Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited logo

Global Dairy Update August 2022

Operational Update30 August 2022FCGConsumer Staples

• Another step in low carbon transition.
1

Global Dairy

UPDATE

• Wet start to the season in New Zealand.

Production decline across EU. Australia ends

season on lower monthly production.

• New Zealand, US and Australia monthly

exports up. EU exports decline.

• China imports continue to decline. Middle East

& Africa, Latin America and Asia imports up.

• Early season collections in New Zealand

and Australia.

• Celebrating serving 50 million Kickstart Breakfasts

nationwide.

Key Dates

22 September 2022

FY22 Annual Results

Announcement

10 November 2022

Fonterra Co‑operative Group

Annual Meeting

14 November 2022

Fonterra Shareholders' Fund

Annual Meeting

AUGUST 2022

%
%

%%

%

%

%%

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for June 2022

compared to June 2021

Change for May 2022

compared to May 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2022

Change for the 12 months

to July 2022

Change for the 12 months

to June 2022

Change for the 12 months

to May 2022

0.29.25.7

3.90.40.4

1.6

4.4

2

OUR MARKETS

Global Production

Wet start to the season in

New Zealand. Production

decline across EU. Australia

ends season on lower

monthly

production

New Zealand milk

production¹ was down 5.7%

on a litres basis, (down 5.5%

on milk solids basis) in July

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The start of the season was

marked by record rainfall

and warmer temperatures,

adversely impacting pastures

and milk production.

June and July account for only

a small proportion, around 2%

of total milk production for the

full season.

New Zealand milk production

for the 12 months to July was

down 4.4% on the year prior.

Fonterra New Zealand

collections are reported for July,

see page 5 for details.

Australia milk production

d

ecreased 9.2% in June

compared to the same period

the year prior.

Low pasture growth

, labour

constraints and increasing

input prices continue to impact

Australian milk production.

Australia milk production for

the 12 months to June was 3.9%

lower than the year prior.

New season Australian milk

production is forecast to

remain flat to modest growth

year-on-year as milk income

margin over feed a

nd input

costs remains positive.

Fonterra collection

s in Australia

are reported for July, see page 5

for details.

EU milk production² was

down 1.6% in May compared to

the same period the year prior.

Peak milk production was

weaker year


on‑year as

dry weather, limited feed

availability and rising input

costs impacted production

across most regions.

Production declines were

observed most notably in

Germany, France, Netherlands

and Ireland.

EU milk production for the

12 months to May declined

0.4% compared to the same

period the year prior, driven

by declines in Germany,

Netherlands and France.

US milk production

increased by 0.2% in July,

compared to the same period

the year prior.

The year‑on‑year increase

was constrained by weaker

cow numbers compared to

last season as herds sizes are

rebuilding slowly.

Milk production for the

12 months to July was down

0.4% compared to the same

period the year prior.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

To view a chart that

illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in production –

1 New Zealand production is measured in litres.

2

E

xcludes UK.

To view a chart that
illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in exports –

3

OUR MARKETS

Global Exports

New Zealand, US and

Australia monthly exports

up. EU exports decline

Total New Zealand

dairy exports were up

up 8.2%, or 22,525 MT, in

July compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher shipments of AMF,

SMP, butter and WMP to

China. Exports of WMP and

SMP to Southeast Asia were

also strong.

Exports for the 12 months to

July were down by 7.4%, or

267,969 MT, on the previous

comparable period. This was

primarily driven by decreases

in WMP and cheese.

EU dairy exports

decreased 7.2%, or

44,543 MT, in May compared

to the same period the

year prior.

Lower export volumes were

driven by decreases in fluid

milk products, SMP and

WMP, and partially offset by

increases in infant formula

and cultured products.

Exports for the 12 months

to May were down 5.8%,

or 427,599 MT, on the

previous comparable period,

driven by declines in fluid

milk products, SMP, WMP,

whey and partially offset by

increases in MPC, lactose

and caseinate.

US dairy exports

increased 11.0% in June

compared to the same period

the year prior.

Stronger demand for cheese

by Mexico and South Korea,

lactose by New Zealand,

whey by Canada and WPC by

China is driving this increase.

This is partially offset by lower

shipments of SMP to Mexico

and Southeast Asia.

Exports for the 12 months

to June were up 5.3%, or

141,650 MT, on the previous

comparable period, driven

by cheese, lactose, fluid milk

products, butter and AMF.

Australia dairy

exports

increased 11.9%, or 8,479 MT,

in June compared to the

same period the year prior.

Export volumes continue to

grow year-on-year, driven by

high demand for fluid milk

products and SMP from

China. Increases in whey

and other powders were

also observed.

Exports for th

e 1 2 months

to June were up 20.6%, or

163,244 MT, on the previous

comparable period.

This was predominantly

driven by increases in fluid

milk products and SMP.

NEW ZEALANDAUSTRALIAEUROPEAN UNIONUSA

%%%

%

%

%

Change for July 2022

compared July 2021

Change for June 2022

compared to June 2021

Change for June 2022

compared to June 2021

Change for May 2022

compared to May 2021

Change for the 12 months

to July 2022

Change for the 12 months

to June 2022

Change for the 12 months

to June 2022

Change for the 12 months

to May 2022

11.011.9

8.2

20.6

7.2

5.35.87.4

%

%

To view a chart that
illustrates year‑on‑year

changes in imports –

4

OUR MARKETS

Global Imports

China imports continue

to decline. Middle East &

Africa, Latin America and

Asia imports up

Latin America dairy

import volumes

¹ increased

9.5%, or 15,303 MT, in May

compared to the same

period the year prior.

The increase was driven

by stronger demand for

cheese and fluid milk by the

Dominican Republic and

Mexico, AMF by Mexico,

SMP by Colombia and

partially offset by decreases

of lactose by Brazil.

Imports for the 12 months to

May were up 1.2% compared

to the same period the

year prior, driven by higher

volumes of cheese, whey, and

MPC and SMP and partially

offset by declines in WMP

and fluid milk products.

Asia (excluding China)

dairy import volumes

¹

increased 9.9%, or 41,555  MT,

in May compared to the

same period the year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher demand for SMP and

whey by the Philippines and

Malaysia, WMP by Thailand,

lactose by Indonesia and

WPC by Singapore.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 4.4%, or

214,909 MT, compared to the

same period the year prior,

driven by higher volumes

of whey, WPC and SMP and

partially offset by a decrease

in fluid milk products.

Middle East and Africa

dairy import volumes

¹

increased 16.6%, or

65,070 MT, in May compared

to the same period the

year prior.

The increase was driven by

higher volumes of SMP and

WMP by Algeria, and infant

formula by Saudi Arabia

and partially offset by

lower volumes of fluid milk

products by Libya.

Imports for the 12 months

to May were up 10.8%, or

515,098 MT, compared to

May the year prior, driven by

increases in cheese, SMP and

fluid milk products.

China dairy import

volumes decreased by

23.6%, or 82,896 MT, in

July compared to the same

period the year prior.

Demand remained limited

following lockdown

restrictions but it is worth

noting 2021 import levels

were very strong.

Lower volumes of WMP,

SMP, fluid milk products and

whey were partially offset by

an increase in infant formula,

lactose and AMF imports.

Imports for the 12 months

to July were down 11.5%, or

471,651 MT, driven by whey,

fluid milk products, SMP and

infant formula.

LATIN AMERICAASIAMIDDLE EAST & AFRICACHINA

1 Estimates are included for those countries that have not reported data.

%

%

%%

%

Change for May 2022

compared to May 2021

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for May 2022

compared to May 2021

Change for May 2022

compared to May 2021

Change for the 12 months

to May 2022

Change for the 12 months

to May 2022

Change for the 12 months

to May 2022

23.69.99.5

4.410.8

%

Change for the 12 months

to July 2022

11.5

16.6

1.2

%

%

To view a table that shows
detailed milk collections in New

Zealand and Australia compared

to the previous season –

%

%%

Season-to-date

1 July to 31 July

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 July

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 July

Season-to-date

1 June to 31 July

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

Change for July 2022

compared to July 2021

2.79.73.52.4

2.722.33.80.6

VOLUME M LITRESDAY

JUNJULAUGSEPOCTNOVDECJANFEBMARAPRMAY



















5

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Milk Collections

NEW ZEALANDNORTH ISLANDSOUTH ISLANDAUSTRALIA

New Zealand Milk Collections

Fonterra's Australia

collections for the first

month of the new season

were 5.3 million kgMS,

a 2.7% decrease on July

last season.

Both off‑farm collections

and third party intake were

down year‑on‑year, 1.3% and

13.6% respectively.

The new season outlook

remains balanced, with

increasing likelihood of

another La Niña weather

pattern developing in late

winter/early spring.

North Island milk

collections in July were

17.2 million kgMS, 3.5%

behind July last season.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 28.7 million kgMS, 3.8%

behind last season.

The North Island

experienced very wet

conditions throughout July

creating some challenges

going into calving. Some

pasture damage has been

reported which will need to

be rectified over spring.

South Island milk

collections in July were

1.8 million kgMS, 9.7% higher

than last July.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 5.2 million kgMS, 22.3%

ahead of last season.

Although a large variance

in percentage terms, June

and July collections typically

represent less than 2% of full

season collections.

Central South had their

wettest July on record,

similar rainfall to what

was experienced in June

last season. Lower South

experienced favourable

winter conditions supporting

milk production and setting

them up well for calving.

Fonterra's New Zealand

collections for July were

19.0 million kgMS, 2.4%

lower than last July.

Season‑to‑date collections

were 33.9 million kgMS,

0.6% behind last season.

This represents only around

2% of the full season

forecast collection.

Extremely wet conditions

were experienced

throughout July, but milk

volumes have generally

been comparable to the

previous season.

Calving is in full swing in

the North Island, with the

South Island starting in

early August.

%%%

%

%

%
%%%

%

To view more information,

including a snapshot of the

rolling year‑to‑date results –

%

6

GDT PRICE INDEXNZDUSD SPOT RATE

AUG  MAR  AUG  OCT  JAN MAR JUN AUG OCT  JAN  JUN 




,

,

,

,

,

.

.

.

.

.

.

.

PRICE INDEX

NZD  USD

OUR MARKETS

Fonterra Global Dairy Trade Results

Fonterra GDT sales

by destination:

Dairy commodity

prices and New

Zealand dollar trend

Tentative signs emerged that

US inflation may have peaked,

reducing expectations of how

much US interest rates may

need to rise and this, with more

upbeat US economic activity

data, produced a more positive

risk appetite in financial markets.

The NZD appreciated to above

64 US cents before reducing

following USD strength.

Fonterra GDT results at

last trading event

16 August 2022:

The next trading event will be held on 6 September 2022. Visit www.globaldairytrade.info for more information.

Change in Fonterra’s

weighted average product

price from previous event

3.6

Fonterra’s weighted

average product price


(USD/MT)

3,780

USD

Fonterra product quantity

sold on GDT

000’ MT

29.2

NORTH ASIA (INCLUDING CHINA)

SOUTH EAST ASIA

MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA

LATIN AMERICA

OTHER

USD 4,990/MT

9.6

AMF

USD 5,005/MT

4.3

CHEDDAR

USD 5,204/MT

0.2

BUTTER

USD 3,544/MT

0.5

SMP

USD 3,417/MT

3.6

WMP

29,243

MT

LATEST AUCTION

56,088

MT

FINANCIAL

YEAR‑TO‑DATE

7
Our Performance

Another step in low

carbon transition

Fonterra is taking another

step towards its low carbon

transition with its Waitoa site

in the Waikato planning to

install a 30 megawatt wood

biomass boiler to replace a

coal boiler.

Together with Te Tumuaki o

Te Kıngitanga and local iwi

Ngati Haua, the Co‑operative

celebrated the turning of the

first sod at Waitoa.

Work will begin on the new

boiler installation later this

year, and it is expected

to be up and running in

November 2023.

The new boiler will reduce

the site’s annual emissions by

48,000 tonnes of CO₂e, the

equivalent of taking 20,000

cars off New Zealand’s roads.

Fonterra Head of

Energy and Climate,

Linda Mulvihill, says this

is another significant step

towards the Co‑operative’s

sustainability ambitions.

“This is the fourth

sustainable fuel switching

decarbonisation project

in as many years for the

Co‑operative with projects,

including Te Awamutu

and Stirling, providing us

with insights into the best

way forward along with

emissions reductions.

Grouped together these

projects reduce our CO₂e

emissions by a forecast

183,000 tonnes per annum,

the equivalent of 76,000

cars off New Zealand roads.”

The Co‑operative has an

ambition to be at net zero

emissions by 2050 and

has an interim target of a

30% absolute reduction in

manufacturing emissions by

2030 based on FY18 levels.

“Projects such as this make a

significant reduction in our

emissions. We saw that with

our Te Awamutu conversion,

which resulted in an 11%

reduction and we’re looking

forward to starting our first

site on 100% renewable

thermal energy next year at

the cheese factory in Stirling,

Otago” says Ms Mulvihill.

The new boiler will give a

boost to the local wood

biomass industry.

Wood Energy New Zealand

Director, Nigel Ellett says

"Wood Energy New Zealand

is very proud to be involved

with, and to support,

Fonterra’s move across

from coal to biomass at

their facility in Waitoa, and

growing our supply footprint

into the North Island.

The Wood Energy

New Zealand partnership,

between Pioneer Energy

and Niagara Sawmilling, was

created to support industry

and ensure quality and

security of locally sourced

wood fuel, removing risk

to our customers and

supporting their transition to

a lower carbon future."

Our Co-op
8

Celebrating serving

50 million Kickstart

Breakfasts nationwide

Fonterra is celebrating

serving 50 million breakfasts

to Kiwi kids since 2009

as part of the Kickstart

Breakfast programme.

Beyond breakfast, the

milestone recognises the

50 million possibilities

kickstarted by the

programme nationwide.

KickStart Breakfast is

a partnership between

Fonterra, Sanitarium and

the Ministry of Social

Development, designed

to positively impact child

wellbeing by providing

access to nutritious food

at school.

The programme allows

flexibility to work best

for students and their

needs, offering them the

opportunity to partake in

social activities that prepare

them for the future.

Over the breakfast table,

students are not only

kickstarting their school

day with a healthy and

nutritional breakfast, but are

developing life‑long lessons

on leadership, community

support, relationships

and responsibility.

The breakfast club

environment encourages

students to learn from

their peers, teachers and

volunteers in a social setting.

Students enjoy leading the

breakfast clubs, helping

them to develop their

leadership skills.

KickStart Breakfast engages

the whole community,

connecting families, staff

and volunteers to enable

possibilities for future

generations. Students benefit

by talking to local businesses

and external volunteers who

also are involved.

Tracey Putt, Relationship

Manager for Kickstart

Breakfast, says the 50 million

breakfast milestone has

been important to recognise

the benefits outside of just

one meal.

“KickStart Breakfast sets

students up for learning,

provides a welcoming space

and opportunities to hone

skills such as interacting

with a range of people,

building new or stronger

connections and leading or

supporting others”.

Amavi Mey, Community

Engagement Manager

for Fonterra Brands

New Zealand, says students

experience the power of

a nutritious breakfast and

valuable social interaction

both beneficial for

their learning.

“I used to be a primary

school teacher, and

Breakfast Club was at one

of the schools I worked in –

May Road in Mt Roskill. I ran

Breakfast Club twice a week

and have seen first‑hand the

difference that a breakfast

made to the children in my

class. KickStart Breakfast

is a real catalyst for other

organisations to get involved

and support, knowing that

we provide the backbone

of breakfast.

The KickStart Breakfast

programme is one of the

longest‑running, successful

collaborations between

government, business,

schools and communities in

Aotearoa, New Zealand. It

is the only national ‘food in

schools’ programme available

for any school and all

children and young people.

Running in almost

1,400 schools nationwide,

KickStart Breakfast serves

nearly 180,000 breakfasts to

students each school week.

KickStart Breakfast

provides Anchor™ Milk and

Sanitarium Weet‑Bix™ as a

nutritional foundation for a

day of learning. The Ministry

of Social Development

supports the programme

through funding, allowing

breakfast clubs to operate

nationally, five days a week.

PRODUCTION
AUSTRALIAAVERAGE

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

DEC JUL 

JUN MAY MAR FEB JAN SEP NOV OCT AUG APR 

LIQUID MILK M LITRES

















EXPORTS

AUSTRALIA

UNITED STATES

NEW ZEALANDEU

AUG JUL JUN APR MAR FEB JAN DEC NOV OCT SEP MAY 

MT s













AVERAGE

IMPORTS

MIDDLE EAST & AFRICALATIN AMERICA

ASIACHINA

SEP AUG JUN MAY FEB MAR APR NOV JAN DEC JUL OCT 

MT s

















AVERAGE

9


Supplementary Information

Global Dairy Market

The charts on the right

illustrate the year‑on‑year

changes in imports, exports

and production for a range of

countries that are important

players in global dairy trade.

The absolute size of

the bars represents the

change in imports, exports

or production, relative

to the same period the

previous year.

Averages are shown where

data is complete for the

regions presented.

NOTE: Data for EU to May; Australia to June; New Zealand and US to July.

NOTE: Data for EU to May; US and Australia to June; New Zealand to July.

NOTE: Data for Asia, Middle East & Africa and Latin America to May; China to July.

SOURCES: Government milk production statistics (DCANZ, Dairy Australia, Eurostat, USDA)/GTA trade data/Fonterra analysis.

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICEQUANTITY SOLD
APR MAR JAN OCT FEB JUL AUG MAY SEP NOV DEC JUN

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

,

WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE USDMT

QUANTITY SOLD  MT

10

Supplementary Information

Fonterra milk

production

The table on the right

shows Fonterra milk solids

collected in New Zealand

and Australia compared

to the previous season.

MILK COLLECTION

(MILLION KGMS)

J U LY

2022

J

U LY

2021

MONTHLY

CHANGE

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2022/23

SEASON-

TO-DATE

2021/22

SEASON-

TO-DATE

CHANGE

Total Fonterra

New Zealand

19.019.5(2.4%)33.934.1(0.6%)

North Island17.217.9(3.5%)28.729.8(3.8%)

South Island1.81.69.7%5.24.322.3%

Australia5.35.4(2.7%)5.35.4(2.7%)

Fonterra GDT results

This table provides more

information on the latest

results, including a snapshot

of the year‑to‑date results.

LAST TRADING EVENT

(16 AUGUST 2022)

YEAR-TO-DATE

(FROM 1 AUGUST 2022)

Quantity Sold on GDT

(Winning MT)

29,24356,088

Change in Quantity Sold on GDT

over same period last year

33.3%24.0%

Weighted Average Product Price

(USD/MT)

3, 7803, 849

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price over same period

last year

(2.3%)(0.1%)

Change in Weighted Average

Product Price from previous event

(3.6%)–

Fonterra GDT results

This chart shows Fonterra

GDT prices and volumes over

the past 12 months.

11
AMF

Anhydrous Milk Fat.

BMP

Butter Milk Powder.

Cultured Products

Fermented milks that are

prepared by using starter

cultures and controlled

fermentation including

yoghurt, yoghurt drinks, sour

cream, crème fraiche.

DIRA

Dairy Industry Restructuring

Act 2001 (New Zealand).

Farmgate Milk Price

The price for milk supplied in

New Zealand to Fonterra by

farmer shareholders.

Fluid Products

The Fonterra grouping

of fluid milk products

(skim milk, whole milk

and cream – pasteurised

or UHT processed),

concentrated milk products

(evaporated milk and

sweetened condensed milk)

and yoghurt.

GDT

Global Dairy Trade, the

online provider of the twice

monthly global auctions of

dairy ingredients.

kgMS

Kilogram of milk solids, the

measure of the amount of

fat and protein in the milk

supplied to Fonterra.

MPC

Milk Protein Concentrate.

Non‑Reference Products

All dairy products,

except for Reference

Products, produced

by the New Zealand

Ingredients business.

Reference Products

The dairy products used

in the calculation of the

Farmgate Milk Price, which

are currently WMP, SMP,

BMP, butter and AMF.


Glossary

Season

New Zealand: A period

of 12 months to 31 May

in each year.

Australia: A period of

12 months to 30 June

in each year.

SMP

Skim Milk Powder.

WMP

Whole Milk Powder.

WPC

Whey Protein Concentrate.

WPI

Whey Protein Isolate.

Data sourced from publicly available filings. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Matched by meaning across NZX announcement text, not keywords — based on our semantic index of announcement bodies.

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update August 2022
    2022-08-30

    • Another step in low carbon transition. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Wet start to the season in New Zealand. Production decline across EU. Australia ends season on lower monthly production. • New Zealand, US and Australia monthly exports up. EU exports decline. • China i…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update September 2022
    2022-09-29

    • On 22 September, Fonterra announced its FY22 Annual Results. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Milk volumes down in New Zealand. US monthly production improves. Production declines in Australia and EU. • Strong growth in New Zealand monthly exports. US exports up. Australia…”

  • FSF — Fonterra Shareholders' Fund: Global Dairy Update October 2022
    2022-10-30

    • Fonterra announces sustainable finance framework. 1 Global Dairy UPDATE • Production down in New Zealand and Australia. US monthly production continues to improve. • New Zealand monthly exports show strong growth and US exports continue to increase. Australia and E…”