168/MWh at Otahuhu and

Benmore easing to $97/MWh and $77/MWh in September respectively.

Improved national hydro storage (74% of maximum at the end of the quarter) saw the FY2022 futures prices decrease from $170/MWh

and $151/MWh at Otahuhu and Benmore at the start of the quarter to $133/MWh and $110/MWh respectively by the end of the quarter.

CUSTOMER NUMBERS MAINTAINED AS MERCURY REDUCES LOSSES; C&I PRICING LIFTS ON RECONTRACTING

Customer numbers held steady at 328,000 over the quarter, ending a trend of declining market share, as Mercury reduced customer

losses through various initiatives including our 'Move with Mercury' campaign.

The Commercial & Industrial sales yield (including both physical and financial sales) increased by 11.7% from $96/MWh in FY2020-Q4 to

$107/MWh in FY2021-Q4 due to recent recontracting reflecting the higher wholesale pricing over the last year. Sales volumes in this

segment increased by 47GWh, from 801GWh in FY2021-Q1 to 848GWh in the most recent quarter, with an increase in physical sales

being partially offset by reduced CfD sales due to the early exit of a foundation hedge with the Norske Skog Tasman mill closure.

DEMAND DOWN DUE TO INDUSTRIAL CLOSURES AND REDUCED IRRIGATION LOAD

Temperature-adjusted demand decreased in FY2022-Q1 by 0.9% with reductions in the industrial (-0.8%), irrigation (-0.2%), and other

(-0.2%) sectors being offset by an increase in the urban (+0.3%) sector (the dairy and rural sectors were flat). Industrial demand

decreased due to the closure of the Norske Skog Tasman mill at the start of the quarter, partially offset by an increase in Marsden Point

refinery demand due to a six-week shutdown in the prior comparable period.

1

For quarters ended 30 September since 1927

2

For quarters ended 30 September since 1999

328342
291302

3740

4646

VWAP

1

VolumeVWAP

1

Volume

(GWh)(GWh)

1,3011,257

2

789832

3

512425

6261

4

1,3631,318

5

803843

336376

6

467467

7

3073

7

1,7801,731

9531,044

8

607687

220

453433

6

453433

7

9

1.041.01

1

VWAP is volume weighted average energy-only price sold to customers after lines, metering and fees

2

Mass market includes residential segments and non time-of-use commercial customers

3

Fixed-price, variable-volume (FPVV) sales to time-of-use commercial customers

4

Excludes spot customer purchases, assumes interim pricing on 9 August 2021 settles at ~$1,000/MWh

5

Excludes FTR and trading ASX positions (including positions held to maturity which were previously disclosed in CfD volumes)

6

7

Assumes interim pricing on 9 August 2021 settles at ~$1,000/MWh

8

9

Includes all physical and financial buys and sells except spot customer purchases, excludes Wind PPA volumes

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE02

66.00

Financial137.11

PORTFOLIO LWAP/GWAP

Wind PPA

Geothermal (consolidated)

ELECTRICITY GENERATION

Physical

127.85143.44 Spot Settlement of CfDs

120.17126.95

137.1197.48 Buy CfDs

157.18144.14

137.31142.78

Hydro

Spot Customer Purchases

87.57

151.42141.79

96.0187.52

130.63144.65

89.39

Other Sell CfDs

149.58146.06

Physical Purchases

Financial

Spot Settlement of CfDs

End User CfDs87.45

100.77

140.33

OPERATING INFORMATION

Three months ended

30 September 2021

Three months ended

30 September 2020

($/MWh)

Dual Fuel Customers

($/MWh)

South Island Customers

Includes Virtual Asset Swap volumes of 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 September 2021 and 151 GWh for the 3 months ended 30 September 2020

ELECTRICITY CUSTOMERS

('000s ICPs)

ELECTRICITY SALES

North Island Customers

Commercial & Industrial

Network Losses

103.19

137.30

118.55

Physical132.84125.76

Mass Market

97.48

>> OPERATING STATISTICS

> ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY COMPANY FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER
Mercury electricity generation share includes Tilt Renewables NZ wind generation from 3 August 2021

Source: Electricity Authority

> SHARE OF ELECTRICITY SALES (GWh) FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER (EXCLUDING CFDs)

Source: Mercury Purchases and Transpower SCADA

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE03

17%

32%

22%

18%

4%

7%

Financial Year Q1 2022

MERCURY

MERIDIAN ENERGY

CONTACT ENERGY

GENESIS ENERGY

TRUSTPOWER / TILT

OTHER

>> MARKET DATA

17%

30%

24%

16%

5%

8%

Financial Year Q1 2021

13%

87%

Financial Year Q1 2022

MERCURY

OTHER

13%

87%

Financial Year Q1 2021

> OTAHUHU WHOLESALE PRICE AND NATIONAL HYDRO STORAGE LEVELS
Source: NZX Hydro and NZEM Pricing Manager (NZX)

> TAUPO STORAGE

Source: NZX Hydro

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE04

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

$/MWh

GWh

AVERAGE NATIONAL STORAGEFY2021 NATIONAL STORAGE

FY2022 NATIONAL STORAGEROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE OTA PRICE

ROLLING 12 MONTH AVERAGE BEN PRICE

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJun

GWh

AVERAGE SINCE 1999FY2021FY2022

> OTAHUHU ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE
Source: ASX

> BENMORE ASX FUTURES SETTLEMENT PRICE

Source: ASX

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE05

$100.14

$93.46

$92.03

$193.18

$143.18

$130.76

$170.44

$144.05

$129.70

$133.34

$141.63

$125.93

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2020AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021

$85.19

$78.14

$76.98

$177.01

$125.69

$113.48

$151.34

$124.13

$111.71

$109.88

$118.04

$104.54

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

$160

$180

$200

FY22FY23FY24

$/MWh

Financial Year

AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2020AS AT 31 MARCH 2021AS AT 30 JUNE 2021AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER 2021

> NATIONAL CONSUMPTION (NON-TEMPERATURE ADJUSTED)
Source: Transpower Information Exchange

> AUCKLAND CLIMATE SUMMARY ( ⁰C)

FINANCIAL YEAR

Q1Q2Q3Q4

202212.2---

202112.316.919.514.8

202012.316.719.514.4

201912.116.320.214.1

201812.317.220.714.3

Historical Average (since 1999)11.916.119.414.2

Source: Met Service

> MONTHLY TOTAL CONSUMER RETAIL SWITCHING (ICPs)

Source: Electricity Authority

MERCURY NZ LIMITED QUARTERLY OPERATIONAL UPDATE06

9,430

9,451

9,554

9,553

9,568

9,489

1,267

1,251

1,263

1,316

1,240

1,257

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

Q1 2017Q1 2018Q1 2019Q1 2020Q1 2021Q1 2022

GWh

NATIONAL CONSUMPTIONTIWAI POINT ALUMINIUM SMELTER CONSUMPTION

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

Jul-12

Jan-13

Jul-13

Jan-14

Jul-14

Jan-15

Jul-15

Jan-16

Jul-16

Jan-17

Jul-17

Jan-18

Jul-18

Jan-19

Jul-19

Jan-20

Jul-20Jan-21

Jul-21

% Churn

Monthly ICPs

NZ MARKET CHURN (LHS)ANNUAL NZ MARKET CHURN % (RHS)

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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