Cross-referencing analyst consensus, management credibility, and insider activity to detect when market theses may no longer hold
For each company with analyst consensus data, the engine derives an implied market thesis (bullish if consensus is buy, bearish if sell) and checks whether 4 independent data sources support or oppose that thesis:
Invalidation score: 0-100 (higher = more evidence against the thesis). Threshold: 60+ = invalidated, 40-59 = watch, below 40 = supported. This is an analytical tool based on available data, not financial advice.
| Sector | Companies | Avg Score | Invalidated | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financials | 4 | 21 | 1 | |
| Energy | 1 | 20 | 0 | |
| Consumer Staples | 7 | 17 | 0 | |
| Materials | 5 | 17 | 0 | |
| Communication Services | 4 | 13 | 0 | |
| Industrials | 12 | 12 | 0 | |
| Real Estate | 12 | 5 | 0 | |
| Utilities | 6 | 5 | 0 | |
| Healthcare | 8 | 0 | 0 | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 8 | 0 | 0 | |
| Information Technology | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Ticker | Company | Implied Thesis | Score | Status | Consensus | Fair Value | Management | Insiders | Summary |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TWR | Tower Limited | bullish | 62 | Invalidated | TWR bullish thesis appears challenged (score 62/100). 2 of 3 signals oppose the thesis: management, insiders. Consider reviewing your investment thesis. | ||||
| SML | Synlait Milk Limited | bearish | 56 | Watch | SML bearish thesis shows some tension (score 56/100). 1 signal opposing, 1 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| SCL | Scales Corporation Limited | bullish | 54 | Watch | SCL bullish thesis shows some tension (score 54/100). 1 signal opposing, 1 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| SPK | Spark New Zealand Limited | bullish | 50 | Watch | SPK bullish thesis shows some tension (score 50/100). 1 signal opposing, 1 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| SKL | Skellerup | bullish | 44 | Watch | SKL bullish thesis shows some tension (score 44/100). 1 signal opposing, 2 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| IKE | ikeGPS Group Limited | bullish | 43 | Watch | IKE bullish thesis shows some tension (score 43/100). 1 signal opposing, 2 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| WIN | Winton Land Limited | bullish | 42 | Watch | WIN bullish thesis shows some tension (score 42/100). 1 signal opposing, 1 supporting. Monitor closely. | ||||
| MEL | Meridian Energy Limited | bullish | 30 | Supported | MEL bullish thesis appears supported (score 30/100). 2 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| MFT | Mainfreight Limited | bullish | 28 | Supported | MFT bullish thesis appears supported (score 28/100). 2 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| ARB | ArborGen Holdings Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | ARB neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 0 of 1 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| CHI | Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | CHI neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| CVT | Comvita Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | CVT neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| FCG | Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | FCG neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 0 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| FSF | Fonterra Shareholders' Fund | neutral | 20 | Supported | FSF neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| HGH | Heartland Group Holdings Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | HGH neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| NPH | Napier Port Holdings Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | NPH neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 2 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| NZK | New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | NZK neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| PFI | Property for Industry Limited | neutral | 20 | Supported | PFI neutral thesis appears supported (score 20/100). 1 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| AFT | AFT Pharmaceuticals Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | AFT bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| AIA | Auckland International Airport Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | AIA neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| AIR | Air New Zealand | bearish | 0 | Supported | AIR bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| APL | Asset Plus | neutral | 0 | Supported | APL neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| ARG | Argosy Property Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | ARG bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| ATM | The a2 Milk Company Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | ATM neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| BGP | Briscoe Group Limited | bearish | 0 | Supported | BGP bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| BPG | Black Pearl Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | BPG bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| CEN | Contact Energy Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | CEN bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| CNU | Chorus Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | CNU neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| DGL | Delegat Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | DGL bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| EBO | EBOS Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | EBO bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| ERD | EROAD | bearish | 0 | Supported | ERD bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| FBU | Fletcher Building | bearish | 0 | Supported | FBU bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| FPH | Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corporation Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | FPH bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| FRW | Freightways Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | FRW bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| GMT | Goodman Property Trust | bullish | 0 | Supported | GMT bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| GNE | Genesis Energy Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | GNE neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| GTK | Gentrack Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | GTK bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| HLG | Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | HLG bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| IFT | Infratil Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | IFT bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| IPL | Investore Property Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | IPL bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| KMD | KMD Brands Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | KMD neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| KPG | Kiwi Property | bullish | 0 | Supported | KPG bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| MCY | Mercury NZ Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | MCY bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| MFB | My Food Bag Group Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | MFB neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| MHJ | Michael Hill International Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | MHJ bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| NZL | New Zealand Rural Land Company Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | NZL bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| NZM | NZME Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | NZM bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| NZX | NZX Limited | bearish | 0 | Supported | NZX bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| OCA | Oceania Healthcare Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | OCA bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| PCT | Precinct Properties New Zealand Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | PCT bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| PEB | Pacific Edge Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | PEB neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 0 of 1 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| POT | Port of Tauranga Limited | bearish | 0 | Supported | POT bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 1 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| PYS | PaySauce Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | PYS neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| RAD | Radius Residential Care Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | RAD bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| RAK | Rakon Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | RAK neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| RYM | Ryman Healthcare Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | RYM bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SAN | Sanford Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | SAN neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SCT | Scott Technology Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | SCT neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 1 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SKC | SkyCity Entertainment Group Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | SKC bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 1 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SKO | Serko Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | SKO bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SKT | Sky Network Television Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | SKT bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SPG | Stride Property Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | SPG neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| STU | Steel & Tube Holdings Limited | bearish | 0 | Supported | STU bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| SUM | Summerset Group Holdings Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | SUM bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 3 of 3 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| THL | Tourism Holdings Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | THL bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| TRA | Turners Automotive Group | bearish | 0 | Supported | TRA bearish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| VCT | Vector Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | VCT neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| VGL | Vista Group International Limited | bullish | 0 | Supported | VGL bullish thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| VHP | Vital Healthcare Property Trust | neutral | 0 | Supported | VHP neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 2 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| VSL | Vulcan Steel Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | VSL neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. | ||||
| WHS | The Warehouse Group Limited | neutral | 0 | Supported | WHS neutral thesis appears supported (score 0/100). 1 of 2 signals align with the thesis. |
Data sourced from publicly available records. Our datasets may not be complete. Automated analysis can produce errors. If you believe any data on this page is incorrect, please contact us at hello@nzxplorer.co.nz. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.
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